| Literature DB >> 35626367 |
Shoichiro Yamanaka1, Naoki Kawahara1, Ryuji Kawaguchi1, Keita Waki1, Tomoka Maehana1, Yosuke Fukui1, Ryuta Miyake1, Yuki Yamada1, Hiroshi Kobayashi1, Fuminori Kimura1.
Abstract
This study aimed to evaluate the prediction efficacy of malignant transformation of ovarian endometrioma (OE) using the Copenhagen Index (CPH-I), the risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm (ROMA), and the R2 predictive index. This retrospective study was conducted at the Department of Gynecology, Nara Medical University Hospital, from January 2008 to July 2021. A total of 171 patients were included in the study. In the current study, cases were divided into three cohorts: pre-menopausal, post-menopausal, and a combined cohort. Patients with benign ovarian tumor mainly received laparoscopic surgery, and patients with suspected malignant tumors underwent laparotomy. Information from a review chart of the patients' medical records was collected. In the combined cohort, a multivariate analysis confirmed that the ROMA index, the R2 predictive index, and tumor laterality were extracted as independent factors for predicting malignant tumors (hazard ratio (HR): 222.14, 95% confidence interval (CI): 22.27-2215.50, p < 0.001; HR: 9.80, 95% CI: 2.90-33.13, p < 0.001; HR: 0.15, 95% CI: 0.03-0.75, p = 0.021, respectively). In the pre-menopausal cohort, a multivariate analysis confirmed that the CPH index and the R2 predictive index were extracted as independent factors for predicting malignant tumors (HR: 6.45, 95% CI: 1.47-28.22, p = 0.013; HR: 31.19, 95% CI: 8.48-114.74, p < 0.001, respectively). Moreover, the R2 predictive index was only extracted as an independent factor for predicting borderline tumors (HR: 45.00, 95% CI: 7.43-272.52, p < 0.001) in the combined cohort. In pre-menopausal cases or borderline cases, the R2 predictive index is useful; while, in post-menopausal cases, the ROMA index is better than the other indexes.Entities:
Keywords: CPH index; R2 predictive index; ROMA index; borderline ovarian tumor; endometriosis associated ovarian cancer; malignant ovarian tumor; ovarian endometrioma
Year: 2022 PMID: 35626367 PMCID: PMC9140823 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics12051212
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Diagnostics (Basel) ISSN: 2075-4418
Demographic and clinical characteristics of the combined cohort.
| Benign Tumor (OE) | Malignant Tumor (EAOC) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Number | |||
| Age (years) | |||
| Median (range) | 37.00 (18–63) | 54.00 (21–82) | |
| Mean ± SD | 36.40 ± 8.82 | 54.36 ± 11.63 | <0.001 |
| BMI | |||
| Median (range) | 20.05 (14.52–34.25) | 21.98 (15.20–36.00) | |
| Mean ± SD | 20.75 ± 3.55 | 22.49 ± 4.22 | 0.002 |
| Gravida | |||
| 0 | 55 | 25 | |
| ≥1 | 41 | 50 | 0.001 |
| Parity | |||
| 0 | 59 | 26 | |
| ≥1 | 37 | 49 | <0.001 |
| FIGO sage | – | I ( | |
| Subtype | Endometrioma ( | Endometrioid carcinoma ( | |
| CCC ( | |||
| SMBT ( | |||
| Cyst size (mm) | |||
| Median (range) | 64.50 (38.00–185.00) | 105.00 (16.50–350.00) | |
| Mean ± SD | 67.79 ± 22.97 | 110.05 ± 60.85 | <0.001 |
| Menopause | |||
| Yes | 5 | 51 | |
| No | 91 | 24 | <0.001 |
| Laterality | * | ||
| Unilateral | 56 | 60 | |
| Bilateral | 40 | 14 | 0.001 |
OE ovarian endometrioma, EAOC endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer, BMI body mass index, FIGO The International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics, CCC clear cell carcinoma, SMBT seromucinous borderline tumor. * missing data.
Tumor markers in blood samples in the combined cohort.
| Benign Tumor (OE) | Malignant Tumor (EAOC) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Number | |||
| CA 19-9 (U/mL) | |||
| Median (range) | 23.30 (0.50–1085.70) | 29.50 (0.00–8953.10) | |
| Mean ± SD | 48.14 ± 118.09 | 391.93 ± 1305.99 | 0.068 |
| CEA (ng/mL) | |||
| Median (range) | 1.50 (0.60–5.20) | 2.20 (0.70–30.00) | |
| Mean ± SD | 1.75 ± 0.99 | 4.05 ± 5.25 | <0.001 |
| HE4 (pmol/L) | |||
| Median (range) | 42.30 (28.10–107.70) | 72.7 (28.7–1873.70) | |
| Mean ± SD | 45.19 ± 12.26 | 215.52 ± 336.46 | <0.001 |
| CA125 (U/mL) | |||
| Median (range) | 58.25 (10.10–5525.20) | 147.20 (1.00–9426.00) | |
| Mean ± SD | 159.70 ± 575.42 | 691.53 ± 1402.11 | 0.013 |
| Hb (g/mL) | |||
| Median (range) | 12.60 (8.90–14.60) | 12.80 (4.60–15.70) | |
| Mean ± SD | 12.60 ± 1.06 | 12.46 ± 1.88 | 0.691 |
| D-dimer (µg/mL) | |||
| Median (range) | 0.70 (0.50–8.40) | 1.30 (0.40–34.70) | |
| Mean ± SD | 0.99 ± 1.11 | 3.05 ± 4.87 | <0.001 |
OE ovarian endometrioma, EAOC endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer, CA 19-9 carbohydrate antigen 19-9, CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, HE4 human epididymis protein 4, CA125 carbohydrate antigen125, Hb hemoglobin.
Figure 1The ROC curves of each predictive index in the combined cohort. The row indicates each predictive index and the column indicates each cohort. The R2 predictive index showed a high AUC in the pre-menopausal cohort; on the contrary, the ROMA and CPH indexes showed high AUCs in post-menopausal cohort.
Figure 2The ROC curves of other factors. The row indicates each factor, and the column indicates each cohort.
Figure 3The ROC curves of each tumor marker. CEA showed a higher AUC than HE4 and CA125 in the pre-menopausal cohort; however, in the post-menopausal cohort HE4 and CA125 increased their AUC in the post-menopausal cohort.
The cut-off values discriminating EAOC from benign OE in the pre-, post-menopausal, and combined cohorts.
| AUC | Cut-Off | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA 19-9 (U/mL) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.511 | 0.872 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Post-menopause | 0.765 | 0.062 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Combined | 0.581 | 0.068 | – | – | – | – | – |
| CEA (ng/mL) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.704 | 0.002 | 1.55 | 0.750 | 0.615 | 33.96 | 90.32 |
| Post-menopause | 0.465 | 0.796 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Combined | 0.714 | <0.001 | 1.65 | 0.707 | 0.635 | 60.22 | 73.49 |
| HE4 (pmol/L) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.631 | 0.049 | 82.90 | 0.375 | 0.989 | 90.00 | 85.71 |
| Post-menopause | 0.878 | 0.006 | 54.10 | 0.725 | 1.000 | 100.00 | 26.31 |
| Combined | 0.758 | <0.001 | 54.65 | 0.627 | 0.854 | 77.04 | 74.54 |
| CA125 (U/mL) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.606 | 0.112 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Post-menopause | 0.898 | 0.004 | 15.00 | 0.922 | 0.800 | 97.91 | 50.00 |
| Combined | 0.610 | 0.013 | 146.15 | 0.507 | 0.844 | 71.69 | 68.64 |
| Tumor diameter (mm) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.772 | <0.001 | 97.50 | 0.542 | 0.923 | 65.00 | 88.42 |
| Post-menopause | 0.758 | 0.059 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Combined | 0.726 | <0.001 | 97.50 | 0.541 | 0.927 | 85.10 | 71.77 |
| BMI | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.636 | 0.041 | 21.94 | 0.500 | 0.780 | 37.50 | 85.54 |
| Post-menopause | 0.718 | 0.111 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Combined | 0.636 | 0.002 | 21.94 | 0.520 | 0.750 | 61.90 | 66.66 |
| D-dimer (µg/mL) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.675 | 0.013 | 0.65 | 0.870 | 0.453 | 32.78 | 92.59 |
| Post-menopause | 0.848 | 0.011 | 0.95 | 0.720 | 1.000 | 100.00 | 26.31 |
| Combined | 0.748 | <0.001 | 1.15 | 0.562 | 0.884 | 75.00 | 71.30 |
| CPH-I (%) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.642 | 0.032 | 6.564 | 0.500 | 0.923 | 63.15 | 87.50 |
| Post-menopause | 0.918 | 0.002 | 1.884 | 0.863 | 1.000 | 100.00 | 41.66 |
| Combined | 0.758 | <0.001 | 6.564 | 0.613 | 0.927 | 86.79 | 75.42 |
| ROMA Index (%) | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.633 | 0.046 | 24.78 | 0.375 | 0.989 | 90.00 | 85.71 |
| Post-menopause | 0.918 | 0.002 | 13.23 | 0.882 | 1.000 | 100.00 | 45.45 |
| Combined | – | – | – | – | – | 98.18 | 81.89 |
| R2 Predictive Index | |||||||
| Pre-menopause | 0.840 | <0.001 | 16.95 | 0.934 | 0.750 | 75.00 | 93.40 |
| Post-menopause | 0.684 | 0.177 | 18.39 | 1.000 | 0.627 | 100.00 | 20.83 |
| Combined | 0.777 | <0.001 | 16.95 | 0.938 | 0.640 | 88.88 | 76.92 |
CA 19-9 carbohydrate antigen 19-9, CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, HE4 human epididymis protein 4, CA125 carbohydrate antigen125, BMI body mass index, CPH-I Copenhagen index, ROMA risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm, PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, AUC area under curve.
Univariate and multivariable analysis of the predictive factors of EAOC in the combined cohort.
| Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Ratio | Risk Ratio | Risk Ratio | |||||
| CPH-I | ≤6.564 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (%) | >6.564 | 20.16 (8.20–49.54) | <0.001 | — | — | ||
| ROMA Index | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (%) | 244.28 (31.96–1866.91) | <0.001 | 222.14 (22.27–2215.50) | <0.001 | — | — | |
| R2 Predictive | ≤16.95 | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | ||
| Index | >16.95 | 26.66 (10.29–69.05) | <0.001 | 9.80 (2.90–33.13) | <0.001 | — | — |
| Gravida | 0 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| ≥1 | 2.68 (1.43–5.02) | 0.002 | |||||
| Parity | 0 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| ≥1 | 3.00 (1.60–5.63) | 0.001 | |||||
| Laterality | Uni- | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | |||
| Bi- | 0.32 (0.16–0.66) | 0.002 | 0.15 (0.03–0.75) | 0.021 | 0.22 (0.08–0.65) | 0.006 | |
| BMI | ≤21.94 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| >21.94 | 3.25 (1.70–6.20) | <0.001 | |||||
| Tumor diameter | <97.50 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | 1.00 (referent) | ||
| (mm) | ≥97.50 | 14.53 (5.94–35.49) | <0.001 | — | — | 12.68 (4.21–38.22) | <0.001 |
| D-dimer | <1.15 | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
| (µg/mL) | ≥1.15 | 7.45 (3.60–15.42) | <0.001 | 5.13 (1.81–14.53) | 0.002 | ||
| CEA | <1.65 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | 1.00 (referent) | ||
| (ng/mL) | ≥1.65 | 4.19 (2.19–8.02) | <0.001 | — | — | 4.36 (1.75–10.85) | 0.002 |
| HE4 | <54.65 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | 1.00 (referent) | ||
| (pmol/L) | ≥54.65 | 9.83 (4.71–20.50) | <0.001 | — | — | 3.85 (1.37–10.82) | 0.011 |
| CA125 | <146.15 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (U/mL) | ≥146.15 | 5.54 (2.71–11.31) | <0.001 | — | — | ||
CPH-I Copenhagen index, ROMA risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm, BMI body mass index, CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, HE4 human epididymis protein 4, CA125 carbohydrate antigen125.
Univariate and Multivariable analysis of the predictive factors of EAOC in the pre-menopausal cohort.
| Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Ratio | Risk Ratio | Risk Ratio | |||||
| CPH-I | ≤6.564 | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | ||
| (%) | >6.564 | 12.00 (3.95–36.45) | <0.001 | 6.45 (1.47–28.22) | 0.013 | — | — |
| ROMA Index | ≤24.78 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (%) | >24.78 | 54.00 (6.37–457.62) | <0.001 | — | — | ||
| R2 Predictive | ≤16.95 | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | ||
| Index | >16.95 | 42.50 (12.29–146.95) | <0.001 | 31.19 (8.48–114.74) | <0.001 | — | — |
| Gravida | 0 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| ≥1 | 1.04 (0.41–2.59) | 0.929 | |||||
| Parity | 0 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| ≥1 | 1.25 (0.50–3.14) | 0.627 | |||||
| Laterality | Uni- | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | ||||
| Bi- | 0.19 (0.05–0.71) | 0.013 | 0.15 (0.02–0.81) | 0.028 | |||
| BMI | ≤21.94 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| >21.94 | 3.55 (1.38–9.10) | 0.008 | |||||
| Tumor diameter | <97.50 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | 1.00 (referent) | ||
| (mm) | ≥97.50 | 14.18 (4.65–43.17) | <0.001 | — | — | 11.78 (3.09–44.93) | <0.001 |
| D-dimer | <0.65 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| (µg/mL) | ≥0.65 | 6.09 (1.93–19.26) | 0.002 | ||||
| CEA | <1.55 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (ng/mL) | ≥1.55 | 4.80 (1.73–13.25) | 0.002 | — | — | ||
| HE4 | <82.90 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | 1.00 (referent) | ||
| (pmol/L) | ≥82.90 | 54.00 (6.37–457.42) | <0.001 | — | — | 47.94 (4.01–572.03) | 0.002 |
CPH-I Copenhagen index, ROMA risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm, BMI body mass index, CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, HE4 human epididymis protein 4.
Accuracy analysis among the three indexes.
| Index | Cohort | PLR | NLR | DOR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPH Index | Pre-menopause | 6.50 | 0.54 | 12.00 |
| Combined | 8.41 | 0.41 | 20.16 | |
| ROMA Index | Pre-menopause | 34.12 | 0.63 | 54.00 |
| Combined | 69.12 | 0.28 | 244.28 | |
| R2 Predictive Index | Pre-menopause | 11.37 | 0.26 | 42.50 |
| Combined | 10.24 | 0.38 | 26.66 |
PLR positive likelihood ratio, NLR negative likelihood ratio, DOR diagnostic odds ratio, CPH-I Copenhagen index, ROMA risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm.
Univariate and multivariable analysis of the discriminating factors of borderline tumor from OE in the combined cohort.
| Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Ratio | Risk Ratio | Risk Ratio | |||||
| CPH-I | ≤6.564 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (%) | >6.564 | 4.23 (0.71–25.02) | 0.111 | — | — | ||
| ROMA Index | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | ||||
| (%) | 57.00 (4.99–650.89) | 0.001 | — | — | |||
| R2 Predictive | ≤16.95 | 1.00 (referent) | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | ||
| Index | >16.95 | 45.00 (7.43–272.52) | <0.001 | 45.00 (7.43–272.52) | <0.001 | — | — |
| Gravida | 0 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| ≥1 | 2.23 (0.50–9.89) | 0.289 | |||||
| Parity | 0 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| ≥1 | 2.65 (0.59–11.78) | 0.198 | |||||
| Laterality | Uni- | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| Bi- | 0.46 (0.09–2.43) | 0.366 | |||||
| BMI | ≤21.94 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| >21.94 | 5.00 (1.11–22.50) | 0.036 | |||||
| Tumor diameter | <97.50 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | 1.00 (referent) | ||
| (mm) | ≥97.50 | 7.62 (1.50–38.74) | 0.014 | — | — | 7.33 (1.32–40.48) | 0.022 |
| D-dimer | <1.15 | 1.00 (referent) | |||||
| (µg/mL) | ≥1.15 | 3.51 (0.75–16.38) | 0.110 | ||||
| CEA | <1.65 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (ng/mL) | ≥1.65 | 5.22 (1.00–27.31) | 0.050 | — | — | ||
| HE4 | <54.65 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (pmol/L) | ≥54.65 | 1.95 (0.35–10.66) | 0.440 | — | — | ||
| CA125 | <146.15 | 1.00 (referent) | — | — | |||
| (U/mL) | ≥146.15 | 3.24 (0.69–15.01) | 0.133 | — | — | ||
CPH-I Copenhagen index, ROMA risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm, BMI body mass index, CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, HE4 human epididymis protein 4, CA125 carbohydrate antigen125.
Figure 4To discriminate borderline tumors from ovarian endometriosis, the R2 predictive index could be the most effective tool. ** p < 0.01 vs. others., *** p < 0.001 vs. others. The circles represent outliers. There were only two borderline cases in post-menopausal cohort (lower right).
The validation of R2 predictive index among tumor phenotypes.
| OE | Borderline Tumor | Carcinoma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number | ||||
| R2 Predictive Index | ||||
| Median (range) | 19.80 (11.47–23.32) | 13.27 (−20.60–20.43) | 15.16 (−12.74–25.56) | |
| Mean ± SD | 19.61 ± 2.13 | 6.81 ± 16.30 | 14.15 ± 7.00 | 0.001 |
OE ovarian endometrioma.