| Literature DB >> 32798701 |
Gaspar Manuel Parra-Bracamonte1, Nicolas Lopez-Villalobos2, Francisco E Parra-Bracamonte3.
Abstract
PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to assess clinical characteristics and risk factors for mortality of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from Mexico, given that it currently is in active community transmission.Entities:
Keywords: Comorbidity; Mexico; Odds ratio; SARS-CoV-2; Survival probability
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32798701 PMCID: PMC7426229 DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.08.005
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Epidemiol ISSN: 1047-2797 Impact factor: 3.797
Baseline clinical characteristics and univariate odds ratios (±95% confidence interval) of patients positive to COVID-19 in Mexico, from 13 January to 17 July 2020
| Clinical characteristics | Total | Survivor | Nonsurvivor | Fatality ratio % | Odds ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age median (IQR) | 44 (33–56) | 42 (32–53) | 62 (52–71) | ||
| Age groups | |||||
| 0–20 | 12,595 (3.8%) | 12,432 (4.2%) | 163 (0.4%) | 1.3 | 1.0 (Ref.) |
| 21–40 | 125,475 (37.9%) | 122,847 (41.9%) | 2628 (6.9%) | 2.1 | 1.632 (1.391–1.913) |
| 41–60 | 132,013 (39.8%) | 117,167 (40.0%) | 14,846 (38.8%) | 11.2 | 9.664 (8.272–11.289) |
| 61–80 | 53,860 (16.3%) | 36,445 (12.4%) | 17,415 (45.5%) | 32.2 | 36.444 (31.194–42.579) |
| >80 | 7355 (2.2%) | 4097 (1.4%) | 3258 (8.5%) | 44.3 | 60.650 (51.619–71.260) |
| Sex | |||||
| Female | 153,143 (46.2%) | 139,851 (47.7%) | 13,292 (34.7%) | 8.7 | 1.0 (Ref.) |
| Male | 178,155 (53.8%) | 153,137 (52.3%) | 25,015 (65.3%) | 14.0 | 1.719 (1.681–1.758) |
| Smoking habits | 24,484 (7.4%) | 21,269 (7.3%) | 3215 (8.4%) | 13.1 | 1.175 (1.130–1.221) |
| COVID-19 contact | 111,680 (33.7%) | 107,523 (36.7%) | 4157 (10.9%) | 3.7 | 0.309 (0.298–0.321) |
| Hospitalized | 95,458 (28.8%) | 61,368 (20.9%) | 34,090 (89.0%) | 35.7 | 30.489 (29.494–31.519) |
| Pneumonia | 72,675 (21.9%) | 44,009 (15.0%) | 28,666 (74.8%) | 39.4 | 16.816 (16.397–17.245) |
| Comorbidity | |||||
| Hypertension | 66,170 (20.0%) | 49,761 (17.0%) | 16,409 (42.8%) | 24.8 | 3.688 (3.606–3.772) |
| Obesity | 63,459 (19.2%) | 53,955 (18.4%) | 9504 (24.8%) | 15.0 | 1.470 (1.433–1.507) |
| Diabetes | 53,712 (16.2%) | 39,417 (13.5%) | 14,295 (37.3%) | 26.6 | 3.855 (3.766–3.946) |
| Cardiopathy | 7351 (2.2%) | 5314 (1.8%) | 2037 (5.3%) | 27.7 | 3.054 (2.898–3.217) |
| COPD | 5458 (1.6%) | 3619 (1.2%) | 1839 (4.8%) | 33.7 | 4.047 (3.822–4.285) |
| Asthma | 8983 (2.7%) | 8206 (2.8%) | 777 (2.0%) | 8.6 | 0.721 (0.670–0.777) |
| Immunosuppressed | 4196 (1.3%) | 3135 (1.1%) | 1061 (2.8%) | 25.3 | 2.634 (2.463–2.836) |
| CKD | 6895 (2.1%) | 4307 (1.5%) | 2588 (6.8%) | 37.5 | 4.876 (4.639–5.126) |
| Other complication | 8901 (2.7%) | 6944 (2.4%) | 1957 (5.1%) | 22.0 | 2.229 (2.118–2.347) |
| Clinical care | |||||
| ICU | 7904 (8.2%) | 3897 (6.4%) | 4007 (11.8%) | 50.7 | 1.967 (1.878–2.060) |
| ETI | 9237 (9.7%) | 2685 (4.4%) | 6552 (19.2%) | 70.9 | 5.209 (4.969–5.460) |
Age group: Percentages are expressed as proportions of column totals as mutually exclusive variables. Percentages in comorbidities are not mutually exclusive. The fatality ratio was estimated by variable cases.
ICU and ETI are expressed as proportions of hospitalized patients.
COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CKD = chronic kidney disease; ETI = endotracheal intubation.
Multivariate odds ratios (±95% confidence interval) for clinical traits associated to mortality in patients positive to COVID-19 in Mexico, from January 13 to July 17, 2020
| Clinical characteristics | Multivariate odds ratio | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | ||
| 0–20 | 1.0 | |
| 21–40 | 1.419 (1.134–1.775) | <.0001 |
| 41–60 | 3.730 (2.996–4.645) | <.0001 |
| 61–80 | 7.753 (6.222–9.662) | <.0001 |
| >80 | 12.598 (10.000–15.871) | <.0001 |
| Sex | ||
| Female | 1.0 | |
| Male | 1.447 (1.393–1.502) | <.0001 |
| Smoking | ||
| No | 1.0 | |
| Yes | 0.931 (0.873–0.992) | .0151 |
| Hospitalized | ||
| No | 1.0 | |
| Yes | 7.187 (6.815–7.580) | <.0001 |
| Pneumonia | ||
| Without | 1.0 | |
| With | 3.398 (3.257–3.546) | <.0001 |
| Comorbidity | ||
| Not present | 1.0 | |
| Hypertension | 1.243 (1.194–1.294) | <.0001 |
| Obesity | 1.223 (1.173–1.275) | <.0001 |
| Diabetes | 1.288 (1.237–1.341) | <.0001 |
| Cardiopathy | 0.976 (0.894–1.064) | .9069 |
| COPD | 1.261 (1.150–1.383) | <.0001 |
| Asthma | 0.949 (0.832–1.082) | <.0306 |
| Immunosuppressed | 1.211 (1.078–1.359) | <.0001 |
| CKD | 1.802 (1.657–1.960) | <.0001 |
| Other complication | 1.450 (1.328–1.582) | <.0001 |
COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CRD = chronic kidney disease.
n = 328,922.
Fig. 1Kaplan–Meier curves of survival probability of female and male patients positive to COVID-19, with and without (A) hypertension, (B) diabetes, (C) obesity, and (D) pneumonia. Patients at risk: (1) blue, female patients with comorbidity; (2) red, female patients without comorbidity; (3) green, male patients with comorbidity; (4) brown, male patients without comorbidity. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the Web version of this article.)
Baseline clinical characteristic stratification in hospitalized and non-hospitalized patients positive to COVID-19 in Mexico, from January 13 to July 17, 2020
| Clinical characteristics | Hospitalized | Non-hospitalized | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Survivors | Nonsurvivors | Total | Survivors | Nonsurvivors | |
| Age group | ||||||
| 0–20 | 1649 (1.7%) | 1499 (2.4%) | 150 (0.4%) | 10,946 (4.6%) | 10,933 (4.7%) | 13 (0.3%) |
| 21–40 | 14,442 (15.1%) | 12,168 (19.8%) | 2274 (6.7%) | 111,033 (47.1%) | 110,679 (47.8%) | 354 (8.4%) |
| 41–60 | 41,617 (43.6%) | 28,464 (46.4%) | 13,153 (38.6%) | 90,396 (38.3%) | 88,703 (38.3%) | 1693 (40.1%) |
| 61–80 | 32,678 (34.2%) | 17,079 (27.8%) | 15,599 (45.8%) | 21,182 (9.0%) | 19,366 (8.4%) | 1816 (43.0%) |
| >80 | 5072 (5.3%) | 2158 (3.5%) | 2914 (8.5%) | 2283 (1.0%) | 1939 (0.8%) | 344 (8.2%) |
| Sex | ||||||
| Female | 36,376 (38.1%) | 24,505 (39.9%) | 11,871 (34.8%) | 116,767 (49.5%) | 115,346 (49.8%) | 1421 (33.7%) |
| Male | 59,082 (61.9%) | 36,863 (60.1%) | 22,219 (65.2%) | 119,073 (50.5%) | 116,274 (50.2%) | 2799 (66.3%) |
| Smoking habits | 7517 (7.9%) | 4629 (7.5%) | 2888 (8.5%) | 16,676 (7.1%) | 16,640 (7.2%) | 327 (7.7%) |
| Pneumonia | 62,401 (65.4%) | 35,997 (58.7%) | 26,404 (77.5%) | 10,274 (4.4%) | 8012 (3.5%) | 2262 (53.6%) |
| Comorbidity | ||||||
| Hypertension | 33,468 (35.1%) | 18,793 (30.6%) | 14,675 (43.0%) | 32,702 (13.9%) | 30,968 (13.4%) | 1734 (41.1%) |
| Obesity | 22,390 (23.5%) | 14,043 (22.9%) | 8347 (24.5%) | 41,069 (17.4%) | 39,912 (17.2%) | 1157 (27.4%) |
| Diabetes | 29,922 (31.3%) | 17,105 (27.9%) | 12,817 (37.6%) | 23,790 (10.1%) | 22,312 (9.6%) | 1478 (35.0%) |
| Cardiopathy | 3986 (4.2%) | 2164 (3.5%) | 1822 (5.3%) | 3365 (1.4%) | 3150 (1.4%) | 215 (5.1%) |
| COPD | 3371 (3.5%) | 1742 (2.8%) | 1629 (4.8%) | 2087 (0.9%) | 1877 (0.8%) | 210 (5.0%) |
| Asthma | 2151 (2.3%) | 1490 (2.4%) | 661 (1.9%) | 6832 (2.9%) | 6716 (2.9%) | 116 (2.7%) |
| Immunosuppressed | 2302 (2.4%) | 1341 (2.2%) | 961 (2.8%) | 1894 (0.8%) | 1794 (0.8%) | 100 (2.4%) |
| CKD | 4610 (4.8%) | 2284 (3.7%) | 2326 (6.8%) | 2285 (1.0%) | 2023 (0.9%) | 262 (6.2%) |
| Other complication | 4155 (4.4%) | 2386 (3.9%) | 1769 (5.8%) | 4746 (2.0%) | 4558 (2.0%) | 188 (4.5%) |
Age group: Percentages are expressed as proportions of column totals as mutually exclusive variables. Percentages in comorbidities are not mutually exclusive.
COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CKD = chronic kidney disease.