| Literature DB >> 35743853 |
Emil Marian Arbănași1, Adrian Vasile Mureșan1,2, Cătălin Mircea Coșarcă1, Réka Kaller1, Theodor Ioan Bud1, Ioan Hosu3, Septimiu Toader Voidăzan4, Eliza Mihaela Arbănași5, Eliza Russu1,2.
Abstract
Acute Limb Ischemia (ALI) of the lower limb is defined as a sudden drop in arterial limb perfusion, which is a medical emergency requiring prompt intervention with high amputation and mortality rates in the absence of revascularization. This observational, analytical, and retrospective cohort study with longitudinal follow-up aimed to confirm the relevance of the preoperative inflammatory biomarkers neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting the 30-day poor prognosis of patients with Rutherford classification (RC) grades II and III ALI. The ROC analysis found a strong association of an NLR > 4.33 with all studied outcomes, while a PLR > 143.34 was associated with all studied outcomes, except the composite endpoint in all RC stages. Depending on the optimal cut-off value, the ROC analysis found a higher incidence of all adverse outcomes in all high NLR (>4.33) and high PLR (>143.34) groups. A multivariate analysis showed that a high baseline value for NLR and PLR was an independent predictor of amputation (OR:11.09; 95% CI: 5.48-22.42; p < 0.0001; and OR:8.97; 95% CI: 4.44-18.16; p < 0.0001), mortality (OR:22.24; 95% CI: 9.61-51.47; p < 0.0001; and OR:8.32; 95% CI: 3.90-17.73; p < 0.0001), and composite endpoint (OR:21.93; 95% CI: 7.91-60.79; p < 0.0001; and OR:9.98; 95% CI: 3.89-25.55; p < 0.0001), respectively. Furthermore, for all hospitalized patients, the RC grade III (OR:7.33; 95% CI: 3.73-14.26; p < 0.0001) was an independent predictor of amputation (OR:7.33; 95% CI: 3.73-14.26; p < 0.0001), mortality (OR:8.40; 95% CI: 4.08-17.31; p < 0.0001), and composite endpoint (OR: 10.70; 95% CI: 4.48-25.56; p < 0.0001), respectively. The NLR and PLR are excellent predictors of risks associated with ALI for primary and secondary prevention. Our study showed that increased pre-operative values for NLR and PLR are indicators of a poor outcome in patients with RC grades II and III ALI.Entities:
Keywords: acute limb ischemia; amputation; embolectomy; mortality; vascular surgery
Year: 2022 PMID: 35743853 PMCID: PMC9225565 DOI: 10.3390/life12060822
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Life (Basel) ISSN: 2075-1729
Figure 1Enrollment flowchart.
Demographic data, comorbidities, risk factors, laboratory findings, Rutherford classification, type of surgery, and outcomes for all patients.
| Variables | All Patients |
|---|---|
| Age mean ± SD | 69.56 ± 8.21 |
| Male sex no. (%) | 153 (72.86%) |
| Comorbidities and risk factors | |
| AH, no. (%) | 175 (83.33%) |
| IHD, no. (%) | 169 (80.48%) |
| AF, no. (%) | 47 (22.38%) |
| MI, no. (%) | 69 (32.86%) |
| CHF, no. (%) | 127 (60.48%) |
| COPD, no. (%) | 54 (25.71%) |
| CKD, no. (%) | 42 (20%) |
| T2D, no. (%) | 111 (52.86%) |
| Stroke, no. (%) | 57 (27.14%) |
| CVI, no. (%) | 39 (18.57%) |
| Tobacco, no. (%) | 134 (63.81%) |
| Obesity, no. (%) | 71 (33.81%) |
| Hyperlipidemia, no. (%) | 124 (59.05%) |
| Laboratory findings | |
| Hemoglobin g/dL median [Q1–Q3] | 12.31 [10.46–113.89] |
| Hematocrit % median [Q1–Q3] | 37.31 [32.24–41.98] |
| Glucose mg/dl median [Q1–Q3] | 106 [93–134.75] |
| Neutrophils × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 6.4 [4.89–8.25] |
| Lymphocytes × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 1.98 [1.54–2.69] |
| Monocyte × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 0.61 [0.47–0.79] |
| PLT × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 255.65 [211.1–317.85] |
| NLR median [Q1–Q3] | 3.07 [2.04–4.79] |
| PLR median [Q1–Q3] | 125.73 [94.82–175.48] |
| Rutherford grade | |
| IIA, no. (%) | 100 (47.62%) |
| IIB, no. (%) | 45 (21.43%) |
| III, no. (%) | 65 (30.95%) |
| Type of surgery | |
| Fogarty embolectomy, no. (%) | 145 (69.05%) |
| By-pass, no. (%) | 48 (22.86%) |
| Major amputation, no. (%) | 17 (8.1%) |
| Outcomes | |
| Amputation, no. (%) | 57 (27.14%) |
| Death, no. (%) | 47 (22.38%) |
| Amputation and death, no. (%) | 33 (15.71%) |
AH = arterial hypertension; IHD = ischemic heart disease; AF = atrial fibrillation; MI = myocardial infarction; CHF = chronic heart failure; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CKD = chronic kidney disease; T2D = type 2 diabetes; CVI = chronic venous insufficiency; SD = standard deviation; and PLT = total platelet count; * Number of major amputations performed as mandatory first performed procedure.
Demographic data, comorbidities, risk factors, laboratory findings Rutherford classification, type of surgery, and outcomes of the two subgroups divided according to poor outcomes.
| Variables | Survivor | Death | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age mean ± SD | 69.58 ± 7.81 | 69.48 ± 9.58 | 0.95 # |
| Male sex no. (%) | 124 (76.07%) | 29 (61.70%) | 0.052 ¥ |
| Comorbidities and risk factors | |||
| AH, no. (%) | 134 (82.21%) | 41 (87.23%) | 0.41 ¥ |
| IHD, no. (%) | 131 (80.37%) | 38 (80.85%) | 0.94 ¥ |
| AF, no. (%) | 33 (20.25%) | 14 (29.78%) | 0.16 ¥ |
| MI, no. (%) | 52 (31.9%) | 17 (36.1%) | 0.58 ¥ |
| CHF, no. (%) | 100 (61.35%) | 27 (57.44%) | 0.62 ¥ |
| COPD, no. (%) | 41 (25.15%) | 13 (27.65%) | 0.72 ¥ |
| CKD, no. (%) | 30 (18.4%) | 12 (25.53%) | 0.16 ¥ |
| T2D, no. (%) | 88 (53.99%) | 23 (48.93%) | 0.54 ¥ |
| Stroke, no. (%) | 41 (25.15%) | 16 (34.04%) | 0.22 ¥ |
| CVI, no. (%) | 29 (17.79%) | 10 (21.27%) | 0.58 ¥ |
| Tobacco, no. (%) | 103 (63.19%) | 31 (65.95%) | 0.72 ¥ |
| Obesity, no. (%) | 54 (33.13%) | 17 (36.1%) | 0.69 ¥ |
| Hyperlipidemia, no. (%) | 94 (57.67%) | 30 (63.82) | 0.44 ¥ |
| Laboratory findings | |||
| Hemoglobin g/dL median [Q1–Q3] | 12.6 [10.92–14.15] | 10.95 [9.74–12.63] | 0.0005 § |
| Hematocrit % median [Q1–Q3] | 38.99 [33.18–42.6] | 32.9 [29.95–37.36] | <0.0001 § |
| Glucose mg/dL median [Q1–Q3] | 104 [91.5–132.4] | 118 [100.5–140.25] | 0.01 § |
| Neutrophils × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 5.83 [4.59–7.57] | 8.29 [6.76–10.99] | <0.0001 § |
| Lymphocytes × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 2.13 [1.71–2.90] | 1.55 [1.16–1.95] | <0.0001 § |
| Monocyte × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 0.61 [0.46–0.78] | 0.68 [0.52–0.98] | 0.03 § |
| PLT × 103/uL median [Q1–Q3] | 251.1 [204.25–309.75] | 277 [229.2–386.6] | 0.02 § |
| NLR median [Q1–Q3] | 0.28 [0.20–0.34] | 0.47 [0.33–0.62] | <0.0001 § |
| PLR median [Q1–Q3] | 116.31 [89.03–155.08] | 190.54 [145.47–241.38] | <0.0001 § |
| Rutherford grade | |||
| IIA, no. (%). | 93 (57.05%) | 7 (14.89%) | <0.0001 ¥ |
| IIB, no. (%) | 37 (22.69%) | 8 (17.02%) | 0.40 ¥ |
| III, no. (%) | 33 (20.24%) | 32 (68.08%) | <0.0001 ¥ |
| Type of surgery | |||
| Fogarty embolectomy, no. (%) | 118 (72.39%) | 27 (57.45%) | 0.053 ¥ |
| By-pass, no. (%) | 38 (23.31%) | 10 (21.28%) | 0.76 ¥ |
| Major amputation, no. (%) | 7 (4.29%) | 10 (21.28%) | 0.0006 ¥ |
| Outcomes | |||
| Amputation, no. (%) | 24 (14.72%) | 33 (70.21%) | <0.0001 ¥ |
AH = arterial hypertension; IHD = ischemic heart disease; AF = atrial fibrillation; MI = myocardial infarction; CHF = chronic heart failure; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CKD = chronic kidney disease; T2D = type 2 diabetes; CVI = chronic venous insufficiency; SD = standard deviation; PLT = total platelet count; #, Student’s t-test; ¥, Chi-square test; §, Mann–Whitney test; and ¥, Chi-square test; * Numbers in parentheses represent the number of major amputations performed as mandatory first performed procedure.
Figure 2ROC curve analysis (A) for NLR concerning amputation rate in all patients (AUC: 0.829), (B) for NLR concerning mortality rate in all patients (AUC: 0.856), (C) for NLR concerning amputation and mortality rates in all patients (AUC: 0.858), (D) for PLR concerning amputation rate in all patients (AUC: 0.785), (E) for PLR concerning mortality rate in all patients (AUC: 0.765), (F) for PLR concerning amputation and mortality rates in all patients (AUC: 0.759); NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; and PLR = platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio.
ROC curves, optimal cut-off value, AUC, and predictive accuracy of inflammatory markers NLR and PLR.
| Variables | Cut-Off | AUC | Std. Error | 95% CI | Sensitivity | Specificity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amputation in all patients | |||||||
| NLR | 4.23 | 0.829 | 0.030 | 0.769–0.888 | 70.2% | 83% | <0.0001 |
| PLR | 136.68 | 0.785 | 0.036 | 0.713–0.856 | 80.7% | 71.2% | <0.0001 |
| Mortality in all patients | |||||||
| NLR | 4.33 | 0.856 | 0.029 | 0.799–0.913 | 80.9% | 84% | <0.0001 |
| PLR | 143.34 | 0.765 | 0.040 | 0.686–0.844 | 76.6% | 71.8% | <0.0001 |
| Amputation and mortality in all patients | |||||||
| NLR | 4.33 | 0.858 | 0.028 | 0.802–0.914 | 84.8% | 79.7% | <0.0001 |
| PLR | 143.34 | 0.759 | 0.043 | 0.675–0.844 | 81.8% | 68.9% | <0.0001 |
NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; MLR = monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio; PLR = platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio; OR = odds ratio; and CI = confidence interval.
Univariate analysis of NLR, MLR, PLR, and all adverse event occurrences during the study period for all patients.
| Amputation | Mortality | Amputation and Mortality | |
|---|---|---|---|
| low NLR vs. high NLR | 18/146 (12.33%) vs. 39/64 (60.94%) | 9/146 (6.16%) vs. 38/64 (59.37%) | 5/146 (3.42%) vs. 28/64 (43.75%) |
| Low NLR vs. high NLR | 2/76 (2.63%) vs. 10/24 (41.67%) | 0/76 (0%) vs. 7/24 (29.17%) | 0/76 (0%) vs. 4/24 (16.67%) |
| Low NLR vs. high NLR | 4/36 (11.11%) vs. 5/9 (55.56%) | 2/36 (5.56%) vs. 6/9 (66.67%) | 1/36 (2.78%) vs. 3/9 (33.34%) |
| Low NLR vs. high NLR | 12/34 (35.29%) vs. 24/31 (77.42%) | 7/34 (20.59%) vs. 25/31 (80.65%) | 4/34 (11.76%) vs. 21/31 (67.74%) |
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| Low PLR vs. high PLR | 14/128 (10.94%) vs. 43/82 (52.44%) | 11/128 (8.59%) vs. 36/82 (43.9%) | 6/128 (4.69%) vs. 27/82 (32.93%) |
| Low PLR vs. high PLR | 4/74 (5.41%) vs. 8/26 (30.77%) | 2/74 (2.7%) vs. 5/26 (19.23%) | 1/74 (1.35%) vs. 3/26 (11.54%) |
| Low PLR vs. high PLR | 3/35 (8.57%) vs. 6/10 (60%) | 3/35 (8.57%) vs. 5/10 (50%) | 1/35 (2.86%) vs. 3/10 (30%) |
| Low PLR vs. high PLR | 7/19 (36.84%) vs. 29/46 (63.04%) | 6/19 (31.58%) vs. 26/46 (56.52%) | 4/19 (21.05%) vs. 21/46 (45.65%) |
NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; PLR = platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio; OR = odds ratio; and CI = confidence interval.
Multivariate analysis on new adverse event occurrence during the entire study period.
| Variables | Amputation | Mortality | Amputation and Mortality | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | ||||
| AF | 1.35 | 0.66–2.73 | 0.405 | 1.67 | 0.80–3.47 | 0.169 | 1.95 | 0.87–4.40 | 0.104 |
| MI | 1.27 | 0.67–2.41 | 0.454 | 1.21 | 0.61–2.38 | 0.583 | 1.02 | 0.46–2.25 | 0.949 |
| Stroke | 1.34 | 0.69–2.62 | 0.378 | 1.53 | 0.76–3.09 | 0.229 | 1.42 | 0.64–3.16 | 0.385 |
| Tobacco | 1.65 | 0.85–3.20 | 0.137 | 1.12 | 0.57–2.23 | 0.728 | 1.16 | 0.52–2.54 | 0.710 |
| RC IIA | 0.197 | 0.09–0.40 | <0.001 | 0.13 | 0.05–0.31 | <0.001 | 0.11 | 0.03–0.34 | <0.001 |
| RC IIB | 0.609 | 0.27–1.36 | 0.227 | 0.69 | 0.30–1.62 | 0.405 | 0.45 | 0.15–1.37 | 0.164 |
| RC III | 7.33 | 3.73–14.26 | <0.001 | 8.40 | 4.08–17.31 | <0.001 | 10.70 | 4.48–25.56 | <0.001 |
| High NLR | 11.09 | 5.48–22.42 | <0.001 | 22.24 | 9.61–51.47 | <0.001 | 21.93 | 7.91–60.79 | <0.001 |
| High PLR | 8.97 | 4.44–18.16 | <0.001 | 8.32 | 3.90–17.73 | <0.001 | 9.98 | 3.89–25.55 | <0.001 |
AF = atrial fibrillation; MI = myocardial infarction; NLR = neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; PLR = platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio; RC = Rutherford classification; OR = odds ratio; and CI = confidence interval.