Literature DB >> 35757883

A resilience sensing system for the biosphere.

Timothy M Lenton1, Joshua E Buxton1, David I Armstrong McKay1,2, Jesse F Abrams1,3, Chris A Boulton1, Kirsten Lees1,4, Thomas W R Powell1, Niklas Boers1,5,6, Andrew M Cunliffe1, Vasilis Dakos7.   

Abstract

We are in a climate and ecological emergency, where climate change and direct anthropogenic interference with the biosphere are risking abrupt and/or irreversible changes that threaten our life-support systems. Efforts are underway to increase the resilience of some ecosystems that are under threat, yet collective awareness and action are modest at best. Here, we highlight the potential for a biosphere resilience sensing system to make it easier to see where things are going wrong, and to see whether deliberate efforts to make things better are working. We focus on global resilience sensing of the terrestrial biosphere at high spatial and temporal resolution through satellite remote sensing, utilizing the generic mathematical behaviour of complex systems-loss of resilience corresponds to slower recovery from perturbations, gain of resilience equates to faster recovery. We consider what subset of biosphere resilience remote sensing can monitor, critically reviewing existing studies. Then we present illustrative, global results for vegetation resilience and trends in resilience over the last 20 years, from both satellite data and model simulations. We close by discussing how resilience sensing nested across global, biome-ecoregion, and local ecosystem scales could aid management and governance at these different scales, and identify priorities for further work. This article is part of the theme issue 'Ecological complexity and the biosphere: the next 30 years'.

Entities:  

Keywords:  biosphere; climate change; ecosystems; recovery rate; remote sensing; resilience

Mesh:

Year:  2022        PMID: 35757883      PMCID: PMC9234808          DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2021.0383

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci        ISSN: 0962-8436            Impact factor:   6.671


  44 in total

Review 1.  Early-warning signals for critical transitions.

Authors:  Marten Scheffer; Jordi Bascompte; William A Brock; Victor Brovkin; Stephen R Carpenter; Vasilis Dakos; Hermann Held; Egbert H van Nes; Max Rietkerk; George Sugihara
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2009-09-03       Impact factor: 49.962

2.  Early warnings of regime shifts: a whole-ecosystem experiment.

Authors:  S R Carpenter; J J Cole; M L Pace; R Batt; W A Brock; T Cline; J Coloso; J R Hodgson; J F Kitchell; D A Seekell; L Smith; B Weidel
Journal:  Science       Date:  2011-04-28       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 3.  Survival of the Systems.

Authors:  Timothy M Lenton; Timothy A Kohler; Pablo A Marquet; Richard A Boyle; Michel Crucifix; David M Wilkinson; Marten Scheffer
Journal:  Trends Ecol Evol       Date:  2021-01-04       Impact factor: 17.712

4.  Global patterns of drought recovery.

Authors:  Christopher R Schwalm; William R L Anderegg; Anna M Michalak; Joshua B Fisher; Franco Biondi; George Koch; Marcy Litvak; Kiona Ogle; John D Shaw; Adam Wolf; Deborah N Huntzinger; Kevin Schaefer; Robert Cook; Yaxing Wei; Yuanyuan Fang; Daniel Hayes; Maoyi Huang; Atul Jain; Hanqin Tian
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2017-08-09       Impact factor: 49.962

5.  Gaia 2.0.

Authors:  Timothy M Lenton; Bruno Latour
Journal:  Science       Date:  2018-09-13       Impact factor: 47.728

6.  Quantitatively monitoring the resilience of patterned vegetation in the Sahel.

Authors:  Joshua E Buxton; Jesse F Abrams; Chris A Boulton; Nick Barlow; Camila Rangel Smith; Samuel Van Stroud; Kirsten J Lees; Timothy M Lenton
Journal:  Glob Chang Biol       Date:  2021-10-28       Impact factor: 10.863

7.  Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down.

Authors:  Vasilis Dakos; Egbert H van Nes; Paolo D'Odorico; Marten Scheffer
Journal:  Ecology       Date:  2012-02       Impact factor: 5.499

8.  Early warning signals of ecological transitions: methods for spatial patterns.

Authors:  Sonia Kéfi; Vishwesha Guttal; William A Brock; Stephen R Carpenter; Aaron M Ellison; Valerie N Livina; David A Seekell; Marten Scheffer; Egbert H van Nes; Vasilis Dakos
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2014-03-21       Impact factor: 3.240

9.  Amazonian forest-savanna bistability and human impact.

Authors:  Bert Wuyts; Alan R Champneys; Joanna I House
Journal:  Nat Commun       Date:  2017-05-30       Impact factor: 14.919

10.  A morphometric analysis of vegetation patterns in dryland ecosystems.

Authors:  Luke Mander; Stefan C Dekker; Mao Li; Washington Mio; Surangi W Punyasena; Timothy M Lenton
Journal:  R Soc Open Sci       Date:  2017-02-15       Impact factor: 2.963

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  1 in total

1.  Ecological complexity and the biosphere: the next 30 years.

Authors:  Ricard Solé; Simon Levin
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2022-06-27       Impact factor: 6.671

  1 in total

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