| Literature DB >> 35627821 |
Ming Li1, Yukuan Wang1, Congshan Tian2, Liang Emlyn Yang3, Md Sarwar Hossain4.
Abstract
The dynamics of rural human-environment systems in developing countries have increasingly been attracting attention. Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a valuable simulation tool for detecting complex feedback loops in rural human-environment systems with a 'bottom-up' approach. However, such models require the prerequisite analysis of household typology to simulate households' decision-making process, where a gap exists between having accurate classification criteria and a simplified modeling framework. This study aimed to develop a household typology for two selected counties in southwest China based on multivariate analysis techniques and the classification tree method. Four categories of socioeconomic variables, including labor conditions, resource endowments, economic status, and social connections, were screened as possible factors impacting agriculture practice decisions. The results showed that household diversification in the study area was mainly determined by diversified livelihood strategies of off-farm work, livestock breeding, subsidy dependence, and traditional planting. Five distinct household types were identified: non-farm households, part-time households, livestock breed households, subsidized households, and traditional planting households. The household types were associated with specific cropland use behaviors, and their decision-making behaviors were verified with bounded rationality theory (where the maximization of profits is the primary goal). The quantitative classification criteria obtained in this study were clear and could be easily identified and used by ABMs. Our study provides a basis for further simulation of the complicated rural human-environment systems in southwest China.Entities:
Keywords: agent-based model; household decision-making; household typology; multivariate analysis techniques; rural environment protection
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35627821 PMCID: PMC9141613 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19106284
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 4.614
Figure 1Location of the study areas.
Variables delineating household typology.
| Category | Variables | Description | Mean ± SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labor conditions | ALS | Agricultural labor scale (in number, calculated by applying conversion factors to male and female household members in different age groups). | 2.16 ± 0.88 |
| RFL | Rate of female labor (in %) | 0.60 ± 0.23 | |
| ROF | Rate of off-farm labor (in %) | 0.30 ± 0.26 | |
| ALA | Agricultural labor age (in years) | 50.06 ± 10.27 | |
| HHE | Household head education (1 = primary school and below; 2 = junior high school; 3 = senior high school; 4 = college and above.) | 2.41 ± 1.02 | |
| HLE | Household labor education (1 = primary school and below; 2 = junior high school; 3 = senior high school; 4 = college and above.) | 2.58 ± 0.87 | |
| Resource endowments | FLA | Farmland area (in ha) | 4.50 ± 4.93 |
| CLA | Cultivated land area per agricultural labor (in ha/person) | 2.18 ± 2.15 | |
| FA | Forest area (in ha) | 36.64 ± 54.32 | |
| SLR | SLCP Land ratio (in %) | 0.48 ± 0.33 | |
| AFA | Abandoned farmland area ratio (in %) | 0.02 ± 0.08 | |
| Economic conditions | CI | Cash income (in 10,000 Yuan a) | 41.42 ± 39.25 |
| HD | Household deposits (1 = 5000 Yuan and below; 2 = 5000–10,000 Yuan; 3 = 10,000–20,000 Yuan; 4 = 20,000 Yuan and above.) | 1.63 ± 1.11 | |
| POC | Can the HH get access to cash credit? (yes, no) | 1.19 ± 0.39 | |
| NIR | Non-farm income ratio (in %) | 0.54 ± 0.39 | |
| PIR | Planting income ratio (in %) | 0.09 ± 0.19 | |
| LIR | Livestock income ratio (in %) | 0.14 ± 0.24 | |
| FIR | Forestry income ratio (in %) | 0.03 ± 0.12 | |
| SIR | Subsidy income ratio (in %) | 0.20 ± 0.26 | |
| Social connections | SNP | Is the HH involved in professional agricultural cooperative organizations? (yes, no) | 1.90 ± 0.30 |
| NR | Number of relatives in the same village. | 6.65 ± 7.02 |
Note: a 1 USD = 6.16 yuan (during the study period).
Indicators of cropland management behaviors used for exploring differences within the identified household groups.
| Indicator | Definition |
|---|---|
| Cropland physical disturbance behaviors | |
| Tillage method (TM) | Total score of conventional tillage (CT), reduced tillage (RT), and no tillage (NT) during one crop rotation. (CT = 0.65 *, RT = 0.35 *, NT = 0 *) |
| Manure conservation (MC, (t ha−1)) | Farmyard manure usage per hectare for each plot during one crop rotation. |
| Fertilization method (FM) | Total score of broadcast fertilization (BF) and deep fertilization (DF) applied to each plot during one rotation. (BF = 0.35 *, DF = 0.65 *) |
| Manual weeding (MW, day ha−1) | Number of manual weeding days per plot during one crop rotation. |
| Cropland chemical disturbance behaviors | |
| Nitrogen input from fertilizers (NIF, kg ha−1) | Total input of exogenous N from inorganic fertilizers per hectare during one crop rotation. |
| Nitrogen input from farm manure (NIM, kg ha−1) | Total input of exogenous N from farm manure per hectare during one crop rotation. |
| Total nitrogen input (NI, kg ha−1) | Total input of exogenous N from inorganic fertilizers and farm manure per hectare during one crop rotation. |
| Pesticide usage (PU, yuan ha−1) | Pesticides costs per hectare and per plot during one crop rotation. |
| Herbicide usage (HU, yuan ha−1) | Herbicides costs per hectare and per plot during one crop rotation. |
Notes: * Derived from experts’ judgment.
CATPCA component loading results for the study area.
| Dimension | ALS | FLR | OLR | ALA | HHE | HLE | FLA | CLA | FA | SLR | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.247 | −0.293 | −0.496 | 0.353 | −0.409 | −0.505 | 0.682 | 0.556 | 0.213 | −0.405 | −0.096 |
| 2 | −0.255 | 0.287 | 0.491 | −0.033 | 0.323 | 0.397 | 0.577 | 0.673 | 0.109 | −0.553 | 0.015 |
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| 1 | −0.362 | −0.073 | 0.067 | −0.774 | 0.395 | 0.612 | −0.009 | 0.457 | −0.077 | 0.166 | - |
| 2 | 0.566 | 0.414 | −0.347 | 0.131 | 0.237 | 0.243 | −0.1 | −0.502 | −0.262 | 0.284 | - |
Notes: Abbreviations are: ALS—Agricultural labor scale; RFL-Rate of female labor; ROF-Rate of off-farm labor; ALA—Agricultural labor age; HHE- Household head education; HLE—Household labor education; FLA—Farmland area; CLA—Cultivated land area per agricultural labor; FA—Forest area; SLR—SLCP Land ratio; AFA—Abandoned farmland area ratio; CI—Cash income; HD—Household deposits; POC—Access to cash credit; NIR—Non-farm income ratio; PIR—Planting income ratio; LIR—Livestock income ratio; FIR—Forestry income ratio; SIR—Subsidy income ratio; SNP—Participation in agricultural cooperative organizations; NR—Number of relatives in the same village.
Figure 2Component loading plot obtained from CATPCA describing the relationships between household characteristics.
Distribution of household clusters derived from the Two-Step cluster analysis.
| Percentage of Households | Mean ± SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baoxing ( | Puge ( | NIR | LIR | SIR | |
| Cluster 1 | 21.29 | 8.12 | 0.89 ± 0.01 | 0.01 ± 0.00 | 0.08 ± 0.01 |
| Cluster 2 | 34.94 | 17.24 | 0.75 ± 0.02 | 0.07 ± 0.01 | 0.06 ± 0.01 |
| Cluster 3 | 18.47 | 7.35 | 0.13 ± 0.03 | 0.57 ± 0.04 | 0.13 ± 0.02 |
| Cluster 4 | 8.84 | 11.58 | 0.13 ± 0.04 | 0.11 ± 0.03 | 0.53 ± 0.05 |
| Cluster 5 | 16.47 | 55.71 | 0.17 ± 0.03 | 0.24 ± 0.01 | 0.33 ± 0.06 |
| Total | 100.00 | 100.00 | 0.54 ± 0.02 | 0.14 ± 0.02 | 0.20 ± 0.02 |
Figure 3Household type definition. Note: ‘HH’ is the abbreviation of ‘household’.
Distribution of households by classification criteria from the classification tree method.
| Household Typology | Percentage of Households | |
|---|---|---|
| Baoxing ( | Puge ( | |
| Non-farm HH | 25.7 | 9.0 |
| Part-time HH | 32.3 | 17.9 |
| Livestock breed HH | 12.8 | 9.4 |
| Subsidized HH | 11.5 | 9.8 |
| Traditional planting HH | 17.7 | 53.8 |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Figure 4Description of household profiles. Boxplots represent the mean (black point), median (solid lines), first and third quartiles (contained in the boxes), dispersion (dashed line), and outliers (asterisk) of the distribution of the ranks of each trait. Notes: Type 1, non-farm households; Type 2, part-time households; Type 3, livestock breed households; Type 4, subsidized households; Type 5, traditional planting households.
Descriptive statistics (mean ± sd) of cropland physical disturbance behaviors in each of the five household types.
| Household Type | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type 1 | Type 2 | Type 3 | Type 4 | Type 5 | |
| Food crops (corn) planting | |||||
| TM | 0.53 ae ± 0.13 | 0.53 a ± 0.15 | 0.62 ac ± 0.09 | 0.50 a ± 0.15 | 0.61 e ± 0.10 |
| MC | 5.21 ac ± 4.85 | 7.81 b ± 5.29 | 17.19 bc ± 6.73 | 14.57 a ± 7.34 | 11.99 a ± 7.08 |
| FM | 1.39 a ± 0.45 | 1.27 a ± 0.46 | 1.04 a ± 0.33 | 1.18 a ± 0.38 | 1.12 a ± 0.33 |
| MW | 3.93 ad ± 1.92 | 4.34 d ± 4.40 | 5.79 cd ± 4.56 | 29.74 bd ± 11.34 | 10.71 ae ± 1.85 |
| Cash crops (tobacco) planting | |||||
| TM | 0.65 ad ± 0.00 | 0.65 a ± 0.00 | 0.65 c ± 0.00 | 0.53 d ± 0.10 | 0.54 a ± 0.15 |
| MC | 2.50 ac ± 1.50 | 3.85 a ± 1.23 | 6.28 c ± 1.53 | 4.22 a ± 1.36 | 5.02 a ± 3.56 |
| FM | 0.65 a ± 0.00 | 0.65 a ± 0.00 | 0.65 a ± 0.00 | 0.63 a ± 0.12 | 0.68 a ± 0.13 |
| MW | 21.19 ae ± 8.75 | 30.77 a ± 6.42 | 23.99 c ± 9.33 | 36.27 cd ± 6.54 | 47.52 e ± 12.48 |
Notes: The superscripts indicate significant between-group differences (Kruskal-Wallis test, p ≤ 0.05). Abbreviations are: TM, tillage method (total score of conventional tillage, reduced tillage, and no tillage during one crop rotation); MC, manure conservation (farmyard manure usage per hectare); FM, fertilization method (total score of broadcast fertilization and deep fertilization); MW, manual weeding (number of manual weeding days). Type 1, non-farm households; Type 2, part-time households; Type 3, livestock breed households; Type 4, subsidized households; Type 5, traditional planting households.
Differences between household types regarding their cropland chemical disturbance behaviors (mean ± s.d.).
| Household Type | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type 1 | Type 2 | Type 3 | Type 4 | Type 5 | |
| Food crops (corn) planting | |||||
| NIF | 665.13 ac ± 355.79 | 582.11 a ± 303.13 | 325.46 c ± 184.55 | 401.22 a ± 269.46 | 449.51 a ± 276.54 |
| NIM | 55.71 a ± 66.11 | 78.11 a ± 82.91 | 117.12 a ± 93.37 | 129.00 a ± 91.08 | 104.86 a ± 82.55 |
| NI | 720.85 a ± 382.21 | 660.22 a ± 286.55 | 442.58 a ± 202.88 | 530.22 a ± 290.86 | 554.37 a ± 246.99 |
| PU | 434.78 a ± 365.55 | 451.84 a ± 329.67 | 158.86 a ± 157.28 | 169.47 a ± 366.93 | 290.42 a ± 302.15 |
| HU | 350.01 a ± 226.95 | 464.63 b ± 258.84 | 248.96 a ± 154.75 | 160.46 bd ± 173.56 | 165.58 be ± 112.24 |
| Cash crops (tobacco) planting | |||||
| NIF | 167.83 a ± 24.06 | 128.97 a ± 34.17 | 100.55 ce ± 35.15 | 106.71 a ± 33.52 | 183.40 e ± 74.25 |
| NIM | 25.03 ac ± 25.03 | 30.01 a ± 15.12 | 38.46 a ± 14.13 | 43.22 a ± 20.24 | 48.12 c ± 37.03 |
| NI | 192.86 a ± 49.08 | 167.43 a ± 32.45 | 130.53 a ± 49.27 | 124.24 a ± 32.71 | 231.52 a ± 91.12 |
| PU | 550.30 a ± 50.30 | 769.23 a ± 223.72 | 766.60 a ± 44.35 | 539.1 a ± 37.4 | 768.14 a ± 298.99 |
| HU | 180.18 a ± 100.04 | 293.44 bd ± 70.56 | 221.42 a ± 120.27 | 151.82 d ± 66.30 | 271.32 a ± 276.43 |
Notes: The superscripts indicate significant between-group differences (Kruskal-Wallis test, p ≤ 0.05). Abbreviations are: NIF, total input of exogenous N from inorganic fertilizers; NIM, total input of exogenous N from farm manure; NI, total input of exogenous N from inorganic fertilizers and farm manure; PU, pesticides costs per hectare; HU, herbicides costs per hectare. Type 1, non-farm households; Type 2, part-time households; Type 3, livestock breed households; Type 4, subsidized households; Type 5, traditional planting households.