Literature DB >> 19727193

Early-warning signals for critical transitions.

Marten Scheffer1, Jordi Bascompte, William A Brock, Victor Brovkin, Stephen R Carpenter, Vasilis Dakos, Hermann Held, Egbert H van Nes, Max Rietkerk, George Sugihara.   

Abstract

Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may occur. Although predicting such critical points before they are reached is extremely difficult, work in different scientific fields is now suggesting the existence of generic early-warning signals that may indicate for a wide class of systems if a critical threshold is approaching.

Mesh:

Year:  2009        PMID: 19727193     DOI: 10.1038/nature08227

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Nature        ISSN: 0028-0836            Impact factor:   49.962


  28 in total

1.  Transient dynamics in metapopulation response to perturbation.

Authors:  Otso Ovaskainen; Ilkka Hanski
Journal:  Theor Popul Biol       Date:  2002-05       Impact factor: 1.570

2.  Abrupt climate change.

Authors:  R B Alley; J Marotzke; W D Nordhaus; J T Overpeck; D M Peteet; R A Pielke; R T Pierrehumbert; P B Rhines; T F Stocker; L D Talley; J M Wallace
Journal:  Science       Date:  2003-03-28       Impact factor: 47.728

3.  Slow recovery from perturbations as a generic indicator of a nearby catastrophic shift.

Authors:  Egbert H van Nes; Marten Scheffer
Journal:  Am Nat       Date:  2007-04-17       Impact factor: 3.926

4.  Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system.

Authors:  Timothy M Lenton; Hermann Held; Elmar Kriegler; Jim W Hall; Wolfgang Lucht; Stefan Rahmstorf; Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2008-02-07       Impact factor: 11.205

5.  Transient nature of late Pleistocene climate variability.

Authors:  Thomas J Crowley; William T Hyde
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2008-11-13       Impact factor: 49.962

6.  Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change.

Authors:  Vasilis Dakos; Marten Scheffer; Egbert H van Nes; Victor Brovkin; Vladimir Petoukhov; Hermann Held
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2008-09-11       Impact factor: 11.205

7.  Bistability in the JNK cascade.

Authors:  C P Bagowski; J E Ferrell
Journal:  Curr Biol       Date:  2001-08-07       Impact factor: 10.834

Review 8.  Seizure prediction: the long and winding road.

Authors:  Florian Mormann; Ralph G Andrzejak; Christian E Elger; Klaus Lehnertz
Journal:  Brain       Date:  2006-09-28       Impact factor: 13.501

9.  Using GENIE to study a tipping point in the climate system.

Authors:  Timothy M Lenton; Richard J Myerscough; Robert Marsh; Valerie N Livina; Andrew R Price; Simon J Cox
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2009-03-13       Impact factor: 4.226

10.  Seizure prediction by non-linear time series analysis of brain electrical activity.

Authors:  C E Elger; K Lehnertz
Journal:  Eur J Neurosci       Date:  1998-02       Impact factor: 3.386

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  533 in total

1.  Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system.

Authors:  Annelies J Veraart; Elisabeth J Faassen; Vasilis Dakos; Egbert H van Nes; Miquel Lürling; Marten Scheffer
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2011-12-25       Impact factor: 49.962

2.  Towards a tipping point in responding to change: rising costs, fewer options for Arctic and global societies.

Authors:  Henry P Huntington; Eban Goodstein; Eugénie Euskirchen
Journal:  Ambio       Date:  2012-02       Impact factor: 5.129

3.  Tipping elements in the Arctic marine ecosystem.

Authors:  Carlos M Duarte; Susana Agustí; Paul Wassmann; Jesús M Arrieta; Miquel Alcaraz; Alexandra Coello; Núria Marbà; Iris E Hendriks; Johnna Holding; Iñigo García-Zarandona; Emma Kritzberg; Dolors Vaqué
Journal:  Ambio       Date:  2012-02       Impact factor: 5.129

4.  Nonlinear detection of paleoclimate-variability transitions possibly related to human evolution.

Authors:  Jonathan F Donges; Reik V Donner; Martin H Trauth; Norbert Marwan; Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber; Jürgen Kurths
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2011-12-05       Impact factor: 11.205

5.  Extending the timescale and range of ecosystem services through paleoenvironmental analyses, exemplified in the lower Yangtze basin.

Authors:  John A Dearing; Xiangdong Yang; Xuhui Dong; Enlou Zhang; Xu Chen; Peter G Langdon; Ke Zhang; Weiguo Zhang; Terence P Dawson
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2012-04-12       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  Navigating the perfect storm: research strategies for socialecological systems in a rapidly evolving world.

Authors:  John A Dearing; Seth Bullock; Robert Costanza; Terry P Dawson; Mary E Edwards; Guy M Poppy; Graham M Smith
Journal:  Environ Manage       Date:  2012-03-15       Impact factor: 3.266

7.  Critical thresholds and tangible targets for ecosystem-based management of coral reef fisheries.

Authors:  Tim R McClanahan; Nicholas A J Graham; M Aaron MacNeil; Nyawira A Muthiga; Joshua E Cinner; J Henrich Bruggemann; Shaun K Wilson
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2011-09-26       Impact factor: 11.205

8.  Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments.

Authors:  John M Drake; Blaine D Griffen
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2010-09-08       Impact factor: 49.962

9.  Towards dynamical network biomarkers in neuromodulation of episodic migraine.

Authors:  Markus A Dahlem; Sebastian Rode; Arne May; Naoya Fujiwara; Yoshito Hirata; Kazuyuki Aihara; Jürgen Kurths
Journal:  Transl Neurosci       Date:  2013-09       Impact factor: 1.757

10.  Critical transitions in malaria transmission models are consistently generated by superinfection.

Authors:  David Alonso; Andy Dobson; Mercedes Pascual
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2019-06-24       Impact factor: 6.237

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