| Literature DB >> 34981620 |
Yuqing Zhang1, Huanhuan Miao1, Yook-Chin Chia2,3, Peera Buranakitjaroen4, Saulat Siddique5, Jinho Shin6, Yuda Turana7, Sungha Park8, Kelvin Tsoi9, Chen-Huan Chen10,11,12, Hao-Min Cheng10,11,12,13, Yan Li14, Huynh Van Minh15, Michiaki Nagai16, Jennifer Nailes17, Jorge Sison18, Arieska Ann Soenarta19, Guru Prasad Sogunuru20,21, Apichard Sukonthasarn22, Jam Chin Tay23, Boon Wee Teo24, Narsingh Verma25, Tzung-Dau Wang26,27, Satoshi Hoshide28, Kazuomi Kario28, Jiguang Wang29.
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is becoming the most important burden to health care systems in most part of the world, especially in Asia. Aiming at identifying high risk individuals and tailoring preventive treatment, many cardiovascular risk assessment tools have been established and most of them were developed in Western countries. However, these cardiovascular risk assessment tools cannot be used interchangeably without recalibration because of the different risk factor profiles (ie, greater absolute burden of hypertension and lower level of total-cholesterol in Asians and higher prevalence of metabolic disorders in South Asians) and different CVD profiles (higher ratio of stroke/coronary heart disease in Asians) between Western and Asian populations. Original risk models such as Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) and Japan Arteriosclerosis Longitudinal Study (JALS) score have been developed and well validated for specific countries, while most of countries/regions in Asia are using established models. Due to higher incidence of stroke in Asians, risk factors like hypertension should weigh more in cardiovascular risk assessment comparing with Western populations, but their actual proportions should be based on CVD profiles in specific countries/regions. The authors encourage the development of new cardiovascular risk assessment tools for Asians, if possible. Still, modifying established models with native epidemiological data of risk factor as well as CVD is acceptable in regions where health care resources are insufficient.Entities:
Keywords: Asian patients; cardiovascular disease; hypertension-general; risk assessment
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 34981620 PMCID: PMC8989745 DOI: 10.1111/jch.14336
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich) ISSN: 1524-6175 Impact factor: 3.738
Characteristics of currently common cardiovascular risk assessment tools in Western countries
| Risk assessment tools | Framingham CVD | Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) | Pooled cohort equations (PCE) | QRISK3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derivation cohort(s) | Framingham original cohort and Framingham offspring cohort | 12 European cohorts in 11 countries | ARIC, CARDIA, CHS, Framingham cohorts | QRESEARCH database |
| Sample size | 8491 participants (4522 women) | 205 178 participants (88 080 women) | 24 626 participants (11 381 women) | 10.56 million participants (5.38 million women) |
| Age range | 30–74 | 40–65 | 40–79 | 25–84 |
| Follow‐up (years) | 12 | 2.7 million person years | At least 12 | 4.4 (median) |
| Risk factors | Age; sex; smoking; BP; total‐C; HDL‐C; hypertensive treatment status; diabetes | Age; sex; smoking; SBP; total‐C or total‐C: HDL‐C ratio (low‐risk countries and high‐risk countries versions) | Age; sex; race (white/African American); smoking; SBP; total‐C; HDL‐C; hypertensive treatment status; diabetes | Age; sex; ethnicity; smoking; SBP; total‐C: HDL‐C ratio; BMI; family history; hypertensive treatment status; diabetes; CKD; AF; RA; Townsend deprivation score; a measure of SBP variability; migraine; corticosteroids; SLE; atypical antipsychotics; severe mental illness; erectile dysfunction |
| End points | 10‐year CVD events (CHD, stroke, PAD, or HF) | 10‐year fatal CVD events | 10‐year hard ASCVD events (non‐fatal MI or CHD death or fatal or non‐fatal stroke) | 10‐year CVD events (CHD, ischemic stroke, or TIA) |
| Tool characteristics | Risk score sheets (tables) | Risk charts | Risk calculators | Risk calculators |
| Statistical analysis |
c‐statistics: 0.763 in men; 0.793 in women χ2 statistics: 13.48 in men; 7.79 in women | ROC area: 0.70–0.84 in different European cohorts |
c‐statistics: 0.713–0.818 χ2 statistics: 4.86–7.25 |
R2: 59.6% in women; 54.8% in men D statistic: 2.48 in women; 2.26 in men Harrell's C statistic: 0.88 in women; 0.86 in men |
Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; ARIC, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study; ASCVD, arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease; BMI, body mass index; CARDIA, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study; CHD, coronary heart disease; CHS, Cardiovascular Health Study; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; HDL‐C, high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol; HF, heart failure; MI, myocardial infraction; PAD, peripheral artery disease; RA, rheumatoid arthritis; ROC, receiver operating characteristics curve; SBP, systolic blood pressure; SLE, systemic lupus erythematosus; TIA, transient ischemic attack; total‐C, total cholesterol.
Characteristics of currently common cardiovascular risk assessment tools in Asian region
| Country/region | Risk assessment tools | Original/established | Derivation cohort(s) | Age range | Risk factors |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | China‐PAR | Original | InterASIA and China MUCA (1998) | N/A | Age; sex; smoking; SBP; total‐C; HDL‐C; hypertensive treatment status; diabetes; WC; geographic region; urbanization (only for men); family history of ASCVD (only for men) |
| Japan | JALS score | Original | JALS cohorts | 40–89 | Age; sex; smoking; BP; non‐HDL‐C; HDL‐C; hypertensive treatment status; diabetes; BMI; eGFR; AF (AF model and non‐AF model) |
| Malaysia | Framingham CVD | Established | Framingham original cohort and Framingham offspring cohort | 30–74 | Age; sex; smoking; SBP; total‐C; HDL‐C; hypertensive treatment status; diabetes |
| Indonesia | WHO/ISH chart | Established | N/A | ≥40 | Age; sex; smoking; SBP; total‐C; diabetes |
| Vietnam | Framingham CVD | Established | Framingham original cohort and Framingham offspring cohort | 30–74 | Age; sex; smoking; SBP; total‐C; HDL‐C; hypertensive treatment status; diabetes |
| Taiwan | A point‐based prediction model | Original | CCCC original cohort | ≥35 |
Clinical model: Age; sex; BMI; SBP; smoking Total‐C‐based model: Age; sex; BMI; SBP; total‐C; HDL‐C LDL‐C‐based model: Age; sex; BMI; SBP; LDL‐C; HDL‐C |
| Framingham CHD | Established | Framingham original cohort/TwSHHH | 35–70 | Age; sex; smoking; SBP; total‐C; HDL‐C; diabetes | |
| Singapore | Framingham ATPIII | Established | Framingham cohort | 20–79 | Age; sex; smoking; SBP; total‐C; HDL‐C; hypertensive treatment status |
Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; ASCVD, arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease; ATP III, Third Report of the Adult Treatment Panel; BMI, body mass index; CCCC, Chin‐San Community Cardiovascular Cohort; CHD, coronary heart disease; China MUCA, China Multi‐Center Collaborative Study of Cardiovascular Epidemiology; China‐PAR, Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; HDL‐C, high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol; HF, heart failure; IDI, integrated discrimination improvement; InterASIA, International Collaborative Study of Cardiovascular Disease in Asia; JALS, Japan Arteriosclerosis Longitudinal Study; LDL‐C, low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol; MI, myocardial infraction; NRI, net reclassification improvement; N/A, data unavailable; PAD, peripheral artery disease; ROC, receiver operating characteristics curve; SBP, systolic blood pressure; total‐C, total cholesterol; TwSHHH, Taiwanese Survey on Hypertension, Hyperglycemia, and Hyperlipidemia; WC, waist circumference; WHO/ISH, World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension.