| Literature DB >> 35427375 |
Tinsay A Woreta1, Mark L Van Natta2, Mariana Lazo3, Arunkumar Krishnan1, Brent A Neuschwander-Tetri4, Rohit Loomba5, Anna Mae Diehl6, Manal F Abdelmalek6, Naga Chalasani7, Samer Gawrieh7, Srinivasan Dasarathy8, Raj Vuppalanchi7, Mohammad S Siddiqui9, Kris V Kowdley10, Arthur McCullough8, Norah A Terrault11, Cynthia Behling5, David E Kleiner12, Mark Fishbein13, Paula Hertel14, Laura A Wilson2, Emily P Mitchell2, Laura A Miriel2, Jeanne M Clark1, James Tonascia2, Arun J Sanyal9.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Management of patients with NASH who are at elevated risk of progressing to complications of cirrhosis (at-risk NASH) would be enhanced by an accurate, noninvasive diagnostic test. The new FAST™ score, a combination of FibroScan® parameters liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), has shown good diagnostic accuracy for at-risk NASH (area-under-the-Receiver-Operating-Characteristic [AUROC] = 0.80) in European cohorts. We aimed to validate the FAST™ score in a North American cohort and show how its diagnostic accuracy might vary by patient mix. We also compared the diagnostic performance of FAST™ to other non-invasive algorithms for the diagnosis of at-risk NASH.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35427375 PMCID: PMC9012361 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0266859
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.752
Characteristics of the population by NASH activity and fibrosis status.
| At-risk NASH | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | Yes | Total | P-value | ||
| Mean (SD)/n (%) | Mean (SD)/n (%) | Mean (SD) / n (%) | |||
|
| |||||
| Sex | Male | 161 (43.4) | 63 (29.4) | 224 (38.3) | 0.0008 |
| Race | White | 282 (76.0) | 178 (83.2) | 460 (78.6) | 0.04 |
| Black | 11 (3.0) | 11 (5.1) | 22 (3.8) | ||
| Asian | 42 (11.3) | 12 (5.6) | 54 (9.2) | ||
| Am Indian/ Pacific Islander | 5 (1.4) | 3 (1.4) | 8 (1.4) | ||
| Refused | 27 (7.3) | 9 (4.2) | 36 (6.2) | ||
| Ethnicity | Hispanic | 63 (17.0) | 19 (8.9) | 82(14.0) | 0.006 |
| Age | Years | 50 (12) | 54 (12) | 51 (12) | <0.0001 |
|
| |||||
| BMI (kg/m2) | 18.5–24.9 | 17 (4.6) | 6 (2.8) | 23 (3.9) | 0.004 |
| 25.0–29.9 | 100 (27.0) | 33 (15.4) | 133 (22.7) | ||
| 30–39.9 | 116 (31.3) | 72 (33.6) | 188 (32.1) | ||
| ≥ 40 | 138 (37.2) | 103 (48.1) | 241 (41.2) | ||
|
| |||||
| Diabetes | None | 235 (63.3) | 93 (43.5) | 328 (56.1) | <0.0001 |
| Type 1 | 2 (0.5) | 3 (1.4) | 5 (0.8) | ||
| Type 2 | 134 (36.1) | 118 (55.1) | 252 (43.1) | ||
| Hyperlipidemia | Yes | 174 (46.9) | 115 (53.7) | 289 (49.4) | 0.11 |
|
| |||||
| Time since bx | Days | 75 (36) | 82 (34) | 77 (36) | 0.02 |
| Fibrosis | Stage 0 | 142 (38.3) | 0 (0.0) | 142 (24.3) | <0.0001 |
| Stage 1 | 140 (37.8) | 0 (0.0) | 140 (24.0) | ||
| Stage 2 | 42 (11.4) | 78 (36.4) | 120 (20.6) | ||
| Stage 3 | 20 (5.4) | 101 (37.2) | 121 (20.7) | ||
| Stage 4 | 26 (7.0) | 35 (16.4) | 61 (10.4) | ||
|
| |||||
| AST | U/L | 40 (31) | 65 (41) | 50 (37) | <0.0001 |
| ALT | U/L | 58 (41) | 78 (50) | 66 (45) | <0.0001 |
| AST/ALT ratio | 0.78 (0.32) | 0.91 (0.33) | 0.83 (0.33) | <0.0001 | |
| GGT | U/L | 59 (74) | 95 (96) | 72 (85) | <0.0001 |
| Alkaline phos | U/L | 78 (27) | 90 (33) | 82 (30) | <0.0001 |
| Total bilirubin | mg/dL | 0.63 (0.38) | 0.63 (0.35) | 0.63 (0.37) | 0.95 |
| Direct bilirubin | mg/dL | 0.19 (0.10) | 0.18 (0.10) | 0.19 (0.10) | 0.38 |
| Albumin | g/dL | 4.41 (0.34) | 4.35 (0.37) | 4.39 (0.35) | 0.05 |
| Total protein | g/dL | 7.39 (0.45) | 7.44 (0.55) | 7.41 (0.49) | 0.22 |
|
| |||||
| INR | 1.03 (0.08) | 1.06 (0.09) | 1.04 (0.09) | 0.0002 | |
| Platelets | 1000/μL | 243 (76) | 227 (71) | 237 (74) | 0.01 |
| Glucose | mg/dL | 110 (35) | 121 (39) | 114 (37) | 0.0006 |
|
| |||||
| LSM | kPa | 9.3 (9.6) | 15.2 (12.4) | 11.4 (11.1) | <0.0001 |
| CAP | dB/m | 317 (51) | 327 (51) | 321 (52) | 0.02 |
| Probe type | M | 181 (48.8) | 80 (37.4) | 261 (44.6) | 0.008 |
| XL | 190 (51.2) | 134 (62.6) | 324 (55.4) | ||
†At-risk NASH = Definite NASH on biopsy with a NAFLD Activity Score (NAS) ≥ 4 with at least 1 point in each category and fibrosis stage ≥ 2.
*Based on chi-square test for categorical data and unequal variance t-test for continuous data.
**LSM: Liver stiffness measurement; CAP: controlled attenuation parameter.
Fig 1Diagnostic performance of FAST™ score for detection of at-risk NASH in 585 NAFLD patients.
On the left, histogram showing frequency distribution of FAST™ scores by at-risk NASH status is depicted. Green color depicts scores for patients with at-risk NASH, and orange color shows scores for patients without at-risk NASH. The dotted lines show rule-out cut-off of 0.35 and rule-in cutoff of 0.67. On the right, AUROC of FAST™ for the diagnosis of at-risk NASH is shown.
Diagnostic statistics of FAST™* for at-risk NASH†.
| Cut-off criteria | N (%) | Cut-off | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rule-out zone cutoff (i.e. sensitivity = 0.90) | 208 (35%) | 0.35 | 0.91 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.90 |
| Rule-in zone cutoff | 160 (27%) | 0.67 | 0.52 | 0.87 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
* FAST™ score = exp(model prediction equation)/ [1 + exp(model prediction equation)], where model prediction equation = -1.65 + 1.07*ln(LSM) + 2.66*10−8*(CAP3)– 63.3*(1/AST), where LSM in kPa, CAP in dB/m, and AST in U/L.
†At-risk NASH = Definite NASH + NAS ≥4 (steatosis score ≥1 and ballooning score ≥1 and lobular inflammation score ≥1) + fibrosis stage ≥2.
‡N = 585 patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD at enrollment visit; Prob (at-risk NASH) = 0.37.
Diagnostic accuracy of FAST™ at varying prevalences of at-risk NASH.
| Sensitivity = 0.90 | Specificity = 0.90 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prevalence of at- risk NASH (p) | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Sensitivity | PPV | NPV |
| Observed in NASH CRN | ||||||
| 0.37 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.90 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| Calculated | ||||||
| 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 0.84 | 0.44 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| 0.10 | 0.53 | 0.18 | 0.98 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 0.94 |
| 0.05 | 0.53 | 0.09 | 0.99 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.97 |
*Positive Predictive Value (PPV) = (p*Sens) / [(p*Sens) + (1-p)*(1-Spec)].
†Negative Predictive Value (NPV) = (1-p)*Spec / [(1-p)*Spec + p*(1-Sens)].
‡FAST score cut-off = 0.38.
§FAST score cut-off = 0.72.
Comparison of diagnostic accuracy of FAST™ for at-risk NASH by subgroups.
| Subgroup | Category | N | AUROC | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
| ||
|
| ||||
| Gender | Male | 224 | 0.81 | 0.82 |
| Female | 361 | 0.81 | ||
| Age | < 42 yrs | 146 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| 43–60 | 291 | 0.81 | ||
| ≥ 61 yrs | 148 | 0.78 | ||
| Race | White | 460 | 0.78 | 0.001 |
| Non-white | 89 | 0.91 | ||
| Refused | 36 | 0.89 | ||
| Ethnicity | Hispanic | 82 | 0.86 | 0.20 |
| Non-Hispanic | 503 | 0.80 | ||
|
| ||||
| Body mass index | <30 kg/m2 | 156 | 0.86 | 0.21 |
| 30–34.9 kg/m2 | 188 | 0.78 | ||
| ≥ 35 kg/m2 | 241 | 0.78 | ||
|
| ||||
| Diabetes | Yes | 257 | 0.78 | 0.20 |
| No | 328 | 0.83 | ||
| Hyperlipidemia | Yes | 289 | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| No | 296 | 0.80 | ||
|
| ||||
| Probe | XL | 324 | 0.83 | 0.25 |
| M | 261 | 0.78 | ||
| Unreliable LSM | IQR/Med > .3 | 20 | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| IQR/Med ≤ .3 | 565 | 0.81 |
†0.5% (3/585) VCTEs had number of exams < 10.
Comparison of various diagnostic models for at-risk NASH vs. FAST™.
| Model | AUROC | 95% CI | P-value (Comparison vs FAST™) |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| Log LSM | 0.774 | 0.736, 0.811 | 0.04 |
| CAP3 | 0.564 | 0.515, 0.612 | <0.0001 |
| 1/AST | 0.757 | 0.716, 0.797 | 0.0006 |
|
| |||
| AST | 0.757 | 0.716, 0.797 | 0.0006 |
| ALT | 0.640 | 0.594, 0.687 | <0.0001 |
| AST/ALT | 0.653 | 0.609, 0.697 | <0.0001 |
| Alkaline phosphatase | 0.608 | 0.560, 0.656 | <0.0001 |
| Total bilirubin | 0.508 | 0.459, 0.556 | <0.0001 |
| Direct bilirubin | 0.528 | 0.484, 0.572 | <0.0001 |
| Albumin | 0.551 | 0.502, 0.599 | <0.0001 |
| Total protein | 0.534 | 0.484, 0.583 | <0.0001 |
|
| |||
| FAST + ALT | 0.809 | 0.773, 0.845 | 0.23 |
|
| |||
| FIB-4 index | 0.730 | 0.689, 0.771 | 0.0003 |
| NFS | 0.668 | 0.624, 0.712 | <0.0001 |
| APRI | 0.739 | 0.698, 0.780 | <0.0001 |
*There are 8 patients with missing data for direct bilirubin.
†Best subset based on AIC criteria among hepatic panel components.