| Literature DB >> 34967028 |
Fen Xiao1, Ying-Chu Zhou2, Mei-Biao Zhang3, Dong Chen2, Shao-Lin Peng3, Hao-Neng Tang1, Long Li1, Chen-Yi Tang1, Ji-Yang Liu2, Bo Li2, Hou-De Zhou1.
Abstract
We aimed to assess whether blood glucose control can be used as predictors for the severity of 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and to improve the management of diabetic patients with COVID-19. A two-center cohort with a total of 241 confirmed cases of COVID-19 with definite outcomes was studied. After the diagnosis of COVID-19, the clinical data and laboratory results were collected, the fasting blood glucose levels were followed up at initial, middle stage of admission and discharge, the severity of the COVID-19 was assessed at any time from admission to discharge. Hyperglycemia patients with COVID-19 were divided into three groups: good blood glucose control, fair blood glucose control, and blood glucose deterioration. The relationship of blood glucose levels, blood glucose control status, and severe COVID-19 were analyzed by univariate and multivariable regression analysis. In our cohort, 21.16% were severe cases and 78.84% were nonsevere cases. Admission hyperglycemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.938; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.387-2.707), mid-term hyperglycemia (aOR, 1.758; 95% CI, 1.325-2.332), and blood glucose deterioration (aOR, 22.783; 95% CI, 2.661-195.071) were identified as the risk factors of severe COVID-19. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, reaching an area under ROC curve of 0.806, and a sensitivity and specificity of 80.40% and 68.40%, respectively, revealed that hyperglycemia on admission and blood glucose deterioration of diabetic patients are potential predictive factors for severe COVID-19. Our results indicated that admission hyperglycemia and blood glucose deterioration were positively correlated with the risk factor for severe COVID-19, and deterioration of blood glucose may be more likely to the occurrence of severe illness in COVID-19.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; blood glucose control; hyperglycemia; risk factors; severe cases
Mesh:
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Year: 2022 PMID: 34967028 PMCID: PMC9015512 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.27556
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Med Virol ISSN: 0146-6615 Impact factor: 20.693
Baseline, demographic, and clinical characteristics of patients infected with COVID‐19
| Characteristic | All patients ( |
|
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) |
| |||
| Age (years) | 45.0 (34.0–58.0) | <0.001 | ‐ | ‐ |
| <45 | 119 (49.38%) | |||
| ≥45 | 122 (50.62%) | |||
| Gender | 0.340 | ‐ | ‐ | |
| Male | 118 (48.96%) | |||
| Female | 123 (51.04%) | |||
| BMI | 23.20 (21.10–25.60) | 0.017 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Exposure history | ||||
| Contact with confirmed case from Wuhan | 114 (47.30%) | 0.026 | 2.452 (1.191–5.050) | 0.015 |
| Course | ||||
| Onset days before on admission | 5.00 (3.00–8.00) | 0.235 | 1.027 (0.972–1.085) | 0.341 |
| Hospital stay | 18.15 (8.94) | 0.002 | 1.048 (1.011–1.086) | 0.011 |
| Severe case | 51 (21.16%) | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ |
| Signs and symptoms at admission | ||||
| Fever | 160 (66.39%) | 0.001 | 6.072 (2.302–16.020) | <0.001 |
| Cough | 138 (57.26%) | 0.015 | 2.680 (1.257–5.714) | 0.011 |
| Shortness of breath | 30 (12.45%) | <0.001 | 4.738 (2.007–11.186) | <0.001 |
| Myalgia | 23 (9.54%) | 0.099 | 2.192 (0.797–6.024) | 0.128 |
| Fatigue | 80 (33.20%) | <0.001 | 3.142 (1.578–6.256) | 0.001 |
| Comorbidities | ||||
| Fatty liver | 8 (3.32%) | 0.058 | 3.833 (0.820–17.918) | 0.088 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 18 (7.47%) | 0.477 | 0.486 (0.143–1.647) | 0.246 |
| Hypertension | 31 (12.86%) | <0.001 | 3.371 (1.393–8.158) | 0.007 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 7 (2.90%) | 0.033 | 2.310 (0.459–11.639) | 0.310 |
| Emphysematous bullae | 2 (0.83%) | 0.999 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Cerebral infarction | 6 (2.49%) | 0.006 | 12.953 (2.641–63.534) | 0.002 |
| Digestive tract disease | 1 (0.41%) | 1.000 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Chronic kidney disease | 1 (0.41%) | 0.787 | 1.557 (0.269–9.006) | 0.621 |
| Chronic respiratory diseases | 3 (1.24%) | 0.098 | 4.605 (0.388–54.666) | 0.226 |
| Laboratory parameter | ||||
|
| 0.43 (0.17–0.68) | 0.027 | 1.188 (0.963–1.467) | 0.108 |
| Increased | 17 (7.05%) | |||
| Lactate dehydrogenase (U/L; normal range 135–225) | 179.30 (143.20–196.10) | <0.001 | 1.015 (1.008–1.021) | <0.001 |
| Increased | 41 (17.01%) | |||
| Decreased | 48 (19.90%) | |||
| Creatine kinase (U/L; normal range 10–190) | 83.40 (53.40–103.00) | 0.012 | 1.004 (1.001–1.007) | 0.021 |
| Increased | 15 (6.22%) | |||
| Decreased | 57 (23.65%) | |||
| Albumin (g/L; normal range 35–55) | 37.93 (35.61–40.21) | <0.001 | 0.815 (0.734–0.904) | <0.001 |
| Decreased | 44 (18.25%) | |||
| Aspartate aminotransferase (U/L; normal range 0–37) | 26.28 (20.29–28.50) | 0.001 | 1.034 (1.003–1.066) | 0.032 |
| Increased | 30 (12.45%) | |||
| Alanine aminotransferase (U/L; normal range 0–42) | 22.01 (15.57–26.38) | 0.097 | 1.02 (0.99–1.05) | 0.150 |
| Increased | 16(6.64%) | |||
| Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/h; normal range 0.0–15.0) | 21.23 (7.40–25.20) | <0.001 | 1.045 (1.026–1.064) | <0.001 |
| Increased | 146 (60.58%) | |||
| C‐reactive protein (mg/L; normal range 0.0–8.0) | 39.65 (28.00–39.65) | 0.005 | 1.010 (0.995–1.026–1.03) | 0.199 |
| Increased | 230 (95.44%) | |||
| Lymphocytes (×109/L; normal range 0.8–4.0) | 1.26 (0.91–1.49) | <0.001 | 0.883 (0.838–0.931) | <0.001 |
| Increased | 2 (0.83%) | |||
| Decreased | 44 (18.26%) | |||
| Lymph% (normal range 20–40) | 27.78 (22.00–31.40) | <0.001 | 0.104 (0.038–0.286) | <0.001 |
| Increased | 24 (9.96%) | |||
| Decreased | 48 (19.92%) | |||
| White blood cell count (×109/L; normal range 4–10) | 4.77 (3.59–5.48) | 0.242 | 0.867 (0.694–1.084) | 0.211 |
| Increased | 3 (1.24%) | |||
| Decreased | 78 (32.37%) | |||
Note: Data are expressed as median (interquartile range), standard deviation, n (%), or n/N (%), where N is the total number of cases. The model was adjusted by gender, age, and BMI. A p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; COVID‐19, 2019 coronavirus disease; OR, odds ratio.
Univariate and multivariate regression analysis of the relationship between three fasting blood glucose levels and severe COVID‐19
| Variable (mmol/L) | All patients ( | Univariate analysis | Multivariable analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95% CI |
| OR | 95% CI |
| ||
| Initial blood glucose | 5.50 (4.81–6.91) | 1.693 | 1.415–2.026 | <0.001 | 1.938 | 1.387–2.707 | <0.001 |
| Mid‐term blood glucose | 5.79 (4.89–7.58) | 1.695 | 1.441–1.994 | <0.001 | 1.758 | 1.325–2.332 | <0.001 |
| Blood glucose at discharge | 5.24 (4.73–6.52) | 1.231 | 1.057–1.434 | 0.001 | 1.160 | 0.864–1.557 | 0.323 |
Note: Multivariable analysis model was adjusted for gender, age, BMI, diabetes, hypertension, fatty liver, cardiovascular disease, chronic respiratory disease, emphysematous bullae, cerebral infarction, digestive tract disease, nervous system disease, endocrine disease, chronic liver disease, chronic kidney disease, cancer, infection, fever, cough, poor appetite, shortness of breath, myalgia, headache, dizziness, diarrhea, fatigue, nausea/vomiting, pharyngalgia, runny nose, lymphocyte percentage (%), lymphocyte count (×109/L), C‐reactive protein (mg/L), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/h), aspartate aminotransferase (U/L), albumin (g/L), creatine kinase (U/L), lactate dehydrogenase (U/L), and d‐dimer (μg/L).
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; COVID‐19, 2019 coronavirus disease; OR, odds ratio.
Figure 1Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for evaluating blood glucose levels as predictors on distinguishing severe and nonsevere cases. The area under ROC curve (AUC) was 0.806 and 0.841, (95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 0.739–0.872, p < 0.001) and (95% CI = 0.782–0.901, p < 0.001), with a sensitivity of 80.40%, 76.50% and a specificity of 68.40%, 76.30%, respectively
Multivariate regression analysis of the relationship between different blood glucose control and severe COVID‐19 with hyperglycemia at admission (n = 87)
| Models | Groups |
| OR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model I | Good blood glucose control | 0.003 | |
| Fair blood glucose control | 0.041 | 4.141 (1.060–16.174) | |
| Blood glucose deterioration | 0.001 | 13.571 (2.991–61.586) | |
| Model II | Good blood glucose control | 0.006 | |
| Fair blood glucose control | 0.058 | 3.783 (0.954–14.992) | |
| Blood glucose deterioration | 0.002 | 11.755 (2.527–54.690) | |
| Model III | Good blood glucose control | 0.011 | |
| Fair blood glucose control | 0.174 | 3.965 (0.544–28.897) | |
| Blood glucose deterioration | 0.005 | 20.386 (2.528–164.417) | |
| Model IV | Good blood glucose control | 0.010 | |
| Fair blood glucose control | 0.205 | 3.715 (0.489–28.225) | |
| Blood glucose deterioration | 0.004 | 22.783 (2.661–195.071) |
Note: A total of 87 people with initial blood glucose hyperglycemia were included in this model. Model I is the unadjusted model. Model II was adjusted for gender, age, BMI. Model III was adjusted for Model II and hypertension, diabetes, fever, cough, lymphocyte count (×109/L), C‐reactive protein (mg/L), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/h). Model IV was adjusted for Model III and fatty liver, Lactate dehydrogenase (U/L), d‐dimer (µg/ml).
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; COVID‐19, 2019 coronavirus disease; OR, odds ratio.