| Literature DB >> 35281671 |
Eulalie Courcelles1, Jean-Pierre Boissel1, Jacques Massol2, Ingrid Klingmann3, Riad Kahoul1, Marc Hommel1, Emmanuel Pham1, Alexander Kulesza1.
Abstract
Health technology assessment (HTA) aims to be a systematic, transparent, unbiased synthesis of clinical efficacy, safety, and value of medical products (MPs) to help policymakers, payers, clinicians, and industry to make informed decisions. The evidence available for HTA has gaps-impeding timely prediction of the individual long-term effect in real clinical practice. Also, appraisal of an MP needs cross-stakeholder communication and engagement. Both aspects may benefit from extended use of modeling and simulation. Modeling is used in HTA for data-synthesis and health-economic projections. In parallel, regulatory consideration of model informed drug development (MIDD) has brought attention to mechanistic modeling techniques that could in fact be relevant for HTA. The ability to extrapolate and generate personalized predictions renders the mechanistic MIDD approaches suitable to support translation between clinical trial data into real-world evidence. In this perspective, we therefore discuss concrete examples of how mechanistic models could address HTA-related questions. We shed light on different stakeholder's contributions and needs in the appraisal phase and suggest how mechanistic modeling strategies and reporting can contribute to this effort. There are still barriers dissecting the HTA space and the clinical development space with regard to modeling: lack of an adapted model validation framework for decision-making process, inconsistent and unclear support by stakeholders, limited generalizable use cases, and absence of appropriate incentives. To address this challenge, we suggest to intensify the collaboration between competent authorities, drug developers and modelers with the aim to implement mechanistic models central in the evidence generation, synthesis, and appraisal of HTA so that the totality of mechanistic and clinical evidence can be leveraged by all relevant stakeholders.Entities:
Keywords: drug development; health technology assessment (HTA); mechanistic evidence; mechanistic models; modeling and simulation (M&S); stakeholder engagement (SE)
Year: 2022 PMID: 35281671 PMCID: PMC8907708 DOI: 10.3389/fmedt.2022.810315
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med Technol ISSN: 2673-3129
Examples of how published (mechanistic) models rooted in the clinical development space (model informed drug development, MIDD) could address uncertainties in new medicinal product assessment reports.
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| What is the optimal dosage in the clinical context? | Physiologically based pharmacokinetic models can investigate dosing-regimens relevant for regulatory review and product labels ( |
| What is the duration of the effectiveness, especially with chronic use of a treatment? | Mechanistic models can predict the long-term disease progression by extrapolation of shorter-term findings under the constraints of how the components of the system function (and these constraints convey biological plausibility by design). An example is the use of a mechanism-based disease progression model for comparison of long-term effects of pioglitazone, metformin, and gliclazide on disease processes underlying Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus ( |
| What is the efficacy for relevant clinical outcomes? | Mechanistic models combined with pharmacometric approaches can translate findings for one outcome to a range of other outcomes. An example of survival modeling on the back of a mechanistic description is the modeling framework for CD19-Specific CAR-T cell immunotherapy using a quantitative systems pharmacology model ( |
| What is the size of the clinical effect dependent on patient characteristics and extrinsic factors? | Data-driven modeling techniques can capture correlation within clinical data. Describing the clinical effect of a drug can also be based on mechanistic considerations. Such models either (a) link disease phenotypes to increasingly granular mathematical representations of pathophysiologic processes (top-down approach) or (b) derive functional, computable cellular networks from the molecular building blocks of genes and proteins to elucidate the impact of pathologic or therapeutic alterations on network operating states and hence clinical phenotype (bottom-up) [see ( |
| What is the difference in effect when compared head-to-head to other comparators? | Mechanistic modeling is a commonly used tool to explore treatment combinations in immuno-oncology [see for example ( |
| What is the efficacy compared to placebo or the standard of care, when controlled studies are hard to conduct? | For comparative effectiveness research, data from a control arm is needed. When such control arm is unfeasible (for example because of ethical reasons), external or synthetic control data may be an avenue to put uncontrolled clinical data into a controlled setting, but mitigation of the risk of bias needs adjustment techniques. Mechanistic modeling can quantitatively predict the effect of an intervention on a clinical outcome as a function of patient characteristics and extrinsic factors, on a single patient level. These features render mechanistic models promising to set up unbiased synthetic control arms [SCA, see ( |
| What is the effect of real-life compliance on efficacy? | Explicit simulation of administration adherence can be coupled with pharmacokinetic models. One example is the simulation of adherence patterns using Markov Chains for trial design ( |
| What is the distribution of responders in the target population? | Predicting individual response to treatments needs the convergence of large-scale mechanistic models [e.g., in cancer pathways ( |
| What is the size of the benefit at the population level? | Mechanistic models providing clinical outcome estimates can be used on the entire population level to predict effectiveness, given that adapted metrics are used ( |
| What is the long-term safety and what impact does the occurrence of rare side effects have over long-term use? | The combination of quantitative systems toxicity ( |
Emphasis is put on mechanistic models.
List of different Stakeholder groups increasingly involved in the appraisal stage of HTA with dedicated contribution, special needs (to understand and capture a drug's mechanism, effect, role, or impact) and example of how mechanistic modeling can help to address this need and fill persistent gaps.
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| First-hand experiential knowledge of living with a particular health condition; experience with the health technology under assessment, or currently available technologies, the use of associated health services, and associated benefits, risks, and side effects | Needs to understand the impact of a new MP on personal and individual health status, personal risks, and benefits | Establish plausibility and interactivity of clinical decision-making |
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| May lack knowledge about disease or health technology in question but can assess transparency, legitimacy, and fairness in decision making ( | Needs to understand reasoning in the decision-making process | Establish plausibility and interactivity of the policy decision-making |
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| Gather expertise on clinical aspects regarding: the disease/condition; medical needs; available therapies; the technology under assessment | Needs to be convinced about the new health technology being the best therapeutic approach to be delivered to a patient. | Provide clinically relevant scenarios of HT impact on outcomes, among other comparator approaches |
| Identify clinically relevant patient population (and/or subgroups), comparators, thresholds for improvement | Needs to decide, diagnose, or prescribe based on large and complex scientific knowledge | Provide a comprehensive view of all the available scientific knowledge | |
| Gather information on clinically relevant outcomes including possible neglected outcomes | |||
| Gaining further information on the importance of outcomes from a healthcare professional point of view ( | |||
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| Can judge the expected benefit for healthcare on a national or regional level given the specific political background ( | Need to estimate a new treatment impact on a national or regional level | Provide trustworthy estimation of a new treatment benefit on a specific population where little data is available |
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| Contribute expertise on reimbursement/coverage decisions | Need to estimate a new treatment impact on a national or regional level | Provide trustworthy estimation of a new treatment benefit on a specific population where little data is available |
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| Technology manufacturers can take part (as peers) in all discussions and meetings about contributed data to clarify concerns and provide additional information to support coverage of their products ( | Needs to understand and rationalize questions and concerns vs. specific available data | Show how technology manufacturer's data fits into the overall evidence |
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| Provide cross-disciplinary scientific feedback from public health, economics, ethics, and social sciences | Needs to understand the bigger picture of HT | Provide information for other models and assessments |