| Literature DB >> 35715771 |
Yassin Nshimiyimana1, Yingchun Zhou2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Globally, infectious diseases are the major cause of death in children under the age of 5 years. Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia account for 95% of global child mortalities every year, where acute respiratory infections (ARI) remain the leading cause of child morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study is to analyze the risk factors of ARI disease symptoms among children under the age of 5 years in Uganda.Entities:
Keywords: Acute respiratory infections; Risk-factors; Uganda; Under-five mortality
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35715771 PMCID: PMC9205046 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-022-13532-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Public Health ISSN: 1471-2458 Impact factor: 4.135
Fig. 1A framework of factors of childhood ARI disease symptoms
Fig. 2Prevalence of ARI disease symptoms in children under the age of 5 years in Uganda
Distribution of the ARI symptoms’ prevalence based on socio-economic and demographic characteristics
| Characteristics | ARI disease symptoms: | Sig. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No (%) | Yes (%) | Total (%) | ||
| Child age (months) | ||||
| 0–11 | 1724 (21.4) | 1149 (21.1) | 2873 (21.3) | < 0.001 |
| 12–23 | 1440 (17.9) | 1273 (23.4) | 2713 (20.1) | |
| 24–35 | 1534 (19.0) | 1124 (20.7) | 2658 (19.7) | |
| 36–47 | 1608 (20.0) | 1008 (18.5) | 2616 (19.4) | |
| 48–59 | 1750 (21.7) | 883 (16.3) | 2633 (19.5) | |
| Child gender | ||||
| Male | 3991 (49.5) | 2757 (50.7) | 6748 (50.0) | 0.183 |
| Female | 4065 (50.5) | 2680 (49.3) | 6745 (50.0) | |
| Region of residence | ||||
| Central | 1358 (16.9) | 1360 (25.0) | 2718 (20.1) | < 0.001 |
| Eastern | 2346 (29.1) | 1517 (27.9) | 3863 (28.6) | |
| Northern | 2023 (25.1) | 1357 (25.0) | 3.380 (25.1) | |
| Western | 2329 (28.9) | 1203 (22.7) | 3532 (26.2) | |
| Mother age (years) | ||||
| 15–19 | 441 (5.5) | 364 (6.7) | 805 (6.0) | < 0.001 |
| 20–24 | 2165 (26.9) | 1474 (27.1) | 3639 (27.0) | |
| 25–29 | 1991 (24.7) | 1466 (27.0) | 3457 (25.6) | |
| 30–34 | 1716 (21.3) | 1072 (19.7) | 2788 (20.7) | |
| 35–39 | 1094 (13.6) | 670 (12.3) | 1764 (13.1) | |
| 40–49 | 649 (8.1) | 391 (7.2) | 1040 (7.7) | |
| Mother education | ||||
| No education | 1097 (13.6) | 705 (13.0) | 1802 (13.4) | 0.002 |
| Primary | 5110 (63.4) | 3328 (61.2) | 8438 (62.5) | |
| Secondary | 1449 (18.0) | 1088 (20.0) | 2537 (18.8) | |
| Tertiary | 400 (5.0) | 316 (5.8) | 716 (5.3) | |
| Mother employment | ||||
| Unemployed | 1481 (18.4) | 698 (12.8) | 2179 (16.1) | < 0.001 |
| Farmer | 3947 (49.0) | 2380 (43.8) | 6327 (46.9) | |
| Other | 2628 (32.6) | 2359 (43.4) | 4987 (37.0) | |
| Mother wealth status | ||||
| Lower | 4012 (49.8) | 2579 (47.4) | 6591 (48.8) | 0.004 |
| Middle | 1557 (19.3) | 1033 (19.0) | 2590 (19.2) | |
| Higher | 2487 (30.9) | 1825 (33.6) | 4312 (32.0) | |
Sig. 5% Chi-square test significance
Distribution of the ARI symptoms’ prevalence based on behavioral and environmental characteristics
| Characteristics | ARI disease symptoms: | Sig. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No (%) | Yes (%) | Total (%) | ||
| Family size | ||||
| Not crowded (≤ 5) | 3746 (46.5) | 2581 (47.5) | 6327 (46.9) | 0.267 |
| Crowded (> 5) | 4310 (53.5) | 2856 (52.5) | 7166 (53.1) | |
| Breastfeeding | ||||
| Not breastfed | 3323 (41.3) | 2362 (43.4) | 5685 (42.1) | 0.011 |
| Breastfed | 4733 (58.7) | 3075 (56.6) | 7808 (57.9) | |
| Child received IP drug | ||||
| No | 3615 (44.9) | 2363 (43.5) | 5978 (44.3) | 0.105 |
| Yes | 4441 (55.1) | 3074 (56.5) | 7515 (55.7) | |
| Place of delivery | ||||
| Home | 2257 (28.0) | 1383 (25.4) | 3640 (27.0) | 0.005 |
| Public Hospital | 1464 (18.2) | 1030 (18.9) | 2494 (18.5) | |
| Health Center | 3225 (40.0) | 2205 (40.6) | 5430 (40.2) | |
| Private Hospital | 1110 (13.8) | 819 (15.1) | 1929 (14.3) | |
| Toilet facility | ||||
| With slab | 2320 (28.8) | 1645 (30.3) | 3965(29.4) | 0.122 |
| Without slab | 4893 (60.7) | 3208 (59.0) | 8101(60.0) | |
| No facility | 843 (10.5) | 584 (10.7) | 1427 (10.6) | |
| Cooking fuel | ||||
| Wood | 6370 (79.1) | 4237 (77.9) | 10,607 (78.6) | 0.112 |
| Charcoal | 1686 (20.9) | 1200 (22.1) | 2886 (21.4) | |
| Drinking water source | ||||
| Protected | 6097 (75.7) | 4179 (76.9) | 10,276 (76.2) | 0.115 |
| Unprotected | 1959 (24.3) | 1258 (23.1) | 3217 (23.8) | |
| Season effect | ||||
| Dry | 3436 (42.6) | 2905 (53.4) | 6341 (47.0) | < 0.001 |
| Rainy | 4620 (57.4) | 2532 (46.6) | 7152 (53.0) | |
IP Intestinal Parasites
Comparison of predictive performances for the methods
| Method | Recall | Selectivity | Precision | Accuracy | AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logistic regression (LR) | |||||
| Elastic net regression (EN) | 63.14% | 55.47% | 86.25% | 61.73% | 0.627 |
| Decision tree (DT) | 63.34% | 53.33% | 82.97% | 61.16% | 0.610 |
| Random forest (RF) |
AUC area under the curve
Fig. 3ROC curves and AUC values for method performances
Logistic regression estimates of risk factors associated with childhood ARI symptoms in Uganda
| Factors | Frequency (%) | AOR | [95% CI] | Sig. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Child age (months) | ||||
| 0–11 | 2131 (21.1) | Ref | – | – |
| 12–23 | 2070 (20.4) | 1.27 | [1.12–1.44] | < 0.001 |
| 24–35 | 2003 (19.8) | 0.98 | [0.85–1.12] | 0.727 |
| 36–47 | 1939 (19.2) | 0.88 | [0.76–1.01] | 0.065 |
| 48–59 | 1977 (19.5) | 0.69 | [0.60–0.80] | < 0.001 |
| Region of residence | ||||
| Central | 2064 (20.4) | Ref | – | – |
| Eastern | 2877 (28.4) | 0.63 | [0.56–0.72] | < 0.001 |
| Northern | 2535 (25.1) | 0.65 | [0.57–0.74] | < 0.001 |
| Western | 2644 (26.1) | 0.51 | [0.44–0.57] | < 0.001 |
| Mother age (years) | ||||
| 15–19 | 595 (5.9) | 1.28 | [1.06–1.53] | 0.009 |
| 20–24 | 2736 (27.0) | Ref | – | – |
| 25–29 | 2586 (25.6) | 1.07 | [0.95–1.19] | 0.268 |
| 30–34 | 2067 (20.4) | 0.94 | [0.83–1.06] | 0.313 |
| 35–39 | 1334 (13.2) | 0.96 | [0.84–1.11] | 0.600 |
| 40–49 | 802 (7.9) | 0.95 | [0.80–1.12] | 0.546 |
| Mother employment | ||||
| Unemployed | 1624 (16.1) | Ref | – | – |
| Farmer | 4780 (47.2) | 1.25 | [1.11–1.42] | < 0.001 |
| Other | 3716 (36.7) | 1.93 | [1.71–2.19] | < 0.001 |
| Breastfeeding | ||||
| Not Breastfed | 4247 (42.0) | Ref | – | – |
| Breastfed | 5873 (58.0) | 0.83 | [0.76–0.92] | < 0.001 |
| Cooking energy | ||||
| Wood | 7955 (78.6) | Ref | – | – |
| Charcoal | 2165 (21.4) | 0.77 | [0.69–0.87] | < 0.001 |
| Season effect | ||||
| Dry | 4769 (47.1) | Ref | – | – |
| Rainy | 5351 (52.9) | 0.66 | [0.61–0.72] | < 0.001 |
Sig.: p-value at 5% level of significance
Potential risk factors contributing to the childhood ARI disease in both random forest and logistic regression methods
| Random Forest (RF) | Logistic Regression (LR) | |
|---|---|---|
| Mother employmenta | Region of residence | |
| Season effecta | Mother employment | |
| Region of residencea | Season effect | |
| Cooking energya | Child age | |
| Mother wealth status | Cooking energy | |
| Place of delivery | Breastfeeding | |
| Mother education | Mother age | |
aindicates factors in both methods