| Literature DB >> 34895260 |
Fei Xiang1, Xiaoyuan Liang1, Lili Yang2, Xingyu Liu1, Sheng Yan3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to establish a radiomics-based nomogram for predicting severe (grade B or C) post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in patients with huge (≥ 10 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Entities:
Keywords: Decision tree; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Liver failure; Nomogram; Radiomics
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34895260 PMCID: PMC8667454 DOI: 10.1186/s12957-021-02459-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: World J Surg Oncol ISSN: 1477-7819 Impact factor: 2.754
Fig. 1Flowchart of patients enrolled in this study. TACE, transarterial chemoembolization; ALPPS, associating liver partition and portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy; PVL, portal vein ligation
Fig. 2Workflow for the radiomics process. After CT images were acquired, segmentation of liver parenchyma was performed. The extracted radiomics features include intensity, shape, texture features, and wavelet features. Nine radiomics features were selected by the LASSO algorithm. A nomogram was built that incorporates radiomics signature and independent clinical predictors for individualized predicting severe PHLF. The discrimination ability of nomogram and conventional models were compared by ROC curve analysis and quantified by the AUC values. A decision tree was built to stratify the risk for severe PHLF into three classes. Clinical benefits of nomogram and conventional models were compared by decision curve analysis
Comparison of patient demographics and clinicopathological features of the two datasets
| Variable | Training dataset | Test dataset | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex, | 0.363 | ||
| Male | 118 (90.08) | 47 (85.46) | |
| Female | 13 (9.92) | 8 (14.54) | |
| Age, years | 58.69 ± 11.13 | 53.25 ± 17.19 | 0.387 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 23.97 ± 3.79 | 23.89 ± 4.01 | 0.963 |
| HBsAg positive, | 104 (79.38) | 36 (65.45) | |
| Child-Pugh class, | 0.923 | ||
| A | 115 (87.79) | 48 (87.27) | |
| B | 16(12.21) | 7(12.72) | |
| AFP, median (IQR), ng/ml | 38.7 (4–3849) | 171.5 (9–9312) | 0.717 |
| Liver function tests | |||
| ALB (g/L) | 38.07 ± 4.84 | 37.55 ± 6.57 | 0.837 |
| TBIL (μmol/L) | 16.07 ± 8.75 | 18.94 ± 12.43 | 0.541 |
| ALT (U/L) | 48.00 ± 53.05 | 58.88 ± 47.64 | 0.641 |
| AST (U/L) | 81.23 ± 63.99 | 75.75 ± 66.02 | 0.853 |
| GGT(U/L) | 130.62 ± 109.54 | 167.13 ± 166.12 | 0.549 |
| Cr (μmol/L) | 50.46 ± 11.81 | 55.63 ± 12.83 | 0.358 |
| PLT(109/L) | 202.92 ± 83.81 | 198.50 ± 63.50 | 0.900 |
| PT (s) | 13.45 ± 1.32 | 12.59 ± 1.26 | 0.155 |
| INR | 1.04 ± 0.12 | 1.02 ± 0.96 | 0.631 |
| Tumor size, mm | 125.54 ± 25.78 | 127.13 ± 52.94 | 0.930 |
| Cirrhosis, | 76 (58.02) | 29 (52.72) | 0.507 |
| Extent of resection | 0.515 | ||
| Extended (≥ 4 segments) | 84 (64.12) | 38 (69.09) | |
| Partial (< 4 segments) | 47 (35.88) | 17 (30.91) | |
| Conventional predictive models | |||
| Child-Pugh scorea | 5 (5–8) | 5 (5–8) | 0.463 |
| MELD scorea | 7 (6–15) | 7 (6–13) | 0.568 |
| ALBI scoreb | − 2.47 (− 0.51~− 3.42) | − 2.55 (− 1.09~− 3.32) | 1.000 |
| Intraoperative blood loss, ml b | 400 (200–800) | 500 (300–800) | 0.199 |
| Intraoperative blood transfusion, | |||
| Yes | 87 (66.4%) | 23 (41.8%) | |
| No | 44 (33.6%) | 32 (58.2%) | |
| Pringle maneuver, | 0.872 | ||
| Yes | 65 (49.6%) | 28 (50.9%) | |
| No | 66 (50.4%) | 27 (49.1%) | |
| PHLF (B/C), | 0.293 | ||
| Yes | 41 (31.30) | 13 (23.64) | |
| No | 90 (68.70) | 42 (76.36) | |
| Postoperative mortality, | 5 (3.8%) | 3 (5.4%) | 0.696 |
BMI body mass index, HBsAg hepatitis B surface antigen, AFP alpha fetoprotein, SD standard deviation, ALB albumin, TBIL total bilirubin, ALT alanine aminotransferase, AST aspartate transaminase, GGT γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, PLT platelets, PT prothrombin time, INR international normalized ratio, MELD model for end-stage liver disease, ALBI albumin to bilirubin ration index, PHLF posthepatectomy liver failure
aMedian (range)
bMedian (IQR)
Fig. 3The LASSO algorithm was used to select predictive radiomics features. A Tuning parameter (λ) in the LASSO model was selected by ten-fold cross-validation. The optimal λ value of 0.015 with log(λ) of − 4.269 was chosen (at the minimum criteria). B Coefficients of 30 features were shrunk with the penalty term increases. Nine features with nonzero coefficients were obtained with the optimal λ
Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses of risk factors for severe PHLF in the training dataset
| Variables | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95%CI | OR | 95% CI | |||
| Age | 1.012 | 0.962–1.066 | 0.639 | |||
| Sex, male vs female | 2.470 | 0.456–13.379 | 0.294 | |||
| BMI (≥ 25 vs < 25) | 0.628 | 0.182–2.160 | 0.460 | |||
| HBV infection | 1.703 | 0.419–6.922 | 0.457 | |||
| TBIL | 0.949 | 0.871–1.034 | 0.232 | |||
| ALB | 0.965 | 0.844–1.103 | 0.603 | |||
| PT | 1.512 | 0.809–2.829 | 0.195 | |||
| INR (per 0.1 increase) | 0.707 | 0.327–1.529 | 0.378 | |||
| PLT | 0.999 | 0.993–1.006 | 0.820 | |||
| Tumor size | 0.996 | 0.976–1.018 | 0.741 | |||
| Cirrhosis | 0.660 | 0.177–2.465 | 0.537 | |||
| Extent of resection (extended vs partial) | 4.903 | 1.381–17.405 | 4.483 | 1.591–12.633 | ||
| Blood loss (≥ 800 vs < 800 ml) | 0.250 | 0.054–1.161 | 0.077 | |||
| Blood transfusion | 2.609 | 0.517–13.164 | 0.245 | |||
| Pringle maneuver | 1.217 | 0.394–3.763 | 0.733 | |||
| Child-Pugh score | 2.803 | 0.239–32.839 | 0.412 | |||
| MELD score | 1.891 | 1.093–3.271 | 1.589 | 1.189–2.124 | ||
| ALBI score | 0.955 | 0.355–2.725 | 0.931 | |||
| Radscore (per 0.1 increase) | 1.144 | 1.068–1.224 | 1.139 | 1.066–1.216 | ||
Fig. 4The radiomics nomogram was developed by incorporating the Radscore, the MELD score, and the extent of resection
Fig. 5Assessing the accuracy of the nomogram model and comparison with conventional methods. The nomogram showed a significantly higher discrimination power than Radscore, MELD score, ALBI score, and Child-Pugh score for predicting severe PHLF in the training (A) and test (B) datasets. The calibration curves demonstrated good agreement between the radiomics nomogram predicted and actual observation in the training (C) and test (D) datasets
Fig. 6Clinical use. A The decision tree stratified the risk for severe PHLF into three classes. B DCA showed that the nomogram had wider threshold probabilities and yielded more net benefit than conventional models