| Literature DB >> 34948689 |
Julian Strizek1, Alfred Uhl1,2, Michael Schaub3, Doris Malischnig4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Adolescents and young adults are a crucial target group for preventing harm related to substance use. Recently, declining alcohol and tobacco consumption in young people has been observed in many countries. Based on survey data from 2004 to 2020, we describe time trends for several subgroups of adolescents and young adults (based on consumption levels and socioeconomic variables) and analyze associations between the level of alcohol per capita consumption or daily smoking and socioeconomic variables.Entities:
Keywords: adolescents; alcohol consumption; smoking; survey data; trend analyses; young adults
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34948689 PMCID: PMC8701464 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph182413080
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1Change in alcohol per capita consumption for male and female adolescents and young adults between 2004 and 2020. Note: g/d = gram/day.
Change in mean per capita consumption (g/d) for different subgroups of adolescents and young adults between 2004 and 2020.
| Subgroup | 2004 | 2008 | 2015 | 2020 | Change Rate 2004–2020 1 | Interaction Term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 27 | 23 | 22 | 13 | −54% | - |
| Sex | ||||||
| Males | 34 | 30 | 26 | 15 | −55% | 0.003 ** |
| Females | 20 | 15 | 17 | 10 | −51% | |
| Educational level * | ||||||
| Lower level of education | 32 | 23 | 28 | 17 | −45% | 0.001 |
| Higher level of education | 34 | 23 | 22 | 14 | −60% | |
| Employment status * | ||||||
| Working | 34 | 23 | 28 | 16 | −51% | 0.003 ** |
| In education | 35 | 30 | 22 | 13 | −62% | |
| Place of residence | ||||||
| Rural | 29 | 24 | 28 | 16 | −47% | 0.001 |
| Urban | 26 | 21 | 19 | 12 | −53% |
1 formula used for change rate: 1—mean2020/mean2004; * based on respondents aged 20–24; ** significant.
Figure 2Daily smoking among adolescents and young adults between 2004 and 2020.
Prevalence of daily smoking in different subgroups of adolescents and young adults between 2004 and 2020.
| Subgroup | 2004 | 2008 | 2015 | 2020 | Change Rate 2004–2020 1 | Interaction Term (Eta Square) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 48.2% | 28.0% | 20.1% | 13.3% | −72.5% | |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | 46.8% | 28.9% | 19.3% | 13.3% | −71.6% | 0.000 |
| Female | 49.7% | 27.1% | 20.9% | 13.3% | −73.2% | |
| Educational level * | ||||||
| Lower level of education | 64.5% | 38.0% | 37.0% | 29.6% | −54.1% | 0.001 |
| Higher level of education | 39.6% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 10.6% | −73.2% | |
| Employment status * | ||||||
| Working | 57.1% | 32.9% | 26.5% | 18.9% | −67.0% | 0.005 ** |
| In education | 31.4% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 7.4% | −76.3% | |
| Place of residence | ||||||
| Rural | 50.8% | 27.8% | 21.5% | 11.7% | −77.1% | 0.001 |
| Urban | 46.3% | 28.2% | 19.2% | 13.8% | −70.3% |
1 formula used for change rate: 1 − mean2020/mean2004; * based on respondents aged 20–24; ** significant.
Figure 3Quartiles of alcohol per capita consumption (g/d) among the drinking population from 2004–2020.
Figure 4Quartiles of cigarettes a day among the smoking population between 2004 and 2020.
Model summaries.
| Independent Variable | Model |
|
| Change in | Change in | Sig. Change in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcohol per capita consumption | Model 1 | 0.151 | 0.021 | 0.023 | 17.989 | 0.000 |
| Model 2 | 0.239 | 0.054 | 0.034 | 21.153 | 0.000 | |
| −2 Log-Likelihood | Cox & Snell | Nagelkerkes | ||||
| Daily smoking | Model 1 | 2653.5 | 0.064 | 0.091 | ||
| Model 2 | 2528.0 | 0.113 | 0.161 |
Regression parameters for predictors of per capita consumption (young adults between 2004 and 2020).
| Model | Predictors |
| Stand. Error | Beta |
| sig. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Constant | 34.14 | 1.84 | 18.52 | 0.00 | |
| Survey year 2008 | −9.84 | 2.30 | −0.12 | −4.27 | 0.00 | |
| Survey year 2015 | −8.67 | 2.70 | −0.08 | −3.22 | 0.00 | |
| Survey year 2020 | −18.84 | 2.57 | −0.19 | −7.33 | 0.00 | |
| Model 2 | Constant | 61.83 | 4.90 | 12.61 | 0.00 | |
| Survey year 2008 | −10.34 | 2.29 | −0.12 | −4.52 | 0.00 | |
| Survey year 2015 | −8.17 | 2.66 | −0.08 | −3.08 | 0.00 | |
| Survey year 2020 | −17.55 | 2.56 | −0.18 | −6.87 | 0.00 | |
| Sex | −14.86 | 1.69 | −0.18 | −8.81 | 0.00 | |
| Educational level | −1.13 | 1.92 | −0.01 | −0.59 | 0.56 | |
| Employment status | 1.45 | 1.99 | 0.02 | 0.73 | 0.46 | |
| Place of residence | −3.80 | 1.75 | −0.05 | −2.17 | 0.03 |
Regression parameters for predictors of daily smoking (young adults between 2004 and 2020).
| Model | Predictors |
| Stand. Error | Wald |
| sig. | exp(B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Constant | 3.71 | 0.26 | 211.6 | 1 | 0.00 | 40.84 |
| Survey year 2008 | −0.77 | 0.12 | 44.6 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.46 | |
| Survey year 2015 | −1.14 | 0.14 | 62.2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.32 | |
| Survey year 2020 | −1.71 | 0.15 | 125.7 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.18 | |
| Model 2 | Constant | 4.53 | 0.29 | 238.8 | 1 | 0.00 | 92.54 |
| Survey year 2008 | −0.99 | 0.12 | 64.7 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.37 | |
| Survey year 2015 | −1.15 | 0.15 | 59.1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.32 | |
| Survey year 2020 | −1.65 | 0.16 | 109.5 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.19 | |
| Sex | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.39 | 1.09 | |
| Educational level | −0.79 | 0.11 | 54.0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.45 | |
| Employment status | −0.64 | 0.13 | 25.2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.53 | |
| Place of residence | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.68 | 1.04 |