| Literature DB >> 35040802 |
Miriam Kimpton1, Srishti Kumar1, Philip S Wells1, Doug Coyle1, Marc Carrier1, Kednapa Thavorn2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Apixaban (2.5 mg) taken twice daily has been shown to substantially reduce the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) compared with placebo for the primary thromboprophylaxis of ambulatory patients with cancer who are starting chemotherapy and are at intermediate-to-high risk of VTE. We aimed to compare the health system costs and health benefits associated with primary thromboprophylaxis using apixaban with those associated with the current standard of care (where no primary thromboprophylaxis is given), from the perspective of Canada's publicly funded health care system in this subpopulation of patients with cancer over a lifetime horizon.Entities:
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Year: 2021 PMID: 35040802 PMCID: PMC8568073 DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.210523
Source DB: PubMed Journal: CMAJ ISSN: 0820-3946 Impact factor: 8.262
Figure 1:Model structure. Note: CRNMB = clinically relevant non-major bleeding, CTEPH = chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, ICH = intracranial hemorrhage, PTS = postthrombotic syndrome, VTE = venous thromboembolism. *Patients can transition to death at any point in the model because of age-specific mortality, cancer or complications.
Model input parameters
| Parameter | Mean ± SE | Source |
|---|---|---|
|
| ||
| Baseline risk of primary VTE (0–6 mo) | Time variant risk | Carrier et al. |
| Baseline risk of primary VTE (6 mo–5 yr) | Time variant risk | Blix et al. |
| Annual risk of primary VTE (> 5 yr), mean | 0.0001 | Alotaibi et al. |
| Six-month risk of major bleeding (0–5 yr) | 0.0109 ± 0.0063 | Carrier et al. |
| Annual risk of major bleeding (> 5 yr) | 0.0045 ± 0.0009 | Castellucci et al. |
| Six-month risk of CRNMB | 0.0509 ± 0.0133 | Carrier et al. |
| Monthly drug stoppage rate (unrelated to death, VTE or bleed) | 0.0590 | Carrier et al. |
|
| ||
| Annual risk of CRNMB | 0.1709 ± 0.0167 | Raksob et al., |
| Annual risk of major bleeding (non-ICH) | 0.0495 ± 0.0096 | Raksob et al., |
| Six-month risk of ICH | 0.0036 ± 0.0026 | Roja-Hernandez et al., |
| Annual risk of recurrent VTE | 0.1345 ± 0.0151 | Raksob et al. |
| Two-year risk of CTEPH | 0.0320 ± 0.0061 | Ende-Verhaar et al. |
| Two-year risk of PTS | 0.1270 ± 0.0168 | Kahn et al. |
|
| ||
| Six-month risk of CRNMB | 0.0509 ± 0.0133 | Carrier et al. |
| Six-month risk of major bleeding (non-ICH) | 0.0109 ± 0.0063 | Carrier et al. |
| Annual risk of ICH | 0.0003 ± 0.0001 | Sacco et al. |
| Annual risk of recurrent VTE | 0.0838 ± 0.0086 | Cohen et al. |
|
| ||
| Baseline age-adjusted mortality for general population | Statistics Canada | |
| Excess mortality due to cancer, hazard ratio | 10.97 | Canadian Cancer Society |
| Excess mortality due to VTE, mean (95% CI) | 2.20 (2.05 to 2.40) | Sorensen et al. |
| Excess mortality due to major bleeding, mean (95% CI) | 2.10 (1.60 to 2.90) | Nagata et al. |
| Excess mortality due to ICH, mean (95% CI) | 2.60 (2.09 to 3.24) | Gonzalez-Perez et al. |
| Excess mortality due to CTEPH, mean (95% CI) | 12.25 (10.27 to 14.31) | Delcroix et al. |
|
| ||
| CRNMB, mean (95% CI) | 1.296 (0.663 to 2.533) | Carrier et al. |
| Major bleeding, mean (95% CI) | 1.960 (0.800 to 4.820) | Pooled from AVERT |
| VTE, mean (95% CI) | 0.143 (0.043 to 0.477) | Carrier et al. |
| Proportion of patients with ICH who have a major ICH | 0.50 | Murthy et al. |
| Proportion of patients who experience major bleeding and resume anticoagulation treatment | 0.00 | Li et al. |
|
| ||
| DVT length of stay, d; mean (95%CI) | 6.70 (5.00 to 8.00) | CADTH |
| DVT proportion managed as inpatient, mean (95%CI) | 0.19 (0.00 to 0.40) | CADTH |
| PE length of stay, d; mean (95%CI) | 7.80 (6.00 to 9.00) | CADTH |
| PE proportion managed as inpatient, mean (95%CI) | 0.67 (0.30 to 0.75) | CADTH |
|
| ||
| CRNMB treatment | 383 ± 122 | CADTH |
| Major bleeding treatment (non-ICH) | 9191 ± 2424 | MOHLTC |
| ICH, mean ± SD | 16 962 ± 16 705 | Specogna et al. |
| Post-ICH | 756 ± 25% of base case | CADTH, |
| CTEPH treatment | 91 412 ± 25% of base case | CADTH, |
| Post-CTEPH management | 140 ± 25% of base case | CADTH |
| PTS treatment | 8181 ± 25% of base case | CADTH, |
| Post-PTS management | 299 ± 25% of base case | CADTH, |
| Primary VTE treatment | ||
| DVT outpatient | 759 | CADTH, |
| DVT per inpatient day, mean (95%CI) | 1558 (1000 to 1947) | MOHLTC |
| PE outpatient | 1551 | CADTH, |
| PE per inpatient day, mean (95%CI) | 1655 (1000 to 2563) | MOHLTC |
| Medication — LMWH | 1221.58 | MOHLTC |
| Medication — DOAC | 274.60 | MOHLTC |
| Recurrent VTE treatment | 8083 |
|
| Post VTE management — LMWH | 937 ± 25% of base case | MOHLTC |
| Post VTE management — DOAC | 144 ± 25% of base case | MOHLTC |
| Apixaban per month | 98.02 | MOHLTC |
|
| ||
| Baseline health utility value for patients with cancer | 0.824 ± 0.045 | Sullivan et al., |
| Disutility: primary or recurrent VTE | 0.142 ± 0.022 | Hogg et al. |
| Disutility: CRNMB | 0.013 ± 0.003 | Sullivan et al. |
| Disutility: MB (non-ICH) | 0.270 ± 0.024 | Hogg et al. |
| Disutility: major ICH | 0.770 ± 0.166 | Hogg et al. |
| Disutility: minor ICH | 0.170 ± 0.094 | Hogg et al. |
| Disutility: ICH (weighted average of major and minor ICH) | 0.470 ± 0.130 | Hogg et al. |
| Utility: Post ICH | 0.150 ± 0.166 | Hogg et al. |
| Disutility: CTEPH | 0.360 ± 0.016 | CADTH, |
| Utility: Post CTEPH | 0.560 ± 0.016 | CADTH, |
| Disutility: PTS | 0.050 ± 0.022 | Li et al., |
| Utility: Post PTS state | 0.774 ± 0.045 | Lenert et al. |
Note: Detailed description for each input parameter presented in Appendix 1, Table A1 (available at www.cmaj.ca/lookup/doi/10.1503/cmaj.210523/tab-related-content). CADTH = Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health, CI = confidence interval, CRNMB = clinically relevant non-major bleeding, CTEPH = chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, DOAC = direct oral anticoagulants, DVT = deep vein thrombosis, ICH = intracerebral hemorrhage, LMWH = low-molecular-weight heparin, MOHLTC = Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, OCCI = Ontario Case Costing Initiative, ODBF = Ontario Drug Benefit Formulary, OSoB = Ontario Schedule of Benefits, PE = pulmonary embolism, PTS = post-thrombotic syndrome, SE = standard error, VTE = venous thromboembolism.
Unless stated otherwise.
Sources for resource use and unit costs for recurrent VTE are the same as those for primary VTE. Dosage for patients with recurrent VTE was assumed to be 120% of that for primary VTE.
Results from base-case analysis
| Treatment | Mean cost (95% CI), (Can$) | Mean QALYs (95% CI) | Mean LYs (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Usual care | 14 875.82 (10 511.47 to 21 952.46) | 9.006 (8.150 to 9.613) | 12.658 (12.606 to 12.697) |
| Apixaban | 7902.98 (5500.67 to 13 216.39) | 9.089 (8.177 to 9.732) | 12.738 (12.685 to 12.760) |
| Incremental difference (apixaban v. usual care) | −6972.84 (−11 324.68 to −3697.13) | 0.083 (0.013 to 0.157) | 0.080 (0.044 to 0.114) |
Note: CI = confidence interval, LY = life-year, QALY = quality-adjusted life-year.
Figure 2:One-way sensitivity analyses. Note: CRNMB = clinically relevant non-major bleeding, CTEPH = chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, DVT = deep vein thrombosis, ICH = intracranial hemorrhage, PE = pulmonary embolism, PTS = postthrombotic syndrome, RR = relative risk, VTE = venous thromboembolism.
Figure 3:Cost-effectiveness plane for base-case analysis. Note: QALY = quality-adjusted life-year.
Figure 4:Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve for primary analysis. Note: QALY = quality-adjusted life-year, WTP = willingness to pay.