Literature DB >> 35757876

How the living world evolved and where it's headed now.

Peter H Raven1.   

Abstract

The growth of life on Earth over more than 4 billion years has experienced five major extinction events, each followed by a period of rapid increase in species number. When organisms first invaded the land about 480 million years ago, another explosive proliferation of species followed. Our species, Homo sapiens, appeared some 300 000 years ago, developed agriculture about 11 000 years ago and grew rapidly to some 7.8 billion people, who are currently consuming about 175% of the sustainable productivity available worldwide. By mid-century (2050), we will have grown to about 9.9 billion. Wealth is very unequally distributed. Meanwhile, the Earth's mean temperature has increased by 1.1°C above pre-industrial levels, and we are on track for a total increase of 2.6 to 3.9°C. We are driving species to extinction at a rate unprecedented for the past 66 million years. These changes promise to be disastrous for the maintenance of civilization. Indeed, our only hope for a sustainable future will be for us to find a way to overcome our unremitting greed at all levels and to love one another while building social justice. This article is part of the theme issue 'Ecological complexity and the biosphere: the next 30 years'.

Entities:  

Keywords:  biodiversity; climate change; collapse; mass extinction; sustainability

Mesh:

Year:  2022        PMID: 35757876      PMCID: PMC9234810          DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2021.0377

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci        ISSN: 0962-8436            Impact factor:   6.671


  8 in total

1.  Archaeological assessment reveals Earth's early transformation through land use.

Authors:  Lucas Stephens; Dorian Fuller; Nicole Boivin; Torben Rick; Nicolas Gauthier; Andrea Kay; Ben Marwick; Chelsey Geralda Armstrong; C Michael Barton; Tim Denham; Kristina Douglass; Jonathan Driver; Lisa Janz; Patrick Roberts; J Daniel Rogers; Heather Thakar; Mark Altaweel; Amber L Johnson; Maria Marta Sampietro Vattuone; Mark Aldenderfer; Sonia Archila; Gilberto Artioli; Martin T Bale; Timothy Beach; Ferran Borrell; Todd Braje; Philip I Buckland; Nayeli Guadalupe Jiménez Cano; José M Capriles; Agustín Diez Castillo; Çiler Çilingiroğlu; Michelle Negus Cleary; James Conolly; Peter R Coutros; R Alan Covey; Mauro Cremaschi; Alison Crowther; Lindsay Der; Savino di Lernia; John F Doershuk; William E Doolittle; Kevin J Edwards; Jon M Erlandson; Damian Evans; Andrew Fairbairn; Patrick Faulkner; Gary Feinman; Ricardo Fernandes; Scott M Fitzpatrick; Ralph Fyfe; Elena Garcea; Steve Goldstein; Reed Charles Goodman; Jade Dalpoim Guedes; Jason Herrmann; Peter Hiscock; Peter Hommel; K Ann Horsburgh; Carrie Hritz; John W Ives; Aripekka Junno; Jennifer G Kahn; Brett Kaufman; Catherine Kearns; Tristram R Kidder; François Lanoë; Dan Lawrence; Gyoung-Ah Lee; Maureece J Levin; Henrik B Lindskoug; José Antonio López-Sáez; Scott Macrae; Rob Marchant; John M Marston; Sarah McClure; Mark D McCoy; Alicia Ventresca Miller; Michael Morrison; Giedre Motuzaite Matuzeviciute; Johannes Müller; Ayushi Nayak; Sofwan Noerwidi; Tanya M Peres; Christian E Peterson; Lucas Proctor; Asa R Randall; Steve Renette; Gwen Robbins Schug; Krysta Ryzewski; Rakesh Saini; Vivian Scheinsohn; Peter Schmidt; Pauline Sebillaud; Oula Seitsonen; Ian A Simpson; Arkadiusz Sołtysiak; Robert J Speakman; Robert N Spengler; Martina L Steffen; Michael J Storozum; Keir M Strickland; Jessica Thompson; T L Thurston; Sean Ulm; M Cemre Ustunkaya; Martin H Welker; Catherine West; Patrick Ryan Williams; David K Wright; Nathan Wright; Muhammad Zahir; Andrea Zerboni; Ella Beaudoin; Santiago Munevar Garcia; Jeremy Powell; Alexa Thornton; Jed O Kaplan; Marie-José Gaillard; Kees Klein Goldewijk; Erle Ellis
Journal:  Science       Date:  2019-08-30       Impact factor: 47.728

2.  Biological annihilation via the ongoing sixth mass extinction signaled by vertebrate population losses and declines.

Authors:  Gerardo Ceballos; Paul R Ehrlich; Rodolfo Dirzo
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-07-10       Impact factor: 11.205

Review 3.  Future threats to biodiversity and pathways to their prevention.

Authors:  David Tilman; Michael Clark; David R Williams; Kaitlin Kimmel; Stephen Polasky; Craig Packer
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2017-05-31       Impact factor: 49.962

4.  The projected effect on insects, vertebrates, and plants of limiting global warming to 1.5°C rather than 2°C.

Authors:  R Warren; J Price; E Graham; N Forstenhaeusler; J VanDerWal
Journal:  Science       Date:  2018-05-18       Impact factor: 47.728

5.  Estimating the normal background rate of species extinction.

Authors:  Jurriaan M De Vos; Lucas N Joppa; John L Gittleman; Patrick R Stephens; Stuart L Pimm
Journal:  Conserv Biol       Date:  2014-08-26       Impact factor: 6.560

Review 6.  The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction, distribution, and protection.

Authors:  S L Pimm; C N Jenkins; R Abell; T M Brooks; J L Gittleman; L N Joppa; P H Raven; C M Roberts; J O Sexton
Journal:  Science       Date:  2014-05-30       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 7.  The human imperative of stabilizing global climate change at 1.5°C.

Authors:  O Hoegh-Guldberg; D Jacob; M Taylor; T Guillén Bolaños; M Bindi; S Brown; I A Camilloni; A Diedhiou; R Djalante; K Ebi; F Engelbrecht; J Guiot; Y Hijioka; S Mehrotra; C W Hope; A J Payne; H-O Pörtner; S I Seneviratne; A Thomas; R Warren; G Zhou
Journal:  Science       Date:  2019-09-20       Impact factor: 47.728

8.  Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity.

Authors:  Florian Zabel; Ruth Delzeit; Julia M Schneider; Ralf Seppelt; Wolfram Mauser; Tomáš Václavík
Journal:  Nat Commun       Date:  2019-06-28       Impact factor: 14.919

  8 in total
  1 in total

1.  Ecological complexity and the biosphere: the next 30 years.

Authors:  Ricard Solé; Simon Levin
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2022-06-27       Impact factor: 6.671

  1 in total

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