| Literature DB >> 34804189 |
Abstract
The 2nd phase of COVID-19 infection outbreak experienced worldwide is an attestation to the decline in the efficiency of COVID-19 detection kits available worldwide. rRT-PCR still remains the best confirmatory test for COVID-19 infection. Sadly, most medical professionals are not conversant with the rRT-PCR protocols. Therefore, more easy-to-use alternatives are required as backup, to compensate for these lapses. "Etaware-CDT-2020" is a virtual system designed for early detection of COVID-19 infection. A comparative COVID-19 diagnosis was conducted using Etaware-CDT-2020, corroborated by rRT-PCR-confirmed COVID-19 results obtained from China (Latitude 35.8617oN and Longitude 104.1954oE), which was the epicentre for COVID-19 infection outbreak. A cross-comparison of results showed that there was a positive correlation between the output result from Etaware-CDT-2020 and rRT-PCR diagnosis from Wuhan (r = 0.92) and Hubei (r = 0.97). Furthermore, there was no significant difference between the diagnostic results of "Etaware-CDT-2020" and rRT-PCR, when compared by T-test (P(t = 0) > 0.05) and Pearson's Chi-Square test (0.04 ≥ P ≤ 0.12). Etaware-CDT-2020 is unique and can be used anywhere, anytime and by anyone. It is accessible, affordable, easy to install, simple to understand and user friendly.Entities:
Keywords: China; Coronavirus disease 2019; Early COVID-19 detection; Etaware-CDT-2020; Rapid immunodiagnostic kits; rRT-PCR
Year: 2021 PMID: 34804189 PMCID: PMC8595498 DOI: 10.1016/j.bspc.2021.103337
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Biomed Signal Process Control ISSN: 1746-8094 Impact factor: 3.880
WHO classification of symptoms associated with COVID-19 infection.
| Categories | Code | Adoptive Markers (AM) | Related illness | Comp. Score | Inference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prominent Symptoms | AM1 | Fever | Malaria, Typhoid etc. | 0.20 | Necessary |
| AM2 | Fatigue (Tiredness) | 0.20 | Necessary | ||
| AM3 | Dry/Chesty Cough | Respiratory illness | 0.20 | Necessary | |
| General Symptoms | AM4 | Muscular aches and pains (Myalgia) | Fever | 0.02 | Optional |
| AM5 | Chill/Shivering | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM6 | Headache | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM7 | Loss of appetite | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM8 | Shortness of breath (Dyspnoea) | Respiratory illness | 0.02 | Optional | |
| AM9 | Sore throat | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM10 | Loss of sense of smell | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM11 | Loss of sense of taste | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM12 | Nasal congestion | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM13 | Chest pain | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM14 | Abdominal pain | Gastrointestinal illness | 0.02 | Optional | |
| AM15 | Diarrhoea | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM16 | Vomiting or Nausea | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| AM17 | Neurological illness | Neurological illness | 0.02 | Optional | |
| AM18 | Gastrointestinal illness | Gastrointestinal illness | 0.02 | Optional | |
| AM19 | Drowsiness | Neurological illness | 0.02 | Optional | |
| AM20 | Dizziness | 0.02 | Optional | ||
| Specific Symptoms | AM21 | Stroke | Neurological illness | 0.01 | Optional |
| AM22 | Pneumonia | Respiratory illness | 0.01 | Optional | |
| AM23 | High body temperature | Fever, Malaria, Typhoid etc. | 0.01 | Optional | |
| AM24 | Rhinorrhoea (Runny nose) | Respiratory illness (Children) | 0.01 | Optional | |
| AM25 | Body rash | Dermatological illness | 0.01 | Optional | |
| AM26 | Conjunctivitis | 0.01 | Optional | ||
Source: [5], [6], [8], [15], [16], [17], [18], [20], [23], [27], [34]. The following should be Noted:
The complementary score (Comp. Score) was pre-defined by the author [11].
It has no medical or statistical relationship with the symptoms itemized.
It is just a guide used by the author to quantify the importance of each symptom to COVID-19 infection, in order to generate a rationale system for screening COVID-19 infections in humans
The suspect-case definition for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Diagnosis.
| COVID-19 Infection Status | Etaware-CDT-2020 Diagnosis/inference | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage | Ysars-cov-2 (%) | Ŷsars-cov-2 (%) | Infected | Medical Condition | Disease Status | RD | DD | Action Required |
| 90–100 | 95.0 | Yes | Death | Extremely Severe | Yes | Yes | Mortuary/Cemetery | |
| L09 | 80–89 | 84.5 | Yes | ICU | Severe | Yes | Yes | Hospital Admission |
| L08 | 70–79 | 74.5 | Yes | MV/OM/MOD/Unconscious/IV | “ | Yes | Yes | Hospital Admission |
| L07 | 60–69 | 64.5 | Yes | ARD/Critical/Fatal | “ | Yes | Yes | Hospital Admission |
| L06 | 50–59 | 54.5 | Yes | Infected (Severe) | Mildly Severe | Yes | Yes | Hospital Admission |
| L05 | 40–49 | 44.5 | Yes | Infected (Stable Conditions)/SARS /MERS/RD | “ | Yes | Yes/No | Quarantine |
| L04 | 30–39 | 34.5 | Yes/No | RD/Early signs of Infection | Early Infection | Yes | Yes/No | Quarantine/Isolation |
| L03 | 20–29 | 24.5 | Yes/No | RD | Suspected case | Yes | Yes/No | Self-Isolation |
| L02 | 10–19 | 14.5 | Yes/No | Mild RD/Asymptomatic Patients | “ | Yes/No | Yes/No | Medical Attention |
| 01–09 | 5.00 | Yes/No | DD/Asymptomatic Patients | “ | Yes/No | Yes/No | Clinical Observation | |
| Below 1 | 0.50 | No | Discharged/Healthy | Healthy | No | No | None | |
ICU → Intensive Care Unit, MV → Mechanical Ventilation, OM → Oxygen Mask, ARD → Acute Respiratory Disease, MOD → Multiple Organ Dysfunction, SARS → Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, MERS → Middle East Respiratory Syndrome, RD → Respiratory Distress, DD → Digestive Disorder, IV → Invasive Ventilation, Y → COVID-19 Infection, SCD-B → Suspect Case Definition Boundary for COVID-19 infection, Ŷ → Class Midpoint/Mean value of COVID-19 infection calculated from the SCD-B value.
Note: The levels for COVID-19 infection (Ysars-cov-2) was carefully defined by P. M. Etaware © 2020, in line with the corresponding medical condition(s), to aid effective quantification and possible categorization of all COVID-19 cases.
Fig. 1The input device for the computer program “Etaware-CDT-2020”.
Medical Records of 4,856 virtual COVID-19 Patients from China.
| Symptoms | Case (%) | Population (N) | Sample (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fever | 57.5 | 2,792 | 69 |
| Dry Cough | 56.7 | 2,753 | 68 |
| Fatigue | 52.5 | 2,549 | 63 |
| Shortness of Breath | 50.8 | 2,467 | 61 |
| Myalgia | 50.8 | 2,467 | 61 |
| Shivering | 54.2 | 2,632 | 65 |
| Sore Throat | 51.7 | 2,511 | 62 |
| Headache | 52.5 | 2,549 | 63 |
| Diarrhoea | 45.0 | 2,185 | 54 |
| Nausea | 43.3 | 2,103 | 52 |
| Drowsiness | 39.2 | 1,904 | 47 |
| Loss of Appetite | 37.5 | 1,821 | 45 |
| Loss of Sense of Smell | 35.8 | 1,738 | 43 |
| Loss of Sense of Taste | 36.7 | 1,782 | 44 |
| Nasal Congestion | 37.5 | 1,821 | 45 |
| Stroke | 23.3 | 1,131 | 28 |
| Pneumonia | 26.7 | 1,297 | 32 |
| Abdominal Pain | 31.7 | 1,539 | 38 |
| Chest Pain | 33.3 | 1,617 | 40 |
| Neurological Ailment | 34.2 | 1,661 | 41 |
| Gastrointestinal Ailment | 33.3 | 1,617 | 40 |
| Dizziness | 33.3 | 1,617 | 40 |
| High Body Temperature | 21.7 | 1,054 | 26 |
| Rhinorrhoea | 23.3 | 1,131 | 28 |
| Rash | 29.2 | 1,418 | 35 |
| Conjunctivitis | 54.2 | 2,632 | 65 |
The data for the virtual samples (120 patients) used for this experiment are available in Supplementary File “S1”.
Characterization of 4,856 virtual COVID-19 patients from China based on their medical status.
| S/N | Medical Condition | Case (%) | Population | Sample | Severity (%) | Midpoint (Ŷ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Death | 10.83 | 526 | 13 | 90–100 | 95.0 |
| 2 | ICU | 10.83 | 526 | 13 | 80–89 | 84.5 |
| 3 | MV/OM/MOD/IV | 8.33 | 405 | 10 | 70–79 | 74.5 |
| 4 | ARD/Critical/Fatal | 12.50 | 607 | 15 | 60–69 | 64.5 |
| 5 | Infected (Severe) | 8.33 | 405 | 10 | 50–59 | 54.5 |
| 6 | Infected (Stable Conditions)/SARS/MERS/RD | 8.33 | 405 | 10 | 40–49 | 44.5 |
| 7 | RD/Early signs of Infection | 9.16 | 445 | 11 | 30–39 | 34.5 |
| 8 | RD/Suspected case | 10.83 | 526 | 13 | 20–29 | 24.5 |
| 9 | RD/Asymptomatic Patients | 8.33 | 405 | 10 | 10–19 | 14.5 |
| 10 | Digestive Disorder/Asymptomatic Patients | 10.83 | 526 | 13 | 1–9 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Discharged/Healthy | 1.67 | 81 | 02 | Below 1 | 0.5 |
ICU → Intensive Care Unit, MV → Mechanical Ventilation, OM → Oxygen Mask, ARD → Acute Respiratory Disease, MOD → Multiple Organ Dysfunction, SARS → Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, MERS → Middle East Respiratory Syndrome, RD → Respiratory Distress, IV → Invasive Ventilation, SCD-B → Suspect Case Definition Boundary for COVID-19 infection, Ŷ→Class Midpoint/Mean value of COVID-19 infection calculated from the SCD-B value. The data for the virtual samples (120 patients) used for this experiment is available in Supplementary File “S1”.
Summary of rRT-PCR data for COVID-19 infected patients obtained in China.
| Symptoms | Wuhan, China | All Provinces (China) | Provinces (China) | Hubei, China (Epicentre) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cases (%) | Size (N) | Sample | Cases (%) | Size (N) | Sample | Cases (%) | Size (N) | Sample | Cases (%) | Size (N) | Sample | |
| Fever | >90 | 38 | 38 | 87.3 | 40, 996 | 88 | 88.72 | 976 | 89 | ≤100.0 | 204 | 204 |
| Dry Cough | 80 | 33 | 33 | 58.1 | 27,284 | 59 | 67.80 | 746 | 68 | – | – | – |
| Fatigue | – | – | – | 35.5 | 16,671 | 36 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Malaise | >90 | 38 | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pneumonia | – | – | – | 75.7 | 35,548 | 76 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Shortness of Breath | 20 | 09 | 09 | 38.3 | 17,986 | 39 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RD | 15 | 07 | 07 | 28.8 | 13,525 | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Diarrhoea | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.80 | 42 | 04 | 17.16 | 35 | 35 |
| Vomiting | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.96 | 04 | 04 |
| Abdominal Pain | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.98 | 02 | 02 |
| Lack of Appetite | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 39.71 | 81 | 81 |
| Discharged | 14 | 06 | 06 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Critical care | 15 | 07 | 07 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Death | 02 | 01 | 01 | – | – | – | 1.40 | 16 | 02 | – | – | – |
| Stable conditions | 66 | 27 | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Chest Distress | – | – | – | 31.2 | 14,652 | 32 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GGO | – | – | – | 69.9 | 32,825 | 70 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Patients in ICU | – | – | – | 29.3 | 13,759 | 30 | 5.00 | 55 | 05 | – | – | – |
| ARD | – | – | – | 28.8 | 13,525 | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Patients with GI | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.63 | 38 | 38 |
| Fatality/Critical | – | – | – | 6.80 | 3,194 | 07 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MOD | – | – | – | 8.50 | 3,992 | 09 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MV | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.30 | 26 | 03 | – | – | – |
| Total Patients | 100 | N = 41 | n = 41 | 100 | N = 46,959 | n = 100 | 100 | N = 1,099 | n = 100 | 100 | N = 204 | n = 204 |
| No. of Hospitals | – | – | 552 | – | ||||||||
| No. of Districts | – | 34 | 30 | 13 | ||||||||
| No. of Province | – | 23 | – | 01 | ||||||||
| Source | ||||||||||||
ICU → Intensive Care Unit, MV → Mechanical Ventilation, ARD → Acute Respiratory Disease, MOD → Multiple Organ Dysfunction, RD → Respiratory Distress, GGO → Ground-glass Opacification. Note: Some prominent symptoms associated with fever which are synonymous to COVID-19 infection were included for patients having fever by the author. The data is presented in Supplementary File “S2”.
Etaware-CDT-2020 statistics and the relationship between “Ysars-cov-2” and all the “X” values.
| Description | Variable Stat | Etaware-CDT-2020 Stat | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Symptoms represented | R | R2 | R | R2 | Adj. R2 | Pred. R2 |
| Ysars-cov-2 | COVID-19 Infection | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| αsars-cov-2 | Intercept on Ysars-cov-2 | – | – | ||||
| X1 | Fever | 0.74 | 0.55 | ||||
| X2 | Dry or Chesty Cough | 0.74 | 0.55 | ||||
| X3 | Fatigue or Tiredness | 0.77 | 0.59 | ||||
| X4 | Shortness of breath | 0.81 | 0.66 | ||||
| X5 | Muscular aches and pains (Myalgia) | 0.80 | 0.64 | ||||
| X6 | Chill or Shivering | 0.72 | 0.52 | ||||
| X7 | Sore throat | 0.69 | 0.48 | ||||
| X8 | Headache | 0.65 | 0.42 | ||||
| X9 | Diarrhoea | 0.69 | 0.48 | ||||
| X10 | Vomiting or Nausea | 0.63 | 0.40 | ||||
| X11 | Drowsiness | 0.59 | 0.35 | ||||
| X12 | Loss of appetite | 0.52 | 0.27 | ||||
| X13 | Loss of sense of smell | 0.44 | 0.19 | ||||
| X14 | Loss of sense of taste | 0.33 | 0.11 | ||||
| X15 | Nasal congestion | 0.15 | 0.02 | ||||
| X16 | Stroke | 0.36 | 0.13 | ||||
| X17 | Pneumonia | 0.31 | 0.10 | ||||
| X18 | Abdominal pain | 0.10 | 0.01 | ||||
| X19 | Chest pain | 0.12 | 0.01 | ||||
| X20 | Neurological illness | 0.03 | 0.00 | ||||
| X21 | Gastrointestinal illness | −0.03 | 0.00 | ||||
| X22 | Dizziness | −0.08 | 0.01 | ||||
| X23 | High body temperature | 0.16 | 0.03 | ||||
| X24 | Rhinorrhoea (Runny nose) | 0.23 | 0.05 | ||||
| X25 | Body rash | 0.12 | 0.01 | ||||
| X26 | Conjunctivitis | 0.13 | 0.02 | ||||
| ؏sars-cov-2 | Correction factor | – | – | ||||
The data is available in Supplementary File “S3”.
Fig. 2The accuracy of the computer program “Etaware-CDT-2020” as described by SPSS.
Fig. 3Etaware-CDT-2020 RCD model (a) Clinical model (b) COVID-19 Infection Status.
Comparison between the COVID-19 diagnosis of Hui et al. [18] and Etaware-CDT-2020.
| Demographics | COVID-19 Diagnosis in Wuhan (2020) | Statistics | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage | Medical Condition | rRT-PCR (%) | Etaware-CDT-2020 (%) | r | χ2 | Prob. | |
| L10 | Death | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.92 | 33.2 | 0.07 | |
| L09 | ICU | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L08 | MV/OM/MOD/IV | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 × 10-16 | 1.0 ns | ||
| L07 | ARD/Critical/Fatal | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L06 | Infected (Severe) | 0.0 | 22.0 | ||||
| L05 | Infected (Stable) | 65.9 | 58.5 | ||||
| L04 | RD/Early Infection | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L03 | RD/Suspected case | 17.1 | 12.2 | ||||
| L02 | RD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L01 | DD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L00 | Discharged/Healthy | 14.6 | 7.3 | ||||
| Total: | |||||||
| Patient's Population: | |||||||
| Source: | Hui et al. | Etaware-CDT-2020 | |||||
| Provincial-Levels: | – | – | |||||
| Province: | – | – | |||||
ICU → Intensive Care Unit, MV → Mechanical Ventilation, ARD → Acute Respiratory Disease, MOD → Multiple Organ Dysfunction, DD → Digestive Disorder, RD → Respiratory Distress, GGO → Ground-glass Opacification. The data is available in Supplementary File “S4” and “S5”.
Comparison between the COVID-19 diagnosis of Pan et al. [27] and Etaware-CDT-2020.
| Demographics | COVID-19 Diagnosis in Hubei (2020) | Statistics | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage | Medical Condition | rRT-PCR (%) | Etaware-CDT-2020 (%) | r | χ2 | Prob. | |
| L10 | Death | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 11.0 | 0.04 | |
| L09 | ICU | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L08 | MV/OM/MOD/IV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 × 10-16 | 1.0 ns | ||
| L07 | ARD/Critical/Fatal | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L06 | Infected (Severe) | 0.0 | 18.6 | ||||
| L05 | Infected (Stable) | 100.0 | 81.4 | ||||
| L04 | RD/Early Infection | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L03 | RD/Suspected case | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L02 | RD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L01 | DD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L00 | Discharged/Healthy | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| Total: | |||||||
| Patient's Population: | |||||||
| Source: | Pan et al. | Etaware-CDT-2020 | |||||
| Provincial-Levels: | 13 | 13 | |||||
| Province: | 01 | 01 | |||||
ICU → Intensive Care Unit, MV → Mechanical Ventilation, ARD → Acute Respiratory Disease, MOD → Multiple Organ Dysfunction, DD → Digestive Disorder, RD → Respiratory Distress, GGO → Ground-glass Opacification. The data is available in Supplementary File “S4” and “S5”.
Comparison between the COVID-19 diagnosis of Guan et al. [15] and Etaware-CDT-2020.
| Demographics | COVID-19 Diagnosis in China (2020) | Statistics | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage | Medical Condition | rRT-PCR (%) | Etaware-CDT-2020 (%) | r | χ2 | Prob. | |
| L10 | Death | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.19 | 22.9 | 0.12 | |
| L09 | ICU | 5.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L08 | MV/OM/MOD/IV | 2.3 | 4.0 | −4.9 × 10-17 | 1.0 ns | ||
| L07 | ARD/Critical/Fatal | 0.0 | 64.0 | ||||
| L06 | Infected (Severe) | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L05 | Infected (Stable) | 91.3 | 21.0 | ||||
| L04 | RD/Early Infection | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L03 | RD/Suspected case | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L02 | RD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L01 | DD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L00 | Discharged/Healthy | 0.0 | 11.0 | ||||
| Total: | |||||||
| Patient's Population: | |||||||
| Source: | Guan et al. | Etaware-CDT-2020 | |||||
| Hospitals: | 552 | 552 | |||||
| Provincial-Levels: | 30 | 30 | |||||
| Province: | – | – | |||||
ICU → Intensive Care Unit, MV → Mechanical Ventilation, ARD → Acute Respiratory Disease, MOD → Multiple Organ Dysfunction, DD → Digestive Disorder, RD → Respiratory Distress, GGO → Ground-glass Opacification. The data is available in Supplementary File “S4” and “S5”.
Comparison between the COVID-19 diagnosis of Cao et al. [4] and Etaware-CDT-2020.
| Demographics | COVID-19 Diagnosis in China (2020) | Statistics | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stage | Medical Condition | rRT-PCR (%) | Etaware-CDT-2020 (%) | r | χ2 | Prob. | |
| Death | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 23.6 | 0.10 | ||
| L09 | ICU | 29.3 | 0.0 | ||||
| L08 | MV/OM/MOD/IV | 8.5 | 36.0 | −3.95 × 10-17 | 1.0 ns | ||
| L07 | ARD/Critical/Fatal | 35.6 | 0.0 | ||||
| L06 | Infected (Severe) | 26.6 | 23.0 | ||||
| L05 | Infected (Stable) | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| L04 | RD/Early Infection | 0.0 | 17.0 | ||||
| L03 | RD/Suspected case | 0.0 | 12.0 | ||||
| L02 | RD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| DD/Asymp. | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||
| Discharged/Healthy | 0.0 | 12.0 | |||||
| Total: | |||||||
| Patient's Population: | |||||||
| Source: | Cao et al. | Etaware-CDT-2020 | |||||
| Provincial-Levels: | 34 | 34 | |||||
| Province: | 23 | 23 | |||||
ICU → Intensive Care Unit, MV → Mechanical Ventilation, ARD → Acute Respiratory Disease, MOD → Multiple Organ Dysfunction, DD → Digestive Disorder, RD → Respiratory Distress, GGO → Ground-glass Opacification. The data is available in Supplementary File “S4” and “S5”.
Fig. 4Binomial distribution of COVID-19 patients in the 23 provinces of China.
Fig. 5Binomial distribution of COVID-19 patients in Wuhan.
Fig. 6Binomial distribution of COVID-19 patients in Hubei Province, China.
Fig. 7Binomial distribution of COVID-19 patients in some hospitals in China.