| Literature DB >> 35369859 |
Qi Zhou1,2, Qinyuan Li3, Janne Estill4,5, Qi Wang6,7, Zijun Wang1, Qianling Shi8, Jingyi Zhang9, Xiaobo Zhang10, Joseph L Mathew11, Rosalind L Smyth12, Detty Nurdiati13, Zhou Fu3, Hongmei Xu14, Xianlan Zheng15, Xiaodong Zhao16, Quan Lu17, Hui Liu9, Yangqin Xun1, Weiguo Li3, Shu Yang18, Xixi Feng19, Mengshu Wang20, Junqiang Lei20, Xiaoping Luo21, Liqun Wu22, Xiaoxia Lu23, Myeong Soo Lee24,25,26, Shunying Zhao27, Edwin Shih-Yen Chan28,29, Yuan Qian30, Wenwei Tu31, Xiaoyan Dong32, Guobao Li33,34, Ruiqiu Zhao14, Zhihui He35, Siya Zhao9, Xiao Liu9, Qiu Li36, Kehu Yang1,37,38, Zhengxiu Luo39, Enmei Liu40, Yaolong Chen41,42,43,44,45.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Rapid Advice Guidelines (RAG) provide decision makers with guidance to respond to public health emergencies by developing evidence-based recommendations in a short period of time with a scientific and standardized approach. However, the experience from the development process of a RAG has so far not been systematically summarized. Therefore, our working group will take the experience of the development of the RAG for children with COVID-19 as an example to systematically explore the methodology, advantages, and challenges in the development of the RAG. We shall propose suggestions and reflections for future research, in order to provide a more detailed reference for future development of RAGs. RESULT: The development of the RAG by a group of 67 researchers from 11 countries took 50 days from the official commencement of the work (January 28, 2020) to submission (March 17, 2020). A total of 21 meetings were held with a total duration of 48 h (average 2.3 h per meeting) and an average of 16.5 participants attending. Only two of the ten recommendations were fully supported by direct evidence for COVID-19, three recommendations were supported by indirect evidence only, and the proportion of COVID-19 studies among the body of evidence in the remaining five recommendations ranged between 10 and 83%. Six of the ten recommendations used COVID-19 preprints as evidence support, and up to 50% of the studies with direct evidence on COVID-19 were preprints.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Indirect evidence; Methodology; Rapid Advice Guidelines
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35369859 PMCID: PMC8977048 DOI: 10.1186/s12874-022-01545-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med Res Methodol ISSN: 1471-2288 Impact factor: 4.615
Results of the assessment of the need for a guideline for children with COVID-19
| WHO criteria for the need of a RAG | Explanation | Is this criterion met? | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whether the public health event is an emergency or dangerous situation | 1). Emergencies may be classified as natural, technological, or conflict related and may be of sudden onset (e.g., earthquakes, tsunamis, chemical crises) or more gradual onset (e.g., deteriorating situations in armed conflict, progressive disease outbreaks, drought, or food insecurities) 2). Using the rapid risk assessment of acute public health events manual to assess ‘‘any outbreak or other rapidly evolving situation that may have negative consequences for human health and requires immediate assessment and action’’ [ | Yes | On January 26, the WHO raised the global risk of the epidemic to "high risk" for the first time, with 2014 cases confirmed in 11 countries in the Americas, Oceania, Asia and Europe [ |
| Whether the public health event is novel | 1). A new public health event (e.g., emerging infectious disease) or an event encountered previously but causing problems in a different context 2). If the contingency is not the first of its kind and relevant high-quality guideline already exists, it can be adopted directly or adapted to quickly address the health concern. (e.g., Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo again in 2019, but by this time high-quality Ebola guidelines have been published, so there is no need to develop rapid advice guidelines for Ebola [ | Yes | On January 26, nucleic acid testing of the virus by Chinese researchers had revealed that the disease was caused by a novel coronavirus, that it was an outbreak of a new public health threat, and that there were no high-quality guidelines for children with this condition published at this time [ |
| Duration of the public health event | The purpose of the RAG is to provide urgently needed evidence-based recommendations that should be implemented within one to three months, and if an event is likely to last more than six months, then a standard guide may be the best approach | Yes | The global SARS outbreak lasted almost 8 months from the first case to the complete eradication, the MERS outbreak has lasted 5 years, and SARS-CoV-2 belongs to the same coronavirus genus as SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV. COVID-19 epidemic can also be expected to last for some time, so it is feasible to develop rapid advice guidelines within 1 to 3 months of the outbreak [ |
| The need to urgently address the problem of uncertainty | In the event of a public health emergency, there is significant controversy among health care professionals about certain issues or aspects that need to be resolved in the short term. (e.g., the use of glucocorticoids in the treatment of COVID-19 disease faces considerable controversy. The WHO Expert Group on the Clinical Management of Novel Coronaviruses, J Kenneth Baillie et al. commented in | Yes | After a systematic review of published guidelines, we found that most focused on the diagnosis, treatment and prevention of COVID-19 in adults, with little attention paid to special populations such as children. There is an urgent need for clinical guidance on antiviral treatment, clinical manifestations, diagnostic criteria and home management of children with mild or severe COVID-19 [ |
| Whether it can be rapidly and widely implemented | Before developing RAGs, it is important to consider the various factors involved in their implementation, such as the breadth and acceptability of the target population, their integration into national health policy systems, and their rapid implementation | Yes | SARS-CoV-2 is highly contagious and the entire population is susceptible. The total number of children in the world stands at 2 billion, and children, as a vulnerable group, are of great concern [ |
List of clinical questions
| No | Initial Questions (IQ) | Average score | Decision of inclusion; reason, remarks | Final Questions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IQ1 | What are the main symptoms of children infected with the novel coronavirus? | 6.33 | ||
| IQ2 | What is confirmatory test for diagnosis novel coronavirus infection in children? | 6.19 | ||
| IQ3 | How to conduct screening to novel coronavirus for suspected childhood infection in hospitals? | 6.17 | NA | |
| IQ4 | How to hierarchically manage children with novel coronavirus infection (including asymptomatic infected children)? | 5.96 | For the pathway diagram, please refer to the original maintext of the rapid advice guidelines for management of children with COVID-19 [ | |
| IQ5 | How to effectively prevent children getting infected novel coronavirus? (Tips for protecting children from novel coronavirus infection)? | 5.96 | NA | |
| IQ6 | Should new antiviral medications (such as lopinavir/ritonavir, remdesivir (GS-5734)) be used to treat in children with novel coronavirus infection? | 5.85 | ||
| IQ7 | Should systemic corticosteroid be used to treat children with novel coronavirus infection? | 5.83 | ||
| IQ8 | Do children with non-severe novel coronavirus infection need imaging tests? | 5.69 | ||
| IQ9 | Should traditional antiviral medications (such as ribavirin, interferon) be used to children with novel coronavirus infection? | 5.63 | ||
| IQ10 | Where could parents and their children get reliable and evidence-based information about novel coronavirus epidemic and prevention? | 5.63 | ||
| IQ11 | How to manage a child who has history of epidemiological exposure but without symptoms? | 5.57 | ||
| IQ12 | Should IVIG be used to treat children with severe novel coronavirus severe infection? | 5.56 | ||
| IQ13 | For children with no history of epidemiological exposure, what are the indications or symptoms for screening novel coronavirus? | 5.37 | NA | |
| IQ14 | Should CT test be better than normal chest X-ray in children with severe novel coronavirus pneumonia? | 5.35 | NA | |
| IQ15 | What are the imaging features of children with novel coronavirus infection in lungs, are they specific? | 5.35 | NA | |
| IQ16 | How long is the average incubation period for children infected with novel coronavirus? | 5.31 | NA | |
| IQ17 | What is the severity for novel coronavirus infection in children compared to adults? | 5.15 | NA | |
| IQ18 | What is the prognosis of children with novel coronavirus infection? | 5.12 | NA | |
| IQ19 | How to conduct psychological assessment and therapy for children diagnosed with novel coronavirus infection? | 4.96 | ||
| IQ20 | Could the novel coronavirus be vertically transmitted (mother to infant, breastfeeding)? If so, is there any difference in risk between natural delivery and caesarean section? | 4.94 | ||
| IQ21 | Should antibiotic agents be used to treat novel coronavirus infection? | 4.91 | ||
| IQ22 | What are the predisposing factors (gender, age, underlying diseases, ethnic differences) for novel coronavirus infection in children? | 4.85 | NA | |
| IQ23 | Does the complete blood count (CBC) test for children with early 2019-nCoV infection have a predictive effect on the severity of the disease? | 4.85 | NA | |
| IQ24 | Could a multidisciplinary cooperation improve the outcomes for children with severe novel coronavirus infection? | 4.62 | NA | |
| IQ25 | How susceptible are children compared to adults for novel coronavirus? | 4.33 | NA | |
| IQ26 | What is the severity for 2019-nCoV infection in children (e.g., mortality and ICU admission rates) compared to SARS/MERS? | 4.28 | NA |
IQ Initial Question, NA Not Applicable
The questions and supporting evidence from rapid reviews
| Questions | Rapid review(s) to answer the questions | Studies included in the rapid review | Was the recommendation fully supported by evidence from COVID-19 (Yes/Partially/No) | Was the recommendation fully supported by evidence from children with COVID-19 (Yes/Partially /No) | Proportion of preprints in the COVID-19 studies per rapid review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
One rapid review (produced by RRG) | Wang Z et al., 2020 [ | Yes, 100% | Yes, 100% | 14.3% (7/49) | |
| Three rapid reviews(two rapid reviews produced by RRG, one published article) | Gao Y et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 11% | No, 0% | 0.0%(0/4) | |
Zhou Q et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 10% | No, 0% | 0.0%(0/1) | ||
Nussbaumer-Streit B et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 34% | No, 0%* | 0.0%(0/10) | ||
| One rapid review (produced by RRG) | Lv M et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 100% | Partial, 6.8%a | 4.8%(5/103) | |
| One rapid review (produced by RRG) | Shi Q et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 30% | No, 0%a | 42.9%(3/7) | |
| One rapid review (produced by RRG) | Wang J et al., 2020 [ | No, 0% | No, 0% | NA | |
| One rapid review (produced by RRG) | Lu S et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 22% | No, 0% | 40.0% (2/5) | |
| One rapid review (produced by RRG) | Zhang J et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 33% | No, 0% | 50.0% (1/2) | |
| One umbrella review (produced by RRG) | Luo X et al., 2020 [ | No, 0% | No, 0% | NA | |
| Two rapid reviews (one rapid review produced by RRG, one previously published article) | Yang N et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 83% | No, 0% | 0.0% (0/5) | |
Jefferson T et al., 2011 [ | No, 0% | No, 0% | NA | ||
| One rapid review (produced by RRG) | Li W et al., 2020 [ | Partially, 25% | No, 0%a | 0.0% (0/6) |
RRG Rapid Review Group
aOnly a small population of the included COVID-19 studies were pediatric patients, so we do not consider evidence from these studies as evidence from children with COVID-19
Results of the two rounds of Delphi survey
| CQ1 | The main symptoms of children with COVID-19 are fever and cough. The symptoms of COVID-19 are usually less severe in children than adults. Leukocyte and lymphocyte counts are usually normal. Chest imaging findings do not significantly differ between adults and children. (2C) | 94% (Consensus) | 10 | 11 | The main symptoms of children with COVID-19 are fever and cough. The symptoms of COVID-19 are usually less severe in children than adults. Leukocyte and lymphocyte counts are usually normal. Although there is no significant difference between adults and children in chest imaging characteristics, the extend of the abnormalities are usually less in children. (2C) | NA | 8 | 11 |
| CQ2 | We recommend that children who have been in close contact with COVID-19 patients are initially evaluated by their guardians or family doctors. If no obvious symptoms are found, we recommend staying at home for observation; if there are obvious symptoms such as fever and cough, we recommend further evaluation in the hospital. (2C) | 94% (Consensus) | 9 | 11 | We suggest that children who have been in close contact with COVID-19 patients are initially evaluated by their guardians or family doctors. If no obvious symptoms occur, we recommend staying at home for observation for a duration of at least 14 days; if there are obvious symptoms, we suggest further evaluation in the hospital. (2C) | NA | 9 | 12 |
| CQ3 | We recommend X-ray rather than CT to assist in diagnosis of COVID-19 in children if necessary. (2C) | 55% (Not consensus) | 13 | 16 | We suggest not using imaging test as routine examination for children with COVID-19. (2C) | 79% (Consensus) | 11 | 13 |
| CQ4 | We recommend against using antiviral drugs for children with COVID-19. Specific antiviral drugs may be administered only in the context of clinical trial (1C) | 94% (Consensus) | 7 | 9 | We recommend against using antiviral drugs for children with COVID-19. Specific antiviral drugs may be administered only in the context of clinical trial. (1C) | NA | 4 | 7 |
| CQ5 | We recommend against the use of antibiotic agents for children with COVID-19 when there is no evidence of bacterial coinfection. (1B) | 100% (Consensus) | 2 | 3 | We recommend against using antibiotic agents for children with COVID-19 when there is no evidence of bacterial coinfection. (1B) | NA | 1 | 1 |
| CQ6 | We recommend using systemic glucocorticoids with a low dose and for a short duration for children with severe COVID-19. (2C) | 79% (Consensus)a | 12 | 12 | 1) We recommend against using systemic glucocorticoids for children with COVID-19 routinely (1C) 2) We suggest a low dose and a short duration for severe COVID-19 children only when over inflammatory reaction or in the context of clinical trials. (2D) | 100% (Consensus) 93% (Consensus) | 11 | 13 |
| CQ7 | We recommend against the use of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) in the treatment of children with severe COVID-19. (1B) | 88% (Consensus) | 2 | 2 | We recommend against using intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) for children with severe COVID-19. (1B) | NA | 6 | 6 |
| CQ8 | We propose the following forms of supportive care for children with severe COVID-19: 1) ensuring sufficient number of adequate medical staff in ICUs; 2) systematically monitoring and recording vital signs; 3) using supportive care of the respiratory and cardiovascular symptoms according to clinical needs; 4) providing psychological therapy for children with severe COVID-19 | 97% (Consensus) 100% (Consensus) 100% (Consensus) 88% (Consensus) | 9 | 9 | We propose the following forms of supportive care for children with severe COVID-19: 1) ensuring sufficient number of adequate medical staff in ICUs; 2) systematically monitoring and recording vital signs; 3) using supportive care of the respiratory and cardiovascular symptoms according to clinical needs; 4) providing psychological interventions | NA | 5 | 5 |
| CQ9 | We do not recommend interrupting breastfeeding except for mothers with severe COVID-19 | 72% (Consensus) | 15 | 17 | We recommend against mothers interrupting breastfeeding. (2C) | NA | 7 | 7 |
| CQ10 | 1)We recommend parents to arrange national and international travel with caution during the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic, and follow the epidemiological situation in their travel destination(1D); 2)We recommend parents to obtain information from print media, authorities and official agencies rather than social media(1D) 3)We recommend parents to provide their children with suitable health education to improve the awareness on infectious diseases and teach their children not to discriminate people from areas affected by the epidemic 1D) | 94% (Consensus) | 8 | 14 | We recommend parents to obtain information regularly from academic and official resources rather than social media. (1D) | NA | 2 | 2 |
CQ Clinical Question, NA Not Applicable
aAlthough Recommendation 6 consensus was reached in the first round, a second consensus was conducted in the second round as most experts suggested that it be split into two articles for presentation; The downward slash marks the modified content
Actual versus planned completion time of the development of RAG
| Task | Planned date of completion (day) | Actual date of completion (day) | Excess time spent (days) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Start to work | Jan 28-Jan 28 (One day) | Jan 28-Jan 28 (One day) | 0 |
| Write protocol | Jan 29-Jan 29 (One day) | Jan 29-Feb 3 (Six days) | 5 |
| Invite panelists | Jan 30-Feb 2 (Four days) | Jan 29-Feb 3 (Six days) | 2 |
| Declare conflicts of interests | Jan 30-Feb 2 (Four days) | Jan 30-Feb 5 (Four days) | 0 |
| Register guideline | Feb 1-Feb 1 (One day) | Feb 1-Feb 1 (One day) | 0 |
| Propose clinical questions | Feb 2-Feb 2 (One day) | Jan 29-Feb 2 (Five days) | 4 |
| Select clinical questions | Feb 3-Feb 4 (Two days) | Feb 3-Feb 6 (Four days) | 2 |
| Identify PICO clinical questions | Feb 5-Feb 5 (One day) | Feb 7-Feb 15 (Nine days) | 8 |
| Retrieve existing systematic reviews | Feb 6-Feb 6 (One day) | Feb 16-Feb 16 (One day) | 0 |
| Conduct rapid reviewa | Feb 7-Feb 11 (Five days) | Feb 11-Feb 15(Five days) | 0 |
| GRADE evidence | Feb 12-Feb 12 (One day) | Feb 17-Feb 17 (One day) | 0 |
| Draft recommendations | Feb 13-Feb 13 (One day) | Feb 18-Feb 23 (Six days) | 5 |
| Conduct the 1st round of Delphi survey | Feb 14-Feb 16 (Three days) | Feb 24-Feb 27 (Four days) | 1 |
| Conduct the 2ed round of Delphi survey | Feb 17-Feb 19 (Three days) | Feb 28-Mar 1 (Three days) | 0 |
| Reach recommendations | Feb 20-Feb 21 (Two days) | Mar 2-Mar 3 (Two days) | 0 |
| Draft full guideline | Feb 22-Feb 22 (One day) | Mar 4-Mar 6 (Three days) | 2 |
| Send to external reviewers | Feb 23-Feb 24 (Two days) | Mar 6-Mar 15 (Ten days) | 8 |
| Revise the guideline | Feb 25-Feb 25 (One day) | Mar 11-Mar 16 (Six days) | 5 |
| Submit to medical journal | Feb 26-Feb 26 (One day) | Mar 17 (One day) | 0 |
| Accepted by journal | NA | 6-May | NA |
NA Not Applicable
aProduction of a rapid review in two phases: phases I (Feb 11-Feb 1), just completed the evidence summary sheet; phases II (Feb 16-Apr 14), drafted rapid reviews full-text and submit to journal
Meetings between Core Members and Rapid Review Group during the RAG development
| Number of meetings | Meeting Date | Duration (h) | Participants (number of attendances) | Main Contents of the Meeting | The form of the meeting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Feb-1 (14:30–17:15) | 2.75 | CM (4), MRRG (22) | 1) Selection of the members of expert group 2) Discussion and optimization of initial clinical questions 3) Pre-preparation for the first round of clinical questions (preparation of materials, identification of leaders) | Teleconference – QQ |
| 2nd | Feb-6 (10:30–11:30) | 1.0 | CM (4), MRRG (20) | 1) Feedback from the first round of clinical questions and expert opinion are discussed 2) Preparation of research materials for the second round of clinical questions | Teleconference – QQ |
| 3rd | Feb-7 (16:30–17:30) | 1.0 | CM (4), MRRG (8) | 1) Discussion of late arrangements 2) Identification of final key clinical questions | Teleconference – QQ |
| 4th | Feb-11 (8:30–9:00) | 0.5 | CM (2), MRRG (24) | 1) Discussion of the process of conducting rapid review 2) Identification of search strategies for each clinical question | Teleconference – QQ |
| 5th | Feb-15 (15:00–18:00) | 3.0 | CM (4), MRRG (22) | 1) Discussion of preliminary evidence search results for each clinical question 2) Discussion of preliminary evidence summary 3) Adjustments to the search strategy for several clinical questions (supplementing other indirect evidence) | Teleconference – QQ |
| 6th | Feb-17 (19:00–22:30) | 3.5 | CM (5), MRRG (24) | 1) Discussion of the results of the updated evidence summary 2) Discussion of the results of the adjusted evidence search for clinical questions 3) Drafted recommendations based on evidence summary | Teleconference – QQ |
| 7th | Feb-18 (20:10–22:55) | 2.75 | CM (5) | 1) Modified the evidence summary expression and elaboration for each clinical question 2) Revision of the content of the recommendation | Teleconference – WeChat |
| 8th | Feb-19 (17:00–18:00) | 1.0 | CM (6), MRRG (10) | 1) Modified the evidence summary expression and elaboration for each clinical question 2) Revision of the content of the recommendation | Teleconference – QQ |
| 9th | Feb-20 (14:00–18:45) | 4.75 | CM (5), MRRG (24) | 1) Modified the evidence summary expression and elaboration for each clinical question 2) Revision of the content of the recommendation 3) Preparation of questionnaire materials for the first round of Delphi survey | Teleconference – QQ |
| 10th | Feb-21 (11:00–11:30) | 0.5 | CM (5) | 1) Revision of the wording of the recommendation and evidence summary 2) Revision of the first round of Delphi questionnaire materials | Teleconference – WeChat |
| 11th | Feb-26 (19:00–22:45) | 3.75 | CM (5), MRRG (23) | 1) Discussed the comments from the first round of Delphi survey one by one and revised the content of the recommendations 2) Responded to expert comments and produced feedback report 3) Preparation of questionnaire materials for the second round of Delphi survey | Teleconference – QQ |
| 12th | Feb-29 (9:00–12:00) | 3.0 | CM (5), MRRG (23) | 1) Improved the content of the evidence summary and rationale section 2) Standardizing the format and wording of written content | Teleconference – QQ |
| 13th | Feb-29 (14:00–16:00) | 2.0 | CM (5), MRRG (23) | 1) Improved the content of the evidence summary and rationale section 2) Standardizing the format and wording of written content | Teleconference – QQ |
| 14th | Mar-2 (18:00–19:00) | 1.0 | CM (6) | 1) Discussed the comments from the second round of Delphi one by one and revised the content of the recommendations 2) Responded to expert comments and produced feedback report 3) Discussion of late arrangements (drafting the full guideline) | Teleconference – QQ |
| 15th | Mar-2 (20:00–21:30) | 1.5 | CM (5) | 1) Revision of the content of the recommendations for each clinical question | Teleconference –WeChat |
| 16th | Mar-3 (21:00–22:15) | 1.25 | CM (5) | 1) Revision of the content of the recommendations for each clinical question | Teleconference –WeChat |
| 17th | Mar-4 (18:00–20:15) | 2.25 | CM (5) | 1) Revision of the guidelines based on expert comments 2) Drafting of the full text of the RAG | Teleconference – QQ |
| 18th | Mar-5 (19:00–20:00) | 3.0 | CM (5), MRRG (10) | 1) Revision of the guidelines based on expert comments | Teleconference – QQ |
| 19th | Mar-6 (17:00–20:00) | 5.0 | CM (6) | 1) Identification of journals for submission 2) Identification of external reviewers 3) Revision of the guidelines based on expert comments | Teleconference – QQ |
| 20th | Mar-7 (13:20–15:20) | 2.0 | CM (3), MRRG (10) | 1) Discussed 11 rapid reviews (full text) | Teleconference – QQ |
| 21st | Mar-7 (19:15–21:45) | 2.5 | CM (5) | 1) Revision of the guidelines based on external reviewers’ comments | Teleconference – WeChat |
| NA | 48 | 347 | NA | NA | |
| NA | 2.29 ± 1.30 | 16.5 ± 10.0 | NA | NA |
CM Core members. The core members include the Chair (Liu E), the Co-Chair (Smyth RL), the Chief Methodologist (Chen Y), the Expert Representative of the Guideline Development Group (Luo Z) and the Leaders of Rapid Review Group (Li W, Zhou Q, Ren L), MRRG Members of Rapid Review Group, QQ is an instant messaging software service and web portal developed by the Chinese tech giant Tencent. QQ offers services that provide online social games, music, shopping, microblogging, movies, and group and voice chat software. WeChat WeChat is a Chinese multi-purpose messaging, social media and mobile payment app developed by Tencent, NA Not Applicable