| Literature DB >> 34733528 |
Cai-Bin Zhang1, Jian Tang2,3, Xue-Ding Wang1, Kun-Sheng Lyu4, Min Huang1, Xiang Gao2,3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Infliximab (IFX) is the first-line treatment for patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and is noted for its relatively high cost. The therapeutic efficacy of IFX has noticeable individual differences. Known single-gene polymorphisms (SNPs) are inadequate for predicting non-response to IFX. In this study, we aimed to identify new genetic factors associated with IFX-therapy failure and to predict non-response to IFX by developing a multivariate predictive model.Entities:
Keywords: Crohn’s disease; infliximab; single nucleotide polymorphism; therapeutic response
Year: 2020 PMID: 34733528 PMCID: PMC8560039 DOI: 10.1093/gastro/goaa070
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Gastroenterol Rep (Oxf)
Relationships between patients’ characteristics and PNR
| Demographic and clinical characteristic | Primary non-responders | Primary responders |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | – | – | 0.475 |
| Male, | 33 (78.6) | 120 (73.2) | – |
| Female, | 9 (21.4) | 44 (26.8) | – |
| Age, years, median [IQR] | 23.5 [16.8–33.5] | 23.0 [18.0–27.6] | 0.312 |
| BMI, kg/m2, median [IQR] | 17.4 [16.1–19.3] | 18.3 [16.7–19.7] | 0.105 |
| Disease duration, month, median [IQR] | 12.0 [6.0–42.0] | 12.0 [6.0–36.0] | 0.826 |
| Disease behavior, | – | – | 0.238 |
| B1 | 30 (71.4) | 134 (81.7) | – |
| B2 | 6 (14.3) | 13 (7.9) | – |
| B3 | 5 (11.9) | 12 (7.3) | – |
| B2+ B3 | 1 (2.4) | 5 (3.0) | – |
| Disease location, | – | – | 0.611 |
| L1 | 2 (4.8) | 12 (7.3) | – |
| L2 | 2 (4.8) | 5 (3.0) | – |
| L3 | 33 (78.6) | 125 (76.2) | – |
| L1+ L4 | 0 (0) | 7 (4.3) | – |
| L2+ L4 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | – |
| L3+ L4 | 5 (11.9) | 15 (9.1) | – |
| Perianal lesions, | 29 (69.0) | 124 (75.6) | 0.385 |
| Previous bowel surgery, | 8 (19.0) | 25 (15.2) | 0.549 |
| Combined with thiopurine, | 20 (47.6) | 86 (52.4) | 0.868 |
| hs-CRP at baseline, mg/L, median [IQR] | 11.6 [8.2–29.8] | 11.5 [6.8–15.5] | 0.284 |
| Albumin at week 2, g/L, median [IQR] | 40.2 [36.5–44.0] | 42.6 [38.8–45.2] | 0.061 |
| hs-CRP at week 2, mg/L, median [IQR] | 2.1 [1.0–8.2] | 1.0 [0.4–3.0] | <0.001 |
| Albumin at week 14, g/L, median [IQR] | 41.0 [36.9–42.7] | 43.6 [41.1–46.6] | <0.001 |
| hs-CRP at week 14, mg/L, median [IQR] | 9.6 [1.7–14.2] | 1.2 [0.4–2.6] | <0.001 |
| IFX level at week 14, μg/ml, median [IQR] | 1.5 [0.6–3.5] | 3.8 [1.7–6.7] | <0.001 |
| ADAs positive at week 14, | 15 (35.7) | 22 (13.4) | 0.001 |
PNR, primary non-response; BMI, body mass index; B1, non-stricturing non-penetrating; B2, stricturing; B3, penetrating; L1, terminal ileum; L2, colon; L3, ileocolon; L4, upper gastrointestinal; hs-CRP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; IFX, infliximab; ADAs, anti-drug antibodies.
Chi-square tests or Mann–Whitney U test.
Genotypes and primary non-response to infliximab
| Gene | rs number | Genotype | Inherence model |
| OR | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| rs61740234 | CC+TT vs CT | Overdominant | 0.010 | 4.49 | 1.31–15.32 |
|
| rs61886887 | TT+TC vs CC | Dominant | 0.002 | 0.08 | 0.01–0.61 |
|
| rs7674004 | GG+AA vs GA | Overdominant | 0.039 | 0.47 | 0.23–0.97 |
|
| rs396201 | TT+CC vs TC | Overdominant | 0.035 | 2.18 | 1.05–4.56 |
|
| rs2241046 | TT+TC vs CC | Recessive | 0.012 | 0.17 | 0.04–0.80 |
|
| rs357291 | AA+AC vs CC | Recessive | 0.005 | 0.33 | 0.15–0.73 |
|
| rs2269330 | GG+GA vs AA | Dominant | 0.006 | 0.35 | 0.16–0.75 |
|
| rs9378763 | AA+AC vs CC | Dominant | 0.047 | 2.11 | 1.00–4.48 |
|
| rs111504845 | GG+GA vs AA | Dominant | 0.047 | 2.50 | 1.00–6.33 |
Chi-square tests.
OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
C1orf106, chromosome 1 open reading frame 106; CCDC88B, coiled-coil domain containing 88B; NF-kB1, nuclear factor kappa B subunit 1; IL1RN, interleukin 1 receptor antagonist; IL17RA, interleukin 17 receptor A; OSMR, oncostatin M receptor; TRIM21, tripartite motif containing 21; RIPK1, receptor interacting serine/threonine kinase 1; FCGR3A, Fc fragment of IgG receptor IIIa.
Figure 1. Mean accumulated area-under-the-receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUROC) in 100 test data sets of single-gene polymorphisms (SNPs) added one after another into a logistic-regression model. The sequence of SNPs depended on their frequency (obtained from the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator [LASSO] procedure) from high to low (the order of the top eight SNPs is as follows: rs61886887, rs61740234, rs357291, rs2269330, rs111504845, rs7446274, rs5746059, rs6682925). When rs7446274 was added into the model, the mean accumulated AUROC did not increase obviously.
Figure 2. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis of the performance of a multivariate logistic-regression model in representative training data sets and representative testing data sets. (A) The AUROC of the genetic predictive model fitted into the training data set was 0.794 (95% CI: 0.682–0.905, P < 0.001). (B) The genetic model was verified in the testing data set, AUROC = 0.812 (95% CI: 0.714–0.910, P < 0.001). (C) The AUROC of the combined genetic–clinical predictive model in the training data set was 0.818 (95% CI: 0.716–0.921, P < 0.001). (D) The AUROC of the combined genetic–clinical predictive model in the testing data set was 0.888 (95% CI: 0.812–0.963, P < 0.001).
Figure 3. Stability and convenience of the combined genetic–clinical predictive model. (A) All AUROCs of the combined genetic–clinical model in 100 training data sets and 100 testing data sets obtained from a process of splitting the data set 100 times. The mean AUROCs of the training and testing data sets were 0.813 ± 0.044 and 0.836 ± 0.029 (mean and SD), respectively. The differences in mean AUROC between the training and testing data sets was 0.02. (B) A score nomogram based on the entire data set was developed with the inclusion of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) at week 2 (rs61886887, rs61740234, rs357291, rs2269330, and rs111504845).
Multivariate logistic-regression analysis in entire data set
| Variable | β |
| OR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hs-CRP at week 2 | 0.095 | 0.010 | 1.10 | 1.02–1.18 | |
| rs61740234 | CC+TT vs CT | 1.130 | 0.054 | 3.10 | 0.98–9.80 |
| rs61886887 | TT+TC vs CC | −2.685 | 0.012 | 0.07 | 0.01–0.55 |
| rs357291 | AA+AC vs CC | −1.269 | 0.011 | 0.28 | 0.11–0.75 |
| rs2269330 | GG+GA vs AA | −1.180 | 0.009 | 0.31 | 0.13–0.74 |
| rs111504845 | GG+GA vs AA | 1.226 | 0.023 | 3.41 | 1.19–9.77 |
Factors were statistically analysed by multivariate logistic-regression analysis; constant is 0.839.
hs-CRP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 4. ROC curves of the association of 14-week high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) level with non-durable response (NDR) to IFX. The optimal threshold level of 14-week hs-CRP was 2.25 mg/L and the AUROC was 0.815 (95% CI: 0.721–0.909, P < 0.001). Sensitivity and specificity were 78.6% and 74.8%, respectively.