| Literature DB >> 35265726 |
J Daniel Kelly1,2,3,4, Raphael G Frankfurter5, Jacqueline M Tavs3, Mohamed Bailor Barrie1,2,4, Timothy McGinnis6, Mohamed Kamara4, Adams Freeman4, Komba Quiwah4, Michelle C Davidson5, Bonnie Dighero-Kemp7, Harrison Gichini7, Elizabeth Elliott7, Cavan Reilly8, Lisa E Hensley7, H Clifford Lane7, Sheri D Weiser9, Travis C Porco1,3, George W Rutherford1,2, Eugene T Richardson4,6,10.
Abstract
Background: It remains unclear if there is a dose-dependent relationship between exposure risk to Ebola virus (EBOV) and severity of illness.Entities:
Keywords: Ebola virus; epidemiology; exposure risk; public health; transmission
Year: 2022 PMID: 35265726 PMCID: PMC8900924 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac052
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Open Forum Infect Dis ISSN: 2328-8957 Impact factor: 4.423
Figure 1.Flow diagram of study participants and classification in disease groups. Abbreviations: EBOV, Ebola virus; EVD, Ebola virus disease.
Sociodemographic Characteristics of the Community-Based Cohort in Kono District, Sierra Leone
| Characteristic | All Infected | Uninfected | Pauci-symptomatic | Unrecognized EVD | Survivor | Decedent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | ||||||
| Female | 47 (42.3) | 156 (41.2) | 11 (50.0) | 9 (44.4) | 9 (39.1) | 19 (39.6) |
| Male | 64 (57.7) | 223 (58.8) | 11 (50.0) | 10 (55.6) | 14 (60.8) | 29 (60.4) |
| Age, y | ||||||
| ≤19 | 27 (22.9) | 155 (40.9) | 6 (27.3) | 6 (33.3) | 4 (17.4) | 11 (22.9) |
| 20–29 | 23 (19.5) | 64 (16.9) | 5 (36.6) | 3 (16.7) | 4 (13.0) | 2 (4.2) |
| 30–39 | 20 (16.9) | 57 (15.0) | 1 (4.6) | 1 (5.6) | 4 (17.4) | 14 (29.2) |
| 40–49 | 24 (20.3) | 51 (13.5) | 4 (18.2) | 5 (27.8) | 5 (21.7) | 10 (20.8) |
| ≥50 | 24 (20.3) | 52 (13.7) | 3 (13.6) | 3 (16.7) | 7 (30.4) | 11 (22.9) |
| Education | ||||||
| None | 57 (52.3) | 133 (35.1) | 9 (40.9) | 7 (38.9) | 11 (47.8) | 30 (62.5) |
| Primary | 20 (18.3) | 118 (31.1) | 4 (18.2) | 3 (16.7) | 5 (21.7) | 8 (16.7) |
| Secondary and above | 32 (29.4) | 124 (32.7) | 9 (40.9) | 8 (44.4) | 7 (30.4) | 8 (16.7) |
| Employment | ||||||
| Healthcare | 14 (13.1) | 67 (17.7) | 3 (13.6) | 4 (22.2) | 1 (4.4) | 6 (12.5) |
| Indoor | 17 (15.9) | 98 (25.9) | 3 (13.6) | 5 (27.8) | 4 (17.4) | 5 (10.4) |
| Outdoor | 76 (71.0) | 212 (55.9) | 15 (68.1) | 9 (50.0) | 17 (73.9) | 35 (72.9) |
| Head of household | ||||||
| No | 46 (42.2) | 256 (67.6) | 11 (50.0) | 10 (55.6) | 8 (34.8) | 17 (35.4) |
| Yes | 63 (57.8) | 122 (32.2) | 11 (50.0) | 8 (44.4) | 15 (65.2) | 29 (60.4) |
Data are presented as No. (%) unless otherwise indicated.
Abbreviations: EVD, Ebola virus disease.
Figure 2.Geospatial depiction of the transmission chains inclusive of pauci-/asymptomatic infection and unrecognized Ebola virus disease (EVD). Contact participants identified through the serosurvey are indicated by green circles while EVD cases are indicated by orange circles.
Estimation of the Average Effective Reproduction Number Among the Communities
| Community | Generation 1 | Generation 2 | Generation 3 | Generation 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reproduction No. (Incidence) | Reproduction No. (Incidence) | Reproduction No. (Incidence) | Reproduction No. (Incidence) | |
| Joe Town | 2.0 (2) | 3.5 (7) | 0.43 (3) | 0.67 (2) |
| Ngo Town | 2.0 (2) | 1.5 (3) | 0.33 (1) | 0.00 (0) |
| Ndogboya | 16.0 (16) | 1.3 (20) | 0.20 (4) | 0.25 (1) |
| Bumpe | 29.0 (29) | 0.24 (7) | 0.71 (5) | 0.60 (3) |
| Overall | 12.3 (49) | 1.62 (37) | 0.42 (13) | 0.51 (6) |
Description of Exposure Risk by Ebola Virus Infection and Severity of Ebola Virus Disease Illness
| Characteristic | All Infected | Uninfected | Pauci-symptomatic | Unrecognized EVD | Survivor | Dead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-level exposure variable | ||||||
| Minimal or no contact | 19 (17.1) | 170 (44.9) | 14 (63.6) | 1 (5.6) | 0 (0) | 4 (8.3) |
| Indirect | 13 (11.7) | 94 (24.8) | 4 (18.2) | 5 (27.8) | 0 (0) | 4 (8.3) |
| Direct | 79 (71.2) | 115 (30.3) | 4 (18.2) | 12 (66.7) | 23 (100.0) | 40 (83.3) |
| 5-level exposure variable | ||||||
| Minimal or no contact | 19 (17.1) | 170 (44.9) | 14 (63.6) | 1 (5.6) | 0 (0) | 4 (8.3) |
| Low risk | 13 (11.7) | 94 (24.8) | 4 (18.2) | 5 (27.8) | 0 (0) | 4 (8.3) |
| Intermediate risk | 3 (2.7) | 8 (2.11) | 1 (4.6) | 0 (0.0) | 1 (4.4) | 1 (2.1) |
| High risk | 34 (30.6) | 68 (17.9) | 1 (4.6) | 7 (38.9) | 9 (39.1) | 17 (35.4) |
| Maximum risk | 42 (37.8) | 39 (10.3) | 2 (9.1) | 5 (27.8) | 13 (56.5) | 22 (45.8) |
Data are presented as No. (%) unless otherwise indicated.
Abbreviations: EVD, Ebola virus disease.
Associations of Exposure Risk by Ebola Virus Infection and Severity of Ebola Virus Disease Illness
| Exposure Level | EBOV Infection | Disease Severity | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted OR |
| Adjusted OR |
| |
| Minimal exposure | Ref | NA | Ref | |
| Low risk | 1.2 | .06 | 1.3 | .53 |
| Intermediate risk | 3.4 | .01 | 3.5 | .08 |
| High risk | 4.5 | <.001 | 5.1 | <.001 |
| Maximal risk | 9.6 | <.001 | 11.24 | <.001 |
Abbreviations: EBOV, Ebola virus; NA, not applicable; OR, odds ratio.
Confounding variables included age, sex, educational level, and type of work.