| Literature DB >> 35732383 |
Dejana Braithwaite1,2, Shama D Karanth2,3, Christopher G Slatore4, Dongyu Zhang2,5, Jiang Bian6, Rafael Meza7, Jihyoun Jeon7, Martin Tammemagi8, Mattthew Schabath9, Meghann Wheeler5, Yi Guo6, Bruno Hochhegger10, Frederic J Kaye11, Gerard A Silvestri12, Michael K Gould13.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in the USA and worldwide, and lung cancer screening (LCS) with low-dose CT (LDCT) has the potential to improve lung cancer outcomes. A critical question is whether the ratio of potential benefits to harms found in prior LCS trials applies to an older and potentially sicker population. The Personalised Lung Cancer Screening (PLuS) study will help close this knowledge gap by leveraging real-world data to fully characterise LCS recipients. The principal goal of the PLuS study is to characterise the comorbidity burden of individuals undergoing LCS and quantify the benefits and harms of LCS to enable informed decision-making. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: PLuS is a multicentre observational study designed to assemble an LCS cohort from the electronic health records of ~40 000 individuals undergoing annual LCS with LDCT from 2016 to 2022. Data will be integrated into a unified repository to (1) examine the burden of multimorbidity by race/ethnicity, socioeconomic status and age; (2) quantify potential benefits and harms; and (3) use the observational data with validated simulation models in the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) to provide LCS outcomes in the real-world US population. We will fit a multivariable logistic regression model to estimate the adjusted ORs of comorbidity, functional limitations and impaired pulmonary function adjusted for relevant covariates. We will also estimate the cumulative risk of LCS outcomes using discrete-time survival models. To our knowledge, this is the first study to combine observational data and simulation models to estimate the long-term impact of LCS with LDCT. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was approved by the Kaiser Permanente Southern California Institutional Review Board and VA Portland Health Care System. The results will be disseminated through publications and presentations at national and international conferences. Safety considerations include protection of patient confidentiality. © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.Entities:
Keywords: computed tomography; epidemiology; oncology; radiology & imaging
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35732383 PMCID: PMC9226937 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064142
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 3.006
Figure 1Schematic representation of the PLuS study design aims. CISNET, Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modelling Network; KPSC, Kaiser Permanente Southern California; LCS, Lung Cancer Screening; MUSC, Medical University of South Carolina; OneFlorida, OneFlorida Clinical Consortium; PLuS, Personalised Lung Cancer Screening; VHA, Veterans Health Administration.
Model elements and data sources for simulation modelling
| Model inputs | Possible data sources |
| Lung cancer incidence by age, sex and smoking history | NHS/HPFS, SEER |
| Tumour stage distribution by histology and sex | SEER, PLCO, NLST |
| Lung cancer-specific survival times by age, histology, stage and sex | SEER |
| Preclinical sojourn time in each stage | NLST, PLCO |
| Sensitivity and specificity of LDCT; false-positive rates | NLST/LungRADS and real-world LCSC |
| Adherence with Lung-RADS recommendations by multimorbidity burden | Real-world LCSC |
| LDCT screening outcomes; biopsies, complications | Real-world LCSC |
| Competing other-cause mortality | CISNET, NLST, PLCO, real-world LCSC |
CISNET, Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network; HPFS, Health Professionals Fellow-Up Study; LCSC, lung cancer screening cohort data (Aims 1 and 2 in the PLuS study); LDCT, lung cancer screening with low-dose CT; NHS, Nurses’ Health Study; NLST, National Lung Screening Trial; PLCO, Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial; SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results.
Figure 2(A) Natural history component of the UM-LCS model. (B) Screening component of the UM-LCS model, example for an individual diagnosed with stage IIIA lung cancer in natural history component. LC, lung cancer; OC, other causes; UM-LCS, University of Michigan Lung Cancer Screening model.