| Literature DB >> 34745986 |
Yu-Ping Wu1, Sun Tang1, Bang-Guo Tan1, Li-Qin Yang1, Fu-Lin Lu1, Tian-Wu Chen1, Jing Ou1, Xiao-Ming Zhang1, Dan Gao1, Ke-Ying Li1, Zi-Yi Yu1, Zhao Tang1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To investigate relationship of tumor stage-based gross tumor volume (GTV) of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) measured on computed tomography (CT) with early recurrence (ER) after esophagectomy.Entities:
Keywords: X-ray computed; esophagectomy; esophagus; recurrence; squamous cell carcinoma; tomography
Year: 2021 PMID: 34745986 PMCID: PMC8569516 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.753797
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Demographic and clinical information of the enrolled patients.
| Variable | Training cohort | Validation cohort |
|---|---|---|
| Total no. of patients (NER : ER) | 159 (96:63) | 45 (25:18) |
| Sex, male:female | 112:47 | 33:12 |
| Age, median (range) in year | 63 (41–78) | 65 (41–79) |
| Postoperative therapy, yes:no | 51:108 | 25:20 |
| Differentiation | ||
| Poor | 75 | 17 |
| Moderate | 69 | 23 |
| Well | 15 | 5 |
| Anatomical distribution | ||
| Upper thoracic segment | 17 | 5 |
| Middle thoracic segment | 114 | 30 |
| Lower thoracic segment | 28 | 10 |
| T stage | ||
| cT1 | 18 | 4 |
| cT2 | 46 | 20 |
| cT3 | 86 | 16 |
| cT4a | 9 | 5 |
| N stage | ||
| cN0 | 103 | 23 |
| cN1 | 40 | 15 |
| cN2 | 16 | 7 |
| GTV, mean ± SD (cm3) | 16.90 ± 10.80 | 21.20 ± 19.26 |
NER, non-early recurrence; ER, early recurrence; GTV, gross tumor volume; SD, standard deviation.
Figure 1In a 61-year-old male with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma at cT2N0M0, the preoperative thoracic contrast-enhanced CT scans depict the gross tumor volume obtained by manual delineation along the margin of the abnormal esophageal wall (A) slice-by-slice, and the gross tumor volume is 58.66 cm3. Regional and local recurrence has been found 12 months after radical esophagectomy during the follow-up period (B).
Figure 2In a 66-year-old male with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma at cT3N0M0, the preoperative thoracic contrast-enhanced CT scans depict the gross tumor volume obtained by manual delineation along the margin of the abnormal esophageal wall slice-by-slice, and the gross tumor volume is 12.83 cm3. During the follow-up period, there was no recurrence as shown on follow-up CT after radical esophagectomy.
Univariate analysis of clinicopathological factors and gross tumor volume correlated with early recurrence in the training cohort.
| Variable | Early recurrence |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes (n = 63) | No (n = 96) | ||
| Sex | 0.825 | ||
| Male | 45 (71.4) | 67 (69.8) | |
| Female | 18 (28.6) | 29 (30.2) | |
| Age | 0.821 | ||
| <63 | 31 (49.2) | 49 (51.0) | |
| ≥63 | 32 (50.8) | 47 (49.0) | |
| Postoperative therapy | 0.675 | ||
| Yes | 19 (30.2) | 32 (33.3) | |
| No | 44 (69.8) | 64 (66.7) | |
| Differentiation | 0.023 | ||
| Poor | 33 (52.4) | 42 (43.8) | |
| Moderate | 29 (46.0) | 40 (41.7) | |
| Well | 1 (1.6) | 14 (14.5) | |
| Anatomical distribution | 0.880 | ||
| Upper thoracic segment | 6 (9.52) | 11 (11.5) | |
| Middle thoracic segment | 45 (71.43) | 69 (71.9) | |
| Lower thoracic segment | 12 (19.05) | 16 (16.6) | |
| T stage | <0.0001 | ||
| cT1 | 1 (1.6) | 17 (17.7) | |
| cT2 | 13 (20.6) | 33 (34.4) | |
| cT3 | 41 (65.1) | 45 (46.9) | |
| cT4a | 8 (12.7) | 1 (1.0) | |
| N stage | 0.002 | ||
| cN0 | 32 (50.8) | 71 (74.0) | |
| cN1 | 19 (30.2) | 21 (21.9) | |
| cN2 | 12 (19.0) | 4 (4.2) | |
| Gross tumor volume (cm3) | <0.0001 | ||
| <16.9 | 17 (27.0) | 74 (77.1) | |
| ≥16.9 | 46 (73.0) | 22 (22.9) | |
The numbers in the parentheses are percentages.
Receiver operating characteristic analysis of tumor stage-based gross tumor volume for predicting early recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in the training cohort.
| T categories | Cutoff (cm3) | AUC | Sen (%) | Spe (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Acc (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cT1-4a | 13.31 | 0.84 | 90.5 | 60.4 | 90.5 | 60.4 | 72.3 |
| cT2 | 17.22 | 0.89 | 84.6 | 84.8 | 84.6 | 84.9 | 84.8 |
| cT3 | 17.83 | 0.83 | 68.3 | 80.0 | 68.3 | 80.0 | 74.4 |
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; Sen, sensitivity; Spe, specificity; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; Acc, accuracy.
Figure 3Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of tumor stage-based gross tumor volume (GTV) has been performed for predicting early recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy, and the ROC curves show that the GTV can help predict early recurrence in tumor stages cT1-4a (A), cT2 (B), and cT3 (C) with the cutoff values of 13.31, 17.22, and 17.83 cm3, respectively.
Unweighted Cohen’s kappa tests in the validation cohort for validating the performance of the predictive models.
| T categories | Cohen K value | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| cT1-4a | 0.696 | 0.498–0.894 | <0.0001 |
| cT2 | 0.733 | 0.386–1.080 | 0.001 |
| cT3 | 0.862 | 0.603–1.121 | <0.0001 |
95% CI, 95% confidence interval.