| Literature DB >> 35146969 |
Alessio Paris1, Pranami Bora1, Silvia Parolo1, Michael Monine2, Xiao Tong2, Satish Eraly2, Eric Masson2, Toby Ferguson2, Alexander McCampbell2, Danielle Graham2, Enrico Domenici1,3, Ivan Nestorov2, Luca Marchetti1,3.
Abstract
Neurofilaments (Nfs) are the major structural component of neurons. Their role as a potential biomarker of several neurodegenerative diseases has been investigated in past years with promising results. However, even under physiological conditions, little is known about the leaking of Nfs from the neuronal system and their detection in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood. This study aimed at developing a mathematical model of Nf transport in healthy subjects in the 20-90 age range. The model was implemented as a set of ordinary differential equations describing the trafficking of Nfs from the nervous system to the periphery. Model parameters were calibrated on typical Nf levels obtained from the literature. An age-dependent function modeled on CSF data was also included and validated on data measured in serum. We computed a global sensitivity analysis of model rates and volumes to identify the most sensitive parameters affecting the model's steady state. Age, Nf synthesis, and degradation rates proved to be relevant for all model variables. Nf levels in the CSF and in blood were observed to be sensitive to the Nf leakage rates from neurons and to the blood clearance rate, and CSF levels were also sensitive to rates representing CSF turnover. An additional parameter perturbation analysis was also performed to investigate possible transient effects on the model variables not captured by the sensitivity analysis. The model provides useful insights into Nf transport and constitutes the basis for implementing quantitative system pharmacology extensions to investigate Nf trafficking in neurodegenerative diseases.Entities:
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Year: 2022 PMID: 35146969 PMCID: PMC9007607 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.12770
Source DB: PubMed Journal: CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol ISSN: 2163-8306
FIGURE 1Model diagram representing the structure of the Nf trafficking model. Nf subunits move from neurons to the CSF and to the blood, where they are detected. Reaction rates for which a different estimate has been identified for the three Nf subunits have an additional label “L,M,H”; all of the other rates share the same estimate for neurofilament light chain, neurofilament medium chain, and phosphorylated neurofilament heavy chain and are unlabeled. CNS, central nervous system; CSF, cerebrospinal fluid; Nf, neurofilament
FIGURE 2NfL concentration as a function of age computed from the model compared with the two standard deviation intervals from population data in the CSF (a) and the 90% interval in serum (b). The black dot represents the model‐calibrated values at 45 years. CSF, cerebrospinal fluid; NfL, neurofilament light chain
Estimated model parameters (the full list of parameters is provided in Table S1)
| Rate | Estimate (1/day) | Estimated 95% CI |
|---|---|---|
| r5L, r6L | 7.3 × 10−6 | (0.47–12) × 10−6 |
| r5M, r6M | 0.60 × 10−6 | (0.3–1.5) × 10−6 |
| r5H, r6H | 0.58 × 10−6 | (0.3–1.4) × 10−6 |
| r13L | 10.1 | 0.5–27.7 |
| r13M | 0.018 | 0.002–0.04 |
| r13H | 7.4 | 1.1–20.1 |
Note: All of the estimates are computed considering the data reported in Byrne et al. Martinez‐Morillo et al. and De Schaepdryver et al. for neurofilament light chain, neurofilament medium chain, and phosphorylated neurofilament heavy chain, respectively. The estimate values are derived from the median neurofilament concentrations, whereas the CIs were obtained by repeated calibrations of neurofilament levels randomly selected from the measured ranges.
Abbreviation: CI, confidence interval.
Summary of the sensitivity analysis for NfL
| NfL CNS neurons | NfL PNS | NfL ISF | NfL endoneurial fluid | NfL CSF cranial | NfL CSF spinal | NfL blood |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| r1 | r3 | Age | Age | Age | Age | Age |
| r2 | r4 | r7 | r8 | r1 | r1 | Blood vol. |
| Age | Age | r1 | r3 | r2 | r2 | r13 |
| r5 | r6 | CNS neurons vol. | Motor neurons vol. | r3 | r3 | r1 |
| r7 | r5 | r2 | r4 | r4 | r4 | r2 |
| r9 | r7 | r5 | r6 | CNS neurons vol. | r12 | r3 |
| r10 | r9 | CSF cranial vol. | Endoneurial fluid vol. | r5 | Motor neurons vol. | r4 |
| r11 | r10 | ISF vol. | CSF spinal vol. | r11 | r6 | CNS neurons vol. |
| r12 | r11 | Endoneurial fluid vol. | ISF vol. | r9 | CNS neurons vol. | r5 |
| r6 | r12 | r9 | r12 | r10 | r5 | r6 |
| r8 | r8 | r12 | r10 | Motor neurons vol. | r11 | Motor neurons vol. |
| r13 | r13 | r8 | r9 | r6 | r9 | Endoneurial fluid vol. |
| CNS neurons vol. | CNS neurons vol. | r10 | r5 | r12 | r10 | CSF cranial vol. |
| ISF vol. | ISF vol. | Motor neurons vol. | CSF cranial vol. | Endoneurial fluid vol. | Endoneurial fluid vol. | r7 |
| Motor neurons vol. | Motor neurons vol. | r11 | CNS neurons vol. | CSF cranial vol. | CSF cranial vol. | ISF vol. |
| Endoneurial fluid vol. | Endoneurial fluid vol. | r6 | r7 | ISF vol. | ISF vol. | r10 |
| CSF cranial vol. | CSF cranial vol. | CSF spinal vol. | r11 | r7 | r7 | r9 |
| CSF spinal vol. | CSF spinal vol. | r13 | r13 | r8 | r8 | r12 |
| Blood vol. | Blood vol. | Blood vol. | Blood vol. | CSF spinal vol. | CSF spinal vol. | r11 |
| r3 | r1 | r3 | r1 | r13 | r13 | r8 |
| r4 | r2 | r4 | r2 | Blood vol. | Blood vol. | CSF spinal vol. |
Note: Similar results can be computed for the other two neurofilament subunits. For each compartment, the parameters are sorted from the most relevant to the least relevant. The color map reflects the computed sensitivity values. White cells correspond to very low or negligible sensitivity values.
Abbreviations: CNS, central nervous system; CSF, cerebrospinal fluid; ISF, interstitial fluid; NfL, neurofilament light chain; PNS, peripheral nervous system; vol., volume.
FIGURE 3Simulated neurofilament light chain concentration in the spinal cerebrospinal fluid in the presence of a perturbation in the model reaction rates. The simulation starts from the calibrated steady state. At time zero the rate of the corresponding reaction is scaled by different scaling factors
FIGURE 4Simulated neurofilament light chain concentration in blood in the presence of a perturbation in the model reaction rates. The simulation starts from the calibrated steady state. At time zero the rate of the corresponding reaction is scaled by different scaling factors
Classification of the model variables according to their percent change as a response to a 50% variation of the rates
| Rate | Strong effect | Weak effect | Negligible effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| r1 | CNS neurons, ISF, CSF cranial, blood | CSF spinal | PNS neurons, endoneurial fluid |
| r2 | CNS neurons, ISF, CSF cranial, CSF spinal, blood | PNS neurons, endoneurial fluid | |
| r3 | PNS neurons, endoneurial fluid, CSF spinal | CSF cranial, blood | CNS neurons, ISF |
| r4 | PNS neurons, endoneurial fluid, CSF spinal | CSF cranial, blood | CNS neurons, ISF |
| r5 | ISF, CSF cranial, blood | CSF spinal, CNS neuron | PNS neurons, endoneurial fluid |
| r6 | Endoneurial fluid, CSF spinal | PNS neurons, CSF cranial, blood | CNS neurons, ISF |
| r7 | ISF | CNS neurons, PNS neurons, endoneurial fluid, CSF cranial, CSF spinal, blood | |
| r8 | Endoneurial fluid | CNS neurons, PNS neurons, ISF, CSF cranial, CSF spinal, blood | |
| r9 | CSF cranial, CSF spinal | CNS neurons, PNS neurons, ISF, endoneurial fluid, Blood | |
| r10 | CSF cranial, CSF spinal | CNS neurons, PNS neurons, ISF, endoneurial fluid, blood | |
| r11 | CSF cranial | CSF spinal | CNS neurons, PNS neurons, ISF, endoneurial fluid, blood |
| r12 | CSF spinal | CSF cranial | CNS neurons, PNS neurons, ISF, endoneurial fluid, blood |
| r13 | Blood | CNS neurons, PNS neurons, ISF, endoneurial fluid, CSF cranial, CSF spinal |
Note: Strong effect represents an absolute variation of the concentration larger than 25%, weak effect an absolute concentration variation between 0 and 25%, whereas the negligible effect category includes the rates for which the concentration change is zero.
Abbreviations: CNS, central nervous system; CSF, cerebrospinal fluid; ISF, interstitial fluid; PNS, peripheral nervous system.