| Literature DB >> 34769970 |
Bethany Jablonski Horton1, Nolan A Wages1, Ryan D Gentzler2.
Abstract
Immunotherapy and chemotherapy combinations have proven to be a safe and efficacious treatment approach in multiple settings. However, it is not clear whether approved doses of chemotherapy developed to achieve a maximum tolerated dose are the ideal dose when combining cytotoxic chemotherapy with immunotherapy to induce immune responses. This trial of a modulated dose chemotherapy and Pembrolizumab, with or without a second immunomodulatory agent, uses a Bayesian design to select the optimal treatment combination by balancing both safety and efficacy of the chemotherapy and immunotherapy agents within each of two cohorts. The simulation study provides evidence that the proposed Bayesian design successfully addresses the primary study aim to identify the optimal dose combination for each of the two independent patient cohorts. This conclusion is supported by the high percentage of simulated trials which select a treatment combination that is both safe and highly efficacious. The proposed trial was funded and was being finalized when the sponsoring company decided not to proceed due to negative findings in another patient population. The proposed trial design will continue to be relevant as multiple chemotherapy and immunotherapy combinations become the standard of care and future research will require evaluating the appropriate doses of various components of multiple drug regimens.Entities:
Keywords: Bayesian trial design; early phase dose finding; oncology; optimal dose combination; treatment combinations
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34769970 PMCID: PMC8582706 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph182111452
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Treatment combinations by cohort.
| Cohort A: Adenocarcinoma Patients | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pembrolizumab 200 mg IV Q3W | ||||
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| Cisplatin | 25 | 50 | 75 | |
| Pemetrexed | 150 | 375 | 500 | |
| Immune agent 2 | Dose level 1 | A4 | A5 | A6 |
| 0 | A1 | A2 | A3 | |
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| Cisplatin | 25 | 50 | 75 | |
| Gemcitabine | 400 | 800 | 1200 | |
| Immune agent 2 | Dose level 1 | B4 | B5 | B6 |
| 0 | B1 | B2 | B3 | |
Possible orders of DLT probabilities.
| Order (m) | Combination |
|---|---|
| 1 | 1–2–4–3–5–6 |
| 2 | 1–2–4–5–3–6 |
| 3 | 1–4–2–5–3–6 |
| 4 | 1–4–2–3–5–6 |
Working model of DLT probabilities under each ordering.
| Combination | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Order (m) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 1 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| 2 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| 3 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| 4 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
Operating characteristics for Cohorts A and B.
| Row 1: (True % DLT, True % Efficacy); Row 2: % Selection as OTC; Row 3: Average Participants Treated. | Immune Agent 2 | Cohort A | Cohort B | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cisplatin, Pemetrexed (mg/m2) | Cisplatin, Gemcitabine (mg/m2) | ||||||
| 25, 150 | 50, 375 | 75, 500 | 25, 400 | 50, 800 | 75, 1200 | ||
| Scenario 1: All doses are safe. Intermediate chemo dose maximizes efficacy. | Dose 1 | (0.03, 0.35) | (0.08, 0.50) | (0.20, 0.45) | (0.03, 0.35) | (0.08, 0.50) | (0.20, 0.45) |
| 11.4 | 33.4 | 18.7 | 13.0 | 30.3 | 18.1 | ||
| 3.9 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 2.7 | ||
| 0 | (0.01, 0.25) | (0.05, 0.40) | (0.15, 0.35) | (0.01, 0.25) | (0.05, 0.40) | (0.15, 0.35) | |
| 4.7 | 21.5 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 20.8 | 11.1 | ||
| 3.1 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 2.6 | ||
| Scenario 2: All doses are safe. More chemo yields better efficacy. | Dose 1 | (0.03, 0.55) | (0.08, 0.67) | (0.20, 0.78) | (0.03, 0.55) | (0.08, 0.67) | (0.20, 0.78) |
| 9.5 | 19.9 | 30.9 | 14.1 | 21.0 | 24.6 | ||
| 3.5 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | ||
| 0 | (0.01, 0.45) | (0.05, 0.57) | (0.15, 0.68) | (0.01, 0.45) | (0.05, 0.57) | (0.15, 0.68) | |
| 4.3 | 13.2 | 22.2 | 5.7 | 16.5 | 18.1 | ||
| 2.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 3.1 | ||
| Scenario 3: Highest chemo dose with immune agent 2 is unsafe. More chemo yields better efficacy. | Dose 1 | (0.22, 0.55) | (0.27, 0.67) | (0.32, 0.78) | (0.22, 0.55) | (0.27, 0.67) | (0.32, 0.78) |
| 22.2 | 16 | 5.9 | 20 | 17.8 | 6.7 | ||
| 5.2 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.3 | ||
| 0 | (0.20, 0.45) | (0.25, 0.57) | (0.30, 0.68) | (0.20, 0.45) | (0.25, 0.57) | (0.30, 0.68) | |
| 12.7 | 28 | 15.2 | 12.2 | 28.3 | 14.7 | ||
| 4.2 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 2.7 | ||
| Scenario 4: Highest chemo dose with immune agent 2 is unsafe. Intermediate chemo dose maximizes efficacy. | Dose 1 | (0.22, 0.60) | (0.27, 0.85) | (0.32, 0.70) | (0.22, 0.60) | (0.27, 0.85) | (0.32, 0.70) |
| 9 | 19.3 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 15.8 | 1.7 | ||
| 3.7 | 4.2 | 1 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | ||
| 0 | (0.20, 0.55) | (0.25, 0.83) | (0.30, 0.68) | (0.20, 0.55) | (0.25, 0.83) | (0.30, 0.68) | |
| 6.7 | 57.5 | 5.8 | 10.3 | 58.9 | 4.5 | ||
| 3.3 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 8.6 | 1.6 | ||
| Scenario 5: Highest chemo dose with/out immune agent 2 is unsafe. Intermediate chemo dose maximizes efficacy. | Dose 1 | (0.10, 0.70) | (0.22, 0.85) | (0.42, 0.70) | (0.10, 0.70) | (0.22, 0.85) | (0.42, 0.70) |
| 12.6 | 26.8 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 23.2 | 1.7 | ||
| 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 0.8 | ||
| 0 | (0.08, 0.65) | (0.20, 0.83) | (0.40, 0.68) | (0.08, 0.65) | (0.20, 0.83) | (0.40, 0.68) | |
| 7.5 | 47.5 | 4 | 9.7 | 50.7 | 3.8 | ||
| 3.5 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 7.8 | 1.5 | ||
| Scenario 6: Two cohorts have different safety and efficacy profiles. | Dose 1 | (0.03, 0.55) | (0.08, 0.67) | (0.20, 0.78) | (0.10, 0.70) | (0.22, 0.85) | (0.42, 0.70) |
| 7.4 | 20.5 | 33.7 | 13.5 | 19.6 | 2 | ||
| 2.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | ||
| 0 | (0.01, 0.45) | (0.05, 0.57) | (0.15, 0.68) | (0.08, 0.65) | (0.20, 0.83) | (0.40, 0.68) | |
| 3 | 13.6 | 21.8 | 11 | 49.3 | 4.6 | ||
| 3.2 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 1.6 | ||
Average sample size across simulations.
| Scenario | Cohort A | Cohort B | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25.4 | 19.8 | 45.2 |
| 2 | 24.8 | 19.2 | 44 |
| 3 | 25.1 | 19.7 | 44.8 |
| 4 | 23.9 | 18.8 | 42.7 |
| 5 | 24.9 | 19 | 43.9 |
| 6 | 25.1 | 18.2 | 43.3 |