| Literature DB >> 35677829 |
Lingyu Xing1, Yannan Zhou1, Yi Han1, Chen Chen1, Zegang Dong2, Xinde Zheng3, Dongxu Chen1, Yao Yu1, Fengqing Liao1, Shuai Guo4, Chenling Yao1, Min Tang3, Guorong Gu1.
Abstract
Objective: We sought to find a bedside prognosis prediction model based on clinical and image parameters to determine the in-hospital outcomes of acute aortic dissection (AAD) in the emergency department.Entities:
Keywords: acute aortic dissection (AAD); in-hospital outcomes; maximum false lumen diameter; nomogram; pericardial effusion; site of intimal tear
Year: 2022 PMID: 35677829 PMCID: PMC9168913 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.890567
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
Baseline characteristics of AAD patients in the derivation and validation cohorts.
|
|
|
| |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| ||
| Age | 61 (50, 69) | 58 (47, 67) | 0.107 |
| Sex, male | 345 (76.8%) | 93 (77.5%) | 0.878 |
| Stanford A | 132 (29.4%) | 67 (55.8%) | <0.001 |
| Stanford B | 317 (70.6%) | 53 (44.2%) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 298 (66.4%) | 81 (67.5%) | 0.816 |
| Diabetes | 35 (7.8%) | 9 (7.5%) | 0.914 |
| MFS | 13 (2.9%) | 7 (5.8%) | 0.121 |
| History of aortic aneurysm | 77 (17.1%) | 8 (7.4%) | 0.004 |
| Surgical repair | 327 (72.8%) | 98 (81.7%) | 0.048 |
| Open surgery | 91 (20.3%) | 50 (41.7%) | <0.001 |
| Endovascular therapy | 237 (52.8%) | 47 (39.2%) | 0.008 |
| In-hospital mortality | 49 (10.9%) | 14 (11.7%) | 0.815 |
Multivariate logistic analysis of potential prognostic factors in AAD patients.
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Age | 1.051 (1.009, 1.094) |
|
| Stanford A | 22.354 (4.665, 107.107) |
|
| MFS | 7.223 (1.185, 44.033) |
|
| Surgical repair | 0.231 (0.090, 0.594) |
|
| Pericardial effusion | 3.423 (1.124, 10.428) |
|
| Site of intimal tear | 1.151 | |
| 0 (none) | ||
| 1 (ascending aorta) | ||
| 2 (aortic arch) | ||
| 3 (thoracoabdominal aorta) | ||
| Entery tear diameter | 1.017 (0.939, 1.103) | 0.676 |
| Maximum false lumen diameter | 1.049 (1.009, 1.092) |
|
Bold values are used to indicate the significance of these indexes in multivariate analysis (P < 0.05).
Figure 1A nomogram for predicting the in-hospital prognosis of patients with AAD.
Figure 2(A) Calibration curve of the AAD nomogram in the derivation cohort, which depicts the calibration of the nomogram in terms of the agreement between the predicted risk of death and observed outcomes. The 45° dotted line represents an ideal prediction, and the solid line represents the bias-corrected predictive performance of the nomogram. The closer the solid line fits to the ideal line, the better the predictive accuracy of the nomogram; (B) calibration curve in the validation cohort; (C) ROC curve of the AAD nomogram in the derivation cohort; (D) ROC curve in the validation cohort.
Three-level type A aortic dissection clinical prognosis score (3ADPS).
|
|
|
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| MFS | 2.211 | No | 0 |
| Yes | 2 | ||
| Surgical repair | −2.197 | No | 0 |
| Yes | −2 | ||
| Pericardial effusion | 0.821 | No | 0 |
| Yes | 1 | ||
| Maximum false lumen diameter <22 mm | Reference | <22 mm | 0 |
| 22 mm ≤ False lumen diameter <45 mm | 1.704 | 22–45 mm | 1 |
| 45 mm ≤ False lumen diameter | 3.721 | ≥45 mm | 3 |
| Intimal tear in the aortic arch or descending aorta | 2.689 | No | 0 |
| Yes | 2 | ||
| In-hospital death risk, total | |||
| Moderate risk of death (<20%) | <0 | ||
| High risk of death (20–50%) | 0–2 | ||
| Very high risk of death (>50%) | ≥3 |
Figure 3The in-hospital outcome of type A AAD was evaluated by 3ADPS and the distribution of 3ADPS in the derivation and validation cohorts.
Figure 4(A) ROC curve of the 3ADPS in the derivation cohort and (B) ROC curve in the validation cohort.