| Literature DB >> 35137452 |
Maaret Turtinen1,2, Taina Härkönen1,2, Jorma Ilonen3, Anna Parkkola1,2, Mikael Knip1,2,4.
Abstract
AIM: We tested the hypothesis of a more aggressive disease process at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes during fall and winter, the colder seasons with consistently observed higher incidence of type 1 diabetes.Entities:
Keywords: HLA class II; autoantibodies; clinical characteristics; season; type 1 diabetes
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35137452 PMCID: PMC9303666 DOI: 10.1111/apa.16282
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Acta Paediatr ISSN: 0803-5253 Impact factor: 4.056
Comparison of age at diagnosis, sex and season of type 1 diabetes diagnosis in the study population and excluded subjects (n = 6740)
| Demographics |
Study subjects
|
Excluded subjects
|
| Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age at diagnosis, years, mean (SD) | 8.03 (3.89) | 7.66 (3.98) | 0.001 | |
| Sex, male, % (95% CI) | 56.6 (55.2–57.9) | 54.7 (52.4–57.1) | 0.192 | |
| Season of diagnosis, % | 0.512 | 0.493 | ||
| Spring | 22.7 | 23.4 | ||
| Summer | 24.4 | 24.3 | ||
| Fall | 27.1 | 25.4 | ||
| Winter | 25.8 | 26.9 | ||
Adjusted for sex and age at diagnosis.
FIGURE 1Frequencies of type 1 diabetes diagnoses according to season (A) and month (B) presented using histograms. Significant seasonality was observed both in the analyses by season (p = 0.006) and by month (p < 0.001). Significance was evaluated using the χ 2 test in R after considering the different lengths of seasons/months by comparing the observed frequencies of seasons/months to the expected frequencies of the same variables
FIGURE 2Seasonal variation in diabetes onset among children aged 0.5–4 and 5–14 years. The between‐group analysis showed a significant difference in the distribution of diagnosis frequencies by season. There was a peak in the frequency of diagnoses during fall and a drop‐down during winter among the younger children while the older children were most often diagnosed in fall followed by winter (p = 0.019) (A). The phenomenon was more pronounced in the subgroup of boys (p = 0.020) (B) and not seen in the subgroup of girls (p = 0.347) (C). Significance was evaluated using cross‐tabulation and the χ 2 test
Seasonal variation in demographic, clinical and metabolic characteristics in type 1 diabetes affected children diagnosed in spring, summer, fall and winter
|
| 1. Spring, | 2. Summer, | 3. Fall, | 4. Winter, |
| Adjusted | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographics | |||||||
| Sex, male, % (95% CI) | 4993 | 56.0 (53.1–58.9) | 58.4 (55.6–61.2) | 55.7 (53.0–58.3) | 56.2 (53.5–58.9) | 0.506 | |
| Age, median (range) | 4993 | 8.04 (0.52–14.98) | 7.84 (0.59–14.99) | 7.99 (0.82–14.99) | 8.49 (0.53–14.98) | 0.174 | |
| Familial, % (95% CI) | 4993 | 10.1 (8.4–11.9) | 11.2 (9.4–12.9) | 9.5 (8.0–11.1) | 10.8 (9.1–12.5) | 0.541 | 0.531 |
| Pubertal, % (95% CI) | 3764 | 17.8 (15.3–20.3) | 16.4 (14.0–18.7) | 17.6 (15.3–20.0) | 16.8 (14.4–19.1) | 0.819 | 0.279 |
| Metabolic decompensation at diagnosis | |||||||
| Duration of symptoms, % | 4614 | 0.067 | 0.041 | ||||
| No symptoms | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | |||
| <1 week | 21.0 | 22.8 | 23.1 | 23.2 | |||
| 1–4 weeks | 60.2 | 55.7 | 55.8 | 58.5 | |||
| >4 weeks | 17.4 | 20.9 | 20.2 | 17.5 | |||
| 1 vs. 2: <0.050 | |||||||
| Impaired consciousness, % (95% CI) | 4784 | 5.2 (3.9–6.6) | 6.5 (5.1–7.9) | 4.9 (3.7–6.1) | 5.2 (4.0–6.4) | 0.331 | 0.327 |
| Ketoacidosis, % (95% CI) | 4817 | 18.8 (16.5–21.2) | 19.9 (17.6–22.2) | 15.8 (13.9–17.8) | 17.5 (15.4–19.6) | 0.051 | 0.036 |
| 1 vs. 3: <0.050 | |||||||
| 2 vs. 3: <0.050 | |||||||
| Severe ketoacidosis, % (95% CI) | 4817 | 3.8 (2.7–5.0) | 5.6 (4.3–7.0) | 4.4 (3.3–5.5) | 4.6 (3.4–5.7) | 0.212 | 0.183 |
| Weight loss, %, median (range) | 4610 | 4.9 (0–33.2) | 6.0 (0–32.3) | 4.7 (0–40.0) | 5.4 (0–28.3) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| 1 vs. 2:0.017 | |||||||
| 2 vs. 3: <0.001 | |||||||
| 3 vs. 4:0.003 | |||||||
| pH, median (range) | 4817 | 7.38 (6.82–7.53) | 7.38 (6.82–7.54) | 7.38 (6.82–7.53) | 7.38 (6.72–7.57) | 0.122 | 0.112 |
| Beta‐hydroxybutyrate, mmol/L, median (range) | 4384 | 1.6 (0–18.4) | 1.9 (0–17.4) | 1.7 (0–27.0) | 1.7 (0–23.5) | 0.234 | 0.330 |
| Plasma glucose, mmol/L, median (range) | 4869 | 24.2 (3.2–93.2) | 24.5 (3.6–83.2) | 23.4 (3.5–97.6) | 23.5 (3.6–94.6) | 0.079 | 0.070 |
| HbA1c, mmol/mol, median (range) | 841 | 93.2 (40.0–176.0) | 91.0 (38.0–164.0) | 90.0 (36.0–189.0) | 89.0 (37.7–171.0) | 0.700 | 0.427 |
| HbA1c, %, median (range) | 841 | 10.7 (5.8–18.3) | 10.5 (5.6–17.2) | 10.4 (5.4–19.4) | 10.3 (5.6–17.8) | 0.696 | 0.392 |
In case of significant differences in the analyses between the four groups of season, paired comparisons by groups were also performed. Only significant p values are presented from the paired analyses.
Adjusted for sex and age at diagnosis.
Comparison of autoantibody positivity, levels of autoantibodies in positive samples and the number of positive autoantibodies in children diagnosed with type 1 diabetes in spring, summer, fall and winter
| Autoantibodies |
| 1. Spring, | 2. Summer, | 3. Fall, | 4. Winter, |
| Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICA, % (95% CI) | 4738 | 91.7 (90.0–93.3) | 92.1 (90.6–93.7) | 90.8 (89.2–92.4) | 92.4 (90.9–93.9) | 0.500 | 0.434 |
| ICA, JDFU, median (range) | 4347 | 49.0 (3.0–4096.0) | 64.0 (3.0–2049.0) | 65.0 (3.0–5120.0) | 49.0 (3.0–2049.0) | 0.335 | 0.002 |
| 1 vs. 3: 0.007 | |||||||
| 2 vs. 3: 0.008 | |||||||
| 3 vs. 4: 0.002 | |||||||
| IAA, % (95% CI) | 4738 | 42.8 (39.8–45.7) | 44.4 (41.6–47.3) | 41.8 (39.1–44.5) | 43.1 (40.3–45.9) | 0.611 | 0.322 |
| IAA, RU, median (range) | 2037 | 10.7 (2.8–7809.0) | 10.3 (2.9–829.8) | 10.8 (2.9–343.5) | 9.1 (2.8–484.9) | 0.123 | 0.916 |
| IA2A, % (95% CI) | 4738 | 74.8 (72.2–77.4) | 75.0 (72.5–77.5) | 74.4 (72.0–76.8) | 76.0 (73.6–78.4) | 0.817 | 0.847 |
| IA2A, RU, median (range) | 3556 | 102.0 (0.8–453.7) | 110.0 (1.0–254.1) | 107.2 (0.9–240.9) | 104.1 (0.8–553.3) | 0.634 | 0.082 |
| GADA, % (95% CI) | 4738 | 67.6 (64.8–70.4) | 66.4 (63.7–69.2) | 67.3 (64.7–69.8) | 64.2 (61.6–66.9) | 0.299 | 0.248 |
| GADA, RU, median (range) | 3144 | 38.0 (5.5–2675.1) | 32.8 (5.4–3051.4) | 36.0 (5.4–24849.0) | 37.8 (5.5–812.4) | 0.570 | 0.275 |
| Zn8TA, % (95% CI) | 4738 | 68.5 (65.8–71.3) | 68.8 (66.3–71.6) | 68.6 (66.0–71.1) | 71.5 (69.0–74.1) | 0.322 | 0.414 |
| Zn8TA, RU median (range) | 3289 | 13.2 (0.5–209.3) | 11.3 (0.5–177.7) | 11.8 (0.5–1201.9) | 11.9 (0.5–247.5) | 0.214 | 0.798 |
| Number of positive biochemical antibodies, median (mean) | 4738 | 3 (2.54) | 3 (2.55) | 3 (2.52) | 3 (2.55) | 0.856 | 0.980 |
| Number of positive antibodies, median (mean) | 4738 | 4 (3.45) | 4 (3.47) | 4 (3.43) | 4 (3.47) | 0.759 | 0.954 |
| Autoantibody negative, % (95% CI) | 4738 | 2.5 (96.5–98.4) | 2.0 (97.2–98.8) | 2.2 (97.0–98.6) | 2.5 (96.7–98.4) | 0.810 | 0.836 |
| Positivity for multiple (≥2) autoantibodies, % (95% CI) | 4738 | 92.5 (91.0–94.1) | 92.8 (91.3–94.2) | 91.7 (90.2–93.2) | 93.0 (91.6–94.5) | 0.599 | 0.518 |
In case of significant differences in the analyses between the four groups of season, paired comparisons by groups were also performed. Only significant p values are presented from the paired analyses.
Abbreviations: GADA, antibodies to glutamic acid decarboxylase; IA‐2A, antibodies to islet antigen 2; IAA, insulin autoantibodies; ICA, islet cell antibodies; JDFU, Juvenile Diabetes Foundation unit; RU, relative unit; ZnT8A, zinc transporter 8 autoantibodies.
Adjusted for sex and age at diagnosis.
Frequencies of HLA risk genotypes and haplotypes in children diagnosed in spring, summer, autumn and winter (n = 4993)
| Genetics, % (95% CI) | 1. Spring, | 2. Summer, | 3. Autumn, | 4. Winter, |
| Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR3‐DQ2/DR4‐DQ8 | 20.9 (18.5–23.2) | 21.2 (19.0–23.5) | 21.1 (19.0–23.3) | 22.0 (19.7–24.3) | 0.914 | 0.869 |
| DR3‐DQ2/x | 16.4 (14.2–18.5) | 15.5 (13.5–17.5) | 15.7 (13.7–17.6) | 13.8 (12.0–15.7) | 0.344 | 0.336 |
| DR4‐DQ8/y | 47.9 (45.0–50.8) | 48.5 (45.7–51.3) | 47.7 (45.0–50.3) | 47.7 (45.0–50.5) | 0.977 | 0.971 |
| x | 14.8 (12.7–16.9) | 14.8 (12.8–16.8) | 15.5 (13.6–17.5) | 16.4 (14.4–18.4) | 0.636 | 0.676 |
| DR3‐DQ2 | 37.3 (34.5–40.1) | 36.8 (34.0–39.5) | 36.8 (34.2–39.4) | 35.8 (33.2–38.5) | 0.905 | 0.930 |
| DR4‐DQ8 | 68.8 (66.1–71.5) | 69.7 (67.2–72.3) | 68.8 (66.3–71.3) | 69.7 (67.2–72.2) | 0.926 | 0.905 |
| DR3‐DQ2 homozygote | 2.3 (1.4–3.2) | 2.5 (1.6–3.3) | 3.5 (2.6–4.5) | 3.6 (2.6–4.6) | 0.110 | 0.112 |
| DR4‐DQ8 homozygote | 8.6 (7.0–10.3) | 7.3 (5.8–8.8) | 8.0 (6.5–9.4) | 8.6 (7.1–10.2) | 0.577 | 0.627 |
| Risk group | 0.080 | 0.065 | ||||
| 0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 2.8 | ||
| 2 | 15.6 | 15.0 | 16.6 | 16.3 | ||
| 3 | 24.9 | 22.1 | 23.7 | 20.3 | ||
| 4 | 36.1 | 38.2 | 36.5 | 37.6 | ||
| 5 | 21.1 | 21.2 | 21.1 | 22.1 | ||
In case of significant differences in the analyses between the four groups of season, paired comparisons by groups were also performed. Only significant p values are presented from the paired analyses.
Adjusted for sex and age at diagnosis.
x ≠ DR4‐DQ8.
y ≠ DR3‐DQ2.