| Literature DB >> 35227275 |
Aneta Arct1,2, Szymon M Drobniak3,4, Anna Dubiec5, Rafał Martyka6, Joanna Sudyka3, Lars Gustafsson7, Mariusz Cichoń3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Relatively few studies have examined the interactive effects of ecological factors on physiological responses in wild animals. Nearly all of them have been short-term investigations that did not include experimental manipulations, limiting our ability to understand how climate change will affect natural populations. Using a 10-year brood size manipulation experiment in wild blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus), we quantified the impact of weather conditions and brood competition on the body mass and structural size (tarsus length) of nestlings just prior to leaving the nest.Entities:
Keywords: Birds; Climate change; Post-hatching rearing conditions; Reproductive effort; Weather conditions
Year: 2022 PMID: 35227275 PMCID: PMC8883686 DOI: 10.1186/s12983-022-00456-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Zool ISSN: 1742-9994 Impact factor: 3.172
The results of linear mixed models analysing the effects of a set explanatory variables on body mass and tarsus length of 14-day-old offspring
| Model | Estimate (SE or CIs) | d.f | F | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 10.84 (0.06) | |||
| Temperature | 2.01 (0.70) | 1, 109.6 | 1.04 | 0.31 |
| Temperature2 | − 2.01 (0.70) | 1, 99.2 | 0.95 | 0.33 |
| Female identity | 0.31 (0.25, 0.36) | |||
| Foster female identity | 0.51 (0.45, 0.57) | |||
| Year | 0.11 (0.00, 0.20) | |||
| R2marginal/conditional | 0.36/0.71 | |||
| Intercept | 16.10 (0.07) | |||
| Temperature | 0.86 (0.45) | 1, 261.2 | 3.60 | 0.059 |
| Temperature2 | − 0.83 (0.46) | 1, 219.3 | 3.30 | 0.071 |
| Female identity | 0.26 (0.22, 0.31) | |||
| Foster female identity | 0.33 (0.28, 0.37) | |||
| Year | 0.18 (0.09, 0.28) | |||
| R2marginal/conditional | 0.17/0.61 |
Full models (see Additional file 1: Table S2) included treatment (the level of this factor refers to enlarged nests) and offspring sex (the level of this factor refers to males) as categorical fixed factors, temperature and precipitation (both as linear and quadratic terms), hatching date, brood size, body mass on day 2 and tarsus length (only in body mass analysis) as covariates (all centred and standardised). Interactions between treatment and climatic variables were also tested. In all models, female identity, foster female identity and the year of study were random factors. Presented are reduced (final) models, with determined marginal and conditional R2, after the backward elimination of non-significant (if P > 0.1) interactions and covariates. Estimates of fixed and random factors are accompanied with SE and CIs, respectively. Significant terms (P < 0.05) are in bold
Fig. 1The interactive effect of brood size manipulation and ambient temperature (quadratic term) on nestling body mass 14 days after hatching. The fitted regression lines accompanied with 95% CIs are presented, based on predicted values from the final model (Table 1, blue—control broods, red—enlarged broods)
Fig. 2The effect of ambient temperature (quadratic term) on offspring tarsus length 14 days after hatching. The fitted regression line accompanied with 95% CI is presented, based on predicted values from the final model (Table 1)