| Literature DB >> 35145910 |
Bing Liu1, Zhen Sun2, Zi-Liang Xu1, Hong-Liang Zhao1, Di-Di Wen1, Yong-Ai Li3, Fan Zhang4, Bing-Xin Hou5, Yi Huan1, Li-Chun Wei5, Min-Wen Zheng1.
Abstract
Prognostic biomarkers that can reliably predict the disease-free survival (DFS) of locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) are needed for identifying those patients at high risk for progression, who may benefit from a more aggressive treatment. In the present study, we aimed to construct a multiparametric MRI-derived radiomic signature for predicting DFS of LACC patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).Entities:
Keywords: concurrent chemoradiotherapy; disease-free survival; locally advanced cervical cancer; multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging; radiomics
Year: 2022 PMID: 35145910 PMCID: PMC8821662 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.812993
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Flow diagram of patient enrollment.
Figure 2Radiomics framework of predicting the DFS of LACC patients. DFS represents disease-free survival; LACC represents locally advanced cervical cancer; ROC represents receiver operating curves.
Characteristics of the patients at baseline.
| Characteristics | Primary cohort (n = 178) | Validation cohort (n = 85) | p value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years, mean ± SD) | 54.28 ± 9.40 | 53.17 ± 9.36 | 0.843 |
| SCC (ng/ml) | 8.98 ± 12.10 | 8.74 ± 11.83 | 0.766 |
| FIGO stage | 0.984 | ||
| IB | 3 (1.69%) | 1 (1.18%) | |
| IIA | 8 (4.49%) | 4 (4.71%) | |
| IIB | 112 (62.92%) | 56 (65.88%) | |
| IIIA | 8 (4.49%) | 3 (3.53%) | |
| IIIB | 18 (10.11%) | 8 (9.41%) | |
| IIIC | 9 (5.06%) | 4 (4.70%) | |
| IVA | 20 (11.24%) | 9 (10.59%) | |
| Histology | 0.449 | ||
| Squamous cell carcinoma | 136 (76.41%) | 61 (71.76%) | |
| Adenocarcinoma | 34 (19.10%) | 17 (20.00%) | |
| Adenosquamous carcinoma | 8 (4.49%) | 7 (8.24%) | |
| Tumor size | 0.099 | ||
| ≤4 cm | 107 (60.11%) | 60 (70.59%) | |
| >4 cm | 71 (39.89%) | 25 (29.41%) | |
| Differentiation | 0.797 | ||
| Well | 85 (47.75%) | 41 (48.24%) | |
| Moderate | 40 (22.47%) | 21 (24.70%) | |
| Poor | 53 (29.78%) | 23 (27.06%) | |
| Lymph node metastases | 0.611 | ||
| Positive | 45 (25.28%) | 24 (28.24%) | |
| Negative | 133 (74.72%) | 61 (71.76%) | |
| Mean DFS time (months, mean ± SD) | 42.82 ± 16.40 | 40.76 ± 20.17 | 0.452 |
SCC, squamous cell carcinoma antigen; FIGO, Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics; DFS, disease-free survival.
Figure 3MR images of two patients with similar clinicopathological features but significantly different DFS time. DFS, disease-free survival.
Figure 4Kaplan–Meier analysis and time-dependent ROC curves of the radiomic signature. p values were calculated using a two-sided log-rank test, and AUCs at 1, 2, and 3 years were calculated to assess the prognostic accuracy within the (A) primary cohort (n = 178) and (B) validation cohort (n = 85). Shadows represent 95% CI. DFS represents disease-free survival. CI represents confidence interval.
Univariate and multivariable analyses between DFS, RS, and clinicopathological features in the primary cohort.
| Variables | Univariate Cox regression | Multivariable Cox regression | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | p value | HR (95% CI) | p value | |
| Radiomic signature | 10.688 (6.605–17.294) | <0.001 | 10.880 (6.660–17.774) | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.002 (0.974–1.032) | 0.877 | ||
| FIGO stage | ||||
| I–II | – | – | ||
| III | 0.931 (0.522–1.660) | 0.808 | 0.793 (0.432–1.455) | 0.453 |
| IVa | 2.014 (1.015–3.994) | 0.005 | 1.582 (0.566–2.971) | 0.046 |
| Histological type | ||||
| Squamous cell carcinoma | – | – | ||
| Adenocarcinoma | 3.030 (0.413–22.214) | 0.276 | ||
| Adenosquamous carcinoma | 1.929 (0.603–6.173) | 0.269 | ||
| Differentiation | ||||
| Well | – | – | ||
| Moderate | 0.977 (0.567–1.684) | 0.933 | ||
| Poor | 1.520 (0.539–4.288) | 0.429 | ||
| Lymph node metastases | ||||
| Negative | – | – | ||
| Positive | 2.007 (1.098–3.666) | 0.002 | 1.599 (1.050–2.976) | 0.033 |
| SCC | 1.015 (0.998–1.031) | 0.088 | ||
| CA 125 | 1.007 (0.999–1.016) | 0.088 | ||
| CEA | 0.999 (0.958–1.042) | 0.972 | ||
| Tumor size | 1.010 (0.847–1.204) | 0.914 | ||
FIGO, Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics; SCC, squamous cell carcinoma antigen; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen.
Model performance on predicting DFS and 3-year DFS probability.
| Models | Cohorts | C-index (95% CI) | AUC (95% CI) | ACC (95% CI) | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinical model | Primary | 0.631 (0.562–0.691) | 0.649 (0.574–0.719) | 0.644 (0.574–0.702) | 0.588 (0.437–0.713) | 0.700 (0.621–0.765) |
| Validation | 0.603 (0.530–0.669) | 0.608 (0.533–0.681) | 0.610 (0.540–0.671) | 0.504 (0.353–0.642) | 0.715 (0.638–0.778) | |
| Radiomic signature | Primary | 0.758 (0.691–0.815) | 0.816 (0.751–0.870) | 0.792 (0.691–0.878) | 0.792 (0.650–0.895) | 0.792 (0.712–0.858) |
| Validation | 0.736 (0.673–0.800) | 0.787 (0.726–0.845) | 0.767 (0.687–0.839) | 0.771 (0.627–0.880) | 0.762 (0.679–0.832) | |
| Combined model | Primary | 0.648 (0.571–0.685) | 0.683 (0.609–0.751) | 0.682 (0.605–0.744) | 0.958 (0.857–0.995) | 0.407 (0.322–0.497) |
| Validation | 0.585 (0.511–0.637) | 0.612 (0.536–0.684) | 0.612 (0.533–0.679) | 0.854 (0.722–0.939) | 0.369 (0.286–0.458) |
CI represents confidence interval. C-index represents Harrell’s concordance index, which measures the performance of the DFS prediction. AUC represents the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and ACC represents accuracy. AUC and ACC evaluate the performance of the 3-year DFS prediction.
Figure 5Kaplan-Meier analysis according to the radiomic signature among locally advanced cervical cancer patient subgroups in (A) primary cohort and (B) validation cohort.
Figure 6(A) ROC curves of the two models for 3-year DFS probability prediction. (B) Distribution of the DFS time for patients. The orange dots represent patients who are predicted to have DFS time longer than 3 years by the RS, and the blue dots represent patients who are predicted to have DFS time less than 3 years by the RS. RS represents radiomic signature; CM represents clinical model; ROC represents receiver-operating characteristics; DFS represents disease-free survival.