| Literature DB >> 35785215 |
Zhenyuan Zhou1, Xin Han2, Diandian Sun1, Zhiying Liang1, Wei Wu3, Haixing Ju3.
Abstract
Background: For patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLMs), it is important to stratify patients according to the risk of recurrence. This study aimed to validate the predictive value of some clinical, imaging, and pathology biomarkers and develop an operational prognostic model for patients with CRLMs with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) before the liver resection.Entities:
Keywords: colorectal cancer liver metastases; histopathological growth patterns; neoadjuvant chemotherapy; nomogram; recurrence risk prediction model
Year: 2022 PMID: 35785215 PMCID: PMC9245066 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.855915
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 5.738
Basic information, tumor characteristics, and pathologic data.
| Parameter | No. of patients (n = 118) |
|---|---|
| Age | |
| ≤60 | 79 (66.9%) |
| Gender | |
| Male | 79 (66.9%) |
| Number of metastases | |
| Single | 43 (36.4%) |
| Diameter of maximum metastasis | |
| ≤5 cm | 89 (75.4%) |
| Time of metastases | |
| Synchronous | 92 (78.0%) |
| Serum CEA | |
| ≤5 ng/ml | 32 (27.1%) |
| T stage | |
| 2 | 15 (12.7%) |
| N stage | |
| 0 | 35 (29.7%) |
| NACT regimen | |
| Oxaliplatin-based | 82 (69.5%) |
| Targeted drug | |
| Pure NACT | 73 (61.9%) |
| CRS | |
| 0–2 | 55 (46.6%) |
| Radiology response | |
| PR | 41 (34.8%) |
| RAS and BRAF gene status | |
| Wild-type | 59 (50.0%) |
| TRG | |
| 0–2 | 44 (28.8%) |
| HGPs | |
| dHGP | 19 (16.1%) |
Diameter of maximum metastasis: On the first visit, the maximum liver metastasis diameter in contrast-enhanced CT or MRI imaging. Serum CEA, CEA on the first visit; T stage, depth of primary tumor invasion; N stage, lymph node status of primary tumor; Pure NACT, NACT without targeted drugs; CRS, clinical risk score.
Univariate and multivariate analysis of predictors of disease-free survival.
| Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parameter | 1-year DFS |
|
| HR (95%CI) |
| Overall | 38.0% | |||
| Age |
| 0.158 | 0.024 | 0.576 [0.357–0.930] |
| N stage |
| 0.051 | 0.015 | 1.442 [1.074–1.937] |
| Radiology response |
| 0.001 | 0.002 |
|
| RAS and BRAF status |
| 0.089 | 0.067 | 1.502 [0.972–2.321] |
| TRG |
| 0.085 | 0.178 | 0.654 [0.352–1.214] |
| HGP |
| 0.014 | 0.048 | 2.130 [1.007–4.506] |
Figure 1Significant results in univariate analysis. (A) Relationship between HGPs and DFS. The non-dHGP is associated with shorter DFS than the dHGP (median DFS = 7.0 vs. 14.2 months, p = 0.014). (B) Relationship between radiology response and DFS (median DFS for PR vs. SD vs. PD = 14.2 vs. 6.8 vs. 4.3 months, p = 0.001).
Figure 2Nomogram and recurrence curve. (A) Nomogram incorporating HGPs, radiology response, lymph node status of primary tumor, and age for predicting the DFS of patients with CRLMs. Total points were obtained by summing up individual points from the respective variables, and lower points indicate poorer survival. (B) Differences in DFS between high risk and low risk patients (median DFS = 4.9 vs. 14.3 months, p < 0.0001).
Figure 3Calibration diagram. (A, B) One-year calibration and 3-year calibration diagram for assessment of the nomogram. The nearer distance of red dots to the diagonal line, the more accurate is the prediction of the nomogram.
Figure 4Evaluation of the predictive model and DCA analysis. (A, B) ROC curves of the predictive model. (C) DCA analysis for new model and CRS.
Univariate and multivariate analysis of influence factors of rHGP.
| Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parameter | rHGP |
|
| OR (95%CI) |
| CRS |
| 0.095 | 0.490 | 0.726 [0.293–1.801] |
| Number of metastases |
| 0.095 | 0.755 | 0.863 [0.341–2.181] |
| Targeted drug |
| 0.042 | 0.121 |
|
| Targeted drug |
| - | - |
|
Figure 5H&E images of the rHGP and dHGP. (A) High magnification image of the rHGP. (B) High magnification image of the dHGP. L: lymphocyte infiltrate.