| Literature DB >> 35480111 |
Yuan-Quan Si1, Xiu-Qin Wang1,2, Cui-Cui Pan1, Yong Wang1, Zhi-Ming Lu1.
Abstract
Objective: This study aims to establish a nomogram and provide an effective method to distinguish between intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Entities:
Keywords: CA125; CA199; PIVKA-II; alpha-fetoprotein; hepatocellular carcinoma; intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; nomogram
Year: 2022 PMID: 35480111 PMCID: PMC9035637 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.833999
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 5.738
Figure 1Flowchart detailing the patient selection process and exclusion criteria.
Baseline characteristics of the development and validation groups.
| Variables | Training (n = 1197) | Validation (n = 394) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 57.82 (10.36) | 57.77 (10.12) | 0.942 |
| Sex | 0.642 | ||
| Male | 931 (77.78%) | 302 (76.65%) | |
| Female | 266 (22.22%) | 92 (23.35%) | |
| PLT (109/L) | 190.19 (91.19) | 185.18 (86.14) | 0.338 |
| RBC (1012/L) | 4.42 (0.62) | 4.38 (0.66) | 0.252 |
| WBC (109/L) | 5.99 (2.75) | 5.86 (2.63) | 0.391 |
| AFP (ng/mL) | 9.20 (2.70–181.50) | 8.94 (2.90–195.05) | 0.575 |
| AFP-L3% | 4.60 (0.50–32.40) | 3.50 (0.50–19.98) | 0.143 |
| CEA (ng/ml) | 2.83 (1.80–4.57) | 2.83 (1.88–4.30) | 0.837 |
| CA125 (U/ml) | 14.80 (9.71–29.43) | 13.56 (8.91–28.19) | 0.099 |
| CA199 (IU/ml) | 21.20 (11.94–56.00) | 21.45 (11.57–58.75) | 0.851 |
| PIVKA-II (mAU/ml) | 114.00 (27.78–1266.06) | 146.92 (28.25–1776.50) | 0.374 |
| AST (U/L) | 33.00 (24.00–55.00) | 37.00 (25.00–60.75) | 0.036 |
| ALT (U/L) | 29.00 (19.00–51.00) | 32.50 (20.00–53.00) | 0.212 |
| TP (g/L) | 69.66 (7.25) | 70.01 (7.28) | 0.411 |
| ALB (g/L) | 39.89 (5.31) | 39.47 (5.24) | 0.181 |
| GGT (U/L) | 55.00 (29.00–131.00) | 60.00 (32.00–148.50) | 0.083 |
| TBIL (μmol/L) | 16.50 (12.34–23.56) | 16.69 (12.00–22.38) | 0.721 |
| DBIL (μmol/L) | 3.64 (2.60–5.71) | 3.70 (2.52–5.65) | 0.727 |
| HBV | 0.448 | ||
| No | 383 (32.00%) | 118 (29.95%) | |
| Yes | 814 (68.00%) | 276 (70.05%) | |
| HCV | 0.126 | ||
| No | 1,166 (97.41%) | 389 (98.73%) | |
| Yes | 31 (2.59%) | 5 (1.27%) | |
| Clinicopathological staging | 0.648 | ||
| Well differentiation | 176 (14.70%) | 56 (14.21%) | |
| Moderate differentiation | 720 (60.15%) | 247 (62.69%) | |
| Poor differentiation | 301 (25.15%) | 91 (23.10%) |
Categorical variables are expressed as frequency. Continuous variables are expressed as mean (SD) or median with interquartile range (IQR).
PLT, platelet; RBC, red blood cell; WBC, white blood cell; AFP, α-fetoprotein level; AFP-L3, an isoform of AFP characterized by the presence of an a 1–6-linked residue on the AFP carbohydrate side chain; CA199, carbohydrate antigen 199; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; PIVKA-II, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II; CA125, carbohydrate antigen 125; ALT, alanine transaminase; AST, aspartate transaminase; GGT, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase; TP, total protein; ALB, albumin; TBIL, total bilirubin; DBIL, direct bilirubin; HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus.
Demographic information and clinicopathological characteristics of the training cohort.
| Variables | HCC (n=865) | ICC (n=332) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 57.15 (10.19) | 59.56 (10.59) | <0.001 |
| Sex | <0.001 | ||
| Male | 718 (83.01%) | 213 (64.16%) | |
| Female | 147 (16.99%) | 119 (35.84%) | |
| PLT (109/L) | 170.98 (84.26) | 240.22 (89.68) | <0.001 |
| RBC (1012/L) | 4.46 (0.61) | 4.33 (0.63) | 0.001 |
| WBC (109/L) | 5.54 (2.54) | 7.17 (2.92) | <0.001 |
| AFP (ng/ml) | 35.90 (4.20–558.10) | 2.69 (1.87–4.43) | <0.001 |
| AFP–L3% | 10.00 (0.50–38.70) | 0.50 (0.50–0.50) | <0.001 |
| CEA (ng/ml) | 2.50 (1.69–3.88) | 3.90 (2.13–11.55) | <0.001 |
| CA125 (U/ml) | 13.04 (9.09–22.27) | 23.90 (12.48–80.55) | <0.001 |
| CA199 (IU/ml) | 17.16 (10.90–29.48) | 125.00 (23.91-1000.00) | <0.001 |
| PIVKA-II (mAU/ml) | 367.01 (49.08–2839.86) | 27.66 (20.77–42.09) | <0.001 |
| AST (U/L) | 34.00 (25.00–53.00) | 31.00 (22.00–61.00) | 0.133 |
| ALT (U/L) | 30.00 (20.00–49.00) | 27.00 (16.75–63.00) | 0.138 |
| TP (g/L) | 69.87 (7.11) | 69.12 (7.57) | 0.106 |
| ALB (g/L) | 40.05 (5.32) | 39.47 (5.25) | 0.092 |
| GGT (U/L) | 49.00 (27.00–102.00) | 87.50 (37.75–268.75) | <0.001 |
| TBIL (μmol/L) | 16.40 (12.47–22.60) | 16.93 (12.00–36.61) | 0.013 |
| DBIL (μmol/L) | 3.67 (2.67–5.44) | 3.60 (2.50–12.12) | 0.026 |
| HBV | <0.001 | ||
| No | 123 (14.22%) | 260 (78.31%) | |
| Yes | 742 (85.78%) | 72 (21.69%) | |
| HCV | 0.144 | ||
| No | 839 (96.99%) | 327 (98.49%) | |
| Yes | 26 (3.01%) | 5 (1.51%) | |
| Clinicopathological staging | 0.009 | ||
| Well differentiation | 114 (13.18%) | 62 (18.67%) | |
| Moderate differentiation | 542 (62.66%) | 178 (53.61%) | |
| Poor differentiation | 209 (24.16%) | 92 (27.71%) |
Categorical variables are expressed as frequency. Continuous variables are expressed as mean (SD) or median with interquartile range (IQR).
PLT, platelet; RBC, red blood cell; WBC, white blood cell; AFP, α-fetoprotein level; AFP-L3, an isoform of AFP characterized by the presence of an a 1–6-linked residue on the AFP carbohydrate side chain; CA199, carbohydrate antigen 199; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; PIVKA-II, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II; CA125, carbohydrate antigen 125; ALT, alanine transaminase; AST, aspartate transaminase; GGT, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase; TP, total protein; ALB, albumin; TBIL, total bilirubin; DBIL, direct bilirubin; HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus.
Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis of ICC presence based on preoperative data in training cohort.
| Variables | Univariable | Multivariable | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95%CI) |
| OR (95%CI) |
| |
| Age (years) | 1.02 (1.01, 1.04) | 0.003 | NA | |
| Sex | <0.0001 | |||
| Male | reference | reference | ||
| Female | 2.73 (2.05, 3.63) | NA | ||
| PLT (109/L) | 1.01 (1.01, 1.01) | <0.0001 | NA | |
| RBC (1012/L) | 0.72 (0.58, 0.88) | 0.0012 | NA | |
| WBC (109/L) | 1.24 (1.18, 1.31) | <0.0001 | NA | |
| Log AFP (ng/ml) | 0.24 (0.19, 0.30) | <0.0001 | 0.47 (0.32, 0.69) | 0.0001 |
| Log AFP-L3% | 0.35 (0.30, 0.42) | <0.0001 | NA | |
| Log CEA (ng/ml) | 5.46 (3.92, 7.62) | <0.0001 | NA | |
| Log CA125 (U/ml) | 4.35 (3.28, 5.77) | <0.0001 | 2.74 (1.50, 5.01) | 0.001 |
| Log CA199 (IU/ml) | 7.68 (5.90, 9.98) | <0.0001 | 2.88 (1.95, 4.25) | <0.0001 |
| Log PIVKA-II (mAU/ml) | 0.20 (0.16, 0.26) | <0.0001 | 0.19 (0.13, 0.30) | <0.0001 |
| Log AST (U/L) | 1.02 (0.69, 1.53) | 0.9105 | NA | |
| Log ALT (U/L) | 1.12 (0.80, 1.57) | 0.5168 | NA | |
| TP (g/L) | 0.99 (0.97, 1.00) | 0.106 | NA | |
| ALB (g/L) | 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) | 0.0927 | NA | |
| Log GGT (U/L) | 3.32 (2.53, 4.36) | <0.0001 | NA | |
| Log TBIL (μmol/L) | 3.69 (2.60, 5.24) | <0.0001 | NA | |
| Log DBIL (μmol/L) | 2.82 (2.17, 3.66) | <0.0001 | NA | |
| HBV | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | ||
| No | reference | reference | ||
| Yes | 0.05 (0.03, 0.06) | 0.13 (0.08, 0.22) | ||
| HCV | 0.1516 | |||
| No | reference | reference | ||
| Yes | 0.49 (0.19, 1.30) | NA | ||
Categorical variables are expressed as frequency. Continuous variables are expressed as mean (SD) or median with interquartile range (IQR).
PLT, platelet; RBC, red blood cell; WBC, white blood cell; AFP, α-fetoprotein level; AFP-L3, an isoform of AFP characterized by the presence of an a 1–6-linked residue on the AFP carbohydrate side chain; CA199, carbohydrate antigen 199; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; PIVKA-II, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II; CA125, carbohydrate antigen 125; ALT, alanine transaminase; AST, aspartate transaminase; GGT, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase; TP, total protein; ALB, albumin; TBIL, total bilirubin; DBIL, direct bilirubin; HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; NA, Not applicable.
Figure 2The nomogram discriminates ICC from HCC. To use the nomogram, find the position of each variable on the corresponding axis, then draw a line to the points axis at the top of the nomogram to calculate the respective points for each parameter; finally, add the total points from all parameters and draw a line from the total points axis to the risk probability axis at the bottom of the nomogram to determine ICC presence probabilities.
Figure 3The receiver operating characteristic curves of the nomogram and model from development cohort (A) and validation cohort (B).
Diagnostic efficacies of the nomogram and compared model for distinguishing between ICC and HCC.
| Group | Variables | Nomogram | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Training cohort | AUC (95% CI) | 0.951 (0.938–0.964) | 0.887 (0.865–0.910) |
| Sensitivity | 85.24% | 70.78% | |
| Specificity | 92.72% | 91.56% | |
| NPV | 94.24% | 89.09% | |
| PPV | 81.79% | 76.30% | |
| Validation cohort | AUC (95% CI) | 0.958 (0.938–0.978) | 0.903 (0.865–0.942) |
| Sensitivity | 84.85% | 78.79% | |
| Specificity | 93.90% | 89.49% | |
| NPV | 94.86% | 92.63% | |
| PPV | 82.35% | 71.56% |
Nomogram consists of HBV, Log AFP, Log CA199, Log CA125, and Log PIVKA-II; model includes Log AFP and Log CA199.
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; AFP, α-fetoprotein level; CA199, carbohydrate antigen 199; PIVKA-II, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II; CA125, carbohydrate antigen 125; HBV, hepatitis B virus.
Figure 4Decision curve analysis of our nomogram and model from development cohort (A) and validation cohort (B). The net benefit versus the risk threshold probability is plotted. The x- and y-axes show the risk threshold probability and net benefit, respectively. A model is only clinically useful if it has a higher net benefit than the default treat-all and treat-none. It is clear from the graph that both the nomogram and model are superior to either treat-all or none strategy. Besides that, using the nomogram to distinguish ICC from HCC may get more benefit compared with model.