| Literature DB >> 35347208 |
Miguel A Fernández-Rojas1, Marco A Luna-Ruiz Esparza1, Abraham Campos-Romero1, Diana Y Calva-Espinosa2, José L Moreno-Camacho2,3, Fela Mendlovic4,5, Tanya Plett-Torres6, Jonathan Alcántar-Fernández7.
Abstract
Serosurveillance helps establish reopening guidelines and determine the immunity levels in different populations to reach herd immunity. Then, there is an urgent need to estimate seroprevalence population wide. In Mexico, information about COVID-19 cases and related deaths is scarce. Also, there is no official serosurveillance, limiting our knowledge of the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Here, we report the prevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in 522,690 unvaccinated people from July 5th to December 31st, 2020. The overall seroprevalence was 32.8% and highest in adults aged 30-39 years (38.5%) than people under 20 years (33.0%) or older (28.9%). Moreover, in a cohort of 1655 individuals confirmed COVID-19 by PCR, we found that symptomatic people (HR = 2.56) increased seroconversion than presymptomatic. Also, we identified that the most discriminative symptoms for COVID-19 that could predict seroconversion were anosmia and ageusia (HR = 1.70), fever, myalgia/arthralgia, and cough (HR = 1.75). Finally, we found that obese people had lower seroconversion (HR = 0.53) than healthy people, but the opposite happens in diabetic people (HR = 1.39). These findings reveal that around one-third of Mexican outpatients had anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies before vaccination. Also, some symptoms improve empirically COVID-19 diagnosis and seroconversion. This information could help fine-tune vaccination schemes and the reopening and back-to-work algorithms.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35347208 PMCID: PMC8960100 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-09395-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Overview of seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Mexico. (A) Coropletic map shows the anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (IgM and/or IgG) prevalence in Mexico; as the prevalence increases, the brown color becomes darker; (B) Temporal trend and monthly seroprevalence to SARS-CoV-2 in 522,690 unvaccinated outpatients from July 5th to December 31st, 2020; (C) Distribution of seropositive SARS-CoV 2 cases according to age and sex in 522,690 unvaccinated outpatients.
Seroprevalence by age and sex of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in 522,690 unvaccinated people.
| Characteristic | Number of people | People positive to serological test | Prevalence of antibodies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female | 296,621 | 104,439 (56.0) | 35.2 (35.0–35.4) | 0.584 |
| ASR female | – | – | 32.6 (31.6–33.7) | |
| Male | 226,069 | 82,224 (44.0) | 36.4 (36.2–36.6) | |
| ASR male | – | – | 33.0 (32.1–33.9) | |
| Median (IQR) = 40 (23) | – | – | – | |
| < 20 | 34,797 | 11,474 | 33.0 (32.5–33.5) | < 0.0001 |
| 20–29 | 97,831 | 36,142 | 36.9 (36.6–37.3) | < 0.0001 |
| 30–39 | 109,828 | 42,330 | 38.5 (38.3–38.8) | Ref |
| 40–49 | 104,108 | 39,536 | 38.0 (37.7–38.3) | 0.0071 |
| 50–59 | 91,683 | 32,790 | 35.8 (35.5–36.1) | < 0.0001 |
| ≥ 60 | 84,443 | 24,391 | 28.9 (28.6–29.2) | < 0.0001 |
ASR = age and sex standardized rate per 100 inhabitants. IQR: interquartile range. ref = reference group.
ap-values for x2 test seroprevalence within groups.
Clinical and lifestyle characteristics of 14,592 people with SARS-CoV-2 antibodies previously diagnosed with COVID-19 by PCR test.
| Characteristic | Number of people n (%) | Prevalence of antibodies (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 12,562 (86.1) | 9939 (79.1) | – |
| Yes | 2030 (13.9) | 1638 (80.7) | 0.111 |
| Presymptomatic | 630 (4.3) | 341 (54.1) | |
| Symptomatic | 13,962 (95.7) | 11,236 (80.5) | < 0.0001 |
| No | 6711 (46.0) | 5597 (83.4) | |
| Yes | 7881 (54.0) | 5980 (75.9) | < 0.0001 |
| Family | 4746 (60.2) | 3733 (78.7) | 0.162 |
| Co-worker | 1935 (24.6) | 1392 (71.9) | < 0.0001 |
| Friend | 943 (12.0) | 689 (73.1) | < 0.0001 |
| Other | 558 (7.1) | 404 (72.4) | < 0.0001 |
| No | 7895 (97.4) | 6136 (77.7) | |
| Yes | 208 (2.6) | 170 (81.7) | 0.177 |
| No | 1959 (19.0) | 1586 (81.0) | |
| Yes | 8334 (81.0) | 6522 (78.3) | 0.009 |
| No | 11,158 (76.8) | 8859 (79.4) | |
| Yes | 3366 (23.2) | 2665 (79.2) | 0.790 |
aIt should be noted that some categories can be counted more than once; bMissing values = 4299; cMissing values = 68.
*p-values for x2 test seroprevalence within groups.
Prevalence of antibodies by symptoms in 14,592 people diagnosed with COVID-19 by PCR test.
| Symptom or combination | Number of people | Prevalence of antibodies (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Headache | 8887 (60.9) | 80.93 | 0.076 |
| Myalgia or arthralgia | 7745 (53.1) | 84.70 | |
| Sore throat | 7272 (49.8) | 82.77 | |
| Cough | 4847 (33.2) | 89.33 | |
| Runny nose | 4605 (31.6) | 85.54 | |
| Fever | 4104 (28.1) | 90.01 | |
| Chills | 3964 (25.3) | 81.63 | |
| Diarrhea | 2580 (17.7) | 80.12 | 0.622 |
| Dyspnea/chest pain | 2497 (17.1) | 84.34 | |
| Abdominal pain | 1484 (10.2) | 80.20 | 0.784 |
| Conjunctivitis | 1117 (7.7) | 83.89 | |
| Anosmia | 1108 (7.6) | 95.31 | |
| Ageusia | 808 (5.5) | 95.30 | |
| Vomit | 615 (4.2) | 81.63 | 0.497 |
| Anosmia/ageusia | 744 (5.1) | 96.10 | |
| Fever/myalgia or arthralgia/headache/cough | 1285 (8.8) | 92.61 | |
| Dyspnea/throat pain/ runny nose/chills | 474 (3.3) | 85.65 | |
| Diarrhea/abdominal pain/vomit | 169 (1.2) | 80.47 | 1.000 |
*p-values for x2 test seroprevalence within symptoms.
aTotal of seropositive cases = 11,577; It should be noted that some categories could be counted more than once. P-values in bold show which are equal to or less than 0.05.
Figure 2Seroconversion dynamic according to clinical characteristics in patients with COVID-19. Kaplan–Meier curves from the time COVID-19 was diagnosed by PCR test to a positive anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies result. The curves present the cumulative incidence of positive antibodies test in 1655 individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 and have a specific characteristic (blue) versus those who did not have the characteristic of interest (red) in time. Only sex and age Kaplan–Meier curves come from crude analysis. Age was included in models by decades: G1: < 20y, G2 = 20–29y, G3 = 30–39y, G4 = 40–49y, G5 = 50–59y, G6: ≥ 60y. Statistical details are in Supplementary Table S5.
Figure 3Seroconversion dynamic according to symptoms related to COVID-19. Kaplan–Meier curves from the time COVID-19 was diagnosed by PCR test to a positive anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies result. The curves present the cumulative incidence of positive antibodies test in 1100 individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 that had each symptom (blue) versus those who did not have the symptom of interest (red) in time. Presymptomatic individuals were excluded from this analysis. Statistical details are in Supplementary Table S5.