Literature DB >> 35507552

Combining rapid diagnostic tests to estimate primary and post-primary dengue immune status at the point of care.

Joseph R Biggs1, Ava Kristy Sy2,3, James Ashall1, Marsha S Santoso4, Oliver J Brady5,6, Mary Anne Joy Reyes2,3, Mary Ann Quinones2,3, William Jones-Warner1, Amadou O Tandoc2, Nemia L Sucaldito7, Huynh Kim Mai8, Le Thuy Lien8, Hung Do Thai8, Hien Anh Thi Nguyen9, Dang Duc Anh9, Chihiro Iwasaki10, Noriko Kitamura10, Marnix Van Loock11, Guillermo Herrera-Taracena12, Joris Menten13, Freya Rasschaert11, Liesbeth Van Wesenbeeck11, Sri Masyeni14, Sotianingsih Haryanto15, Benediktus Yohan4, Eva Cutiongco-de la Paz16,17, Lay-Myint Yoshida10, Stephane Hue5,6, Maria Rosario Z Capeding3,16, Carmencita D Padilla16,17, R Tedjo Sasmono4, Julius Clemence R Hafalla1, Martin L Hibberd1,16,17.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Characterising dengue virus (DENV) infection history at the point of care is challenging as it relies on intensive laboratory techniques. We investigated how combining different rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) can be used to accurately determine the primary and post-primary DENV immune status of reporting patients during diagnosis. METHODS AND
FINDINGS: Serum from cross-sectional surveys of acute suspected dengue patients in Indonesia (N:200) and Vietnam (N: 1,217) were assayed using dengue laboratory assays and RDTs. Using logistic regression modelling, we determined the probability of being DENV NS1, IgM and IgG RDT positive according to corresponding laboratory viremia, IgM and IgG ELISA metrics. Laboratory test thresholds for RDT positivity/negativity were calculated using Youden's J index and were utilized to estimate the RDT outcomes in patients from the Philippines, where only data for viremia, IgM and IgG were available (N:28,326). Lastly, the probabilities of being primary or post-primary according to every outcome using all RDTs, by day of fever, were calculated. Combining NS1, IgM and IgG RDTs captured 94.6% (52/55) and 95.4% (104/109) of laboratory-confirmed primary and post-primary DENV cases, respectively, during the first 5 days of fever. Laboratory test predicted, and actual, RDT outcomes had high agreement (79.5% (159/200)). Among patients from the Philippines, different combinations of estimated RDT outcomes were indicative of post-primary and primary immune status. Overall, IgG RDT positive results were confirmatory of post-primary infections. In contrast, IgG RDT negative results were suggestive of both primary and post-primary infections on days 1-2 of fever, yet were confirmatory of primary infections on days 3-5 of fever.
CONCLUSION: We demonstrate how the primary and post-primary DENV immune status of reporting patients can be estimated at the point of care by combining NS1, IgM and IgG RDTs and considering the days since symptoms onset. This framework has the potential to strengthen surveillance operations and dengue prognosis, particularly in low resource settings.

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Year:  2022        PMID: 35507552      PMCID: PMC9067681          DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010365

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  PLoS Negl Trop Dis        ISSN: 1935-2727


Introduction

Dengue is an emerging arboviral infectious disease, transmitted through the bite of an Aedes mosquito that burdens much of the urbanised tropical and subtropical world. According to World Health Organisation (WHO) figures, global case reporting has risen 8-fold in the past 20 years with a record 5.2 million reports in 2019 [1]. However, these data only account for the minority of symptomatic dengue cases who actively sought care and were successfully documented. Therefore, figures exclude most of the 105–390 million annual estimated dengue infections across the globe [2, 3]. Dengue virus (DENV) is a member of the Flaviviridae family consisting of four distinct serotypes (DENV1-4) [4]. A primary infection with any serotype is typically associated with a self-limiting disease which elicits a long-lived IgG response that protects against subsequent homologous serotype infections [5]. Consequently, individuals can suffer successive, post-primary (i.e. secondary, tertiary and quaternary), DENV infections during their lifetime with heterologous serotypes. A secondary DENV infection is associated with more severe clinical outcomes, including severe organ impairment and bleeding [6, 7], due to a phenomenon known as antibody-dependent enhancement [8, 9]. Previously elicited, sub-neutralising, IgG resurges upon infection and intensifies viral replication to trigger immuno-modulated severe disease. Without specific dengue chemotherapies, severe disease management is currently limited to intravenous hydration therapy (IHT) that requires careful monitoring and adequate health care infrastructure [10]. Current dengue diagnostics are primarily concerned with capturing active infections, thus no such method for determining primary or post-primary DENV infections, at the point of care, exists [6]. Nonetheless, WHO serological laboratory techniques can be utilized to distinguish DENV immune status retrospectively using patient paired sera collected at the acute and convalescent stage of disease [11]. By assaying for changes in both DENV IgM and IgG antibodies, a rise in IgM titres coupled with high and low convalescent IgM:IgG ratios indicates active primary and secondary infections, respectively. A major caveat to this approach however is the necessity of paired sera which makes it impractical for large scale epidemiological studies and it detects the result too late to inform many case management decisions. Fortunately, more recent studies have shown dengue immune status can be determined using single serum samples collected during the acute phase of disease according to disease day-specific IgG:IgM ratios [12-15]. Yet again however, these algorithms have limited value in point-of-care testing, particularly in low resource settings, as they rely on individual laboratory metrics which take time to generate, are labour intensive and require extensive equipment. Recently, the WHO has advocated for the use of rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) to improve dengue case detection and management in low resource, regional health care facilities [16]. Numerous quick, easy-to-use and inexpensive commercial RDTs are now available which can detect different markers of infection [17, 18]. The dengue NS1 RDT detects the dengue non-structural protein 1 (NS1), which is secreted into the blood during, and slightly after, the viraemic phase of disease. In contrast, The IgM and IgG RDTs detect IgM and IgG antibodies during the later immunogenic phase of infection, respectively. Many studies have shown how well these kits capture true active dengue infections, particularly when used in combination, although their performance varies according to specific commercial brands [17, 19–21]. Moreover, studies have documented how the DENV immune status of patients influences the performance of RDTs. When used alone, NS1 RDTs have better sensitivities for capturing primary, as opposed to secondary, infections [18, 22]. This is likely a consequence of the contrasting viremia kinetics, whereby viremia is higher and persists longer in the febrile stage during primary compared to post-primary infections [12, 23, 24]. Conversely, studies have demonstrated IgG RDTs are better at capturing post-primary infections as IgG is believed to be absent during the acute phase of primary disease [22, 25]. Although, it has been shown during a primary infection, patients can begin to elicit IgG towards the end of the acute phase while very early stage post-primary infections still experience increasing titres of IgG which may not be high enough to yield IgG RDT positive results [12, 14]. Indeed one study revealed the IgG RDT sensitivity for capturing secondary DENV infections was lower among those reporting before disease day 4 [26]. Consequently, assuming all primary and post-primary dengue infections would yield IgG RDT negative and positive results, respectively, could result in misclassification. Despite studies demonstrating that combining the three NS1, IgM and IgG RDTs improves diagnostic performance, it remains unclear what exact combination of RDT outcomes, at specific stages of infection, indicate primary or post-primary dengue infections. Documenting DENV immune status at the point of care could assist surveillance operations. The age at which patients present with their first (primary) DENV infection has been shown to correlate with the force of infection in endemic cities [27] and establishing immune status promptly might assist in the deployment of vaccinations targeted at those with primary DENV exposure [28]. Moreover, as patients can deteriorate quickly during a DENV infection, determining primary and post-primary immune status prior to the development of severe symptoms could potentially assist in clinical case management in health care settings [1]. For instance, post-primary DENV patients could receive closer monitoring and be prioritised for limited IHT compared to primary DENV patients. Yet whether this would be appropriate for effective case management remains unknown and would require further investigation. Prior to this study, we generated and validated an algorithm capable of distinguishing individual primary and post-primary DENV immune status that relies on basic epidemiological and laboratory-obtained metrics from single serum samples [12]. The framework utilises individual molecular and serological DENV metrics from the CDC fourplex DENV1-4 PCR assay and commercial IgM and IgG capture ELISAs (Panbio, Abbott, Cat no. 01PE10 & 01PE20), respectively. Panbio serological assays were chosen based on a WHO report which compared their performance to other commercial assays which revealed similar sensitivities [29]. The novel algorithm achieved 90% agreement with the WHO gold standard method for categorising immune status based on paired sera and proved superior to the Panbio method for classifying immune status [11, 12]. Given dengue serological assays have been shown to detect cross-reactive antibodies elicited from other flavivirus infections, including Zika virus (ZIKV) which is often co-endemic with dengue [30-32], previous analysis explored the impact of ZIKV exposure on the generated DENV immune status algorithm [12]. Results revealed a proportion of those with post-primary, opposed to primary, DENV infections had evidence of ZIKV IgG but not IgM exposure. This suggested some patients had historical ZIKV exposure that primed individuals for a subsequent post-primary-like, instead of a primary-like, DENV infection upon their first infection with DENV. Moreover, further analysis suggested post-primary DENV infections with prior ZIKV exposure were at risk of adverse clinical symptoms [32] which has been previously reported in Nicaragua [33]. These findings suggested that individuals categorised as post-primary DENV infections include those with either prior exposure to DENV and/or other flaviviruses [12]. A major challenge associated with the generated immune status algorithm is the reliance on laboratory-derived metrics (PCR and ELISA), consequently this framework has limited value in low-resource, regional health care settings [16]. In this study, we investigated whether RDTs can be utilised to accurately determine primary and post-primary immune status of reporting patients at the point of care. Specifically, we examined: 1) the utility of combining the outcomes of NS1, IgM and IgG RDTs in accurately capturing both primary and post-primary dengue infections; 2) the translatability between dengue laboratory tests and RDTs; and 3) The probability of being primary or post-primary dengue cases by every possible NS1, IgM and IgG RDT outcome at specific days of disease.

Methods

Ethics statement

This study was approved by the ethical review boards of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (Ref: 17853), the Research Institute for Tropical Medicine (Ref: 2017–014), Nagasaki University/The National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Vietnam (Ref: VN01057) and Eijkman Institute for Molecular Biology (Ref: 136/2019). Verbal consent was obtained from patients over 18 years, while verbal assent was acquired from those under 18 years coupled with parent/guardian consent, for the use of serum samples. All unique participant identifiers were removed before data acquisition.

Data collection

Data were obtained from suspected dengue patients who visited health care facilities during the acute stage of disease in the Philippines (N: 28,326), Vietnam (N: 1,217) and Indonesia (N: 200). Suspected dengue patients included those with a self-reported sudden acute fever coupled with at least two additional warning signs: headache, malaise, myalgia, arthralgia, retro-orbital pain, anorexia, nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea, flushed skin and/or rash in accordance with WHO criteria [6]. Specific data collected from patients in each dataset are highlighted in (S1 Table). In the Philippines, data were collected from a survey of dengue patients who visited disease reporting units (DRUs) situated across the country between 2014 and 2018. In major, regional DRUs, five weekly random serum samples were collected from suspected dengue patients during the acute phase of disease. In smaller regional health care centres across the Philippines, samples were collected from patients during an upsurge in case reporting defined according to Philippine Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (PIDSR) criteria [34]. Additional epidemiological data were collected from patients including age, sex, disease day (date of reporting–date of symptom onset), symptoms (no warning signs, warning signs, severe dengue). Serum samples were sent to the Research Institute of Tropical Medicine (Department of Health, Manila, Philippines) for further laboratory testing. In Vietnam, data used in this study were obtained from those who reported with suspected dengue to a Polyclinic or the Tropical Disease Hospital out-patient clinic in Nha Trang city between October 2016 and May 2019. We enrolled patients who gave home addresses from four communes in Nha Trang City: Vinh Hai, Vinh Phuoc, Vinh Tho, and Vinh Hoa. Serum samples underwent subsequent laboratory testing at the Pasteur Institute in Nha Trang. Epidemiological data collected from patients included: Age, sex, symptoms, and disease day. In Indonesia, serum samples were collected from suspected dengue patients that reported across regions of Indonesia between July 2014 and July 2019 originally obtained for a previous study [18]. Additional epidemiological data provided for each sample included age and disease day. Samples were stored and assayed at the Eijkman Institute, Jakarta, Indonesia.

Dengue testing

All serum samples collected from patients included in this study (N: 29,743) received laboratory dengue testing in their respective institutes. Samples were assayed for the presence of DENV1-4 viremia using the CDC fourplex, real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test according to methods described in [35]. Briefly, dengue serotype-specific primers amplify viral RNA and yield critical threshold (Ct) values which inversely corresponds to the level of viral RNA (viremia). Samples with Ct values ≤36 were considered PCR positive for DENV. The presence of DENV IgM and IgG antibodies was performed using Panbio capture ELISAs according to manufacturer’s instructions (Cat no: 01PE20; 01PE21, Abbott). Assays detect IgM/G antibodies specific to all serotypes and provide plate-calibrated titre outputs termed ‘panbio units’. Additional laboratory and RDT testing were conducted among samples obtained from Vietnam and Indonesia. In Vietnam, patients were tested, at the point of care in the Polyclinic, for the presence and absence of NS1 using DENV NS1 RDTs (Cat no: 70700, Bio-Rad, Inc) (N: 1,217). Among samples from Indonesia, patient serum samples were tested for DENV NS1 using both NS1 capture ELISAs (Cat no: 01PE40, Abbott) and NS1 RDTs (Cat no: 09DEN10D, SD Biosensor) according to commercial guidelines and in the laboratory. NS1 capture ELISAs generated plate-calibrated titres termed ‘NS1 panbio units’. Finally, samples collected from Indonesia were further tested for the presence or absence of DENV IgM/G using IgM and IgG RDTs in line with manufacturers specifications in the laboratory (Cat no: 09DEN20D, SD Biosensor). A summary of the data collected from reporting patients in each country are shown in (S1 Table).

Statistical analysis

Using laboratory and basic epidemiological data, we categorized the reference DENV immune status (primary, post-primary, historical and negative) of the entire study population using the exact methods described in [12]. Patients who reported as either PCR+ or IgM+ (Ct≤36 or IgM panbio units>9.9) were classified as active DENV infections as both these markers are detectable during infection. PCR- and IgM- (IgM panbio units<9.9) cases were categorised as non-active DENV infections and represent patients misdiagnosed as suspected active dengue. Non-active DENV infections were further classified as historical or negative if they were DENV IgG positive (IgG panbio units>2.2) or negative (IgG panbio units<2.2), respectively. Historical and negative cases included misdiagnosed patients who reported without a current dengue infection yet with and without previous exposure to DENV, respectively. IgG:IgM ratios (IgG panbio units/IgM panbio units) were used to distinguish active DENV infections as primary or post-primary cases. Among active dengue patients at the early stage of disease (disease day 1 or 2), those DENV IgG+ and IgG- were classed as post-primary and primary respectively. Among active cases on disease day 3 to 5, individuals with IgG:IgM ratios above and below 0.45 were categorised as post-primary and primary respectively. As a consequence of previous findings [12, 32], post-primary cases included current DENV infections with at least one previous flavivirus infection including DENV and or ZIKV. An overview of the reference DENV immune status classification is shown in S1 File. Using binomial logistic regression modelling, we estimated the probability of being RDT positive according to corresponding laboratory-derived metrics with 95% confidence intervals (ELISA & PCR). Using data from Indonesia, we estimated the probability of being IgM and IgG RDT positive according to IgM and IgG panbio units, respectively. From the Vietnam dataset, we predicted the probability of being NS1 RDT positive according to DENV viremia (Ct value). To account for the lag in NS1 production during the viraemic stage of infection, we stratified NS1 logistic regression models by disease day. To assess the validity of logistic regression modelling, Hosmer–Lemeshow tests were used to determine appropriate model fits (p-value>0.05). For each model, the optimal laboratory-derived metric cut off for RDT positivity was determined using Youden’s J index (sensitivity + specificity– 1) [36]. The threshold refers to the optimal estimated probability of being RDT positive according to sensitivity/specificity based on actual RDT outcomes. This approach was adopted to minimise the misclassification of RDT outcomes according to corresponding laboratory metrics. Moreover, the percentage agreement between of the combined (NS1, IgM and IgG) estimated and actual RDT outcomes were calculated. To estimate immune status according to RDTs, we estimated the NS1, IgM and IgG RDT status of all patients from the Philippines with defined primary, post-primary, historical and negative DENV immune status according to laboratory testing (S1 File). Lastly, we calculated the probability of being primary, post-primary, historical and negative according to every combination of RDT result possible using all three rapid tests, stratified by disease day.

Results

In our study population, we observed similar demographic characteristics among suspected dengue patients who reported in Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines (S2 Table). Most were aged between 6–15 years (≥33.4%), reported 3–4 days after the onset of disease symptoms (≥51.0%) and presented with post-primary DENV infections (≥48.7%). There were contrasting patterns in the DENV serotypes patients presented with. In Vietnam only 0.5% (4/803) of patients assayed by PCR were DENV-3, while among those assayed for PCR in the Philippine dataset, 17.1% were DENV-3 (4535/26,494).

Dengue infection kinetics

We explored disease-day stratified DENV infection kinetics among primary and post-primary dengue patients according to the laboratory and RDT data collected among patients from Indonesia (Fig 1) (N:200). Viremia, as measured by Ct value, and NS1 levels, measured by ELISA, plateaued at higher levels during the acute phase of primary infections (Fig 1A and 1B) yet were lower and dropped more rapidly during the acute phase of post-primary infections (Fig 1E and 1F). This was mirrored by the higher proportion of primary cases who were NS1 RDT positive (81.8% 45/55) compared to post-primary cases (45.9% 50/109) during the acute phase of disease (Fig 1I and 1M). Likewise, we found both IgM and IgG RDT outcomes matched IgM and IgG ELISA laboratory values, respectively. For IgG, ELISA titres among primary cases remained low during the acute phase with only 20.0% (11/55) IgG RDT positive (Fig 1D and 1K). In contrast, median IgG ELISA values increased to high levels among post-primary cases (Fig 1H) which was reflected by an increase in IgG RDT positivity from 13.3% (2/15) to 78.4% (29/37) on disease days 1–2 and 4–5, respectively (Fig 1O). Given not all early-stage post-primary cases yielded IgG RDT positive outcomes, these results indicate assuming post-primary and primary DENV cases would present as IgG RDT positive and negative, respectively, would result in immune status misclassification. Lastly, we found combining RDTs maximised the chances of identifying primary and post-primary DENV infections at all stages of acute disease. For primary and post-primary cases, 94.6% (52/55) and 95.4% (104/109) were positive to either NS1, IgM or IgG RDTs, respectively (Fig 1L and 1P).
Fig 1

Infection kinetics among primary and post-primary DENV patients from Indonesia by disease day according to laboratory and rapid tests.

A-H: Boxplots of viremia (Ct), NS1, IgM and IgG by disease day among primary and post-primary cases according to PCR and ELISA tests. I-P: Proportion RDT positive to NS1, IgM, IgG and all combined by disease day among primary and post-primary cases. Black error bars: 90% confidence intervals based on t-distributions. (Primary N: 55) (Post-primary N:109).

Infection kinetics among primary and post-primary DENV patients from Indonesia by disease day according to laboratory and rapid tests.

A-H: Boxplots of viremia (Ct), NS1, IgM and IgG by disease day among primary and post-primary cases according to PCR and ELISA tests. I-P: Proportion RDT positive to NS1, IgM, IgG and all combined by disease day among primary and post-primary cases. Black error bars: 90% confidence intervals based on t-distributions. (Primary N: 55) (Post-primary N:109). Among patients from the Philippines with serotype and PCR (Ct values) data, we explored whether the contrasting viremia kinetics among primary and post-primary cases during the acute stage of disease were driven by the infecting serotype (S1 Fig). Irrespective of serotype, viremia decreased from higher levels in primary cases compared to post-primary cases. We also investigated whether contrasting NS1 patterns observed between primary and post-primary cases was influenced by certain serotypes secreting more/less NS1 proteins (S3 Table). We found NS1 RDTs effectively captured most DENV1-4 PCR+ infections, regardless of immune status (Sensitivity>80% for each serotype).

Estimating RDT outcomes according to laboratory metrics

To investigate the translatability between laboratory and rapid dengue diagnostics, we explored whether DENV RDT outcomes could be predicted from DENV laboratory test results using logistic regression models. Models were assessed using Hosmer–Lemeshow tests which revealed no significant poor model fits (p-value>0.05) (S2 Fig). Among dengue patients from Indonesia (N:200), logistic regression models were used to estimate the probability of being IgM/G RDT positive according to IgM/G ELISA panbio units, respectively (Fig 2A and 2B). For both IgM and IgG, the estimated probability of being RDT positive increased with increasing ELISA panbio units. According to the highest Youden’s J-index values, thresholds of 15.2 and 11.9 panbio units provided the optimal sensitivity and specificity for determining IgM and IgG RDT positivity, respectively. Individuals with ELISA values below and above these thresholds were considered RDT positive for each antibody. This resulted in 43.0% (86/200) with estimated IgM RDT positive outcomes which corresponded to 37.5% (75/200) with actual IgM RDT positivity (Sensitivity: 74.7% [95%CI: 63.3–84.0%], Specificity: 76.0% [95%CI: 67.5–83.2%]) (Table 1). For IgG, our optimal threshold resulted in 47.0% (94/200) with estimated IgG RDT positivity which corresponded to 44.5% (89/200) actual IgG RDT positivity (Sensitivity: 82.0% [95%CI: 72.5–89.4%], Specificity: 81.1% [72.5–87.9%]) (Table 1).
Fig 2

Estimated probability of being DENV RDT positive according to corresponding laboratory-derived metrics using logistic regression modelling.

A: IgM RDT positivity according to IgM panbio units and the corresponding sensitivity/specificity among patients from Indonesia (N:200) B: IgG RDT positivity according to IgG panbio units and the corresponding sensitivity/specificity among patients from Indonesia (N:200) C: NS1 RDT positivity according to viremia (Ct value) and the corresponding sensitivity/specificity stratified by disease day among patients from Vietnam (N: 1,217). Grey dash: estimated laboratory-derived metric threshold for RDT positivity according to the optimal Youden’s J index value.

Table 1

Estimated laboratory-test values that yield RDT positive results compared to actual RDT outcomes.

Estimated RDT positivity threshold refer to the optimal Youden’s J index value. Estimated/actual NS1 RDT positivity determined among patients from Vietnam (N: 1,217). Estimated/actual IgM/IgG RDT positivity determined among patients from Indonesia (N:200).

DENVDiseaseLab testEstimated RDTActual RDT SensitivitySpecificity
metricdaythresholdapositivepositive
%Nn%Nn%[95% CI]%[95% CI]
NS11<29.3 Ct36.21385034.81384889.6[77.3-96.5]92.2[84.6-96.8]
 2<35.4 Ct65.929319368.929320291.1[86.3-94.6]90.1[82.1-95.4]
 3<37.4 Ct62.727917567.427918889.4[84.0-93.4]92.3[84.8-96.9]
 4<37.8 Ct56.128916268.928919972.9[66.1-78.9]81.1[71.5-88.6]
 5<37.7 Ct57.81428273.214210470.2[60.4-78.8]76.3[59.8-88.6]
IgM->15.2 PU43.02008637.52007574.7[63.3-84.0]76[67.5-83.2]
IgG->11.9 PU47.02009444.52008982.0[72.5-89.4]81.1[72.5-87.9]

a Estimated laboratory test value that corresponds to RDT positivity

Ct, Critical threshold; PU, Panbio units

Estimated probability of being DENV RDT positive according to corresponding laboratory-derived metrics using logistic regression modelling.

A: IgM RDT positivity according to IgM panbio units and the corresponding sensitivity/specificity among patients from Indonesia (N:200) B: IgG RDT positivity according to IgG panbio units and the corresponding sensitivity/specificity among patients from Indonesia (N:200) C: NS1 RDT positivity according to viremia (Ct value) and the corresponding sensitivity/specificity stratified by disease day among patients from Vietnam (N: 1,217). Grey dash: estimated laboratory-derived metric threshold for RDT positivity according to the optimal Youden’s J index value.

Estimated laboratory-test values that yield RDT positive results compared to actual RDT outcomes.

Estimated RDT positivity threshold refer to the optimal Youden’s J index value. Estimated/actual NS1 RDT positivity determined among patients from Vietnam (N: 1,217). Estimated/actual IgM/IgG RDT positivity determined among patients from Indonesia (N:200). a Estimated laboratory test value that corresponds to RDT positivity Ct, Critical threshold; PU, Panbio units Among patients from Vietnam (N: 1,217), we estimated NS1 RDT outcomes according to DENV viremia (PCR Ct value) (Fig 2C). As PCR assays detect DENV RNA directly from the virus and NS1 RDTs detect virus-secreted proteins that peak during and after viremia, we opted to stratify logistic regression models by disease day to account for the delayed NS1 production. For each day of disease, the probability of being NS1 RDT positive increased with decreasing Ct values (increasing viremia). According to the logistic function however, as day of disease progressed, individuals were more likely to be NS1 RDT positive at lower levels of viremia. For instance, among those with a DENV PCR Ct value of 34, we estimated 22.9% [95%CI: 11.8–33.7%] were NS1 RDT+ on disease day 1 while we estimated 79.6% [95%CI: 71.4–87.6%] were NS1 RDT positive on disease day 5 (Fig 2C). This infers NS1 levels are impacted by both the amount of virus and the stage of infection. Consequently, this yielded disease-day specific NS1 RDT thresholds according to PCR Ct values which increased with disease day (Table 1). Upon predicting NS1 RDT outcomes according to disease day-stratified thresholds, we estimated 36.2% (50/138) were NS1 RDT positive on disease day 1 which corresponded to 34.8% with actual NS1 RDT positive results on disease day 1 (Sensitivity: 89.6% [95%CI: 77.3–96.5%; Specificity: 92.2% [95%CI: 84.6–96.8%]). By disease day 5, this agreement decreased slightly as 57.8% (82/142) and 73.2% (104/142) had estimated and actual NS1 RDT results, respectively (Sensitivity: 70.2% [95%CI: 60.4–78.8%; Specificity: 76.3% [95%CI: 59.8–88.6%]) (Table 1). After generating DENV PCR and ELISA test thresholds that we estimated gave rise to NS1 and IgM/G RDT positive results, respectively, we explored how well our laboratory thresholds could estimate all 3 RDTs combined. Among the Indonesian sample population (N:200) who were tested using all 3 RDTs, we investigated the combined estimated RDT outcome agreement with the actual combined DENV RDT results (Table 2). Overall, our combined RDT outcome estimates achieved 79.5% (159/200) agreement overall. After stratifying by immune status, estimated and actual RDT agreement for primary and post-primary cases equated to 87.3% (48/55) and 78.0% (85/109), respectively. Together these results demonstrated that we were able to accurately determine the outcomes of DENV RDTs according to patient DENV laboratory metrics.
Table 2

Agreement between the estimated and actual combined DENV RDT results of patients in Indonesia.

DENV infectionCombined RDT
statusagreement
%nN
Age    
  0-582.42834
  6-1578.26887
  16-3082.63846
  ≥3175.82533
Disease day
1-284.23238
3-479.481102
576.74660
Serotype    
  DENV-192.02325
  DENV-280.02025
  DENV-380.02025
  DENV-476.01925
  PCR-77.077100
DENV immune status
Primary87.34855
Post-primary78.085109
Historical70.01420
Negative75.01216
Total 79.5159200

Combining RDTs to estimate primary and post-primary DENV status

According to the optimal dengue laboratory metric thresholds, we estimated the NS1, IgM and IgG RDT positive and negative status of study population in the Philippines which lacked RDT data (N: 28,326). For every possible RDT outcome using all three tests by disease day, we calculated the probability of being primary, post-primary and historical for dengue (Table 3). It should be noted, all those with at least one predicted positive RDT result were either primary, post-primary or historical for dengue. The most common combination of RDT outcomes in the study population was NS1-, IgM+ and IgG+ (5,745) while the least common was NS1+, IgM- and IgG+ (542). For many combinations of RDT outcomes on specified disease days, RDT results corresponded to very clear immune status outcomes. The presence of an IgG+ RDT result nearly always represented a post-primary DENV infection. For instance, on disease day 3, 100% (1,613/1,613) of patients with an estimated NS1- IgM+ IgG+ RDT outcome combination were post-primary dengue infections. At the early stages of infection (disease day 1–2), IgG negative RDT results yielded uninformative immune status outcomes. Yet towards the later stages of acute disease (disease day 3–5), IgG negative RDT results were often confirmatory of primary infections. For instance, patients with estimated NS1- IgM+ IgG- RDT outcomes on disease days 4 and 5 had a >99% probability of being a primary case. These results reveal certain combinations of RDT results, at different stages of infection, can be confidently used to determine immune status while some combinations yield more uncertain conclusions.
Table 3

The probability of being primary, post-primary or historical for DENV according to every outcome combination of NS1, IgM and IgG RDTs stratified by disease day.

RDT results estimated among patients from across the Philippines (N: 28,326).

Estimated RDTDisease day
result12345
TotalProbabilityTotalProbabilityTotalProbabilityTotalProbabilityTotalProbability
 HistHist   HistHist   Hist
1 positive RDT                             
NS1+ IgM- IgG- 248 0.510.490.0 460 0.470.530.0 612 0.360.640.0 299 0.440.560.0 78 0.460.540.0
NS1- IgM+ IgG- 180 0.450.550.0 224 0.510.490.0 364 0.980.020.0 376 0.990.010.0 270 0.990.010.0
NS1- IgM- IgG+ 160 0.00.480.52 246 0.00.440.56 388 0.00.460.54 308 0.00.490.51 184 0.00.470.53
2 positive RDTs                  
NS1+ IgM+ IgG- 18 0.330.670.0 118 0.480.520.0 237 0.970.030.0 265 0.970.030.0 98 0.960.040.00
NS1+ IgM- IgG+ 19 0.01.00.0 119 0.01.00.0 199 0.01.00.0 151 0.01.00.0 54 0.01.00.0
NS1- IgM+ IgG+ 551 0.01.00.0 908 0.01.00.0 1613 0.01.00.0 1747 0.01.00.0 926 0.01.00.0
3 positive RDTs                  
NS1+ IgM+ IgG+ 6 0.01.00.0 204 0.01.00.0 658 0.01.00.0 818 0.01.00.0 331 0.01.00.0

1°, Primary DENV; 2° Post-primary DENV; Hist, Historical DENV infection

The probability of being primary, post-primary or historical for DENV according to every outcome combination of NS1, IgM and IgG RDTs stratified by disease day.

RDT results estimated among patients from across the Philippines (N: 28,326). 1°, Primary DENV; 2° Post-primary DENV; Hist, Historical DENV infection

Discussion

In this study, we demonstrated that dengue rapid tests corresponded well to associated laboratory metrics and that combining different types of RDTs accurately captured laboratory-determined primary and post-primary DENV infections. At certain stages of an acute DENV infection, different combination of NS1, IgM and IgG RDT results gave rise to clear predictions of immune status, yet at other stages of disease, ambiguous immune status classifications were estimated. We found that IgG RDT positivity was almost always confirmatory of a post-primary DENV infection. In contrast, an IgG RDT negative result on fever days 1 and 2 were suggestive of both primary and post-primary infections while at fever days 3 to 5 were confirmatory of a primary infection. This infers simply classifying reporting primary and post-primary DENV cases according to IgG RDT negative and positive results, respectively, would lead to immune status misclassification. As shown previously, combining NS1, IgM and IgG DENV RDTs maximises the chances of capturing both primary and post-primary dengue infections and that using NS1 RDTs individually, risks misdiagnosing DENV infections [17, 22]. We revealed the poor performance of NS1 RDTs in diagnosing post-primary cases is attributed to the lower overall viremia post-primary cases experience during the acute phase of disease (relative to primary cases)—a trend that has been shown before [23, 24]. It has been suggested that enhanced, T-cell modulated, viral clearance may account for patients with post-primary dengue to present with lower viremia than primary cases [37, 38]. Alternatively, post-primary cases could just be typically reporting earlier than primary infections [39]. Concerning IgG RDTs, we found many early acute stage (fever day 1–2) post-primary infections were IgG RDT negative due to their low IgG titres. This may be a consequence of pre-elicited IgG titres rising from low levels during the early stage of a post-primary infection which are not high enough to generate a positive IgG RDT result due to elevated test thresholds [25]. In our study, we revealed individual laboratory metrics (PCR, IgM, IgG) were good predictors of corresponding NS1 IgM and IgG RDT outcomes. Despite this, we did observe some discordance between RDT results and laboratory metrics. For instance, several individuals with low antibody ELISA values still produced IgM/G RDT positive results. This might be due to the contrasting commercial brands used for the ELISAs and RDTs that rely on different epitopes present on DENV antigen that have contrasting immunogenicities. In contrast, some with elevated ELISA antibody response were negative for corresponding antibody RDTs. This trend could be attributed to ELISAs, yet not RDTs, cross-reacting with other flaviviruses including ZIKV which has shown to be potentially widespread across dengue-endemic countries [30-32]. It is now well established commercial DENV ELISAs cross-react with ZIKV [40, 41] yet whether DENV antibody rapid tests cross-react with ZIKV remains poorly characterised and deserves further attention [25, 42]. For NS1, we found as the disease progressed, the probability of being RDT positive increased for any level of viremia. This is likely a consequence of the time lag between DENV viremia and NS1 secretion whereby NS1 proteins persist longer in the bloodstream than detectable nucleic acid [23, 43]. This was likely a key factor for why we were less able to accurately predict NS1 RDT positivity later during the acute phase of disease. By disease day 5, our models predicted Ct value of less than 37 (very low viremia) had >50% probability of yielding a NS1 RDT positive result. Overall however, our estimated combined RDT outcomes achieved a high level of agreement with actual RDT outcomes in the study population demonstrating we could reasonably estimate the RDT status of those without RDT data. Our combined rapid test framework for determining primary and post-primary dengue immune status has the potential to assist dengue control efforts. It could strengthen regional surveillance systems in settings where laboratory testing is unfeasible [16]. For instance, health care workers could utilise the framework to calculate the age of those reporting primary infections to estimate and monitor the dengue force of infection as described in [27]. Furthermore, this framework could be used to inform vaccination deployment. Currently, the only fully licensed vaccine against dengue, Dengvaxia, is recommended to those with prior dengue exposure in endemic areas aged between 9 and 45 years [44]. This is to ensure dengue-naïve recipients are not primed for a subsequent severe secondary infection by vaccination [45, 46]. However, current screening methods are unable to distinguish those with one or multiple previous infection(s) [47]. Consequently, numerous individuals could be targeted, at cost, for vaccination yet would not benefit from the protection as they may have experienced multiple dengue infections beforehand. Our framework could be used to identify reporting patients with primary infections who represent suitable targets for vaccination. Moreover, monitoring the age of reporting primary infections in certain settings could be informative for population-based pre-vaccination screening. If in high endemicity areas patients report with their first dengue infection at an earlier age than 9 years, this could warrant other younger children in these areas for pre-vaccination screening. Our rapid test framework also has the potential to benefit dengue case management. Given a secondary DENV infection is a risk factor for severe disease [5, 48], determining immune status using these simple point-of-care tests could assist health care workers in prioritising patients for further monitoring and additional supportive treatment [10]. However, it should be noted that most suspected dengue cases who report to health facilities are post-primary DENV infections as these infections are associated with more symptomatic outcomes than primary infections [49, 50]. Consequently, prioritising all post-primary patients for additional severe disease monitoring in health care facilities would likely be unviable. Nonetheless, there are other potential prognostic markers of severe disease, including serum chymase [51] NS1 [52] and RNA/proteins [53]. Furthermore, it has been previously shown that post-primary dengue infections under the age of 10 years are at greater risk of severe disease than those over ten years [27]. Therefore, whether this immune status rapid test framework could be integrated with other prognostic markers into an early severe disease warning system, such as those described in [54, 55], warrants further investigation. There are some noteworthy limitations associated with this study. Firstly, our results are limited to the commercial diagnostics used in this analysis. Other commercial kits may have varying sensitivities and specificities that may yield slightly contrasting results. Despite this, our work provides a methodological framework for other kits to be evaluated. Secondly, the accuracy of this immune status RDT framework was based on a laboratory immune status framework that had 90.5% serological agreement with the gold standard WHO method for categorising primary and secondary dengue [12]. Therefore, our accuracy estimates are likely slightly overestimated. Lastly, our combined RDT outcome classification of immune status is based upon estimated, not actual, RDT results. This was necessary as just estimating the immune status based on the minority with actual RDT results would yield less confident results.

Conclusions

We describe methods for estimating the primary and post-primary immune status of dengue patients at the point of care, using a combination of simple-to-use rapid diagnostic tests. Using all three NS1, IgM and IgG RDTs, we demonstrate how at certain stages of infection health care workers and surveillance operations could confidently determine types of dengue infections. It is hoped our framework might lead to improved dengue case management and disease surveillance by identifying those who may benefit from close monitoring and could be utilised to estimate dengue transmission intensity.

A summary of data collected from suspected dengue patients included in the study population from Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines.

(XLSX) Click here for additional data file.

Demographic characteristics of the reporting study population at enrolment.

Includes suspected dengue case reports who reported in Indonesia (N:200), Vietnam (N:1,217) and the Philippines (N: 28,326). (XLSX) Click here for additional data file.

Sensitivity (95%CI) of NS1 RDTs in capturing DENV1-4 infections stratified by immune status among patients from Vietnam (N:1,217).

(XLSX) Click here for additional data file.

An overview of the methods used to characterise the DENV primary and post-primary immune status according to laboratory test methods.

(DOCX) Click here for additional data file.

Disease day stratified patterns in viremia (Ct value) among primary and post-primary dengue cases from across the Philippines (N: 28,326).

(TIF) Click here for additional data file.

Hosmer–Lemeshow plots used to assess the logistic regression model fits for IgM, IgG and NS1 RDTs.

p-values >0.05 infer good model fit. (DOCX) Click here for additional data file. 1 Feb 2022 Dear Mr Biggs, Thank you very much for submitting your manuscript "Combining rapid diagnostic tests to estimate primary and post-primary dengue immune status at the point of care" for consideration at PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. As with all papers reviewed by the journal, your manuscript was reviewed by members of the editorial board and by several independent reviewers. In light of the reviews (below this email), we would like to invite the resubmission of a significantly-revised version that takes into account the reviewers' comments. The reviwers expressed interests in a discussion or comparison of the method proposed in this study with other protocols published that have been used to classify primary and post-primary dengue infections, and how Zika infection would interfere with the analyzes We cannot make any decision about publication until we have seen the revised manuscript and your response to the reviewers' comments. Your revised manuscript is also likely to be sent to reviewers for further evaluation. When you are ready to resubmit, please upload the following: [1] A letter containing a detailed list of your responses to the review comments and a description of the changes you have made in the manuscript. Please note while forming your response, if your article is accepted, you may have the opportunity to make the peer review history publicly available. The record will include editor decision letters (with reviews) and your responses to reviewer comments. If eligible, we will contact you to opt in or out. [2] Two versions of the revised manuscript: one with either highlights or tracked changes denoting where the text has been changed; the other a clean version (uploaded as the manuscript file). Important additional instructions are given below your reviewer comments. Please prepare and submit your revised manuscript within 60 days. If you anticipate any delay, please let us know the expected resubmission date by replying to this email. Please note that revised manuscripts received after the 60-day due date may require evaluation and peer review similar to newly submitted manuscripts. Thank you again for your submission. We hope that our editorial process has been constructive so far, and we welcome your feedback at any time. Please don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or comments. Sincerely, Ernesto T. A. Marques, M.D./Ph.D Associate Editor PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases Rebecca Rico-Hesse Deputy Editor PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases *********************** The reviwers expressed interests in a discussion or comparison of the method proposed in this study with other protocols published that have been used to classify primary and post-primary dengue infections, and how Zika infection would interfere with the analyzes Reviewer's Responses to Questions Key Review Criteria Required for Acceptance? As you describe the new analyses required for acceptance, please consider the following: Methods -Are the objectives of the study clearly articulated with a clear testable hypothesis stated? -Is the study design appropriate to address the stated objectives? -Is the population clearly described and appropriate for the hypothesis being tested? -Is the sample size sufficient to ensure adequate power to address the hypothesis being tested? -Were correct statistical analysis used to support conclusions? -Are there concerns about ethical or regulatory requirements being met? Reviewer #1: The study presented by Biggs et al. is well-conducted and included appropriate methods and analysis. However, this reviewers finds that there are some concerns to be addressed to improve the clarity and interpretability of their work. 1.a. Regarding the methodology, and although the study has been properly conducted, the first limitation that came to my attention was the choice of the standard serologic assay. Was any kind of accuracy comparison performed among the panbio test and other commercially available kits that would justify the choice of the first? 1.b. The authors state on page 11, lines 321-323 that participants’ DENV immune status classification was performed based on methods described in the reference #12. Although, unnecessary repetition of published data/methods shall be avoided, it is now clear to the reader how this classification was performed. Ref #12 describes the development of an algorithm to properly differentiate active from previous DENV infections based on demographic and serologic data and comparisons to WHO gold standard. In the current manuscript, it is not clear if the authors kept the same rationale or simply used the cut-off suggested by the Panbio test manufacturer. Reviewer #2: Yes except where noted in the comments Reviewer #3: -(261) Is there an EC approval from Vietnam? -(263) How many verbals consent and assent were obtained (from 3 sites)? -(298) N: 29,634 (28326+1217+200=29743) -(310) NS1 RDT from Vietnam and Indonesia are different company? -(313,317) SD Biosensor, Abbott? -(323) How long IgM, IgG can be prolonged after infection? -(333) Fever day 2 (PCR-, NS1-, IgM+, IgG+) = active post-primary or recent dengue infection? -------------------- Results -Does the analysis presented match the analysis plan? -Are the results clearly and completely presented? -Are the figures (Tables, Images) of sufficient quality for clarity? Reviewer #1: The conclusions presented by the current manuscript are in agreement with the generated data and performed analysis. However, information regarding cross-reactivity with other flavivirus is not discussed in the results/discussion section, although it is of utmost importance for the present work. 1.c. DENV active infection (as determined by PCR) and DENV serology (as determined by ELISA) seem to be well characterised in the study, however the authors have not included any data regarding cross-reactivity with other co-circulating flaviviruses. Indeed, the authors state on page 11, lines 335-336 that “Post-primary cases include current DENV infections with at least one previous flavivirus exposure.” As cases of flaviviruses co-infection and several hypothesis indicating more severe Dengue or Zika clinical phenotypes associated to previous flavivirus exposure, how would the authors explain the applicability of the proposed diagnostic framework? Also, how did the authors rule out the possibility of flavivirus co-infection and further DENV misclassification? Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: -(S2 Table) Why Indonesia showed equal DENV1-4 -S3 Table result came from which country? -(433) Indonesia and Vietnam results were similar or different? -(445) Table 2 is the Vietnam result? -(460) Different NS1 RDTs (from Vietnam) showed similar agreement? -(470) Why didn’t compare with the actual RDT result? -(471) Is there any change of being negative in Table 3 -------------------- Conclusions -Are the conclusions supported by the data presented? -Are the limitations of analysis clearly described? -Do the authors discuss how these data can be helpful to advance our understanding of the topic under study? -Is public health relevance addressed? Reviewer #1: The conclusions were appropriately drawn based on the authors' findings. Reviewer #2: Yes Reviewer #3: -(495) Diagnosis of acute dengue infection from suspected dengue patients need confirmed lab test (PCR+) before combination of RDTs results can give clear predictions of immune status. -(520,528) Please also compare with both NS1 RDTs companies. -(552) How many severe dengue in primary and post-primary? -------------------- Editorial and Data Presentation Modifications? Use this section for editorial suggestions as well as relatively minor modifications of existing data that would enhance clarity. If the only modifications needed are minor and/or editorial, you may wish to recommend “Minor Revision” or “Accept”. Reviewer #1: A few minor concerns are listed below to improve clarity: 2.a. Dengue testing: - S1 Table should be replaced by S2 Table on page 11, line 318. Also, please clarify the meaning of each symbol used in the table, according to the main text. - S2 Table: Although information on how DENV immune status of the participants was determined at the time of enrolment is described in the main text, this information should also be mentioned in the table. 2.b. Data analysis: - Adding a figure describing the diagnostic algorithm (or rationale) used in the study would greatly benefit the manuscript. Reviewer #2: (No Response) Reviewer #3: (No Response) -------------------- Summary and General Comments Use this section to provide overall comments, discuss strengths/weaknesses of the study, novelty, significance, general execution and scholarship. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. If requesting major revision, please articulate the new experiments that are needed. Reviewer #1: The goal of this manuscript was to determine and validate a framework to properly differentiate samples from primary and post-primary Dengue infections based on different combinations of points of care tests. The authors provided a well-conducted study with interesting results, however, the main limitations seem to be the choice of the standard serologic test and the lack of information regarding cross-reactivity with other flavivirus (e.g.; Zika). These two factors would be crucial to validate the authors' data and the proposed diagnostic framework. Further comments are presented in the previous sections of this review. Reviewer #2: Well written and interesting article on using combinations of tests to diagnose primary, secondary (+), historic or uninfected patients with suspected dengue. I have a few questions that I think would improve the manuscript if the authors could address them (immediately below) and then some minor points for their consideration. It wasn’t clear why optimising a statistical measure (Youden’s J index) is the best way to select thresholds, especially if those thresholds are going to lead to decisions being made on clinical care. A more thoughtful determination of the relative importance of sensitivity and specificity is called for. The authors have done logistic regressions of numerical test results to overall classification. I would have expected them to do two further things to demonstrate the validity of the logistic regressions: (1) to fit non-linear (on the logit scale) relationships for instance using splines to assure themselves and the reader that a linear relationship holds and/or (2) to present empirical estimates of the proportions to show that the logistic curve adequately characterises the data. This could be done through Hosmer-Lemeshow plots, or simply by aggregating all the points with IgM panbio below 10, from 10 to 20, 20 to 30 etc (say) and showing the empirical proportion and confidence interval is similar to that from the logistic regression. The combined framework leads to quite some uncertainty on the disease category (Table 3) for some combinations, such as disease day 1 and 2 with 1 positive RDT. If Table 3 is meant as a look up table, would there be no benefit to using the numeric values presented in Fig 2 to reduce the uncertainty? I thought it odd to coarsen the data at this early stage. Minor points: 182: Presumably the cases ‘sought’ care rather than ‘sort’ed care. 244: Awkward phraseology. “For instance, patients with a post-primary dengue infection could be given greater priority for monitoring and IHT than patients with primary dengue.” Would be better 255: Careful: elsewhere this is given as ‘days of disease’ rather than of infection. 607: If ethics permits it, it would be preferable to make the data available online without needing the intercession of the corresponding author. Figure 1: The whiskers on the bars are not defined. I assume they are 95%Cis. If so, several of the whiskers extend beyond the legal range (all six panels in panel B and both the panels in panel C [by the way, shouldn’t the panels be labelled a to p rather than a to c?]). Furthermore, some are seemingly deterministic (four bars in three of the panels in panels B and C). If the sample sizes are too small for the normal approximation to be valid then the authors should use a different way to construct confidence intervals. Reviewer #3: -The paper is interesting but difficult to follow so please include study flow chart. -What are the reasons for multiple sites without comparison? -------------------- PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #2: No Reviewer #3: No Figure Files: While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email us at figures@plos.org. Data Requirements: Please note that, as a condition of publication, PLOS' data policy requires that you make available all data used to draw the conclusions outlined in your manuscript. Data must be deposited in an appropriate repository, included within the body of the manuscript, or uploaded as supporting information. This includes all numerical values that were used to generate graphs, histograms etc.. For an example see here: http://www.plosbiology.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pbio.1001908#s5. Reproducibility: To enhance the reproducibility of your results, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io, where a protocol can be assigned its own identifier (DOI) such that it can be cited independently in the future. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option to publish peer-reviewed clinical study protocols. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols 11 Mar 2022 Submitted filename: Author_response_to_reviews.docx Click here for additional data file. 28 Mar 2022 Dear Mr Biggs, We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript 'Combining rapid diagnostic tests to estimate primary and post-primary dengue immune status at the point of care' has been provisionally accepted for publication in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. Before your manuscript can be formally accepted you will need to complete some formatting changes, which you will receive in a follow up email. A member of our team will be in touch with a set of requests. Please note that your manuscript will not be scheduled for publication until you have made the required changes, so a swift response is appreciated. IMPORTANT: The editorial review process is now complete. PLOS will only permit corrections to spelling, formatting or significant scientific errors from this point onwards. Requests for major changes, or any which affect the scientific understanding of your work, will cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript. Should you, your institution's press office or the journal office choose to press release your paper, you will automatically be opted out of early publication. We ask that you notify us now if you or your institution is planning to press release the article. All press must be co-ordinated with PLOS. Thank you again for supporting Open Access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. Best regards, Ernesto T. A. Marques, M.D./Ph.D Associate Editor PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases Rebecca Rico-Hesse Deputy Editor PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases *********************************************************** Reviewer's Responses to Questions Key Review Criteria Required for Acceptance? As you describe the new analyses required for acceptance, please consider the following: Methods -Are the objectives of the study clearly articulated with a clear testable hypothesis stated? -Is the study design appropriate to address the stated objectives? -Is the population clearly described and appropriate for the hypothesis being tested? -Is the sample size sufficient to ensure adequate power to address the hypothesis being tested? -Were correct statistical analysis used to support conclusions? -Are there concerns about ethical or regulatory requirements being met? Reviewer #1: The revised version of the manuscript by Biggs and colleagues has clarified the concerns previously raised by this reviewer. The choice of the standard serological test to be used and the criteria for DENV immune status classification are now properly presented in the final version of this manuscript. Reviewer #3: The study presented by Biggs et al. is well-conducted and included appropriate methods and analysis. Moreover, this revised version addresses all reviewer comments well. ********** Results -Does the analysis presented match the analysis plan? -Are the results clearly and completely presented? -Are the figures (Tables, Images) of sufficient quality for clarity? Reviewer #1: The impact of ZIKV co-circulation and antibody cross-reactivity on the study data was addressed by the authors. The concerns raised by this reviewer were fully addressed. Reviewer #3: The results presented by the revised manuscript are in agreement with the generated data and performed analysis. ********** Conclusions -Are the conclusions supported by the data presented? -Are the limitations of analysis clearly described? -Do the authors discuss how these data can be helpful to advance our understanding of the topic under study? -Is public health relevance addressed? Reviewer #1: - Reviewer #3: The conclusions were appropriately drawn based on the authors' findings. ********** Editorial and Data Presentation Modifications? Use this section for editorial suggestions as well as relatively minor modifications of existing data that would enhance clarity. If the only modifications needed are minor and/or editorial, you may wish to recommend “Minor Revision” or “Accept”. Reviewer #1: Minor concerns/editing previously raised were properly addressed to better present data tables and analysis. Reviewer #3: Accept ********** Summary and General Comments Use this section to provide overall comments, discuss strengths/weaknesses of the study, novelty, significance, general execution and scholarship. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. If requesting major revision, please articulate the new experiments that are needed. Reviewer #1: This reviewer considers that the revised version of the manuscript by Biggs et al. addresses all the concerns previously raised and, therefore, this reviewer is satisfied with the comments and answers provided. Reviewer #3: The authors provided a well-conducted study with interesting results. ********** PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files. If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public. Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: No Reviewer #3: No 20 Apr 2022 Dear Mr Biggs, We are delighted to inform you that your manuscript, "Combining rapid diagnostic tests to estimate primary and post-primary dengue immune status at the point of care," has been formally accepted for publication in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. We have now passed your article onto the PLOS Production Department who will complete the rest of the publication process. All authors will receive a confirmation email upon publication. The corresponding author will soon be receiving a typeset proof for review, to ensure errors have not been introduced during production. Please review the PDF proof of your manuscript carefully, as this is the last chance to correct any scientific or type-setting errors. Please note that major changes, or those which affect the scientific understanding of the work, will likely cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript. Note: Proofs for Front Matter articles (Editorial, Viewpoint, Symposium, Review, etc...) are generated on a different schedule and may not be made available as quickly. Soon after your final files are uploaded, the early version of your manuscript will be published online unless you opted out of this process. The date of the early version will be your article's publication date. The final article will be published to the same URL, and all versions of the paper will be accessible to readers. Thank you again for supporting open-access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. Best regards, Shaden Kamhawi co-Editor-in-Chief PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases Paul Brindley co-Editor-in-Chief PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
  48 in total

1.  Vaccine-attributable severe dengue in the Philippines.

Authors:  Annelies Wilder-Smith; Stefan Flasche; Peter G Smith
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2019-12-14       Impact factor: 79.321

2.  Dynamics of dengue disease severity determined by the interplay between viral genetics and serotype-specific immunity.

Authors:  Molly OhAinle; Angel Balmaseda; Alexander R Macalalad; Yolanda Tellez; Michael C Zody; Saira Saborío; Andrea Nuñez; Niall J Lennon; Bruce W Birren; Aubree Gordon; Matthew R Henn; Eva Harris
Journal:  Sci Transl Med       Date:  2011-12-21       Impact factor: 17.956

3.  Comprehensive Evaluation of Differential Serodiagnosis between Zika and Dengue Viral Infections.

Authors:  Day-Yu Chao; Matthew T Whitney; Brent S Davis; Freddy A Medina; Jorge L Munoz; Gwong-Jen J Chang
Journal:  J Clin Microbiol       Date:  2019-02-27       Impact factor: 5.948

4.  Cross reactivity of commercial anti-dengue immunoassays in patients with acute Zika virus infection.

Authors:  Alvina Clara Felix; Nathalia C Santiago Souza; Walter M Figueiredo; Angela A Costa; Marta Inenami; Rosangela M G da Silva; José Eduardo Levi; Claudio Sergio Pannuti; Camila Malta Romano
Journal:  J Med Virol       Date:  2017-03-03       Impact factor: 2.327

5.  The Long-Term Safety, Public Health Impact, and Cost-Effectiveness of Routine Vaccination with a Recombinant, Live-Attenuated Dengue Vaccine (Dengvaxia): A Model Comparison Study.

Authors:  Stefan Flasche; Mark Jit; Isabel Rodríguez-Barraquer; Laurent Coudeville; Mario Recker; Katia Koelle; George Milne; Thomas J Hladish; T Alex Perkins; Derek A T Cummings; Ilaria Dorigatti; Daniel J Laydon; Guido España; Joel Kelso; Ira Longini; Jose Lourenco; Carl A B Pearson; Robert C Reiner; Luis Mier-Y-Terán-Romero; Kirsten Vannice; Neil Ferguson
Journal:  PLoS Med       Date:  2016-11-29       Impact factor: 11.069

6.  Differentiating secondary from primary dengue using IgG to IgM ratio in early dengue: an observational hospital based clinico-serological study from North India.

Authors:  Khalid Hamid Changal; Ab Hameed Raina; Adnan Raina; Manzoor Raina; Rehana Bashir; Muzamil Latief; Tanveer Mir; Qayum Hamid Changal
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2016-11-28       Impact factor: 3.090

7.  A review of dengue diagnostics and implications for surveillance and control.

Authors:  Nader Raafat; Stuart D Blacksell; Richard J Maude
Journal:  Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg       Date:  2019-11-01       Impact factor: 2.184

8.  Discovery and Validation of Prognostic Biomarker Models to Guide Triage among Adult Dengue Patients at Early Infection.

Authors:  Junxiong Pang; Anna Lindblom; Thomas Tolfvenstam; Tun-Linn Thein; Ahmad Nazri Mohamed Naim; Ling Ling; Angelia Chow; Mark I-Cheng Chen; Eng Eong Ooi; Yee Sin Leo; Martin L Hibberd
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2016-06-10       Impact factor: 3.240

9.  Methods to discriminate primary from secondary dengue during acute symptomatic infection.

Authors:  Thi Hanh Tien Nguyen; Hannah E Clapham; Khanh Lam Phung; Thanh Kieu Nguyen; The Trung DInh; Than Ha Quyen Nguyen; Van Ngoc Tran; Stephen Whitehead; Cameron Simmons; Marcel Wolbers; Bridget Wills
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2018-08-07       Impact factor: 3.090

Review 10.  A review of Dengvaxia®: development to deployment.

Authors:  Stephen J Thomas; In-Kyu Yoon
Journal:  Hum Vaccin Immunother       Date:  2019-10-07       Impact factor: 3.452

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