| Literature DB >> 35573797 |
Jiahui Zhang1, Wei Cheng1, Dongkai Li1, Jianwei Chen1, Guoyu Zhao1, Hao Wang2, Na Cui1.
Abstract
Objective: To develop and validate a rapid invasive candidiasis (IC)-predictive risk score in intensive care unit (ICU) patients by incorporating clinical risk factors and parameters of lymphocyte subtyping.Entities:
Keywords: CD8+ T cell; critical care; invasive candidiasis; lymphocyte subtyping; risk prediction
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35573797 PMCID: PMC9091371 DOI: 10.3389/fcimb.2022.829066
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cell Infect Microbiol ISSN: 2235-2988 Impact factor: 6.073
Figure 1Flow diagram detailing the selection of patients included in the cohort.
Demographic and clinical characteristics of the development cohorts at onset of infection according to IC diagnosis (N=703).
| Variables | No IC (n=657, 93.5%) | IC (n=46, 6.5%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean age (y) | 62 (49-70) | 66 (57-69) | 0.096 |
| Gender, male | 410 (62.4) | 33 (71.7) | 0.133 |
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| |||
| COPD | 42 (6.4) | 1 (2.2) | 0.209 |
| Diabetic mellitus | 169 (25.7) | 12 (26.1) | 0.538 |
| Chronic renal failure | 65 (9.9) | 7 (15.2) | 0.180 |
| Hepatic failure | 24 (3.7) | 4 (8.7) | 0.103 |
| Solid tumor | 120 (18.3) | 12 (26.1) | 0.133 |
| Immune system disease | 39 (5.9) | 5 (10.9) | 0.152 |
| Hematological disease | 66 (10.0) | 5 (10.9) | 0.505 |
| APACHE II score≥15 | 396 (60.3) | 39 (84.8) | 0.001 |
| SOFA score>8 | 397 (60.4) | 29 (63.0) | 0.426 |
|
| |||
| PCT level (ng/ml) | 1.7 (0.5-6.6) | 3.3 (0.6-10.4) | 0.149 |
| BDG positive | 170 (25.9) | 22 (47.8) | 0.002 |
| CRP level (mg/L) | 95.2 (39.7-177.6) | 124.6 (51.6-198.8) | 0.332 |
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| |||
| Need for mechanical ventilation | 602 (91.6) | 43 (93.5) | 0.462 |
| Need for vasopressor | 577 (87.8) | 42 (91.3) | 0.640 |
| Need for RRT | 125 (19.0) | 10 (21.7) | 0.698 |
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| |||
| Urinary catheter | 647 (98.5) | 46 (100.0) | 0.399 |
| CVC | 605 (92.1) | 45 (97.8) | 0.244 |
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| |||
| High-dose corticosteroids receipt | 128 (19.5) | 21 (45.7) | <0.001 |
| IVIG | 33 (5.0) | 2 (4.3) | 0.839 |
| Carbapenem/Tigecycline | 315 (47.9) | 33 (71.7) | 0.002 |
| Beta-lactam/beta-lactamase inhibitor combination | 355 (54.0) | 28 (60.9) | 0.444 |
| 3rd/4th generation cephalosporin | 131 (19.9) | 13 (28.3) | 0.187 |
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| |||
| Total parenteral nutrition, n(%) | 88 (13.4) | 17 (37.0) | <0.001 |
| Emergency GIT/HPB Surgery, n(%) | 55 (8.4) | 15 (32.6) | <0.001 |
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| |||
| WBC (cells/mm3) | 11710 (7400-16720) | 11855 (7960-16410) | 0.887 |
| LY (cells/mm3) | 875 (523-1326) | 780 (522-930) | 0.078 |
| NK (cells/mm3) | 66 (30-117) | 61 (27-101) | 0.530 |
| LB (cells/mm3) | 123 (57-207) | 82 (43-178) | 0.099 |
| CD3+T (cells/mm3) | 621 (347-978) | 556 (331-615) | 0.101 |
| CD4+T (cells/mm3) | 368 (213-571) | 274 (147-404) | 0.081 |
| CD8+T (cells/mm3) | 193 (98-336) | 112 (84-175) | <0.001 |
APACHE II, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II; BDG, (1,3)-β-D-glucan; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CRP, C-reactive protein; CVC, central venous catheter; GIT/HPB, gastrointestinal/hepatobiliary; IVIG, intravenous immunoglobulin; PCT, procalcitonin; RRT, renal replacement therapy; SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.
*P value for the comparison between no IC and IC groups.
Multiple logistic regression model and weighted point assignment.
| Variables | β |
| Exp (β) | Exp (β)(95%CI) | Weighted points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD8+ T-cell counts ≤143 cells/mm3 | 1.059 | 0.003 | 2.883 | 1.434-5.797 | 1 |
| High-dose corticosteroids receipt | 0.999 | 0.005 | 2.715 | 1.362-5.414 | 1 |
| Carbapenem/Tigecycline | 0.740 | 0.044 | 2.096 | 1.022-4.300 | 1 |
| APACHE II score≥15 | 1.091 | 0.014 | 2.978 | 1.260-7.037 | 1 |
| BDG positive | 0.863 | 0.012 | 2.370 | 1.207-4.654 | 1 |
| Emergency GIT/HPB Surgery | 1.701 | 0.005 | 5.482 | 1.667-18.026 | 2 |
| Total parenteral nutrition | 0.345 | 0.542 | 1.412 | 0.466-4.282 | — |
Distribution of the risk scores stratified by IC diagnosis in the development cohort.
| Predictive score value | No IC (n=657, 93.5%) | IC (n=46, 6.5%) | Total (N=703) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 59 (9.0) | 1 (2.2) | 60 (8.5) |
| 1 | 161 (24.5) | 1 (2.2) | 162 (23.0) |
| 2 | 227 (34.6) | 6 (13.0) | 233 (33.1) |
| 3 | 127 (19.3) | 10 (21.7) | 137 (19.5) |
| 4 | 57 (8.7) | 15 (32.6) | 72 (10.2) |
| 5 | 25 (3.8) | 5 (10.9) | 30 (4.3) |
| 6 | 1 (0.2) | 7 (15.2) | 8 (1.1) |
| 7 | 0 (0.0) | 1 (2.2) | 1 (0.1) |
Data are presented as No. (%).
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristics for IC risk score by cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was 0.820 for the development cohort and 0.807 for the validation cohort. AUROCs were similar in both the development and validation cohorts (Z=0.236, P=0.813). However, the AUROC for the risk score was larger than that of Candida score (0.820 versus 0.711, P=0.044) in the development cohort.
Figure 3Calibration plot of observed versus predicted risk for IC at the onset of infection. Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-squared statistic is shown for the risk score in both the development and validation cohorts. The points and circles indicate the observed frequencies by sextile of predicted probability.
Figure 4Risk levels according to the risk score in development and validation cohorts. Risks were categorized into low risk (0–2 points), moderate risk (3–4 points) and high risk (5–7 points). Higher points denote a higher risk of developing IC in ICU patients (P for trend=0.007).
Performance characteristics of risk-predictive model at different predictive score thresholds.
| Characteristic | Predictive score threshold | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥1 | ≥2 | ≥3 | ≥4 | ≥5 | ≥6 | ≥7 | |
| Percentage of cohort ≥ threshold | 91.5 | 68.4 | 35.3 | 15.8 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Sensitivity, % | 97.8 | 95.7 | 82.6 | 60.9 | 28.3 | 17.4 | 2.2 |
| Specificity, % | 9.0 | 33.5 | 68.0 | 87.4 | 96.0 | 99.9 | 100.0 |
| Positive predictive value, % | 7.0 | 9.1 | 15.3 | 25.2 | 33.3 | 88.9 | 100.0 |
| Negative predictive value, % | 98.3 | 99.1 | 98.2 | 97.0 | 95.0 | 94.5 | 93.6 |
| Likelihood ratio for positive test | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 114.3 | — |
| Likelihood ratio for negative test | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.45 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 0.98 |