| Literature DB >> 35312182 |
Xiaoqing Liu1, Hu Li1, Li Wei1,2, Qiao Tang1, Peng Hu1.
Abstract
Accurate prediction of the extent of fibrosis is of great clinical importance in patients infected with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to compare the performance of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) in evaluating liver fibrosis stages and to identify optimized cutoffs to exclude cirrhosis. Consecutive patients with CHB with liver biopsies were enrolled and randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of APRI, FIB-4, and GPR to distinguish fibrosis stages. New cutoffs with a sensitivity of at least 90% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of more than 95% were identified. A total of 880 individuals were enrolled in this study. The derivation data set consisted of 617 patients, with 82 patients with cirrhosis. In the validation cohort (n = 263), 29 patients had cirrhosis. APRI, FIB-4, and GPR had comparable diagnostic performance for diagnosing significant fibrosis. GPR outperformed APRI (p < 0.05) in the prediction of cirrhosis. A newly identified GPR score of 0.35 had a sensitivity and NPV of 93.9% and 98.0%, respectively, and misclassified 5 of 82 (6.1%) patients with cirrhosis in the derivation group. All new cutoffs identified in this study also reached our goal in the validation cohort. The new GPR score could rule out a larger proportion of individuals without cirrhosis, and the subgroup analysis showed more stable performance. However, the lower cutoff dose increases the need for further testing compared to the conventional cutoff.Entities:
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Year: 2022 PMID: 35312182 PMCID: PMC9234683 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1938
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Hepatol Commun ISSN: 2471-254X
Clinical characteristics of patients with CHB
| Derivation data set | Validation data set |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number, n | 617 | 263 | |
| Age, years (range) | 37 (31–44) | 37 (31–44) | 0.791 |
| Sex, male (%) | 476 (77.1) | 193 (73.4) | 0.267 |
| HBeAg, positive (%) | 282 (45.7) | 130 (49.4) | 0.325 |
| HBV DNA, log10 IU/mL | 5.0 (2.7–6.8) | 5.6 (3.3–7.0) | 0.071 |
| ALT | 54 (31–106) | 50 (32–94) | 0.325 |
| AST | 41 (28–70) | 42 (28–70) | 0.585 |
| GGT | 35 (20–81) | 30 (18–65) | 0.064 |
| PLT (109/L) | 135 (95–180) | 133 (92–174) | 0.368 |
| Inflammation stage, n (%) | |||
| G0 | 1 (0.1) | 1 (0.3) | 0.517 |
| G1 | 124 (20.1) | 47 (17.9) | |
| G2 | 290 (47.0) | 138 (52.5) | |
| G3 | 177 (28.7) | 69 (26.2) | |
| G4 | 25 (4.1) | 8 (3.0) | |
| Fibrosis stage, n (%) | |||
| S0 | 59 (9.6) | 22 (8.4) | 0.249 |
| S1 | 144 (23.3) | 68 (25.9) | |
| S2 | 173 (28.0) | 89 (33.8) | |
| S3 | 159 (25.8) | 55 (20.9) | |
| S4 | 82 (13.3) | 29 (11.0) |
Abbreviations: ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; CHB, chronic hepatits B; GGT, gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase; HBV, hepatitis B virus: HBeAg, hepatitis B e antigen; PLT, platelet.
Continuous variables (HBV DNA, ALT, AST, GGT, PLT) were expressed as median and interquartile range (IQR), and categorical variables were summarized as counts and percentages.
Data missing for 10 patients in the derivation data sets, 5 patients in the validation data sets.
Data missing for 4 patients in the derivation data sets, 5 patients in the validation data sets.
FIGURE 1Correlation with liver fibrosis stages in the derivation cohort. Association between Scheuer fibrosis stages and (A) APRI, (B) FIB‐4, and (C) GPR. The relationship between (D) APRI, (E) FIB‐4, and (F) GPR with the presence of cirrhosis. Data were divided into quintiles. Abbreviations: APRI, aspartate aminotransferase‐to‐platelet ratio index; FIB‐4, fibrosis‐4; GPR, gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase‐to‐platelet ratio
FIGURE 2ROC curves of APRI, FIB‐4, and GPR. ROC curves of APRI, FIB‐4, and GPR in (A) prediction of significant fibrosis and (B) cirrhosis in the derivation cohort. Abbreviations: APRI, aspartate aminotransferase‐to‐platelet ratio index; FIB‐4, fibrosis‐4; GPR, gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase‐to‐platelet ratio; ROC, receiver operator characteristic
Diagnostic performances of APRI, FIB‐4, and GPR to detect significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in the derivation cohort
| Fibrotic levels | Scores | AUROC (95% CI) | Cutoffs | Number identified (%) | Sen | Spe | PPV | NPV | NLR | Acc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Significant liver fibrosis (S2‐S4) | APRI | 0.673 (0.629–0.717) | <0.5 | 358 (58.0) | 0.775 | 0.409 | 0.728 | 0.472 | 0.550 | 0.655 |
| >1.5 | 0.370 | 0.857 | 0.841 | 0.400 | 0.735 | 0.530 | ||||
| 1.07 | – | 0.476 | 0.813 | 0.838 | 0.432 | 0.625 | 0.587 | |||
| FIB‐4 | 0.674 (0.630–0.718) | 1.76 | – | 0.556 | 0.724 | 0.804 | 0.444 | 0.613 | 0.611 | |
| GPR | 0.697 (0.654–0.741) | 0.32 | – | 0.710 | 0.571 | 0.772 | 0.492 | 0.508 | 0.665 | |
| 0.43 | – | 0.638 | 0.714 | 0.820 | 0.492 | 0.507 | 0.663 | |||
| Cirrhosis (S4) | APRI | 0.7329 (0.682–0.784) | <1 | 493 (80.0) | 0.683 | 0.628 | 0.220 | 0.928 | 0.505 | 0.635 |
| >2 | 0.451 | 0.824 | 0.282 | 0.907 | 0.874 | 0.775 | ||||
| ≤0.45 | 152 (24.6) | 0.976 | 0.280 | 0.172 | 0.987 | 0.086 | 0.373 | |||
| 0.69 | – | 0.890 | 0.486 | 0.210 | 0.967 | 0.226 | 0.540 | |||
| FIB‐4 | 0.755 (0.699–0.810) | <1.45 | 259 (42.0) | 0.853 | 0.462 | 0.196 | 0.954 | 0.318 | 0.514 | |
| ≤0.7 | 74 (12.0) | 0.988 | 0.136 | 0.149 | 0.986 | 0.089 | 0.250 | |||
| 2.04 | – | 0.756 | 0.673 | 0.262 | 0.947 | 0.363 | 0.684 | |||
| GPR | 0.773 (0.733–0.757) | 0.56 | – | 0.780 | 0.607 | 0.234 | 0.948 | 0.362 | 0.630 | |
| 0.44 | – | 0.890 | 0.544 | 0.230 | 0.970 | 0.202 | 0.590 |
Abbreviations: Acc, accuracy rate; APRI, aspartate aminotransferase‐to‐platelet ratio index; AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic; CI, confidence interval; FIB‐4, fibrosis‐4; GPR, gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase‐to‐platelet ratio; NLR, negative likelihood ratio; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; Sen, sensitivity; Spe, specificity.
Cut‐off values for APRI recommended by the World Health Organization.
Cutoffs recommended by Sonneveld et al.[ ] used to rule out cirrhosis.
Conventional cutoff of FIB‐4 used to rule out advanced fibrosis.
Cutoffs recommended by Lemoine et al.[ ]
FIGURE 3Diagnostic performance for the prediction of cirrhosis. (A) Specificity and PPV for various cutoffs of APRI, FIB‐4, and GPR; (B) sensitivity and NPV for various cutoffs of APRI, FIB‐4, and GPR. Abbreviations: APRI, aspartate aminotransferase‐to‐platelet ratio index; FIB‐4, fibrosis‐4; GPR, gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase‐to‐platelet ratio; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value
Performance of newly identified cutoffs in the study population
| Cutoff | Number identified | Cirrhosis | Sen | NPV | NLR | Misclassified | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APRI | Derivation | ≤0.6 | 231(37.4%) | 8 | 0.902 | 0.965 | 0.235 | 8/82 (9.8%) |
| Validation | ≤0.6 | 82 (31.2%) | 2 | 0.931 | 0.980 | 0.165 | 2/29 (6.9%) | |
| FIB‐4 | Derivation | ≤1.1 | 174 (28.2%) | 7 | 0.915 | 0.960 | 0.272 | 7/82 (8.5%) |
| Validation | ≤1.1 | 81 (30.8%) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.000 | 0/29 (0.0%) | |
| GPR | Derivation | ≤0.35 | 255 (41.3%) | 5 | 0.939 | 0.980 | 0.131 | 5/82 (6.1%) |
| Validation | ≤0.35 | 122 (46.4%) | 2 | 0.931 | 0.984 | 0.134 | 2/29 (6.9%) |
Abbreviations: APRI, aspartate aminotransferase‐to‐platelet ratio index; FIB‐4, fibrosis‐4; GPR, gamma‐glutamyl transpeptidase‐to‐platelet ratio; NLR, negative likelihood ratio; NPV, negative predictive value; Sen, sensitivity.
Proportion of patients with cirrhosis wrongly classified as no cirrhosis.