| Literature DB >> 35206148 |
Ileana Federigi1, Osvalda De Giglio2, Giusy Diella2, Francesco Triggiano2, Francesca Apollonio2, Marilena D'Ambrosio2, Lorenzo Cioni3, Marco Verani1, Maria Teresa Montagna4, Annalaura Carducci1.
Abstract
The quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) framework is used for assessing health risk coming from pathogens in the environment. In this paper, we used QMRA to evaluate the infection risk of L. pneumophila attributable to sink usage in a toilet cabin on Italian long-distance public transportation (LDT). LDT has water distribution systems with risk points for Legionella proliferation, as well as premise plumbing for drinking water, but they are not considered for risk assessment. Monitoring data revealed that approximately 55% of water samples (217/398) were positive for L. pneumophila, and the most frequently isolated was L. pneumophila sg1 (64%, 139/217); therefore, such data were fitted to the best probability distribution function to be used as a stochastic variable in the QMRA model. Then, a sink-specific aerosolization ratio was applied to calculate the inhaled dose, also considering inhalation rate and exposure time, which were used as stochastic parameters based on literature data. At L. pneumophila sg1 concentration ≤100 CFU/L, health risk was approximately 1 infection per 1 million exposures, with an increase of up to 5 infections per 10,000 exposures when the concentrations were ≥10,000 CFU/L. Our QMRA results showed a low Legionella infection risk from faucets on LDT; however, it deserves consideration since LDT can be used by people highly susceptible for the development of a severe form of the disease, owing to their immunological status or other predisposing factors. Further investigations could also evaluate Legionella-laden aerosols from toilet flushing.Entities:
Keywords: Legionella pneumophila; bioaerosol; long-distance public transport; monitoring; premise plumbing; public health; risk assessment; train; water distribution system
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35206148 PMCID: PMC8872098 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19041960
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1Schematics of the QMRA model framework and model input parameters for the modeled exposure scenario of sink usage on LDT.
Distributions and parameters of the exposure assessment in the QMRA framework.
| Input Variables | Description | Unit | Characterization | Source and Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| CFU/L | lognormal distribution 1 | This article, based on a 6-year monitoring period | |
|
| Sink partitioning coefficient | L/m3 | lognormal distribution 1 | Hamilton et al., 2019 [ |
|
| Percentage of aerosols in respirable range (between 1 and 8 μm reported) for partitioning coefficient | % | point estimate (50) | Bollin et al., 1985 [ |
|
| Inhalation rate | m3/min | uniform distribution (min = 0.013, max = 0.017) | USEPA 2011 [ |
|
| Sink use duration | min | uniform distribution (min = 0.5, max = 1.5) | An assumption on the duration of an individual would stay in the toilet for hand washing. |
1 The lognormal distribution of each variable Y has been evaluated as exp(µ + σ*Z) where Z is a standardized normal variable with mean 0 and standard deviation 1, and µ and σ are, respectively, the mean and the standard deviation of a generic normal distribution.
Figure 2Annual variability of L. pneumophila concentrations in positive samples. For each year, the distribution of the whole Legionella concentration values is represented by boxplot and the serogroups are identified by different colors. Red dashed lines correspond to Legionella thresholds in water for the application of control measures in healthcare and community settings, according to Italian guidelines [23].
Contamination of L. pneumophila in positive samples. For load distribution categories, percentages refer to the column (calculation based on the type of serogroup).
| Mixed | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive samples (n°, %) | 217/398 (54.5%) | 139/217 (64.1%) | 58/217 (26.7%) | 20/217 (9.2%) |
|
| ||||
| Geometric mean | 4.93 × 103 ± 4.97 | 3.67 × 103 ± 4.96 | 5.72 × 103 ± 5.74 | 7.00 × 103 ± 2.45 |
| Median | 5.00 × 103 | 4.10 × 103 | 6.68 × 103 | 6.63 × 103 |
| IQR (1°–3° quartiles) | 1.50 × 103–1.30 × 104 | 1.00 × 103–1.14 × 104 | 2.13 × 103–1.93 × 104 | 3.79 × 103–1.22 × 104 |
|
| ||||
| ≤100 CFU/L | 4/217 (1.8%) | 1/139 (0.7%) | 3/58 (5.2%) | 0/20 (0%) |
| 101–1000 CFU/L | 44/217 (20.3%) | 39/139 (28.1%) | 5/58 (8.6%) | 0/20 (0%) |
| 1001–10,000 CFU/L | 100/217 (46.1%) | 61/139 (43.9%) | 27/58 (46.6%) | 12/20 (60%) |
| ≥10,001 CFU/L | 69/217 (31.8%) | 38/139 (27.3%) | 23/58 (39.7%) | 8/20 (40%) |
Figure 3Results of the fitting of a Lognormal distribution to the monitoring dataset. Empirical and theoretical distributions are represented as probability density function (PDF) (a) or as cumulative density function (CDF) (b). Empirical data set plotted against the theoretical lognormal data set are represented as P-P plot (c) and Q-Q plot (d). A straight blue line represents perfect fitting in (c,d).
Figure 4Estimated probability of infection for single use of faucet for different concentrations of L. pneumophila sg1 in water, according to concentration categories for water management actions.
Figure 5Sensitivity analysis results for the QMRA model. The histograms represent the average values of the pairwise differences of P when all the input parameters are fixed and one varying at a time.