| Literature DB >> 35628907 |
Carlos Alfonso Romero-Gameros1, Guadalupe Vargas-Ortega2, Mario Enrique Rendón-Macias3, Carlos Fredy Cuevas-García4, Tania Colín-Martínez5, Luis Alejandro Sánchez-Hurtado6, Lourdes Josefina Balcázar-Hernández2, Iván Emilio De la Cruz-Rodríguez2, Enid Karina Pérez-Dionisio2, Perla Michelle Retana-Torres2, Elsy Sarahí García-Montesinos2, Mayra Alejandra López-Moreno1, Marielle Intriago-Alor1, Salomón Waizel-Haiat1, Baldomero González-Virla2.
Abstract
The presence of cardio-metabolic and respiratory comorbidities, immunosuppression, and chronic kidney disease have been associated with an increase in mortality from COVID-19. The objective of this study is to establish the risk factors associated with 30-day mortality in a cohort of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. This paper conducts a retrospective and analytical study of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in a tertiary care center. A Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to estimate the association of comorbidities with 30-day mortality. A total of 1215 patients with a median age of 59 years were included. In the adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, hypothyroidism, D-dimer ≥ 0.8 μg/mL, LHD ≥ 430 IU/L, CRP ≥ 4.83 ng/mL, and triglycerides ≥ 214 mg/dL were associated with an increased risk of death. The presence of a history of hypothyroidism and biomarkers (D-dimer, lactic dehydrogenase, CRP, and triglycerides) were associated with an increase in mortality in the studied cohort.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; mortality; prognostic factors
Year: 2022 PMID: 35628907 PMCID: PMC9144482 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11102780
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Med ISSN: 2077-0383 Impact factor: 4.964
Figure 1Study flow diagram.
Baseline characteristics of 1215 hospitalized patients with a diagnosis of COVID-19.
| Variable | Non-Survivors (n = 653) | Survivors (n = 562) | Differences (95% CI) * |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, median years, mean ± SD | 61.21 ± 14.23 | 54.13 ± 15.09 | 7.08 (8.73 to 5.42) | <0.001 a |
| Gender, n (%) | 0.15 b | |||
| Women | 230 (35.22) | 221 (39.32) | −4.1 (−9.5 to 1.3) | |
| Men | 423 (64.78) | 341 (60.68) | 4.1 (−1.3 to 9.5) | |
| Symptoms, n (%) | ||||
| Fever | 452 (69.33) | 348 (61.92) | 7.41 (2.05 to 12.76) | 0.007 b |
| Odynophagia | 219 (33.59) | 234 (41.64) | −8.05 (−13.50 to −2.59) | 0.004 b |
| Chest pain | 263 (40.34) | 266 (47.33) | −6.99 (−12.57 to −1.40) | 0.01 b |
| Asthenia | 425 (65.18) | 354 (62.99) | 2.19 (−3.22 to 7.60) | 0.42 b |
| Myalgia | 341 (52.3) | 313 (55.69) | −3.39 (−9.00 to 2.22) | 0.23 b |
| Headache | 273 (41.87) | 262 (46.62) | −4.75 (−10.34 to 0.84) | 0.09 b |
| Rhinorrhea | 130 (19.94) | 141 (25.09) | −5.15 (−9.86 to −0.43) | 0.03 b |
| Anosmia | 112 (17.18) | 131 (23.1) | −5.92 (−10.44 to −1.39) | 0.008 b |
| Shortness of breath | 520 (79.75) | 385 (68.51) | 11.24 (6.31 to 16.16) | <0.001 b |
| Comorbidities, n (%) | ||||
| COPD | 23 (3.53) | 12 (2.14) | 1.39 (−0.46 to 3.24) | 0.14 b |
| Asthma | 87 (13.32) | 73 (12.99) | 0.33 (−3.48 to 4.14) | 0.86 b |
| T2D | 183 (28.02) | 112 (19.93) | 8.09 (3.31 to 12.86) | <0.001 b |
| Hypertension | 225 (34.46) | 124 (22.06) | 12.4 (7.39 to 17.40) | <0.001 b |
| Heart disease | 35 (5.36) | 20 (3.56) | 1.8 (−0.50 to 4.10) | 0.13 b |
| Nephropathy | 48 (7.35) | 40 (7.12) | 0.23 (−2.68 to 3.14) | 0.87 b |
| Immunodeficiency | 23 (3.52) | 20 (3.56) | −0.04 (−2.12 to −2.04) | 0.79 b |
| Liver disease | 12 (1.84) | 3 (0.53) | 1.31 (0.11 to 2.50) | 0.04 b |
| Hypothyroidism | 20 (3.06) | 2 (0.36) | 2.7 (1.28 to 4.11) | <0.001 b |
| ≥2 comorbidities | 276 (42.27) | 129 (22.95) | 19.32 (14.17–24.4) | <0.001 b |
| Biochemical markers | ||||
| Fasting plasma glucose, mg/dL median (IQR) | 135 (106–206) | 113 (95–162) | 22 (13 to 30) | <0.001 c |
| D-dimer, μg/mL median (IQR) | 2.07 (1.05–5.97) | 1.01 (0.56–2.54) | 1.06 (0.75 to 1.36) | <0.001 c |
| Lactic dehydrogenase, median IU/L (IQR) | 512 (362–655) | 374.5 (278–503.5) | 137.5 (110 to 161) | <0.001 c |
| Ferritin, ng/mL median (IQR) | 1275 (709.1–1622) | 977.7 (448–1395.94) | 297.3 (174.64 to 419.55) | <0.001 c |
| C-reactive protein, mg/dL median (IQR) | 14.2 (7.58–21.82) | 9.49 (2.63–14.2) | 4.71(3.48 to 5.83) | <0.001 c |
| Triglycerides, mg/dL median (IQR) | 226 (163–277) | 190.5 (136–226) | 35.5 (27 to 43) | <0.001 c |
Abbreviations: SD, standard deviation; IQR, interquartile range; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; T2D, type 2 diabetes; and SAH, systemic arterial hypertension. * For continuous variables, the difference in medians and means is shown. For categorical variables, the absolute difference in percentage points is shown. a p value estimated by Student’s t test for independent samples test between group of non-survivors and survivors. b p value estimated by Pearson’s Xi2 test between the group of non-survivors and the survivors. c p value estimated by Mann–Whitney U test between the group of non-survivors and the survivors.
Cox proportional hazard model for 30-day mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 (n = 1215).
| Variable | Crude HR | 95% CI |
| Adjusted HR * | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age < 40 years | 0.65 | 0.48–0.88 | 0.007 | - | - | - |
| Age ≥ 65 years | 1.30 | 1.12–1.52 | 0.001 | 1.1 | 0.93–1.30 | 0.22 |
| Male gender | 1.02 | 0.87–1.20 | 0.74 | 1 | 0.84–1.19 | 0.97 |
| Shortness of breath | 1.25 | 1.03–1.51 | 0.021 | 1.07 | 0.87–1.31 | 0.4 |
| T2D | 1.04 | 0.88–1.24 | 0.58 | 0.92 | 0.76–1.11 | 0.42 |
| Hypertension | 1.17 | 0.99–1.37 | 0.52 | 1.14 | 0.95–1.36 | 0.14 |
| Hypothyroidism | 1.86 | 1.19–2.91 | 0.006 | 1.91 | 1.08–3.39 | 0.02 |
| COPD | 1.17 | 0.77–1.77 | 0.45 | 0.92 | 0.56–1.51 | 0.74 |
| Asthma | 1.08 | 0.86–1.35 | 0.48 | 0.93 | 0.72–1.18 | 0.56 |
| CKD | 0.88 | 0.66–1.18 | 0.41 | 0.73 | 0.52–1.03 | 0.7 |
| Immunodeficiency | 1.09 | 0.72–1.65 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 0.7–1.84 | 0.6 |
| Heart disease | 1.45 | 1.03–2.05 | 0.03 | 1.42 | 0.97–2.09 | 0.06 |
| Liver disease | 1.09 | 0.62–1.94 | 0.74 | 0.88 | 0.43–1.81 | 0.74 |
| D–dimer ≥ 0.8 μg/mL | 1.75 | 1.38–2.21 | <0.001 | 1.38 | 1.07–1.77 | 0.01 |
| Lactic dehydrogenase ≥ 430 IU/L | 1.56 | 1.33–1.83 | <0.001 | 1.33 | 1.12–1.57 | 0.001 |
| Ferritin ≥ 413.5 ng/mL | 1.51 | 1.17–1.94 | 0.001 | 1.23 | 0.94–1.62 | 0.12 |
| CRP ≥ 4.83 mg/dL | 1.57 | 1.26–1.95 | <0.001 | 1.40 | 1.11–1.76 | 0.004 |
| Triglycerides ≥ 214 mg/dL | 1.54 | 1.31–1.80 | <0.001 | 1.38 | 1.17–1.63 | <0.001 |
Abbreviations: T2D, type 2 diabetes; COPD, chronic pulmonary disease; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CRP, C-reactive protein; and 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.* Cox proportional hazard model including hypertension, T2D, gender, hypothyroidism, COPD, asthma, CKD, Immunodeficiency, heart disease, liver disease, D dimer ≥ 0.8 μg/mL, lactic dehydrogenase ≥ 430 IU/L, ferritin ≥ 413.5 ng/mL, CRP ≥ 4.83 mg/dL, and triglycerides ≥ 214 mg/dL.
Figure 2Cox proportional hazard models for 30-day mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 (n = 1215). Abbreviations: LDH, lactic dehydrogenase; T2D, type 2 diabetes; CRP, C-reactive protein; COPD, chronic pulmonary disease; and CKD, chronic kidney disease. (A) Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. (B) Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model.
Figure 3Thirty-day survival of hospitalized COVID-19 patients after hospital admission, stratified by age ≥ 65 years (a) hypertension, (b) hypothyroidism, (c) ≥2 comorbidities, and (d) (n = 1215).
Figure 4Thirty-day survival of hospitalized COVID-19 patients after hospital admission stratified by D-dimer ≥ 0.8 μg/mL, (a) ferritin ≥ 413.5 ng/mL, (b) C-reactive protein ≥ 4.83 mg/dL, (c) lactic dehydrogenase ≥ 430 IU/L, (d) triglycerides ≥ 214 mg/dL, and (e) (n = 1215).