| Literature DB >> 34809615 |
Yang Zhou1, Rui Yang2, Yuan Wang2, Meng Zhou2, Xueyan Zhou3, JiQing Xing4, Xinxin Wang5, Chunhui Zhang6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Preoperative identification of rectal cancer lymph node status is crucial for patient prognosis and treatment decisions. Rectal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) plays an essential role in the preoperative staging of rectal cancer, but its ability to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) is insufficient. This study explored the value of histogram features of primary lesions on multi-parametric MRI for predicting LNM of stage T3 rectal carcinoma.Entities:
Keywords: Histogram; LNM; Multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging; Nomogram; Rectal cancer
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34809615 PMCID: PMC8609786 DOI: 10.1186/s12880-021-00706-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med Imaging ISSN: 1471-2342 Impact factor: 1.930
Fig. 1Flow chart of inclusion and exclusion criteria of the study sample
Fig. 2An example of manual segmentation of MRI in the primary tumor of rectal cancer. a T2W maximum cross-sectional view, manually sketched T2WI-ROI (green intra-line region) and its histogram of primary tumors in patients with stage T3 rectal cancer. b The same slice DWI image from the same patient, the manually sketched DWI-ROI (red intra-line area), and its histogram. c The T2-map-ROI (red mosaic region) and its histogram of T2-map were obtained by mapping DWI ROI to T2WI. d The ADC-ROI (magenta mosaic region) and its histogram of the ADC diagram were obtained by mapping DWI ROI to the ADC graph
Comparison of clinical data between the LNM and non-LNM groups
| Clinical parameters | LNM | Non-LNM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | |||
| Male | 37 (59.7%) | 76 (67.3%) | 0.316 |
| Female | 25 (40.3%) | 37 (32.7%) | |
| Age (year) | 58.86 ± 10.52 | 62.09 ± 10.72 | 0.056 |
| Height (cm) | 165.50 (160.0–174.25) | 168.0 (162.0–172.0) | 0.880 |
| Weight (kg) | 66.50 (59.75–72.0) | 65.0 (59.0–73.0) | 0.851 |
| Smoking | |||
| No | 38 (61.3%) | 63 (55.8%) | 0.478 |
| Yes | 24 (38.7%) | 50 (44.2%) | |
| Alcohol | |||
| No | 40 (64.5%) | 74 (65.5%) | 0.897 |
| Yes | 22 (35.5%) | 39 (34.5%) | |
| CEA | |||
| < 5 ng/mL | 31 (51.7%) | 73 (65.2%) | 0.084 |
| ≥ 5 ng/mL | 29 (48.3%) | 39 (34.8%) | |
| CA199 | |||
| < 37 U/mL | 50 (84.7%) | 106 (96.4%) | |
| ≥ 37 U/mL | 9 (15.3%) | 4 (3.6%) | |
| CA724 | |||
| < 6 U/mL | 42 (80.8%) | 73 (85.9%) | 0.429 |
| ≥ 6 U/mL | 10 (19.2%) | 12 (14.1%) | |
| AFP | |||
| < 25 ng/mL | 30 (100.0%) | 61 (96.8%) | 0.324 |
| ≥ 25 ng/mL | 0 | 2 (3.2%) | |
| Histologic grades | |||
| Poor | 1 (1.7%) | 2 (1.8%) | 0.914 |
| Moderate | 58 (96.6%) | 107 (95.5%) | |
| Well | 1 (1.7%) | 3 (2.7%) | |
Continuous variables are presented as mean ± standard deviation. Categorical variables are presented as n (%)
LNM, lymph node metastasis; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; CA199, carbohydrate antigen 199; CA724, carbohydrate antigen 724; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; p < 0.05 are shown in bold
Comparison of radiological characteristics between the LNM and non-LNM groups
| Imaging features | LNM | Non-LNM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tumor location | |||
| Lower | 25 (40.3%) | 46 (40.7%) | 0.325 |
| Middle | 27 (43.5%) | 39 (34.5%) | |
| Upper | 10 (16.1%) | 28 (24.8%) | |
| Length (mm) | 49.00 (41.0–59.0) | 45.0 (40.0–54.0) | 0.306 |
| Thickness (mm) | 13.00 (11.0–16.0) | 13.0 (10.0–16.0) | 0.255 |
| Invasion extent | |||
| 1/4–1/2 | 7 (11.3%) | 13 (11.5%) | 0.997 |
| 1/2–3/4 | 30 (48.4%) | 54 (47.8%) | |
| > 3/4 | 25 (40.3%) | 46 (40.7%) | |
| mrT stage | |||
| 3a | 1 (1.6%) | 3 (2.7%) | 0.212 |
| 3b | 36 (58.1%) | 71 (62.8%) | |
| 3c | 17 (27.4%) | 17 (15.0%) | |
| 3d | 8 (12.9%) | 22 (19.5%) | |
| mrN stage | |||
| N0 | 26 (41.9%) | 98 (86.7%) | |
| N1 | 26 (41.9%) | 15 (13.3%) | |
| N2 | 10 (16.2%) | 0 | |
| mrEMVI | |||
| Negative | 55 (88.7%) | 107 (95.5%) | 0.089 |
| Positive | 7 (11.3%) | 5 (4.5%) | |
| MRF | |||
| Negative | 45 (72.6%) | 100 (88.5%) | |
| Positive | 17 (27.4%) | 13 (11.5%) |
Data expressed as n (%). Significant p values are in bold
LNM, lymph node metastasis; mrN Stage, N stage with MRI; mrT stage, T stage with MRI; EMVI, extramural venous invasion; MRF, mesorectal fascia
Univariate and multivariate analyses
| Parameters | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | OR | |||
| mrN stage | 7.686 | 0.124 | ||
| MRF | 2.906 | |||
| CA199 | 4.770 | 0.104 | ||
| DWISkewness | 3.668 | |||
| DWIMedian | 2.111 | |||
| DWICV | 7.253 | 10.135 | ||
| DWIP95 | 2.867 | |||
| DWIMode | 2.326 | 7.744 | ||
| ADCKurtosis | 0.492 | |||
| ADCCV | 2.742 | |||
| ADCP5 | 0.496 | |||
| ADCMode | 0.402 | |||
| T2WIKurtosis | 2.495 | 4.101 | ||
| T2WICV | 2.106 | |||
| T2-mapP5 | 0.464 | 0.267 | ||
Variables with p < 0.05 in the univariate logistic regression analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Significant p values are in bold. LNM, lymph node metastasis; Median, 50th percentile in Median histogram; CV, coefficient of variation; P5, 5th percentile; P95, 95th percentile
Fig. 3Boxplots of parameters for the non-LNM and LNM groups. a DWICV, b DWIMode, c T2Kurtosis, and d T2-mapP5
Predictive efficacy of the model of four independent predictive factors and the combined model
| Parameters | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mrN stage | 58.1 | 86.7 | 70.6 | 79.0 | 0.735 |
| CA199 | 15.3 | 96.4 | 69.2 | 67.9 | 0.558 |
| DWICV | 96.8 | 19.5 | 8.3 | 60.3 | 0.581 |
| DWIMode | 85.5 | 28.3 | 22.0 | 60.4 | 0.569 |
| T2WIKurtosis | 30.6 | 85 | 30.9 | 47.2 | 0.578 |
| T2-mapP5 | 59.7 | 59.3 | 44.6 | 72.8 | 0.595 |
| Combined model | 72.8 | 85.5 | 72.9 | 85.5 | 0.860 |
mrN Stage: N stage with MRI; CA199: carbohydrate antigen 199; CV: coefficient of variation; AUC: area under receiver operating characteristic curve; PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value
Fig. 4ROC curves for LNM prediction using different parameters and the combination of these parameters
Fig. 5The developed clinical-imaging-histogram nomogram for predicting the probability of LNM. By summing the scores of each point and locating it on the total score scale, the estimated probability of LNM was determined
Fig. 6a The calibration curves for predicting LNM. The Y axis represents the actual rate of LNM. The X axis represents the predicted probability of LNM. The ideal line represents a perfect prediction by an ideal model. The apparent line represents the performance of the nomogram model, of which a closer fit to the ideal line represents a better prediction. b The decision curve analysis for the morphological-histogram nomogram. The red line represents the net benefit of the morphological-histogram model. Across the various threshold probabilities, the morphological-histogram curve showed great net benefit