Literature DB >> 34908637

R 0 estimation for COVID-19 pandemic through exponential fit.

Zheng Mingliang1, Theodore E Simos2,3,4,5,6, Charalampos Tsitouras7.   

Abstract

We provide an easy and accurate method for approximating the reproduction number R 0 defined in an SIR epidemic model. At first, we present a formula extracting the exact R 0 in case of constant rates of infection and recovery assumed in an SIR model. Then, we proceed proposing an exponential fitting to various data taken from the real-world epidemics. Certain applications for current COVID outbreak are considered, and figures describing the fluctuation of R 0 in various countries are given.
© 2021 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Entities:  

Keywords:  COVID‐19 outbreak; SIR epidemic model; exponential fitting; initial value problem

Year:  2021        PMID: 34908637      PMCID: PMC8662303          DOI: 10.1002/mma.7878

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Math Methods Appl Sci        ISSN: 0170-4214            Impact factor:   3.007


  3 in total

1.  Modeling shield immunity to reduce COVID-19 epidemic spread.

Authors:  Joshua S Weitz; Stephen J Beckett; Ashley R Coenen; David Demory; Marian Dominguez-Mirazo; Jonathan Dushoff; Chung-Yin Leung; Guanlin Li; Andreea Măgălie; Sang Woo Park; Rogelio Rodriguez-Gonzalez; Shashwat Shivam; Conan Y Zhao
Journal:  Nat Med       Date:  2020-05-07       Impact factor: 53.440

2.  R 0 estimation for COVID-19 pandemic through exponential fit.

Authors:  Zheng Mingliang; Theodore E Simos; Charalampos Tsitouras
Journal:  Math Methods Appl Sci       Date:  2021-10-12       Impact factor: 3.007

3.  It's about time: Analysing simplifying assumptions for modelling multi-step pathways in systems biology.

Authors:  Niklas Korsbo; Henrik Jönsson
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2020-06-29       Impact factor: 4.475

  3 in total
  1 in total

1.  R 0 estimation for COVID-19 pandemic through exponential fit.

Authors:  Zheng Mingliang; Theodore E Simos; Charalampos Tsitouras
Journal:  Math Methods Appl Sci       Date:  2021-10-12       Impact factor: 3.007

  1 in total

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