| Literature DB >> 34778068 |
Jiaqian Qi1,2,3,4, Chengyuan Gu1,2, Weijuan Wang1,2, Mengqi Xiang5, Xiaochen Chen1,2,3,4,6, Jianhong Fu1,2,3,4,6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Among the growing number of patients with hematologic neoplasms hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU), the largest proportion of these patients are diagnosed with lymphoma. However, less attention has been paid in the past to identifying critically ill patients and assessing the prognosis of patients in ICU. Traditional critical care-related scores have shown limitations and inaccuracy in predicting mortality risk.Entities:
Keywords: ICU - intensive care unit; MIMIC-III; lactate dehydrogenase; non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NHL); prediction model
Year: 2021 PMID: 34778068 PMCID: PMC8581292 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.753712
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Study Participant Characteristics at Enrollment.
| Variables | Total (n = 405) | Cohort, median (IQR) | p-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| alive (in 28 days) (n = 308) | dead (in 28 days) (n = 97) | |||
| age | 68.86 (57.42, 79.77) | 68.72 (57.66, 78.59) | 69.85 (56.6, 82.74) | 0.239 |
| gender, n (%) | 0.516 | |||
| F | 166 (41) | 123 (40) | 43 (44) | |
| M | 239 (59) | 185 (60) | 54 (56) | |
| BMI | 26.74 (23.6, 30.6) | 26.74 (23.57, 30.94) | 25.81 (23.69, 30.24) | 0.784 |
| ICU staytime | 2.97 (1.73, 6.09) | 2.74 (1.66, 5.69) | 3.87 (2.23, 8.66) | 0.012 |
| LDH | 327 (212, 640) | 283 (194, 399.75) | 728 (480, 2133) | <0.001 |
| lactate | 1.5 (1.1, 2.1) | 1.4 (1, 1.9) | 1.8 (1.1, 3) | 0.002 |
| bicarbonate | 22 (20, 25) | 23 (20, 26) | 21 (17, 23) | <0.001 |
| bilirubin | 0.6 (0.4, 1.2) | 0.6 (0.4, 1.1) | 0.9 (0.5, 2.1) | <0.001 |
| creatinine | 1 (0.8, 1.5) | 1 (0.7, 1.4) | 1.4 (0.9, 1.9) | <0.001 |
| WBC | 10.2 (6.1, 15.2) | 9.65 (5.97, 13.9) | 12.7 (6.7, 18) | 0.003 |
| hemoglobin | 9.4 (8.2, 10.8) | 9.5 (8.2, 10.9) | 9.1 (8.3, 10.4) | 0.172 |
| PLT | 148 (74, 245) | 162.5 (82, 255.75) | 99 (45, 202) | <0.001 |
| PTT | 32.9 (27.1, 42.8) | 31.8 (26.73, 39.4) | 40 (29.7, 50.4) | <0.001 |
| INR | 1.3 (1.1, 1.6) | 1.3 (1.1, 1.5) | 1.5 (1.2, 2.4) | <0.001 |
| PT | 14.5 (13.2, 17) | 14.2 (13.07, 16.5) | 16 (13.7, 21.5) | <0.001 |
| SOFA | 4 (2, 7) | 4 (2, 6) | 7 (4, 10) | <0.001 |
| APSIII | 44 (32, 58) | 39 (30, 52) | 58 (47, 81) | <0.001 |
| LODS | 4 (2, 6) | 4 (2, 5) | 6 (4, 9) | <0.001 |
| Reasons for admission to ICU | 0.046 | |||
| respiratory failure | 150 (37) | 115 (37) | 35 (36) | |
| sepsis | 132 (33) | 99 (32) | 33 (34) | |
| cardiac insufficiency | 79 (20) | 54 (18) | 25 (26) | |
| others | 44 (11) | 40 (13) | 4 (4) | |
| Disease Stage | <0.001 | |||
| I | 216 (53) | 182 (59) | 34 (35) | |
| II | 108 (27) | 83 (27) | 25 (26) | |
| III | 63 (16) | 37 (12) | 26 (27) | |
| IV | 18 (4) | 6 (2) | 12 (12) | |
| NCCN-IPI, n (%) | <0.001 | |||
| 0 | 56 (14) | 50 (16) | 6 (6) | |
| 1 | 128 (32) | 113 (37) | 15 (15) | |
| 2 | 86 (21) | 76 (25) | 10 (10) | |
| 3 | 34 (8) | 26 (8) | 8 (8) | |
| 4 | 24 (6) | 11 (4) | 13 (13) | |
| 5 | 11 (3) | 6 (2) | 5 (5) | |
| 6 | 51 (13) | 23 (7) | 28 (29) | |
| 7 | 15 (4) | 3 (1) | 12 (12) | |
| IPI, n (%) | <0.001 | |||
| 0 | 75 (19) | 65 (21) | 10 (10) | |
| 1 | 126 (31) | 109 (35) | 17 (18) | |
| 2 | 76 (19) | 64 (21) | 12 (12) | |
| 3 | 40 (10) | 27 (9) | 13 (13) | |
| 4 | 18 (4) | 13 (4) | 5 (5) | |
| 5 | 70 (17) | 30 (10) | 40 (41) | |
IQR, interquartile range; WBC, white blood cell; Hb, hemoglobin; PLT, platelet; PTT, partial thromboplastin time; PT, prothrombin time; BMI, body mass index; ICU, intensive care unit; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; INR, International Normalized Ratio.
Univariate analysis for patients dead in 28 days or 1 year by logistic regression analysis.
| Variables | dead in 28 days | dead in 1 year | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | p-value | OR (95% CI) | p-value | |
| age, >60 vs. ≤60 (year) | 0.89 [0.55, 1.48] | 0.656 | 0.82 [0.52, 1.31] | 0.411 |
| gender, female vs. male | 1.20 [0.75, 1.90] | 0.443 | 1.16 [0.75, 1.77] | 0.51 |
| BMI, >26.74 vs. ≤26.74 | 0.97 [0.61, 1.53] | 0.885 | 0.99 [0.65, 1.52] | 0.974 |
| ICU staytime, >3 vs. <3 (day) | 1.97 [1.24, 3.17] | 0.004 | 2.63 [1.70, 4.11] | <0.001 |
| LDH, >327 vs. ≤327 (U/L) | 20.31 [10.06, 46.91] | <0.001 | 8.58 [5.17, 14.77] | <0.001 |
| lactate, >1.5 vs. ≤1.5 (U/L) | 1.79 [1.13, 2.85] | 0.013 | 1.34 [0.88, 2.06] | 0.173 |
| bicarbonate >22 vs. ≤22 (U/L) | 0.42 [0.26, 0.68] | <0.001 | 0.43 [0.27, 0.66] | <0.001 |
| bilirubin, >0.6 vs. ≤0.6 (U/L) | 2.57 [1.60, 4.19] | <0.001 | 2.09 [1.36, 3.24] | 0.001 |
| creatinine, >1 vs. ≤1 (U/L) | 1.83 [1.16, 2.93] | 0.011 | 1.68 [1.09, 2.58] | 0.018 |
| WBC, >10.2 vs. ≤10.2 (x10^9/L) | 1.82 [1.14, 2.91] | 0.012 | 1.72 [1.12, 2.65] | 0.014 |
| hemoglobin, <9.6 vs. ≥9.6 (U/L) | 1.25 [0.79, 1.99] | 0.348 | 1.44 [0.94, 2.22] | 0.098 |
| PLT <148 vs. ≥148 (x10^9/L) | 2.45 [1.53, 3.98] | <0.001 | 2.46 [1.59, 3.84] | <0.001 |
| PTT >32.7 vs. ≤32.7 (sec) | 1.82 [1.15, 2.93] | 0.012 | 1.70 [1.11, 2.63] | 0.015 |
| INR, >1.3 vs. ≤1.3 | 2.56 [1.60, 4.14] | <0.001 | 2.18 [1.42, 3.37] | <0.001 |
| PT, >14.5 vs. ≤14.5 (sec) | 2.44 [1.53, 3.95] | <0.001 | 2.36 [1.53, 3.67] | <0.001 |
| Disease stage, IV or III vs. I or II | 3.97 [2.36, 6.69] | <0.001 | 3.51 [2.12, 5.84] | <0.001 |
| SOFA, >3.73 vs. ≤3.73 | 3.73 [2.31, 6.12] | <0.001 | 3.79 [2.43, 5.98] | <0.001 |
| APSIII, >44 vs. ≤44 | 6.34 [3.73, 11.28] | <0.001 | 6.89 [4.22, 11.57] | <0.001 |
| LODS, >4 vs. ≤4 | 4.02 [2.47, 6.69] | <0.001 | 4.14 [2.64, 6.59] | <0.001 |
OR, oddis ratio; WBC, white blood cell; Hb, hemoglobin; PLT, platelet; PTT, partial thromboplastin time; PT, prothrombin time; BMI, body mass index; ICU, intensive care unit; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; INR, International Normalized Ratio.
Multivariate analysis on risk factors for death in 28 days by logistic regression analysis.
| Variables | OR (95% CI) | p-value |
|---|---|---|
| ICU staytime, >3 vs. <3 (day) | 2.00 [1.07, 3.81] | 0.031 |
| LDH, >327 vs. ≤327 (U/L) | 18.33 [8.55, 44.58] | <0.001 |
| lactate, >1.5 vs. ≤1.5 (U/L) | 1.28 [0.69, 2.38] | 0.423 |
| bicarbonate >22 vs. ≤22 (U/L) | 0.80 [0.41, 1.54] | 0.497 |
| bilirubin, >0.6 vs. ≤0.6 (U/L) | 1.54 [0.78, 3.04] | 0.209 |
| creatinine, >1 vs. ≤1 (U/L) | 0.58 [0.28, 1.15] | 0.122 |
| WBC, >10.2 vs. ≤10.2 (x10^9/L) | 2.51 [1.33, 4.84] | 0.005 |
| PLT <148 vs. ≥148 (x10^9/L) | 1.02 [0.52, 2.00] | 0.944 |
| PTT >32.7 vs. ≤32.7 (sec) | 1.25 [0.63, 2.48] | 0.514 |
| INR, >1.3 vs. ≤1.3 | 2.23 [0.59, 9.33] | 0.252 |
| PT, >14.5 vs. ≤14.5 (sec) | 0.56 [0.14, 2.08] | 0.402 |
| SOFA, >3.73 vs. ≤3.73 | 1.01 [0.45, 2.25] | 0.976 |
| APSIII, >44 vs. ≤44 | 3.62 [1.60, 8.45] | 0.002 |
| LODS, >4 vs. ≤4 | 1.71 [0.78, 3.74] | 0.176 |
OR, oddis ratio; WBC, white blood cell; Hb, hemoglobin; PLT, platelet; PTT, partial thromboplastin time; PT, prothrombin time; BMI, body mass index; ICU, intensive care unit; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; INR, International Normalized Ratio.
Figure 1Nomogram of new model estimates in patients with DLBCL in ICU and its predictive performance. (A) Nomogram of death risk estimates in DLBCL patients with different variants in ICU. When using the Nomogram plot, locate the position of each variable on the axis, then draw a line on the integral axis, sum the scores of all variables, draw the line at the lower line of the Nomogram plot, and draw a line on the total integral axis to determine the death probability. (B) Validity of the Nomogram in estimating the predictive performance of risk in patients with DLBCL (n=405).
Figure 2ROC curve for the new model, IPI, NCCN-IPI, SOFA, ASP III, and LODS score.
Figure 3Prediction accuracy of external data for different models. (A) Prediction accuracy chart of the new model. (B) Prediction accuracy chart of the NCCN-IPI score. (C) Prediction accuracy chart of the SOFA score. (D) Prediction accuracy chart of the ASP III score. (E) Prediction accuracy chart of the IPI score. (F) Prediction accuracy chart of LODS score.