| Literature DB >> 35061841 |
Davit Baliashvili1,2, Francisco Averhoff3, Ana Kasradze1, Stephanie J Salyer4, Giorgi Kuchukhidze1, Amiran Gamkrelidze1, Paata Imnadze1, Maia Alkhazashvili1, Gvantsa Chanturia1, Nazibrola Chitadze1, Roena Sukhiashvili1, Curtis Blanton4, Jan Drobeniuc3, Juliette Morgan4,5, Liesl M Hagan3.
Abstract
In preparation for the National Hepatitis C Elimination Program in the country of Georgia, a nationwide household-based hepatitis C virus (HCV) seroprevalence survey was conducted in 2015. Data were used to estimate HCV genotype distribution and better understand potential sex-specific risk factors that contribute to HCV transmission. HCV genotype distribution by sex and reported risk factors were calculated. We used explanatory logistic regression models stratified by sex to identify behavioral and healthcare-related risk factors for HCV seropositivity, and predictive logistic regression models to identify additional variables that could help predict the presence of infection. Factors associated with HCV seropositivity in explanatory models included, among males, history of injection drug use (IDU) (aOR = 22.4, 95% CI = 12.7, 39.8) and receiving a blood transfusion (aOR = 3.6, 95% CI = 1.4, 8.8), and among females, history of receiving a blood transfusion (aOR = 4.0, 95% CI 2.1, 7.7), kidney dialysis (aOR = 7.3 95% CI 1.5, 35.3) and surgery (aOR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.1, 3.2). The male-specific predictive model additionally identified age, urban residence, and history of incarceration as factors predictive of seropositivity and were used to create a male-specific exposure index (Area under the curve [AUC] = 0.84). The female-specific predictive model had insufficient discriminatory performance to support creating an exposure index (AUC = 0.61). The most prevalent HCV genotype (GT) nationally was GT1b (40.5%), followed by GT3 (34.7%) and GT2 (23.6%). Risk factors for HCV seropositivity and distribution of HCV genotypes in Georgia vary substantially by sex. The HCV exposure index developed for males could be used to inform targeted testing programs.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35061841 PMCID: PMC8782338 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262935
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Descriptive statistics and results of unadjusted and adjusted analyses of anti-HCV risk factors, stratified by sex, Georgia HCV serosurvey, 2015.
| Characteristic | Males | Females | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (n = 2,339) | Anti-HCV positive (n = 288) | Unadjusted OR (95% CI) | aOR | Total (n = 3,671) | Anti-HCV positive (n = 145) | Unadjusted OR (95% CI) | aOR | |||
| n | Weighted % (95% CI) | n | Weighted % (95% CI) | |||||||
|
| ||||||||||
| Urban | 1,249 | 208 | 15.8 (12.4, 19.1) | 2.3 (1.6, 3.3) | 1,906 | 82 | 4.2 (2.7, 5.6) | 1.2 (0.8, 2.0) | ||
| Rural | 1,090 | 80 | 7.7 (5.8, 9.6) | 1 | 1,765 | 63 | 3.4 (2.3, 4.4) | 1 | ||
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| Yes | 202 | 148 | 67.0 (57.1, 77.0) | 28.8 (17.5, 47.6) | 22.4 (12.7, 39.8) | 3 | 2 | 45.2 (0.0, 100.0) | 21.2 (1.7, 271.1) | |
| No | 2,123 | 140 | 6.6 (5.1, 8.1) | 1 | 1 | 3,639 | 143 | 3.8 (2.9, 4.6) | 1 | |
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| Yes | 224 | 96 | 43.2 (33.5, 53.0) | 8.0 (5.2, 12.2) | 12 | 2 | 7.9 (0.0, 20.1) | 2.2 (0.4, 11.8) | ||
| No | 2,109 | 192 | 8.7 (7.0, 10.4) | 1 | 3,648 | 143 | 3.8 (2.9, 4.7) | 1 | ||
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| Yes | 586 | 103 | 17.3 (12.5, 22.0) | 1.8 (1.2, 2.6) | 40 | 1 | 1.1 (0.0, 3.2) | 0.3 (0.04, 2.05) | ||
| No | 1,749 | 185 | 10.4 (8.3, 12.5) | 1 | 3,623 | 144 | 3.9 (2.9, 4.8) | 1 | ||
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| Yes | 5 | 0 | 0 | - | 2,708 | 98 | 3.9 (2.7, 5.0) | 1.1 (0.6, 1.8) | ||
| No | 2,330 | 288 | 12.2 (10.1, 14.3) | - | 954 | 47 | 3.7 (2.2, 5.2) | 1 | ||
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| Yes | 156 | 37 | 30.8 (19.1, 42.4) | 3.7 (2.2, 6.2) | 3.6 (1.4, 8.8) | 291 | 32 | 14.0 (6.8, 21.2) | 5.3 (2.8, 10.1) | 4.0 (2.1, 7.7) |
| No | 2,180 | 251 | 10.8 (9.0, 12.6) | 1 | 3,374 | 113 | 3.0 (2.3, 3.7) | 1 | 1 | |
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| Yes | 6 | 1 | 14.3 (0.0, 41.8) | 1.2 (0.1, 11.6) | 11 | 2 | 37.8 (0.0, 78.6) | 15.8 (2.8, 88.1) | 7.3 (1.5, 35.3) | |
| No | 2,327 | 287 | 12.1 (10.1, 14.2) | 1 | 3,645 | 143 | 3.7 (2.8, 4.6) | 1 | ||
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| Twice per year | 68 | 9 | 26.6 (9.4, 43.8) | 2.9 (1.2, 7.0) | 125 | 6 | 4.0 (0.1, 7.9) | 1.0 (0.4, 2.5) | ||
| Once per year | 170 | 22 | 13.2 (4.8, 21.7) | 1.2 (0.6, 2.6) | 308 | 5 | 2.1 (0.0, 4.9) | 0.5 (0.1, 1.8) | ||
| Less frequently than once per year | 387 | 61 | 11.5 (7.5, 15.6) | 1.0 (0.7, 1.6) | 721 | 23 | 3.6 (1.4, 5.8) | 0.9 (0.4, 1.7) | ||
| Never | 1,692 | 194 | 11.2 (9.2, 13.2) | 1 | 2,481 | 110 | 4.1 (3.1, 5.2) | 1 | ||
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| Yes | 1,150 | 146 | 13.0 (9.7, 16.3) | 1.2 (0.8, 1.7) | 2,358 | 110 | 4.8 (3.5, 6.1) | 2.4 (1.4, 3.9) | 1.9 (1.1, 3.2) | |
| No | 1,184 | 142 | 11.2 (8.7, 13.8) | 1 | 1,298 | 34 | 2.1 (1.2, 3.0) | 1 | 1 | |
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| Yes | 37 | 6 | 19.7 (2.4, 36.9) | 1.8 (0.6, 5.3) | 916 | 40 | 4.1 (2.0, 6.2) | 1.1 (0.6, 2.1) | ||
| No | 2,299 | 282 | 11.9 (9.9, 13.9) | 1 | 2,749 | 105 | 3.7 (2.7, 4.8) | 1 | ||
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| Yes | 319 | 48 | 14.4 (8.6, 20.3) | 1.3 (0.8, 2.1) | - | - | - | |||
| No | 2,017 | 240 | 11.8 (9.6, 13.9) | 1 | - | - | - | |||
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| >2 | 968 | 126 | 11.8 (8.7, 14.9) | 3.1 (1.4, 6.7) | 23 | 3 | 16.3 (0.0, 35.3) | 5.0 (1.3, 20.0) | ||
| ≤2 | 400 | 16 | 4.1 (1.4, 6.8) | 1 | 3,620 | 141 | 3.7 (0.4, 4.6) | 1 | ||
Abbreviations: HCV = Hepatitis C virus, CI = Confidence Interval, aOR = Adjusted Odds Ratio.
† Individual cells under each variable might not sum up to total due to the missing values not included in the table.
‡ Adjusted models included all variables reported in this column, in addition to control variables (age, geography (urban vs rural) and history of incarceration).
§ Only men were asked this question.
¶ IDU was not included in the multivariable model for females due to the small number of females reporting IDU.
Fig 1Calculation of HCV exposure score for males.
Note: Exposure score points were assigned to each variable in the final predictive model using the following formula: parameter estimate from final predictive model multiplied by 5 and rounded to the nearest whole number. Abbreviations: HCV = hepatitis C virus, IDU = Injection drug use.
Fig 2Percent of anti-HCV+ participants self-reporting hepatitis C risk factors, stratified by sex, Georgia HCV serosurvey, 2015.
Note: History of surgery was only explored as risk factor of interest among females. History of IDU was not included in the female-specific multivariable models of risk factor analysis due to low numbers, but is retained in descriptive analyses since it is a known risk factor regardless of sex. Abbreviations: HCV = hepatitis C virus, Anti-HCV = antibodies against hepatitis C virus, IDU = Injection drug use.
HCV genotype distribution by sex and reported risk factors, Georgia HCV serosurvey, 2015.
| Population group | Weighted percentage of each genotype | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GT1a (n = 3) | GT1b (n = 132) | GT2 (n = 73) | GT3 (n = 97) | |
|
|
|
|
| |
| 18–29 (n = 13) | 0.0% | 48.1% | 1.4% | 50.4% |
| 30–39 (n = 72) | 1.7% | 37.4% | 19.6% | 41.3% |
| 40–49 (n = 96) | 0.0% | 28.9% | 23.3% | 47.7% |
| 50–59 (n = 61) | 0.9% | 38.9% | 37.1% | 23.0% |
| 60+ (n = 63) | 0.0% | 74.9% | 23.6% | 1.5% |
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| Reported history of IDU (n = 110) | 1.0% | 28.9% | 30.2% | 39.9% |
| Reported history of blood transfusion (n = 27) | 0.0% | 45.2% | 8.6% | 46.2% |
| No reported risk factors (n = 88) | 0.5% | 37.4% | 20.2% | 41.9% |
| 18–29 (n = 9) | 0.0% | 51.3% | 2.0% | 46.7% |
| 30–39 (n = 58) | 2.0% | 33.2% | 23.2% | 41.6% |
| 40–49 (n = 82) | 0.0% | 25.1% | 24.4% | 50.5% |
| 50–59 (n = 40) | 1.4% | 43.0% | 24.1% | 31.5% |
| 60+ (n = 27) | 0.0% | 60.6% | 38.1% | 1.2% |
|
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|
|
|
| Reported history of Blood transfusion (n = 18) | 0.0% | 49.1% | 43.8% | 7.0% |
| Reported history of surgery (n = 66) | 0.0% | 54.0% | 25.3% | 20.7% |
| No reported risk factors (n = 18) | 0.0% | 93.6% | 0.0% | 6.4% |
| 18–29 (n = 4) | 0.0% | 39.7% | 0.0% | 60.3% |
| 30–39 (n = 14) | 0.0% | 60.2% | 0.0% | 39.8% |
| 40–49 (n = 14) | 0.0% | 65.8% | 13.3% | 21.0% |
| 50–59 (n = 21) | 0.0% | 30.5% | 63.6% | 5.9% |
| 60+ (n = 36) | 0.0% | 92.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
Abbreviations: HCV = Hepatitis C virus, GT = genotype, IDU = injection drug use.
† Percentages within each category might not sum up to 100% due to the rounding error.
‡N = 310 includes 5 participants with indeterminate genotype result, but they are excluded from further calculations of group-specific percentages;
Did not report history of IDU or blood transfusion;
Did not report history of IDU, surgery or blood transfusion. Only two females reported history of IDU, one with GT1b and another with GT3.
Final HCV predictive model for males, parameter estimates and score assigned.
| Variable | Parameter Estimate | Standard error | Score assigned in exposure index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ever received blood transfusion | 0.75 | 0.22 | < .01 | 4 |
| Ever receiving injection drug use | 1.55 | 0.19 | < .01 | 8 |
| Urban residence | 0.29 | 0.14 | .03 | 1 |
| Ever incarcerated | 0.85 | 0.18 | < .01 | 4 |
| Age >30 | 0.84 | 0.36 | .02 | 4 |
Proportions of anti-HCV positive participants in each of the exposure score categories among males, Georgia HCV serosurvey, 2015.
| Exposure score | Total Number | # Anti-HCV positive (weighted %) |
|---|---|---|
|
| 153 | 1 (1.1) |
|
| 245 | 4 (1.1) |
|
| 778 | 27 (3.1) |
|
| 725 | 67 (7.7) |
|
| 107 | 20 (25.0) |
|
| 131 | 24 (24.3) |
|
| 30 | 15 (44.4) |
|
| 81 | 52 (54.4) |
|
| 20 | 16 (83.1) |
|
| 62 | 56 (89.0) |
|
| 2 | 1 (71.7) |
|
| 5 | 5 (100.0) |
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† Exposure scores with 0 participants are not included in the table.
Abbreviations: HCV = Hepatitis C virus, Anti-HCV = antibodies against hepatitis C virus.