| Literature DB >> 35721380 |
Luigi Mastronardi1, Aurora Cavallo2, Luca Romagnoli1.
Abstract
The spread of the Covid-19 pandemic in Italy, in the period March-May 2020, quickly triggered a deep crisis, causing an immediate economic slowdown and consequently a strong contraction in domestic demand and trade. The food supply chain faced severe difficulties, although its anti-cyclical nature allowed for greater resilience compared to other economic sectors. In this framework of ongoing uncertainty, it is important to understand the response of farms to the crisis, and their role in the sustainability of the post-pandemic food supply chain, even for future policy interventions in the short and medium term. The purpose of the paper is to investigate how diversification affected the response of farms to the Covid-19 crisis, and explore whether the changes required by the post-crisis scenario can produce opportunities for their activities. The study investigates a sample of fifteen farms in central Italy through semi-structured interviews, performing a lexicon-based text and sentiment analysis. The results highlight the importance of farm diversification in dealing with the Covid-19 crisis, and emphasise the role of diversified farms for the sustainability of the agri-food system. These results have interesting policy implications, particularly regarding support for the competitiveness of farms by improving sustainable logistics, electronic commerce and exchanges of knowledge and innovations among farmers; these measures should be taken into account to target the future agricultural, rural and food policies, at both national and local level.Entities:
Keywords: Covid-19 crisis; Diversified farms; Italy; Local food policy; Text and sentiment analysis
Year: 2021 PMID: 35721380 PMCID: PMC9192143 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2021.101096
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Socioecon Plann Sci ISSN: 0038-0121 Impact factor: 4.641
Fig. 1Timeline showing the main influenza pandemics in the 20th and 21st century.
Fig. 2Impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on the agri-food system: Stylised facts.
Fig. 3Geographical location of the 15 farms interviewed.
Variables selected for Cluster Analysis (in parentheses, absolute number of farms).
| Features | Variable | Type of variable | Values |
|---|---|---|---|
| Structure | Legal form | Qualitative | Individual company (10); Ltd company (5) |
| Size | Qualitative | Small (5); Medium (5); Large (3); Very large (2) | |
| Type of farming | Qualitative | Crop (7); Livestock (3); Mixed (5) | |
| Farming technique | Qualitative | Organic (12); Integrated (3) | |
| Other gainful activities | Agritourism | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (7); 0 = Absence (8) |
| Dairy | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (2); 0 = Absence (13) | |
| Educational activities | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (4); 0 = Absence (11) | |
| Energy production | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (2); 0 = Absence (13) | |
| Livestock Processing | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (4); 0 = Absence (11) | |
| Oil mill | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (2); 0 = Absence (13) | |
| Vegetables processing | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (10); 0 = Absence (5) | |
| Windmill | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (1); 0 = Absence (14) | |
| Mar-kets | International Markets | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (2); 0 = Absence (13) |
| National Market | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (7); 0 = Absence (8) | |
| Local Market | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (15); 0 = Absence (0) | |
| Sales Channels | Farmer's Markets | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (2); 0 = Absence (13) |
| Solidarity Purchasing Groups | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (7); 0 = Absence (8) | |
| Box Schemes | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (1); 0 = Absence (14) | |
| Direct Selling | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (15); 0 = Absence (0) | |
| Stores | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (6); 0 = Absence (9) | |
| Canteen & Catering | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (2); 0 = Absence (13) | |
| Hotel, Restaurants & Coffees | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (3); 0 = Absence (12) | |
| Cooperatives | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (7); 0 = Absence (8) | |
| Wholesalers | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (6); 0 = Absence (9) | |
| Processors | Dichotomous | 1 = Presence (5); 0 = Absence (10) |
All of the variables were employed in Cluster Analysis, except for ‘Local Market’ and ‘Direct Selling’, since they are not discriminatory for the analysis.
Characterisation of the three clusters obtained as the CA result.
| Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No. of farms | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Legal form | All Individual companies | Almost all Ltd companies (5) | All Individual companies |
| Size | Small (2) or Medium (1) | Large or Very large | Small or Medium |
| Type of farming | All Mixed | Livestock (3); Mixed (2); Crop (1) | All Crop |
| Farming technique | Organic (2); Integrated (1) | All Organic | Organic (4); Integrated (2) |
| OGA | Livestock processing | Agritourism | Vegetables processing |
| Markets | Local markets | National markets | Local markets |
| Sales channels | Cooperatives | Stores | Cooperatives |
Sentiment analysis results by cluster and question.
| Question | Clus1 | Clus2 | Clus3 | Clus1 | Clus2 | Clus3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.25 | −73.25 | 327.50 | 0.047 | −0.059 | 0.381 | |
| 97.25 | 260.50 | 294.25 | 0.307 | 0.396 | 0.344 | |
| 86.00 | 175.00 | 270.00 | 0.366 | 0.451 | 0.652 | |
| 339.00 | 331.75 | 300.00 | 0.677 | 0.625 | 0.561 | |
| 161.50 | 201.00 | 156.50 | 0.605 | 0.624 | 0.479 |
Fig. 4Answers to Q1: Effects of the first pandemic wave. (a) Global absolute sentiment; (b) Mean sentiment by cluster.
Fig. 5Q2: Farm responses to crisis. (a) Global absolute sentiment; (b) Mean sentiment by cluster.
Fig. 6Q3: Changes in relationships with the other players in the territory. (a) Global absolute sentiment; (b) Mean sentiment by cluster.
Fig. 7Q4: Changes planned to adapt to the post-crisis situation. (a) Global absolute sentiment; (b) Mean sentiment by cluster.
Fig. 8Q5: Policy support needed to overcome the crisis. (a) Global absolute sentiment; (b) Mean sentiment by cluster.