| Literature DB >> 35327070 |
Monica Probo1, Marcello Guadagnini2, Giulia Sala1, Paola Amodeo3, Agostino Bolli4.
Abstract
The objectives of this study were to investigate the main risk factors associated with calving ease (CE) in Italian Holstein cow herds, and to estimate the association between CE and subsequent survival, fertility and milk production. Data obtained from Holstein cows in 40 Italian herds were retrospectively investigated. Calvings were surveilled and classified into two categories of CE, unassisted calving or assisted calving, based on the need for intervention. The following factors were analyzed as possible risk factor affecting CE: herd, number of calvings/herd/year, age at first calving (AFC), cow parity, gestation length, twinning, calf sex, previous calving-to-conception interval, previous milk yield, dry period and close-up length, and season of calving. The association between CE and culling risk within the first 30 days-in-milk (DIM), cumulative 60-d milk yield and predicted 305-d milk yield, and pregnancy risk within 150 DIM were also investigated. Of the 47,672 calvings, 37,892 (79.5%) were unassisted, while 9780 (20.5%) required some type of assistance. Among the risk factors, only the AFC was not correlated with CE, while for all the other risk factors an association with CE was detected. Assisted calvings were associated with an increased culling risk at 30 DIM, decreased 60-d milk yield, decreased 305-d milk yield and reduced pregnancy risk at 150 DIM. In conclusion, dairy herd management should aim at correcting/reducing the risk factors in order to limit the incidence of assisted calving, and possibly improve the quality of calving assistance; controlling CE within the herd is crucial to reducing culling risk, and achieving higher lactation and reproductive performance.Entities:
Keywords: Italian Holstein cows; calving ease; fertility; milk production; risk factors; survival
Year: 2022 PMID: 35327070 PMCID: PMC8944450 DOI: 10.3390/ani12060671
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Animals (Basel) ISSN: 2076-2615 Impact factor: 2.752
Description of statistical model and variables included for each risk factor considered in the study.
| Risk Factor | Model Outcome | Model Type | Model Variables | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farm | Calving ease | Contingency analysis | Farm | 47,672 |
| Number of calvings/herd/year categories | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Number of calvings/herd/year in categories; parity group; calving year; calving month | 47,672 |
| Parity group | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; calving year; calving month | 47,672 |
| Gestation length | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; calving year; calving month | 47,672 |
| Gestation length in categories | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length categories; calving year; calving month | 47,672 |
| Age at first calving categories | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; age at first calving categories; gestation length categories; calving year; calving month | 17,159 |
| Previous lactation days open categories | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; previous lactation days open categories; calving year; calving month | 30,500 |
| Days dry categories | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; days dry categories; calving year; calving month; days dry categoriesgestation length in days | 30,442 |
| Days in close-up categories | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; calves number; calving year; calving month | 20,220 |
| Calves number | Calving ease | Multiple Logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; calves number(twin/singleton); calving year; calving month | 47,567 |
| Calf sex | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; calf sex (singleton calvings); calving year; calving month | 46,305 |
| Calving season | Calving ease | Multiple logistic regression model | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; calving season | 47,672 |
Statistical models and variables included for the analysis of the association between calving ease and survival, fertility and milk production.
| Model Outcome | Outcome Variable | Model Type | Model Variables | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Culling risk in | Time to culling | Cox proportional hazard | Farm; gestation length in days; calving year; calving month; calving ease; Age at first calving in months | 17,159 |
| Culling risk within | Time to culling | Cox proportional hazard | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; days dry categories; calving year; calving month; previous lactation 305ME milk production; calving ease | 29,708 |
| Pregnancy risk | Time to pregnancy | Cox proportional hazard | Farm; gestation length in days; calving year; calving month; age at first calving in months; calving Ease | 17,159 |
| Pregnancy risk | Time to pregnancy | Cox proportional hazard | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; days dry categories; calving year; calving month; previous lactation 305ME milk production; previous Days open categories; calving ease | 29,975 |
| 60 DIM cumulative | 60 DIM cumulative milk production (Kg) | Multiple Linear regression | Farm; gestation length in days; calving year; calving month; age at first calving in months; calving Ease | 14,475 |
| 60 DIM cumulative | 60 DIM cumulative milk production (Kg) | Multiple Linear regression | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; days dry categories; calving year; calving month; previous lactation 305ME milk production; calving Ease | 24,211 |
| Predicted 305-d | Projected 305-d milk production (Kg) | Multiple Linear regression | Farm; gestation length in days; days in milk, calving year; calving month; age at first calving in months; calving Ease | 15,043 |
| Predicted 305-d | Projected 305-d milk production (Kg) | Multiple Linear regression | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; days in milk; days dry categories; calving year; calving month; previous lactation 305ME milk production; calving ease | 24,211 |
| Culling risk in the first | Time to culling | Cox proportional hazard | Farm; gestation length in days; calving year; calving month; calving ease; age at first calving in months | 17,159 |
| Culling risk within | Time to culling | Cox proportional hazard | Farm; parity group; gestation length in days; days dry categories; calving year; calving month; previous lactation 305ME milk production; calving ease | 29,708 |
| Pregnancy risk within | Time to pregnancy | Cox proportional hazard | Farm; gestation length in days; calving year; calving month; age at first calving in months; calving Ease | 17,159 |
Figure 1Distribution of assisted calving prevalence in the 40 Italian Holstein cow herds enrolled in the study. Each column corresponds to a single herd.
Risk factor associations with calving ease.
| Factor | Number 1 | Odds Ratio (95% C.I.) 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| 47,672 | ||
| <500 | 9815 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| 500–1000 | 20,566 | 1.11 (1.04–1.18) | |
| >1000 | 17,291 | 1.42 (1.34–1.52) | |
|
| 47,672 | ||
| 274–279 d | 21,144 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| <274 d | 13,809 | 0.97 (0.91–1.04) | |
| >279 d | 12,719 | 1.22 (1.13–1.31) | |
|
| 47,672 | ||
| 1 | 17,159 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| 2 | 12,770 | 1.04 (0.97–1.11) | |
| 3+ | 17,743 | 1.29 (1.21–1.37) | |
|
| 30,500 | ||
| ≤200 d | 27,036 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| >200 d | 3464 | 1.33 (1.21–1.47) | |
|
| 47,567 | ||
| Singleton | 46,305 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| Twins | 1262 | 3.71 (3.21–4.28) | |
|
| 46,305 | ||
| Female | 26,109 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| Male | 20,196 | 1.39 (1.30–1.48) | |
|
| 47,672 | ||
| Autumn | 14,216 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| Summer | 12,930 | 1.07 (1.00–1.15) | |
| Winter | 10,806 | 1.12 (1.05–1.21) | |
| Spring | 9720 | 1.13 (1.05–1.21) | |
|
| 30,442 | ||
| 44–70 d | 24,787 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| <44 d | 1109 | 1.03 (0.85–1.25) | |
| >70 d | 4546 | 1.26 (1.15–1.38) | |
|
| 20,220 | ||
| 15–28 d | 12,136 | Referent | <0.0001 |
| <15 d | 5186 | 0.96 (0.85–1.07) | |
| >28 d | 2898 | 1.22 (1.08–1.38) |
1 Number = number of observations in the dataset; 2 95% CI: 95% confidence intervals for estimated value. Specific risk factors are reported with bold type in the table.
Risk ratios and 95% confidence interval for the associations between calving ease and survival and between calving ease and fertility.
| Parameter | Unassisted Calving | Assisted Calving | CI | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 DIM Culling Risk | ||||
|
| N = 13824 | N = 3335 | ||
| Referrent | RR 1.68 | 1.31–2.14 | ||
|
| N = 23345 | N = 6363 | ||
| Referrent | RR 1.37 | 1.21–1.54 | ||
| 150 DIM Pregnancy risk | ||||
|
| N = 13824 | N = 3335 | ||
| Referrent | RR 0.94 | 0.88–0.99 | ||
|
| N = 23588 | N = 6377 | ||
| Referrent | RR 0.91 | 0.86–0.96 |
RR: risk ratios; CI: 95% confidence intervals for estimated value; parity groups are reported in Italics.
Least square means and 95% confidence intervals for milk production according to calving ease.
| Parameter | Unassisted Calving | CI | Assisted Calving | CI | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumulative 60-d | |||||
| milk yield-LSM (Kg) | |||||
|
| N = 1854.3 | 1846.9–1861.6 | N = 1833.8 | 1818.8–1848.7 | |
|
| N = 2626.4 | 2619.6–2633.3 | N = 2591.3 | 2577.9–2604.7 | |
| Predicted 305-d | |||||
| milk yield-LSM (Kg) | |||||
|
| N = 9633.5 | 9603.9–9663.0 | N = 9557.7 | 9497.7–9617.8 | |
|
| N = 11,297.6 | 11,427.6–11,476.1 | N = 11,237.1 | 11,341.6–11,435.1 |
LSM: least square mean; CI: 95% confidence intervals for estimated value; N = number of observations in the dataset; parity groups are reported in Italics.