| Literature DB >> 34958279 |
Jordan J Karlitz1, A Mark Fendrick2, Jay Bhatt3, Gloria D Coronado4, Sushanth Jeyakumar5, Nathaniel J Smith5, Marcus Plescia6, Durado Brooks7, Paul Limburg8, David Lieberman9.
Abstract
Outreach, including patient navigation, has been shown to increase the uptake of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in underserved populations. This analysis evaluates the cost-effectiveness of triennial multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) versus outreach, with or without a mailed annual fecal immunochemical test (FIT), in a Medicaid population. A microsimulation model estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio using quality-adjusted life years (QALY), direct costs, and clinical outcomes in a cohort of Medicaid beneficiaries aged 50-64 years, over a lifetime time horizon. The base case model explored scenarios of either 100% adherence or real-world reported adherence (51.3% for mt-sDNA, 21.1% for outreach with FIT and 12.3% for outreach without FIT) with or without real-world adherence for follow-up colonoscopy (66.7% for all). Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3.0%. At 100% adherence to both screening tests and follow-up colonoscopy, mt-sDNA costed more and was less effective compared with outreach with or without FIT. When real-world adherence rates were considered for screening strategies (with 100% adherence for follow-up colonoscopy), mt-sDNA resulted in the greatest reduction in incidence and mortality from CRC (41.5% and 45.8%, respectively) compared with outreach with or without FIT; mt-sDNA also was cost-effective versus outreach with and without FIT ($32,150/QALY and $22,707/QALY, respectively). mt-sDNA remained cost-effective versus FIT, with or without outreach, under real-world adherence rates for follow-up colonoscopy. Outreach or navigation interventions, with associated real-world adherence rates to screening tests, should be considered when evaluating the cost-effectiveness of CRC screening strategies in underserved populations.Entities:
Keywords: CRC-AIM; colorectal cancer screening; cost-effectiveness analysis; early detection of cancer; outreach; simulation model
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34958279 PMCID: PMC9232231 DOI: 10.1089/pop.2021.0185
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Popul Health Manag ISSN: 1942-7891 Impact factor: 2.290
Adherence Parameters Used in the Model for Base Case Analyses
| Analysis | Screening test (%) | Reference | Follow-up colonoscopy (%) | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analysis 1 | ||||
| mt-sDNA | 100 | Assumption | 100 | Assumption |
| Outreach with FIT | 100 | Assumption | 100 | Assumption |
| Outreach without FIT | 100 | Assumption | 100 | Assumption |
| Analysis 2 | ||||
| mt-sDNA | 51.3 | Miller-Wilson et al[ | 100 | Assumption |
| Outreach with FIT | 21.1 | Brenner et al[ | 100 | Assumption |
| Outreach without FIT | 12.3 | Brenner et al[ | 100 | Assumption |
| Analysis 3 | ||||
| mt-sDNA | 51.3 | Miller-Wilson et al[ | 66.7 | Assumed same as FIT |
| Outreach with FIT | 21.1 | Brenner et al[ | 66.7 | Brenner et al[ |
| Outreach without FIT | 12.3 | Brenner et al[ | 66.7 | Brenner et al[ |
FIT, fecal immunochemical test; mt-sDNA, multi-target stool DNA.
Discounted Clinical Outcomes Per 1000 Patients
| Analysis | Screening strategy | No. of screening tests | Total number of COLs[ | No. of CXs | No. of CRC cases | No. of CRC deaths | LYG | Incidence reduction (%) | Mortality reduction (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analysis 1 | None | 0 | 80 | 1.7 | 79.8 | 36.0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| mt-sDNA | 3904 | 1032 | 5.9 | 42.9 | 17.6 | 228.1 | 46.2 | 51.0 | |
| Outreach + FIT | 10,594 | 1107 | 6.5 | 38.4 | 15.5 | 251.1 | 51.9 | 57.0 | |
| Outreach alone | 10,594 | 1107 | 6.5 | 38.4 | 15.5 | 251.1 | 51.9 | 57.0 | |
| Analysis 2 | None | 0 | 80 | 2.3 | 79.8 | 36.0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| mt-sDNA | 3205 | 894 | 5.9 | 46.7 | 19.5 | 203.5 | 41.5 | 45.8 | |
| Outreach + FIT | 2755 | 425 | 4.1 | 63.0 | 27.1 | 112.5 | 21.1 | 24.6 | |
| Outreach alone | 1660 | 290 | 3.4 | 69.2 | 30.3 | 73.2 | 13.3 | 15.7 | |
| Analysis 3 | None | 0 | 80 | 3.1 | 79.8 | 36.0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| mt-sDNA | 3163 | 611 | 4.7 | 58.0 | 25.2 | 132.8 | 27.3 | 30.0 | |
| Outreach + FIT | 2772 | 301 | 3.4 | 68.8 | 30.0 | 76.3 | 13.9 | 16.5 | |
| Outreach alone | 1653 | 215 | 2.8 | 72.8 | 32.3 | 48.4 | 8.8 | 10.2 |
Total COLs include follow-up colonoscopies, surveillance colonoscopies, and colonoscopies for symptoms.
COL, colonoscopy; CRC, colorectal cancer; CX, complication; LYG, life years gained.
Discounted Total Costs and Quality-Adjusted Life Years
| Analysis | Screening strategy | Discounted costs | Discounted utilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Screening | CXs | Program | CRC | Lifetime[ | Screening disutility | CXs disutility | CRC disutility | QALY | ||
| Analysis 1 | None | $42 | $7 | $0 | $3041 | $3091 | −0.0002 | −0.00002 | −0.0346 | 15.100 |
| mt-sDNA | $2498 | $34 | $0[ | $1580 | $4111 | −0.0041 | −0.00012 | −0.0214 | 15.174 | |
| Outreach + FIT | $992 | $38 | $550 | $1411 | $2991 | −0.0043 | −0.00013 | −0.0201 | 15.182 | |
| Outreach alone | $992 | $38 | $0 | $1411 | $2440 | −0.0043 | −0.00013 | −0.0201 | 15.182 | |
| Analysis 2 | None | $42 | $10 | $0 | $3041 | $3093 | −0.0002 | −0.00003 | −0.0346 | 15.100 |
| mt-sDNA | $2046 | $34 | $0[ | $1757 | $3837 | −0.0034 | −0.00011 | −0.0233 | 15.166 | |
| Outreach + FIT | $338 | $21 | $141 | $2372 | $2872 | −0.0015 | −0.00007 | −0.0295 | 15.136 | |
| Outreach alone | $221 | $17 | $0 | $2625 | $2862 | −0.0010 | −0.00006 | −0.0316 | 15.123 | |
| Analysis 3 | None | $42 | $13 | $0 | $3041 | $3097 | −0.0002 | −0.00005 | −0.0346 | 15.100 |
| mt-sDNA | $1813 | $25 | $0[ | $2192 | $4030 | −0.0023 | −0.00009 | −0.0271 | 15.143 | |
| Outreach + FIT | $246 | $17 | $142 | $2608 | $3013 | −0.0011 | −0.00006 | −0.0314 | 15.123 | |
| Outreach alone | $166 | $13 | $0 | $2771 | $2951 | −0.0007 | −0.00005 | −0.0327 | 15.115 | |
Lifetime costs include colonoscopy costs, screening costs (stool-based screening costs and follow-up/symptom/surveillance colonoscopies, as relevant), cost of complications, cost of program, and cost of CRC.
Patient navigation program cost is included in the cost of screening for mt-sDNA.
QALY, quality-adjusted life-year.
FIG. 1.Incremental cost-effectiveness plane: mt-sDNA versus outreach + FIT. FIT, fecal immunochemical test; mt-sDNA, multi-target stool DNA; QALY, quality-adjusted life year.
FIG. 2.(A) Heatmap of mt-sDNA versus outreach + FIT when varying screening test adherence and follow-up colonoscopy adherence fixed.(B) Heatmap of mt-sDNA versus outreach + FIT when varying follow-up colonoscopy adherence (screening test rates fixed). 51.3% mt-sDNA adherence and 21.1% outreach + FIT adherence.