| Literature DB >> 34931468 |
Alp Tuna Beksac1, Parita Ratnani1, Zachary Dovey1, Sneha Parekh1, Ugo Falagario1, Reza Roshandel1, Stanislaw Sobotka1, Deepshikha Kewlani1, Avery Davis1, Rachel Weil1, Hafis Bashorun1, Ivan Jambor2, Sara Lewis2, Kenneth Haines3, Ashutosh K Tewari1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Active surveillance (AS) is the reference standard treatment for the management of low risk prostate cancer (PCa). Accurate assessment of tumor aggressiveness guides recruitment to AS programs to avoid conservative treatment of intermediate and higher risk patients. Nevertheless, underestimating the disease risk may occur in some patients recruited, with biopsy upgrading and the concomitant potential for delayed treatment. AIM: To evaluate the accuracy of mpMRI and GPS for the prediction of biopsy upgrading during active surveillance (AS) management of prostate cancer (PCa).Entities:
Keywords: PSA density; active surveillance; biomarker; genomic prostate score; multiparametric MRI; oncotype; prostate cancer
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34931468 PMCID: PMC8955055 DOI: 10.1002/cnr2.1492
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Rep (Hoboken) ISSN: 2573-8348
FIGURE 1Flow Chart to define participant inclusion and exclusion criteria
FIGURE 2Kaplan‐ Meier Curves for biopsy upgrade free survival by (A) Different Genomic Prostate Risk Groups, (B) MRI PI‐RADs Score, with ≤3 grouped as 1 versus MRI PI‐RADs Score > 3 grouped as 2, and (C) PSA density ≤ 0.09 grouped as 0 versus PSA density > 3 0.09 grouped as 1. Categories were based on the median PSA Density. Log‐rank test is a nonparametric test comparing the upgrading times between two groups. Censored subjects are indicated as tick marks
Baseline characteristics of the active surveillance cohort
| Covariates | All (144) | No upgrading (98) | Upgrading (46) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 62.1 (58.4, 68.3) | 61.32 (58.14, 67.37) | 62.45 (59.08, 68.46) | .1884 |
| Race, n (%) | .6079 | |||
| African American | 9 (6.25%) | 6 (6.12%) | 3 (6.52%) | |
| Caucasian | 125 (86.81%) | 83 (84.69%) | 42 (91.3%) | |
| Asian | 3 (2.08%) | 3 (3.06%) | 0 | |
| Unknown | 7 (4.86%) | 6 (6.12%) | 1 (2.17%) | |
| PSA (ng/ml) | 5.0 (3.45, 6.18) | 4.65 (3.10, 5.80) | 5.36 (4.37, 7.69) | .0063 |
| Prostate volume, (ml) | 46.0 (33.0, 62.0) | 47.0 (33.4, 61.0) | 44.0 (32.2, 63.0) | .4094 |
| PSA density | 0.09 (0.06, 0.15) | 0.08 (0.06, 0.13) | 0.12 (0.07, 0.21) | .005 |
| PI‐RADS Score | ||||
| 1–2–3 | 118 (81.94%) | 80 (81.63%) | 38 (82.61%) | .8871 |
| 4–5 | 26 (18.06%) | 18 (18.37%) | 8 (17.39%) | |
| Gleason score | .2304 | |||
| 3 + 3 | 141 (97.92%) | 95 (96.94%) | 46 (100.0%) | |
| 3 + 4 | 3 (2.08%) | 3 (3.06%) | 0 (0.0%) | |
| Number of positive cores | 2.0 (1.0, 4.0) | 2.0 (1.0, 3.0) | 2.0 (1.0, 4.0) | .1610 |
| Max % of core involvement | 15.0 (5.0, 30.0) | 15.0 (5.0, 30.0) | 17.5 (9.0, 30.0) | .8662 |
| Genomic prostate score | 21.0 (14.0, 27.0) | 20.0 (12.0, 27.0) | 22 (15.0, 28.0) | .2044 |
| GPS risk | ||||
| Low | 44 (35.77%) | 32 (38.10%) | 12 (30.77%) | .7306 |
| Intermediate | 56 (45.53%) | 37 (44.05%) | 19 (48.72%) | |
| High | 23 (18.7%) | 15 (17.86%) | 8 (20.51%) |
PI‐RADS GPS association
| GPS Risk Group | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MRI PI‐RADS | Low | Intermediate | High |
| 1–2–3 (Low) | 30 | 49 | 18 |
| 4–5 (High) | 14 | 7 | 5 |
Univariate and multivariate cox regression analysis to predict upgrading during active surveillance. Two models were built using MRI variables (Model 1) and MRI variables in addition to GPS score (Model 2)
| Univariate cox | Multivariate cox regression using MRI variables (Concordance Index = 0.692) | Multivariate cox regression using MRI variables in addition to GPS score (Concordance Index = 0.71) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Covariates | HR (95% CI) | C index |
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
|
| Age, y | 1.04 (1.00, 1.08) | 0.611 | .056 | ||||
| PSA ng/ml | 1.30 (1.16, 1.47) | 0.674 | <.0001 | ||||
| PSAD ng/ml2 | 1.08 (1.05, 1.12) | 0.656 | <.0001 | 1.09 (1.05,1.13) | <.0001 | 1.10 (1.06, 1.14) | <.0001 |
| Lesion on MRI | 3.40 (1.69, 6.87) | 0.611 | .0006 | ||||
| PIRADs score | 0.582 | .0024 | |||||
| 1,2,3 | Ref | ||||||
| 4,5 | 3.51 (1.56, 7.91) | 4.11 (1.79, 9.44) | .0009 | 4.21 (1.75, 10.13) | .001 | ||
| MRI Prostate volume, ml | 1.0 (0.99, 1.01) | 0.463 | .9379 | ||||
| GPS risk category | 0.50 | ||||||
| 1 | Ref | ||||||
| 2 | 0.97 (0.47, 2.01) | .9407 | 1.14 (0.54, 2.38) | .7292 | |||
| 3 | 1.17 (0.48, 2.88) | .7260 | 0.97 (0.39, 2.42) | .9500 | |||
| GPS risk score | 1.01 (0.99, 1.04) | 0.55 | .3276 | ||||