| Literature DB >> 35275076 |
Hyesil Jung1, Sooyoung Yoo1, Seok Kim1, Eunjeong Heo1, Borham Kim1, Ho-Young Lee1, Hee Hwang2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Falls in acute care settings threaten patients' safety. Researchers have been developing fall risk prediction models and exploring risk factors to provide evidence-based fall prevention practices; however, such efforts are hindered by insufficient samples, limited covariates, and a lack of standardized methodologies that aid study replication.Entities:
Keywords: Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership; accidental falls; common data model; data model; electronic health record; fall risk; health data; medical informatics; nursing records; prediction model; risk prediction
Year: 2022 PMID: 35275076 PMCID: PMC8957002 DOI: 10.2196/35104
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JMIR Med Inform
Figure 1Relationship between common data model tables containing fall-related electronic health record data.
Fall-related electronic health record data standardization.
| Electronic health record data, common data model domain, and standard vocabulary | Mapped items, n | Converted records, n | ||
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| SNOMED CT | 9 | 6277 |
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| LOINC | 199 | 520,381,084 |
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| SNOMED CT | 11 | 7,421,380 |
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| LOINC | 74 | 45,145,516 |
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| SNOMED CT | 18 | 56,587,345 |
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| SNOMED CT | 1 | 1,554,775 |
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| SNOMED CT | 1 | 5,685,011 |
Figure 2Descriptive common data model report for the fall from bed concept.
Figure 3Descriptive common data model report (hospital falls risk assessment score for older adults).
Study population.
| Characteristic | Fall (n=1465) | No fall (n=107,824) | |||||
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| Male | 845 (57.68) | 56,369 (52.28) |
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| Female | 620 (42.32) | 51,455 (47.72) |
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| 19-29 | 40 (2.73) | 4339 (4.02) | .01 | |||
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| 30-39 | 68 (4.64) | 7368 (6.83) | <.001 | |||
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| 40-49 | 141 (9.62) | 14,457 (13.41) | <.001 | |||
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| 50-59 | 231 (15.77) | 25,033 (23.22) | <.001 | |||
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| 60-69 | 388 (26.49) | 26,857 (24.91) | .17 | |||
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| 70-79 | 449 (30.65) | 22,931 (21.27) | <.001 | |||
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| Over 80 | 148 (10.10) | 6839 (6.34) | <.001 | |||
| Previous fall, n (%) | 103 (7.03) | 2143 (1.99) | <.001 | ||||
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| Malignant neoplastic disease | 753 (51.40) | 44,605 (41.37) | <.001 | |||
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| Intracranial aneurysm | 31 (2.12) | 13,231 (12.27) | <.001 | |||
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| Neoplasm of head | 234 (15.97) | 9562 (8.87) | <.001 | |||
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| Diabetes | 105 (7.17) | 4328 (4.01) | <.001 | |||
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| Traumatic and nontraumatic brain injury | 95 (6.48) | 4435 (4.11) | <.001 | |||
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| Osteoarthritis | 30 (2.05) | 1042 (0.97) | <.001 | |||
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| Antiepileptics | 392 (26.76) | 15,639 (14.50) | <.001 | |||
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| Antidepressants | 181 (12.35) | 6969 (6.46) | <.001 | |||
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| Antipsychotics | 188 (12.83) | 6566 (6.09) | <.001 | |||
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| Vasoprotectives | 813 (55.49) | 47,284 (43.85) | <.001 | |||
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| Antihemorrhagics | 197 (13.45) | 9375 (8.69) | <.001 | |||
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| Computed tomography of brain without contrast | 216 (14.74) | 8577 (7.95) | <.001 | |||
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| Magnetic resonance imaging of head and neck with contrast | 86 (5.87) | 5681 (5.27) | .34 | |||
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| Transfusion of platelet concentrate | 105 (7.17) | 4067 (3.77) | <.001 | |||
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| Percentage segmented neutrophils in blood | 65.92 | 60.70 | <.001 | |||
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| Heart rate | 84.09 | 80.04 | <.001 | |||
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| Glucose level (mg/dL in serum, plasma, or blood) | 128.74 | 117.73 | <.001 | |||
| Visit count, mean | 13.31 | 10.69 | <.001 | ||||
| Hendrich II Fall Risk Score, mean | 4.29 | 2.48 | <.001 | ||||
| Patient acuity score, mean | 23.17 | 19.75 | <.001 | ||||
| Length of stay (days), median | 15 | 4 | <.001 | ||||
aNot applicable to all patients; therefore, percentages do not add to 100%.
Predictive performance.
| Time point and algorithm | Outcome rate (%) | AUROC (95% CI) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Negative predictive value (%) | |
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| LASSOa logistic regression | 0.81 | 0.718 (0.686-0.750) | 65.91 | 64.24 | 99.57 |
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| Random forest |
| 0.692 (0.661-0.724) | 66.82 | 62.51 | 99.57 |
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| Hendrich II Fall Risk Model | 0.78 | 0.677 (0.658-0.696) | 53.81 | 74.52 | 99.51 |
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| LASSO logistic regression | 1.36 | 0.726 (0.702-0.750) | 68.29 | 63.43 | 99.31 |
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| Random forest | 0.723 (0.698-0.747) | 69.11 | 62.87 | 99.33 | |
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| Hendrich II Fall Risk Model | 1.35 | 0.673 (0.659-0.687) | 52.43 | 74.05 | 99.13 |
aLASSO: least absolute shrinkage and selection operator.
Figure 4Top 20 covariates included in the logistic regression models by risk time period.