| Literature DB >> 35790466 |
Zishuai Liu1, Rongling Zhang1, Wei Zhou2, Ruize Ma1, Leqiang Han2, Zhe Zhao1, Ziruo Ge1, Xingxiang Ren1, Wei Zhang1, Aijun Sun2, Zhihai Chen1.
Abstract
C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) can be used to assess the prognosis of various diseases. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between CAR on the prognosis of patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS). This study included 155 SFTS patients from the Public Health Clinical Center of Dalian from January to December 2021. They were divided into survival and deceased groups based on the clinical prognosis. The independent risk factors for poor prognosis of SFTS patients at an early stage were determined by Cox regression. The efficacy of CAR prediction was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A total of 155 patients were included in this study, with an average age of 61.98± 11.70 years, including 77 males and 65 females. The mortality rate of the patients enrolled in this study was 14.19%. Multivariate Cox regression indicated that CAR (hazard ratio = 2.585, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.405-4.753, p = 0.002) could be an independent predictor for prognosis in SFTS patients at an early stage. CAR had an AUC of 0.781 (95% CI, 0.665-0.898, p = 0.000), a cutoff value of 0.57, a sensitivity of 0.77, and a specificity of 0.80, with better predictive efficacy, compared to neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). High levels of CAR are associated with poor prognosis in SFTS patients, and CAR can be used as an independent predictor for SFTS patients.Entities:
Keywords: C reactive protein; CAR; albumin; risk factors; severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35790466 PMCID: PMC9540880 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.27972
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Med Virol ISSN: 0146-6615 Impact factor: 20.693
Figure 1Schematic overview of the study design. SFTS, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome
Demographics and clinical characteristics of patients with SFTS
| Variables | Total ( | Survival ( | Deceased ( |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 61.98 ± 11.70 | 60.43 ± 10.90 | 71.36 ± 12.27 | 0.000 |
| Male, | 77/155 (49.7) | 65/133 (48.9) | 12/22 (54.5) | 0.622 |
| Time from onset to admission (days) | 5.0 (4.0–7.0) | 5.0 (4.0–7.0) | 5.0 (4.0–7.3) | 0.795 |
| Hospitalization (days) | 8.0 (5.0–12.0) | 9.0 (6.0–13.0) | 4.0 (2.8–6.0) | 0.000 |
| Highest body temperature (°C) | 38.0 (37.0–39.0) | 38.1 (37.1–39.0) | 37.7 (36.7–38.8) | 0.165 |
| Bite by ticks, | 46/155 (29.7) | 41/133 (30.8) | 5/22 (22.7) | 0.441 |
| History, | ||||
| Diabetes | 14/155 (9.0) | 10/133 (7.5) | 4/22 (18.2) | 0.224 |
| Hypertensive disease | 21/155 (13.5) | 17/(12.8) | 4/22 (18.2) | 0.727 |
| CHD | 7/155 (4.5) | 5/133 (3.8) | 2/22 (9.1) | 0.260 |
| Cerebral infarction | 8/155 (5.2) | 7/133 (5.3) | 1/22 (4.5) | 1.000 |
| Liver disease | 10/155 (6.5) | 8/133 (6.0) | 2/22 (9) | 0.940 |
| Tumor related history | 4/155 (2.6) | 2/133 (1.5) | 2/22 (9.1) | 0.097 |
| kidney disease | 2/155 (1.3) | 1/133 (0.8) | 1/22 (4.5) | 0.265 |
| Other medical histories | 19/155 (12.3) | 16/133 (12.0) | 3/22 (13.6) | 1.000 |
| Symptoms | ||||
| Shiver | 50/155 (32.3) | 44/133 (33.1) | 6/22 (27.3) | 0.589 |
| Weak | 89/155 (57.4) | 80/133 (60.2) | 9/22 (40.9) | 0.091 |
| Chest distress | 6/155 (3.9) | 5/133 (3.8) | 1/22 (4.5) | 1.000 |
| Palpitation | 4/155 (2.6) | 3/133 (2.3) | 1/22 (4.5) | 0.461 |
| Muscular soreness | 56/155 (36.1) | 49/133 (36.8) | 7/22 (31.8) | 0.650 |
| Arthralgia | 40/155 (25.8) | 37/133 (27.8) | 3/22 (13.6) | 0.159 |
| Oliguria | 8/155 (5.2) | 8/133 (6.0) | 0 | 0.509 |
| Inappetence | 109/155 (70.3) | 99/133 (74.4) | 10/22 (45.5) | 0.006 |
| Nausea | 71/155 (45.8) | 67/133 (50.4) | 4/22 (18.2) | 0.005 |
| Vomiting | 17/155 (11.0) | 16/133 (12.0) | 1/22 (4.5) | 0.298 |
| Bloating | 19/155 (12.2) | 16/133 (12.0) | 3/22 (13.0) | 1.000 |
| Abdominal pain | 9/155 (5.8) | 8/133 (6.0) | 1/22 (4.5) | 1.000 |
| Diarrhea | 15/155 (9.7) | 11/133 (8.3) | 4/22 (18.2) | 0.286 |
| Neurological Symptoms | 18/155 (11.6) | 10/133 (7.5) | 8/22 (36.4) | 0.000 |
| Signs | 17/155 (11.0) | 12/133 (9.0) | 5/22 (22.7) | 0.124 |
| Skin changes | 17/155 (11.0) | 12/133 (9.0) | 5/22 (22.7) | 0.124 |
| Hemorrhage | 5/155 (3.2) | 2/133 (1.5) | 3/22 (13.6) | 0.021 |
| Pharyngeal swelling | 36/155 (23.2) | 31/133 (23.3) | 5/22 (22.7) | 0.952 |
| Chemosis | 6/155 (3.9) | 1/133 (0.8) | 5/22 (22.7) | 0.000 |
| Breath rough | 22/155 (14.2) | 18/133 (13.5) | 4/22 (18.2) | 0.803 |
| Rales | 6/155 (3.9) | 4/133 (3.0) | 2/22 (9.1) | 0.202 |
| Abdominal Tenderness | 11/155 (7.1) | 9/133 (6.8) | 2/22 (9.1) | 1.000 |
| Hepatosplenomegaly | 14/155 (9.0) | 14/133 (10.5) | 0 | 0.232 |
| Neurological signs | 25/155 (16.1) | 14/133 (10.5) | 11/22 (50.0) | 0.000 |
Note: Continuous variable data are presented as mean (SD), median (IQR). Classified variable dates are presented as n/N (%), where N is the total number of patients with available data. p values comparing between the group of survival and the group of deceased.
Abbreviations: CHD, coronary heart disease; IQR, interquartile range; SD, standard deviation; SFTS, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.
Laboratory results of patients with SFTS at admission
| Parameters | Total | Survival | Deceased |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (reference range) | ( | ( | ( | |
| WBC | 2.39 | 2.38 | 3.17 | 0.674 |
| (3.5–9.5 × 109/L) | (1.47–3.91) | (1.63–3.57) | (1.18–4.79) | |
| Neutrophils | 1.29 | 1.21 | 1.90 | 0.225 |
| (1.8–6.3 × 109/L) | (0.72–2.27) | (0.72–2.08) | (0.83–3.47) | |
| NEU% | 59.64 | 60.1 | 56.70 | 0.057 |
| (40–75) | (44.10–71.90) | (45.22–73.12) | (31.68–67.65) | |
| Lymphocytes | 0.66 | 0.67 | 0.44 | 0.017 |
| (1.1–3.2 × 109/L) | (0.40–1.24) | (0.43–1.26) | (0.28–0.86) | |
| LYM% | 32.24 | 32.90 | 20.60 | 0.006 |
| (20–50) | (19.40–43.74) | (20.38–45.28) | (14.53–34.50) | |
| Monocytes | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.617 |
| (0.1–0.6 × 109/L) | (0.07–0.34) | (0.07–0.33) | (0.38–0.52) | |
| MON% | 6.74 | 6.77 | 6.50 | 0.866 |
| (3–10) | (3.70–10.70) | (3.48–10.38) | (1.73–17.50) | |
| RBC | 4.47 | 4.47 | 4.49 | 0.670 |
| (4.3–5.8 × 109/L) | (4.11–4.86) | (4.6–4.86) | (3.82–4.94) | |
| HGB | 137.00 | 137.00 | 137.00 | 0.540 |
| (130–175g/L) | (126.00–148.00) | (126.25–147.50) | (125.75–153.50) | |
| PLT | 58.00 | 60.50 | 43.5 | 0.001 |
| (125–350 × 109/L) | (38.00–82.00) | (41.00–88.75) | (21.75–59.25) | |
| LDH | 737.00 | 643.50 | 1185.50 | 0.002 |
| (80–285 U/L) | (401.00–1269) | (386.00–1091.92) | (666.23–2223.29) | |
| CK | 286.00 | 221.00 | 1273.75 | 0.000 |
| (0–190 U/L) | (102.00–890.12) | (91.50–631.50) | (415.43.00–2165.75) | |
| ALT | 90.00 | 83.00 | 122.65 | 0.120 |
| (9–50 U/L) | (49.00–168.00) | (47.50–153.30) | (75.75–304.28) | |
| AST | 157.00 | 134.95 | 315.50 | 0.001 |
| (15–40 U/L) | (73.00–325.00) | (65.25–266.50) | (124.25–767.15) | |
| TBIL | 9.70 | 9.20 | 12.35 | 0.007 |
| (2.0–20.4 μmol/L) | (7.00–13.30) | (6.80–12.75) | (9.39–16.80) | |
| DBIL | 4.00 | 3.80 | 6.40 | 0.000 |
| (0–6.8 μmol/L) | (2.70–5.89) | (2.60–5.20) | (4.52–10.56) | |
| ALB | 34.40 | 35.20 | 28.20 | 0.000 |
| (35–53 g/L) | (30.80–37.40) | (32.30–37.70) | (24.21–31.01) | |
| GLOB | 24.20 | 24.25 | 24.44 | 0.209 |
| (20–40 g/L) | (21.70–26.50) | (21.15–26.45) | (22.42–30.13) | |
| GGT | 51.00 | 49.00 | 97.00 | 0.009 |
| (11–49 U/L) | (27.00–110.00) | (24.00–96.00) | (36.43–172.26) | |
| ALP (40–150 U/L) | 67.00 (53.00–91.00) | 65.40 (53.00–85.00) | 69.8 (56.18–178.20) | 0.128 |
| GLU | 6.50 | 6.48 | 7.60 | 0.310 |
| (4.16–6.44 mmol/L) | (5.63–8.16) | (5.64–8.01) | (5.48–9.35) | |
| K+(3.5–5.1 mmol/L) | 3.45 ± 0.51 | 3.85 ± 0.51 | 3.83 ± 0.50 | 0.873 |
| Na+ | 133.70 | 133.65 | 133.42 | 0.984 |
| (136–146 mmol/L) | (131.00–136.3) | (130.90–139.21) | (131.00–141.82) | |
| Ca2+ | 1.97 | 1.98 | 1.93 | 0.010 |
| (2.2–2.55 mmol/L) | (1.93–2.05) | (1.93–2.05) | (1.83–2.00) | |
| PCT | 0.60 | 0.46 | 0.81 | 0.003 |
| (0–0.06 ng/ml) | (0.16–0.81) | (0.14–0.81) | (0.47–0.93) | |
| CRP | 5.04 | 3.78 | 16.20 | 0.000 |
| (5–10 mg/L) | (3.00–11.64) | (2.93–11.64) | (11.28–33.90) | |
| UREA | 5.18 | 4.98 | 7.12 | 0.000 |
| (1.7–8.3 mmol/L) | (4.22–7.10) | (4.10–6.50) | (5.93–11.66) | |
| CREA | 63.00 | 62.15 | 81.27 | 0.001 |
| (40–106 μmol/L) | (52.80–81.27) | (51.70–78.95) | (63.23–127.25) | |
| TT | 19.65 | 19.65 | 18.55 | 0.042 |
| (14–21 s) | (18.60–21.00) | (18.90–21.23) | (15.95–20.86) | |
| APTT | 43.70 | 42.25 | 53.20 | 0.060 |
| (11–14.5 s) | (35.60–48.61) | (35.68–48.61) | (34.75–67.88) | |
| PT | 13.20 | 13.70 | 11.05 | 0.010 |
| (11–14.5 s) | (12.10–14.74) | (12.60–14.74) | (10.70–11.70) |
Note: Continuous variable data are presented as mean (SD), median (IQR). p values comparing between the group of survival and the group of deceased.
Abbreviations: ALB, albumin; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; ALT, alanine aminotransaminase; APTT, activated partial thromboplastin time; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; CK, creatine phosphokinase; CREA, creatinine; CRP, C‐reactive protein; DBIL, direct bilirubin; GGT, γ‐glutamyl transferase; GLOB, globulin; GLU, glucose; HGB, hemoglobin; IQR, interquartile range; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; LYM, lymphocyte; MON, monocyte; NEU, neutrophil; PCT, procalcitonin; PLT, platelet; PT, prothrombin time; RBC, red blood cell; SD, standard deviation; SFTS, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome; TBIL, total bilirubin; TT, thrombin time; WBC, white blood cell.
Risk factors associated with disease prognosis of patients with SFTS
| Parameters | Univariate | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Demographics and baseline characters | ||||
| Age | 1.101 (1.052–1.152) | 0.000 | ||
| Sex | 0.798 (0.344–1.850) | 0.599 | ||
| History | ||||
| Diabetes | 1.537 (0.206–11.474) | 0.675 | ||
| Hypertensive disease | 1.473 (0.497–4.363) | 0.485 | ||
| CHD | 2.171 (0.507–9.297) | 0.296 | ||
| Hemorrhage | 6.013 (1.770–20.433) | 0.004 | ||
| Neurological manifestation | 5.855 (2.442–14.036) | 0.000 | ||
| Laboratory findings | ||||
| WBC | 1.085 (0.928–1.268) | 0.306 | ||
| NEU | 1.013 (0.942–1.090) | 0.724 | ||
| NEU% | 1.024 (0.999–1.050) | 0.432 | ||
| LYM | 0.329 (0.111–0.977) | 0.045 | 0.132 (0.033–0.523) | 0.004 |
| LYM% | 0.955 (0.925–0.986) | 0.013 | ||
| MON | 1.076 (0.541–2.143) | 0.834 | ||
| MON% | 1.031 (1.007–1.056) | 0.011 | 1.039 (1.013–1.065) | 0.003 |
| RBC | 0.830 (0.498–1.385) | 0.476 | ||
| HGB | 1.002 (0.979–1.025) | 0.880 | ||
| PLT | 0.973 (0.956–0.991) | 0.004 | ||
| LDH | 1.001(1.000–1.001) | 0.000 | ||
| CK | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 0.000 | 1.001 (1.000–1.001) | 0.000 |
| ALT | 1.001 (0.998–1.004) | 0.609 | ||
| AST | 1.002 (1.001–1.003) | 0.000 | ||
| TBIL | 1.103 (1.037–1.174) | 0.002 | ||
| DBIL | 1.158 (1.087–1.234) | 0.000 | ||
| GGT | 1.003 (1.000–1.007) | 0.049 | ||
| ALP | 1.007 (1.003–1.011) | 0.001 | 1.006 (1.002–1.011) | 0.006 |
| ALB | 0.791 (0.727–0.862) | 0.000 | 0.805 (0.722–0.897) | 0.000 |
| GLOB | 1.078 (0.986–1.180) | 0.100 | ||
| GLU | 1.015 (0.967–1.066) | 0.552 | ||
| UREA | 1.029 (1.005–1.053) | 0.020 | ||
| CREA | 1.015 (1.008–1.022) | 0.000 | ||
| K+ | 0.853 (0.359–2.030) | 0.720 | ||
| NA+ | 1.022 (0.959–1.090) | 0.504 | ||
| Ca2+ | 0.008 (0.000–0.239) | 0.005 | ||
| TT | 1.021 (0.950–1.097) | 0.579 | ||
| APTT | 1.011 (1.002–1.020) | 0.150 | ||
| PT | 0.715 (0.541–0.944) | 0.018 | ||
| PCT | 1.173 (0.995–1.383) | 0.057 | ||
| CRP | 1.051 (1.029–1.073) | 0.000 | ||
| CAR | 4.505 (2.626–7.729) | 0.000 | 2.585 (1.405–4.753) | 0.002 |
Abbreviations: ALB, albumin; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; ALT, alanine aminotransaminase; APTT, activated partial thromboplastin time; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; CAR, C‐reactive protein to albumin ratio; CHD, coronary heart disease; 95% CI, confidence interval; CK, creatine phosphokinase; CREA, creatinine; CRP, C‐reactive protein; DBIL, direct bilirubin; GGT, γ‐glutamyl transferase; GLOB, globulin; GLU, glucose; HGB, hemoglobin; HR, hazard ratio; IQR, interquartile range; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; LYM, lymphocyte; MON, monocyte; NEU, neutrophil; PCT, procalcitonin; PLT, platelet; PT, prothrombin time; RBC, red blood cell; SD, standard deviation; SFTS, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome; TBIL, total bilirubin; TT, thrombin time; WBC, white blood cell.
Predictive value of CAR and NLR in predicting SFTS severity
| Parameters | AUC | Cutoff values | Sensitivity | Specificity | 95% CI |
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0.781 | 0.57 | 0.77 | 0.80 | (0.665–0.898) | 0.000 | ||
| NLR | 0.671 | 0.30 | 0.96 | 0.35 | (0.556–0.786) | 0.010 | ||
Note: The cutoff points were selected by maximizing the sum of sensitivity and specificity.
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the ROC curve; CAR, C‐reactive protein to albumin ratio; 95% CI, confidence interval; NLR, neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; SFTS, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for evaluating the predictive ability of the CAR for SFTS severity at admission. (A) CAR had AUC of 0.781 (95% CI, 0.665–0.898, p = 0.000); (B) CAR (red line) had AUC of 0.781; NLR (blue line) had 0.671 (95% CI, 0.556–0.786, p = 0.010). AUC, area under the ROC curve; CAR, C‐reactive protein to albumin ratio; 95% CI, confidence interval; NLR, neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio; SFTS, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.
Figure 3CAR is associated with poor prognosis in SFTS patients. (A) Comparison of CAR between deceased and survival; (B) comparison of fatality at different CAR levels. CAR, C‐reactive protein‐to‐albumin ratio; SFTS, severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.
Figure 4Kaplan–Meier survival curves according to the cut‐off value of CAR. CAR, C‐reactive protein‐to‐albumin ratio.