| Literature DB >> 35743495 |
Massimiliano Carrozzini1, Tomaso Bottio1, Raphael Caraffa1, Jonida Bejko1, Olimpia Bifulco1, Alvise Guariento1, Carlo Mario Lombardi2, Marco Metra2, Danila Azzolina1, Dario Gregori1, Marny Fedrigo1, Chiara Castellani1, Vincenzo Tarzia1, Giuseppe Toscano1, Antonio Gambino1, Vjola Jorgji3, Enrico Ferrari4,5,6, Annalisa Angelini1, Gino Gerosa1.
Abstract
(1)Entities:
Keywords: bridge to transplant strategy; left ventricle assist device; mechanical circulatory support heart transplant; multi-state survival analysis; waitlist survival
Year: 2022 PMID: 35743495 PMCID: PMC9225476 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11123425
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Med ISSN: 2077-0383 Impact factor: 4.964
Baseline patient’s data and univariable and multivariable analysis of death predictor.
| Univariable Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | Lower CL | Upper CL | ||||
| Treatment received | 0.01 | <0.01 | ||||
| No-LVAD | 169 (68%) | Direct LVAD vs. | 0.002 | 0.057 | <0.01 | |
| Direct LVAD | 70 (28%) | Delayed LVAD vs. No-LVAD: 0.132 | 0.024 | 0.738 | 0.021 | |
| Delayed LVAD | 1 (4%) | |||||
| Age (years) | 54 ± 13 | 0.820 | ||||
| Female sex | 51 (20%) | 0.809 | ||||
| BSA (m2) | 1.8 ± 0.2 | 0.661 | ||||
| Blood group | 0.013 | |||||
| A | 101 (41%) | |||||
| B | 28 (11%) | |||||
| AB | 8 (3%) | |||||
| 0 | 110 (45%) | |||||
| Cardiac diagnosis | 0.599 | |||||
| Primary dilated | 9 (39%) | |||||
| Ischemic | 109 (44%) | |||||
| Other cardiomyopathy | 44 (18%) | |||||
| Acute onset | 48 (19%) | 0.036 | ||||
| Dyslipidemia | 95 (38%) | 0.149 | ||||
| Hypertension | 95 (38%) | 0.173 | ||||
| Diabetes | 55 (22%) | 0.011 | 2.930 | 1.149 | 7.470 | 0.024 |
| Peripheral artery disease | 15 (6%) | 0.512 | ||||
| COPD | 25 (10%) | 0.517 | ||||
| ICD/CRTD | 202 (81%) | 0.707 | ||||
| Previous cerebral event | 43 (17%) | 0.343 | ||||
| Previous smoking | 94 (38%) | 0.188 | ||||
| INTERMACS profile | ||||||
| 1 | 45 (18%) | 0.049 | ||||
| 2 | 6 (2%) | |||||
| 3 | 52 (21%) | |||||
| 4 | 147 (59%) | |||||
| Waiting list status (at entry) | 0.079 | <0.01 | ||||
| 2B | 120 (48%) | 2Avs2B: 12.439 | 12,439 | 3160 | <0.01 | |
| 2A | 97 (39%) | 1vs2B: 1241.170 | 1,241,170 | 60,164 | <0.01 | |
| 1 | 5 (2%) | HUvs2B: 52.953 | 52,953 | 8419 | <0.01 | |
| HU | 28 (11%) | |||||
| Peak-VO2 (mL/kg/min) | 11.5 ± 2.7 | 0.760 | ||||
| Cardiac index (L/min/m2) | 2.1 ± 0.6 | 0.875 | ||||
| SPAP (mmHg) | 40.4 ± 15 | 0.998 | ||||
| PVR (WU) | 2.3 ± 2.0 | 0.792 | ||||
| PLTs (×109/L) | 216 ± 76 | 0.917 | ||||
| Bilirubin (µmol/L) | 21 ± 14 | 0.148 | ||||
| C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 24 ± 42 | <0.01 | ||||
| GFR (mL/min/m2) | 68 ± 26 | 0.112 | ||||
| ICU stay | 81 (32%) | 0.343 | ||||
| Inotropic infusion | 95 (42%) | 0.877 | ||||
| Mechanical ventilation | 7 (3%) | <0.01 | ||||
| CRRT | 10 (4%) | <0.01 | ||||
| IABP | 5 (2%) | 0.493 | ||||
| Temporary MCS | 49 (20%) | <0.01 | ||||
| Time before HTx (months) | 10 ± 12 | 0.266 | ||||
BSA, body surface area. GFR, glomerular filtration rate. COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. CRRT, continuous renal replacement therapy. IABP, intra-aortic balloon pump. ICU, intensive care unit. ICD/CRTD, implantable cardioverter defibrillator/cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator. INTERMACS, Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support. MCS, Mechanically Circulatory Support. PVR, pulmonary vascular resistance. SPAP, systolic pulmonary artery pressure. PLTs, platelets.
Figure 1Kaplan–Meier plots of survival before HTx stratified according to LVAD use, survival after HTx in LVAD vs. no-LVAD patients, and overall survival according to LVAD use.
Patient characteristics at HTx and donor data.
| All Patients | No-LVAD | LVAD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 54 ± 14 | 56 ± 13 | 50 ± 16 | 0.019 |
| Female sex | 43 (23%) | 35 (26%) | 8 (15%) | 0.089 |
| BSA (m2) | 1.8 ± 0.2 | 2 ± 0 | 1.8 ± 0.5 | |
| Blood group | 0.643 | |||
| A | 83 (44%) | 59 (44%) | 24 (45%) | |
| B | 27 (15%) | 22 (16%) | 5 (9%) | |
| AB | 8 (4%) | 6 (4%) | 2 (4%) | |
| 0 | 70 (37%) | 48 (36%) | 22 (42%) | |
| Cardiac diagnosis | 0.062 | |||
| Primary dilated | 75 (40%) | 50 (37%) | 25 (46%) | |
| Ischemic | 82 (43%) | 56 (42%) | 26 (47%) | |
| Other cardiomyopathy | 33 (17%) | 29 (22%) | 4 (7%) | |
| Dyslipidemia | 67 (35%) | 49 (36%) | 18 (33%) | 0.641 |
| Hypertension | 72 (38%) | 51 (38%) | 21 (38%) | 0.958 |
| Diabetes | 31 (16%) | 21 (16%) | 10 (18%) | 0.657 |
| Peripheral artery disease | 11 (6%) | 9 (7%) | 2 (4%) | 0.515 |
| COPD | 19 (10%) | 14 (10%) | 5 (9%) | 0.790 |
| ICD/CRTD | 148 (78%) | 109 (81%) | 39 (71%) | 0.139 |
| Previous cerebral event | 35 (18%) | 25 (19%) | 10 (18%) | 0.957 |
| Previous smoking | 69 (36%) | 45 (33%) | 24 (44%) | 0.180 |
| Last waiting list status | <0.01 | |||
| 2B | 74 (39%) | 74 (55%) | 0 (0%) | |
| 2A | 60 (32%) | 17 (13%) | 43 (78%) | |
| 1 | 10 (5%) | 7 (5%) | 3 (6%) | |
| HU | 46 (24%) | 37 (27%) | 9 (16%) | |
| Peak-VO2 (mL/kg/min) | 11.7 ± 2.4 | 12.2 ± 2.5 | 11.8 ± 2.3 | 0.560 |
| Cardiac index (L/min/m2) | 2.1 ± 0.6 | 2.5 ± 2.8 | 2.0 ± 1.0 | 0.018 |
| SPAP (mmHg) | 37 ± 15 | 39 ± 16 | 33 ± 11 | 0.010 |
| PLTs (×109/L) | 211 ± 83 | 207 ± 86 | 221 ± 74 | 0.275 |
| Bilirubin (µmol/L) | 25 ± 38 | 37 ± 58 | 23 ± 26 | 0.330 |
| C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 38 ± 66 | 68 ± 85 | 45 ± 61 | 0.250 |
| GFR (ml/min/m2) | 70 ± 32 | 63 ± 30 | 84 ± 30 | <0.01 |
| ICU stay | 61 (32%) | 51 (38%) | 10 (18%) | <0.01 |
| Inotropic infusion | 61 (32%) | 54 (41%) | 7 (13%) | <0.01 |
| Mechanical ventilation | 7 (4%) | 6 (5%) | 1 (2%) | 0.676 |
| CRRT | 9 (5%) | 9 (7%) | 0 (0%) | 0.061 |
| IABP | 1 (1%) | 1 (1%) | 0 (0%) | 1.000 |
| Temporary MCS | 38 (20%) | 37 (27%) | 1 (2%) | <0.01 |
| Time before HTx (months) | 8 ± 10 | 4 ± 6 | 16 ± 14 | <0.01 |
| Donor age | 45 ± 17 | 46 ± 16 | 43 ± 19 | 0.210 |
| Female to male | 34 (25%) | 22 (23%) | 12 (27%) | 0.623 |
| Donor inotropic infusion | 132 (71%) | 91 (70%) | 41 (76%) | 0.377 |
| Donor cardiac arrest | 37 (20%) | 25 (19%) | 12 (22%) | 0.688 |
| Donor smoker | 47 (25%) | 34 (26%) | 13 (24%) | 0.740 |
| Donor diabetes | 4 (2%) | 2 (2%) | 2 (4%) | 0.583 |
| Donor cold ischemia time | 204 ± 59 | 202 ± 60 | 209 ± 56 | 0.483 |
BSA, body surface area. GFR, glomerular filtration rate. COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. CRRT, continuous renal replacement therapy. IABP, intra-aortic balloon pump. ICU, intensive care unit. ICD/CRTD, implantable cardioverter defibrillator/ cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator. MCS, Mechanically Circulatory Support. SPAP, systolic pulmonary artery pressure. PLTs, platelets.
Outcomes after HTx.
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|
|
|
| |
| Cardiopulmonary bypass time (min) | 209 ± 64 | 200 ± 62 | 228 ± 67 | <0.01 |
| ECMO | 44 (23%) | 29 (22%) | 15 (27%) | 0.420 |
| Mechanical ventilation (hours) | 83 ± 171 | 92 ± 187 | 62 ± 124 | 0.282 |
| CRRT | 67 (35%) | 51 (38%) | 16 (29%) | 0.242 |
| Documented Infection | 65 (35%) | 48 (36%) | 17 (31%) | 0.497 |
| Severe bleeding | 23 (12%) | 20 (15%) | 3 (6%) | 0.087 |
| Cerebral event | 22 (12%) | 15 (11%) | 17 (13%) | 0.765 |
| Ischemic stroke | 17 (9%) | 11 (8%) | 6 (11%) | 0.556 |
| Hemorrhagic stroke | 3 (2%) | 2 (2%) | 1 (2%) | 1.000 |
| Bowel ischemia | 10 (5%) | 6 (5%) | 4 (7%) | 0.482 |
| Major arrhythmia | 11 (6%) | 9 (7%) | 2 (4%) | 0.513 |
| Pericardial/pleural effusions | 39 (21%) | 35 (26%) | 4 (7%) | <0.01 |
| Tracheostomy | 19 (10%) | 18 (13%) | 1 (2%) | 0.015 |
| Hepatic or pancreatic complication | 13 (7%) | 11 (8%) | 2 (4%) | 0.352 |
| ICU stay (days) | 10 ± 13 | 11 ± 14 | 7 ± 6 | 0.01 |
| Hospital stay (days) | 42 ± 26 | 43 ± 29 | 38 ± 18 | 0.132 |
| Follow-up time (months) | 36 ± 29 | 34 ± 29 | 42 ± 30 | 0.08 |
| 30-day death | 16 (9%) | 10 (8%) | 6 (11%) | 0.449 |
| In-hospital death | 18 (13%) | 12 (13%) | 6 (13%) | 0.926 |
| Overall post-HTx death | 35 (18%) | 26 (19%) | 9 (16%) | 0.641 |
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| Baseline positive CDC | 9 (5%) | 7 (5%) | 2 (4%) | 1.000 |
| Baseline positive CDC >10% | 3 (2%) | 3 (2%) | 0 (0%) | 0.558 |
| Baseline positive Luminex class 1 | 23 (12%) | 18 (13%) | 5 (9%) | 0.472 |
| Baseline positive Luminex class 2 | 15 (8%) | 14 (10%) | 1 (2%) | 0.07 |
| Baseline positive Luminex class 1/2 | 30 (16%) | 24 (18%) | 6 (11%) | 0.232 |
| Donor specific antibody | 17 (16%) | 9 (12%) | 8 (24%) | 0.108 |
| Acute cellular rejection (any grade) | 153 (89%) | 107 (88%) | 46 (90%) | 0.736 |
| Acute cellular rejection (≥grade 2R) | 66 (38%) | 50 (41%) | 16 (31%) | 0.220 |
| Cellular rejection score 3 months | 0.46 ± 0.35 | 0.44 ± 0.36 | 0.50 ± 0.33 | 0.328 |
| Cellular rejection score 6 months | 0.47 ± 0.30 | 0.46 ± 0.31 | 0.51 ± 0.27 | 0.373 |
| Cellular rejection score 12 months | 0.46 ± 0.26 | 0.45 ± 0.28 | 0.48 ± 0.22 | 0.622 |
| Antibody mediated rejection | 13 (8%) | 13 (11%) | 0 (0%) | 0.011 |
| Chronic allograft vasculopathy | 3 (2%) | 3 (4%) | 0 (0%) | 0.276 |
ECMO, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. CRRT, continuous renal replacement therapy. ICU, intensive care unit.
Figure 2Multi-state model for survival analysis with transition probability (and 95% confidence interval) matrix and curves of death probabilities by treatment.
p values for comparison among transition probabilities in the multi-state model.
| LVAD–Death | No-LVAD–Death | HTx–Death | LVAD–HTx–Death | No-LVAD–HTx–Death | No-LVAD–LVAD–HTx–Death | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVAD–Death | - | 0.038 | 0.217 | 0.032 | 0.221 | 0.006 |
| No-LVAD–Death | - | - | 0.022 | <0.001 | 0.033 | <0.001 |
| HTx–Death | - | - | - | 0.059 | 0.207 | 0.018 |
| LVAD–HTx–Death | - | - | - | - | 0.026 | 0.338 |
| No-LVAD–HTx–Death | - | - | - | - | - | 0.008 |