Literature DB >> 35607984

Local Instrumental Variable Methods to Address Confounding and Heterogeneity when Using Electronic Health Records: An Application to Emergency Surgery.

Silvia Moler-Zapata1, Richard Grieve1, David Lugo-Palacios1, A Hutchings1, R Silverwood2, Luke Keele3, Tommaso Kircheis1, David Cromwell1,4, Neil Smart5, Robert Hinchliffe6, Stephen O'Neill1.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Electronic health records (EHRs) offer opportunities for comparative effectiveness research to inform decision making. However, to provide useful evidence, these studies must address confounding and treatment effect heterogeneity according to unmeasured prognostic factors. Local instrumental variable (LIV) methods can help studies address these challenges, but have yet to be applied to EHR data. This article critically examines a LIV approach to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of emergency surgery (ES) for common acute conditions from EHRs.
METHODS: This article uses hospital episodes statistics (HES) data for emergency hospital admissions with acute appendicitis, diverticular disease, and abdominal wall hernia to 175 acute hospitals in England from 2010 to 2019. For each emergency admission, the instrumental variable for ES receipt was each hospital's ES rate in the year preceding the emergency admission. The LIV approach provided individual-level estimates of the incremental quality-adjusted life-years, costs and net monetary benefit of ES, which were aggregated to the overall population and subpopulations of interest, and contrasted with those from traditional IV and risk-adjustment approaches.
RESULTS: The study included 268,144 (appendicitis), 138,869 (diverticular disease), and 106,432 (hernia) patients. The instrument was found to be strong and to minimize covariate imbalance. For diverticular disease, the results differed by method; although the traditional approaches reported that, overall, ES was not cost-effective, the LIV approach reported that ES was cost-effective but with wide statistical uncertainty. For all 3 conditions, the LIV approach found heterogeneity in the cost-effectiveness estimates across population subgroups: in particular, ES was not cost-effective for patients with severe levels of frailty.
CONCLUSIONS: EHRs can be combined with LIV methods to provide evidence on the cost-effectiveness of routinely provided interventions, while fully recognizing heterogeneity. HIGHLIGHTS: This article addresses the confounding and heterogeneity that arise when assessing the comparative effectiveness from electronic health records (EHR) data, by applying a local instrumental variable (LIV) approach to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of emergency surgery (ES) versus alternative strategies, for patients with common acute conditions (appendicitis, diverticular disease, and abdominal wall hernia).The instrumental variable, the hospital's tendency to operate, was found to be strongly associated with ES receipt and to minimize imbalances in baseline characteristics between the comparison groups.The LIV approach found that, for each condition, there was heterogeneity in the estimates of cost-effectiveness according to baseline characteristics.The study illustrates how an LIV approach can be applied to EHR data to provide cost-effectiveness estimates that recognize heterogeneity and can be used to inform decision making as well as to generate hypotheses for further research.

Entities:  

Keywords:  cost-effectiveness analysis; emergency surgery; heterogeneous treatment effects; instrumental variable; personalized medicine

Mesh:

Year:  2022        PMID: 35607984      PMCID: PMC9583279          DOI: 10.1177/0272989X221100799

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Med Decis Making        ISSN: 0272-989X            Impact factor:   2.749


  49 in total

1.  Doubly robust estimation of the local average treatment effect curve.

Authors:  Elizabeth L Ogburn; Andrea Rotnitzky; James M Robins
Journal:  J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol       Date:  2015-03       Impact factor: 4.488

2.  Watchful waiting vs repair of inguinal hernia in minimally symptomatic men: a randomized clinical trial.

Authors:  Robert J Fitzgibbons; Anita Giobbie-Hurder; James O Gibbs; Dorothy D Dunlop; Domenic J Reda; Martin McCarthy; Leigh A Neumayer; Jeffrey S T Barkun; James L Hoehn; Joseph T Murphy; George A Sarosi; William C Syme; Jon S Thompson; Jia Wang; Olga Jonasson
Journal:  JAMA       Date:  2006-01-18       Impact factor: 56.272

Review 3.  The Promise of Electronic Health Records to Promote Shared Decision Making: A Narrative Review and a Look Ahead.

Authors:  Alyce Mei-Shiuan Kuo; Berry Thavalathil; Glyn Elwyn; Zsuzsanna Nemeth; Stuti Dang
Journal:  Med Decis Making       Date:  2018-09-18       Impact factor: 2.583

4.  Randomized clinical trial of elective resection versus observation in diverticulitis with extraluminal air or abscess initially managed conservatively.

Authors:  K You; R Bendl; C Taut; R Sullivan; M Gachabayov; R Bergamaschi
Journal:  Br J Surg       Date:  2018-04-23       Impact factor: 6.939

5.  Instrumental variables: Don't throw the baby out with the bathwater.

Authors:  Luke Keele; Dylan Small
Journal:  Health Serv Res       Date:  2019-03-11       Impact factor: 3.402

6.  Estimating cost-offsets of new medications: use of new antipsychotics and mental health costs for schizophrenia.

Authors:  A James O'Malley; R G Frank; S-L T Normand
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  2011-04-26       Impact factor: 2.373

7.  A Randomized Clinical Trial Evaluating the Efficacy and Quality of Life of Antibiotic-only Treatment of Acute Uncomplicated Appendicitis: Results of the COMMA Trial.

Authors:  D Peter O'Leary; Siun M Walsh; Jarlath Bolger; Chwanrow Baban; Hilary Humphreys; Sorcha O'Grady; Aisling Hegarty; Aoife M Lee; Mark Sheehan; Jack Alderson; Ruth Dunne; Martina M Morrin; Michael J Lee; Colm Power; Deborah McNamara; Niamh McCawley; Will Robb; John Burke; Jan Sorensen; Arnold D Hill
Journal:  Ann Surg       Date:  2021-08-01       Impact factor: 13.787

8.  Effectiveness of emergency surgery for five common acute conditions: an instrumental variable analysis of a national routine database.

Authors:  A Hutchings; S O'Neill; D Lugo-Palacios; S Moler Zapata; R Silverwood; D Cromwell; L Keele; G Bellingan; S R Moonesinghe; N Smart; R Hinchliffe; R Grieve
Journal:  Anaesthesia       Date:  2022-05-19       Impact factor: 12.893

9.  Antibiotics as first-line alternative to appendicectomy in adult appendicitis: 90-day follow-up from a prospective, multicentre cohort study.

Authors:  H Javanmard-Emamghissi; M Hollyman; H Boyd-Carson; B Doleman; A Adiamah; J N Lund; S Moler-Zapata; R Grieve; S J Moug; G M Tierney
Journal:  Br J Surg       Date:  2021-11-11       Impact factor: 6.939

10.  The value of heterogeneity for cost-effectiveness subgroup analysis: conceptual framework and application.

Authors:  Manuel A Espinoza; Andrea Manca; Karl Claxton; Mark J Sculpher
Journal:  Med Decis Making       Date:  2014-06-18       Impact factor: 2.583

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