Literature DB >> 34728947

Teleneurorehabilitation Among Person with Parkinson's Disease in India: The Initial Experience and Barriers to Implementation.

Divyani Garg1, Ritu Majumdar2, Sonal Chauhan2, Ravi Preenja2, Jasmine Parihar1, Alvee Saluja1, Rajinder K Dhamija1.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the feasibility of teleneurorehabilitation (TNR) among persons with Parkinson's disease (PD), considering difficulties imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic in access to healthcare, particularly in low-resource settings. The feasibility of TNR in India has not been formally assessed so far.
METHODS: We conducted a single-center, prospective cohort study at a tertiary center in India. Persons with PD with Hoehn & Yahr (H&Y) stages 1-2.5, who were not enrolled into any formal exercise program, were offered TNR as per a predesigned program for 12 weeks. Baseline and post-intervention assessment included Movement Disorders Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS), part II and III, Parkinson's Disease Questionnaire (PDQ)-8 and Non-Motor Symptoms Scale (NMSS). We assessed adherence to TNR and problems expressed by patients/caregivers by means of open-ended surveys addressing barriers to rehabilitation.
RESULTS: We recruited 22 for TNR. Median age (interquartile range [IQR]) was 66.0 (44.0-71.0) years; 66.7% were H&Y stage 2.0. One patient died of COVID-19-related complications. Of the remaining 21, 14 (66.7%) had adherence of ≥75%; 16/21 (76.2%) patients had problems with attending TNR sessions as the family shared a single phone. Slow Internet speed was an issue among 13/21 (61.9%) of the patients. Other issues included lack of rapport, migration to distant hometowns and motor-hand impairment.
CONCLUSION: Multiple challenges were faced in implementing a telerehabilitation program among persons with PD, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. These barriers were present at various levels: recruitment, adherence issues and maintenance. Future TNR programs must address these concerns. Copyright:
© 2006 - 2021 Annals of Indian Academy of Neurology.

Entities:  

Keywords:  COVID-19; MDS-UPDRS; Non-Motor Symptoms Scale; PDQ-8; telemedicine; telerehabilitation

Year:  2021        PMID: 34728947      PMCID: PMC8513956          DOI: 10.4103/aian.AIAN_127_21

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Ann Indian Acad Neurol        ISSN: 0972-2327            Impact factor:   1.383


INTRODUCTION

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has enforced radical metamorphoses in healthcare with deep, and likely, long-lasting impacts on healthcare.[12] Persons with Parkinson's disease constitute a particularly vulnerable patient subgroup due to multiple reasons: they have inherent mobility issues, emotional vulnerability and susceptibility to loneliness compounded by pandemic-related lockdowns as well as immunological concerns increasing propensity to COVID-19 infection.[3] In low-resource settings such as India, non-availability of medications, lack of access to healthcare providers and their regular prescriptions has been shown to worsen various parameters, including motor- and non-motor symptoms and quality of life.[45] In the face of these massive concerns, rehabilitation is likely to be relegated relatively lower priority among these patients. However, rehabilitation forms an emerging and vital cornerstone of PD management and offers benefits in multiple aspects, including mobility, gait, speech and quality of life.[6] Teleneurorehabilitation (TNR), a subset of telemedicine, has been shown to be a beneficial option among persons with PD.[7] TNR may be a potentially more feasible and economical option, the latter of practical implications in a low-resource country like India. In various studies in the literature, telerehabilitation has shown promise in specific aspects of PD, such as speech and language, voice, swallowing, posture and gait.[891011] Despite the relatively small number of PD patients sampled in these reports, a few broad points have been consistently observed: technology-based strategies are feasible among patients with PD, and also have high satisfaction potential. There is paucity of literature from India assessing the potential of TNR in general, and for patients with PD in particular. In this single-center, prospective study, we aimed to assess the feasibility of telerehabilitation among persons with PD. We present the barriers and challenges faced in conducting this study, with focus on impediments and putative solutions in a resource constrained setting.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Study design

The study was designed as a prospective study of TNR in patients with PD. The study was conducted between September 2020 and January 2021. The study was approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee. Written informed consent was obtained from all the study participants.

Study participants

Participants were recruited from the outpatient Movement Disorders clinic of the Neurology department at a tertiary level referral center which caters to the population of Delhi and the adjacent National Capital Region. Eligible patients were 18 years or older, had been diagnosed to have idiopathic PD, had mild-to-moderate PD as defined by Hoehn and Yahr (H&Y) stage 1 to 2.5, score ≥24 on the Mini Mental State Examination, not enrolled into any formal rehabilitation or exercise program, and possessed a smartphone which would permit telerehabilitation via video calling. Patients were excluded if they had comorbid visual or hearing impairment which would preclude the ability to use the smartphone in order to undergo TNR, or if they refused consent.

Assessments

Participants received TNR via an Internet-connected device at home. Participants attended a 12-week structured rehabilitation program (detailed in Supplement 1). Informed consent was obtained in person. Baseline and post-intervention clinical assessments were conducted in person. Patients and caregivers were surveyed regarding their concerns about the study preceding enrollment by means of an open-ended questionnaire. Baseline clinical and demographic details were recorded. Movement Disorders Society-Unified Parkinson Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) part II,[12] MDS-UPDRS part III,[12] Parkinson's Disease Questionnaire (PDQ)-8[13] and Non-Motor Symptoms Scale (NMSS)[14] wwere assessed at baseline and post-intervention. During TNR, patients were asked to enlist problems faced at every session and the results were noted. Adherence to therapy was assessed as a percentage of the number of sessions during which the patients completed at least 20 minutes of the assigned 30 minutes. Patient and caregiver reports were used to determine adherence to the unsupervised sessions, and assessment by rehabilitation specialist for the supervised sessions. A satisfaction survey with multiple questions scored on a Likert scale was applied at the end of the intervention period.

Treatment

The participants underwent rehabilitation program in 30-minute sessions. Eight sessions were supervised—once a week for the first 4 weeks and once every 2 weeks for 8 weeks. The participant had to perform unsupervised sessions at home for at least five days per week (including the training session) and either the patient or their caretaker maintained a video log and PD diary regarding details of home-based program performed and adherence to the schedule. TNR was done in the “ON” state. Patients were advised to take the medicine before rehabilitation sessions to improve exercise capacity. Participants attended a 12-week structured rehabilitation program. They underwent supervised rehabilitation program for a duration of 30 minutes in the department of Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation (PMR) on Day 1 followed by supervised tele rehabilitation once a week for the first 4 weeks and once every 2 weeks for 8 weeks. The participant had to perform therapeutic exercises at home for at least 5 days per week (including the training session) and either the patient or their caretaker maintained a video log and PD diary regarding details of home-based program performed and adherence to the schedule. Baseline assessment: Patient's physical fitness for performing therapeutic exercises will be assessed by a 6-minute walk[15] test to check for endurance (Supplement 2) Assessment of balance by Functional Reach test (FRT)[16] (Supplement 3) Need of any assistive device. Rehabilitation included therapeutic exercises to improve postural control, active and assistive limb mobilization, flexibility training, aerobic exercises, balance and gait training. Patients were encouraged to exercise at a dyspnea score of about 3-4 (“moderate” to “somewhat severe”) on the modified Borg 0-10 scale (Supplement 4). All the participants were provided with handouts of different therapeutic exercises in case they missed out any step and were encouraged to perform for at least 5 days a week throughout the 12-week period and maintain a logbook of exercises.

Statistical analysis

All data was entered into an Excel spreadsheet and analyzed using SPSS statistical software. Descriptive statistics were used to report demographic and clinical features, and clinical outcomes of the patients. Pre- and post-intervention measures were compared using Dependent t-test.

RESULTS

We screened 76 patients and could recruit 22 for TNR [Figure 1]. Key characteristics are enlisted in Table 1. Median age (interquartile range [IQR]) was 66.0 (44.0-71.0) years and median age (IQR) at onset was 63.0 (51.5-69.5) years. Thirteen patients were males. H&Y stage 2 was seen in 68.2% patients. The mean duration of symptoms was 4.9 (3.7). The mean score on MDS-UPDRS II was 12.2 (7.9) and the mean MDS-UPDRS III was 36.6 (17.1). The mean PDQ-8-SI was 27.4 (22.3) and the mean total NMSS score was 37.8 (38.3). There was no significant difference between pre- and post-rehabilitation measures [Table 2].
Figure 1

Study flow diagram

Table 1

Baseline characteristics of patients enrolled in TNR

Characteristic(n=22)
Age (years)
Median (IQR)66.0 (44.0-71.0)
Male (%)13 (59.1)
Age at onset (years)
Median (IQR)63.0 (51.5-69.5)
Mean duration of symptoms (SD) (years)4.9 (3.7)
Modified Hoehn and Yahr stage
 1.03 (13.6)
 1.51 (4.5)
 2.015 (68.2)
 2.53 (13.6)
MDS-UPDRS II12.2 (7.9)
MDS-UPDRS III36.6 (17.1)
PDQ-8-SI27.4 (22.3)
NMSS37.8 (38.3)
LDED (mg)264.9 (220.7)
Comorbidities
 Hypertension7 (31.8)
 Diabetes3 (13.6)
 Hypothyroidism2 (9.1)

Values expresses as frequency (%) or mean (standard deviation) or median (interquartile range). IQR=interquartile range; LDED=Levodopa equivalent dose; MDS-UPDRS=Movement Disorders Society-Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale; NMSS=Non-Motor Symptoms Scale; PDQ-8-SI=Parkinson’s Disease Questionnaire-8-Summary Index; SD=Standard deviation

Table 2

Pre- and post-rehabilitation assessment results

ParametersPre-treatmentPost-treatment t P*
MDS-UPDRS II12.2 (7.9)12.1 (7.4)-1.710.104
MDS-UPDRS III36.6 (17.1)37.2 (18.1)2.020.060
PDQ-8-SI27.4 (22.3)26.1 (21.1)1.710.104
NMSS37.8 (38.3)38.1 (39.2)1.440.167

*Dependent t test used

Study flow diagram Baseline characteristics of patients enrolled in TNR Values expresses as frequency (%) or mean (standard deviation) or median (interquartile range). IQR=interquartile range; LDED=Levodopa equivalent dose; MDS-UPDRS=Movement Disorders Society-Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale; NMSS=Non-Motor Symptoms Scale; PDQ-8-SI=Parkinson’s Disease Questionnaire-8-Summary Index; SD=Standard deviation Pre- and post-rehabilitation assessment results *Dependent t test used Table 3 enlists the results of the pre-enrollment survey. Pre-enrollment, of the 45 patients who declined to participate, 24/45 (53.3%) patients expressed reservations regarding the potential of rehabilitation as an intervention. Two (4.4%) patients informed trepidation/lack of confidence/fear of falls in their personal ability to exercise. A further 10/45 patients (22.2%) refused to participate due to intense fear of contracting COVID-19 and did not wish to visit the PMR department, which was located in a highly crowded part of the hospital.
Table 3

Barriers and challenges to TNR during the COVID-19 pandemic and potential solutions

Study stageBarriers Suggested potential solutions
Pre-enrollment-Nihilism towards rehabilitation as a form of therapy (24/45; 53.3%)Patient education and counselling
- Fear of falls/lack of confidence (2/45; 4.4%)Staged introduction of rehabilitation strategies to overcome fear
-Fear of contracting COVID-19 in hospital during therapy (14/45; 22.2%)Stress on the use of masks, hand hygiene. Ensure social distance while administering rehabilitation therapy
During TNR -Shared phones (16/22; 72.7%)Dedicated time for TNR during which the phone is made available solely to the patient
- Slow Internet speed (13/22; 59.9%)
- Lack of rapport during TNR (6/22; 27.3%)Sample videos shared with the patient with detailed instructions via audio call
- Migration to hometown (4; 18.2%)National level interventions to increase Internet speed
- Initial deconditioning (n=2; 9.1%)Motivational strategies; interdisciplinary sessions; group therapy
- Motor-hand impairment (n=2; 9.1%)Build up regimen gradually to permit patients to acclimatize; offer passive therapy in the initial sessions
Suggest hands-free options including placing phone against a stand/use of computers
Barriers and challenges to TNR during the COVID-19 pandemic and potential solutions In terms of adherence, 14/21 (66.7%) patients completed at least 6 of 8 sessions and were considered adherent; 11/21 (52.4%) completed all eight sessions. Of the remaining, one patient died of COVID-19-related complications after completing 4 sessions of TNR. Seven patients attended 2-4 sessions and were considered non-adherent. During TNR, 16/22 (72.7%) patients had problems with attending TNR sessions as the family shared a single phone. Slow Internet speed was an issue among 13/22 (59.9%) of the patients. Six patients expressed a lack of rapport or sense of belonging to their treatment experienced during in-person visits. Migration to distant hometowns with lack of good Internet speed was an issue for four (18.2%) patients. Two patients had severe initial deconditioning and two had motor impairment of their hand, creating problems with handling their smartphone device during therapy.

DISCUSSION

We present the initial experience of TNR among persons with PD. We also present barriers faced while implementing the TNR program and outline possible solutions with several challenges being unique to the COVID-19 pandemic combined with low-resource settings in our country. This is evidenced by the fact that although we screened 76 patients, only 22 could be recruited for TNR despite eligibility in all except 7 patients. Most patients had bilateral involvement without balance impairment. Recruited patients had mild-to-moderate disability in motor experiences of daily living, as evidenced by the MDS-UPDRS II scores. Patients also had mild-to-moderate motor impairment, demonstrated by the MDS-UPDRS III scores. Among patients with PD, those with mild-to-moderate PD, as in this study, have been shown to most likely benefit from various forms of therapeutic exercises.[6] Despite multiple challenges to implementing rehabilitation services during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, we found that TNR was a feasible option among patients with PD. The intervention was also found to be safe, without falls or any other major complications. Tele-based rehabilitation has been previously observed to be an acceptable and feasible option among patients with spinal disorders with a high degree of patient satisfaction.[17] Many patients expressed a sense of nihilism with respect to the efficacy of exercise and were over-reliant on medications. This low outcome expectation related to exercises has also been previously reported among patients with PD in a cross-sectional study.[18] This study additionally identified 'lack of time' and 'fear of falling' as barriers to exercise. These factors have been identified as barriers to exercise among older adults in general in various studies.[19202122] Although none of our patients cited lack of time as a reason to refuse participation, extreme fatigue and lack of confidence in the ability to exercise due to fear of falling was quoted as a reason for not participating. These may have been circumvented by adding a preparatory counselling session to allay possible concerns. These findings also highlight the need to emphasize rehabilitation services as a form of therapy amongst patients with PD, in addition to the enormous symptomatic relief proffered by dopaminergic medications. In our setting, such education and counselling may be offered by the treating clinician in tandem with the PD nurse, counsellor and the physical therapist. Lack of geographical proximity to our center, even within the city of Delhi and the adjacent National Capital Region, necessitated exclusion of several patients as lack of public conveyance during the pandemic made long-distance travel cumbersome. Since ours is a tertiary referral center, patients attended outpatient and clinic services even from other states of India, including Bihar and Uttarakhand. However, this is not a situational experience limited to pandemic times. In India, only 37% of the population in rural areas is able to access an inpatients' health facility within 5 km and 68% only are able to access outpatient services.[23] These patients could be easily recruited for TNR as they could follow the program after return, and TNR is a feasible alternative solution for rehabilitation in out-of-state patient populations. There were certain unique barriers which led to the lack of adherence in nearly one-third of our patients. Many patients shared smartphones with one family member. This was usually the earning member who would travel with the phone to the workplace. Hence, often the smartphone was not available to conduct telerehabilitation sessions with these patients during hospital hours. Sometimes, smart phone at home had to be used for online classes for children of school-going age group, which always took precedence over rehabilitation. This barrier may be circumvented by emphasizing the rehabilitation session as a priority and cornerstone of management of the PD patient to the caregiver/family members so that alternate arrangements viz-a-viz the smartphone can be made. Although the family-based social fabric is often a support system for these patients, it may pose a potential barrier in the implementation of TNR services. There were also issues with the Wi-Fi bandwidth at the patient's residence, so video calling was often interrupted or of poor quality, and several calls had to be made during one session. The barrier of slow Internet speed was observed as a significant barrier to telerehabilitation in a developing country in a systematic review, with studies involving Filipinos as participants/investigators.[22] An alternative way to deal with low bandwidth may be to organize rehabilitation sessions using pre-created demonstration videos, and explanation via an audio call. Some patients had poor hand-motor skill, which made the use of a smartphone a handicap. The use of a computer would have circumvented this problem, but none of our patients felt technologically skilled enough to use the computer. Several patients expressed inadequate rapport that they otherwise experienced after seeing the doctor in person. Similar 'human' barriers to telerehabilitation have been noted previously.[22] Moreover, many patients travelled back to their villages or hometown of origin during the study period after recruitment and the initial training session, in line with mass migration that was reported from India during these times.[24] At these usually remote regions, adequate broadband for receiving telerehabilitation services was not present. Despite an in-depth initial supervised training session in the first visit, some patients did not perform exercises correctly, which were subsequently challenging to rectify via tele-conferencing. Additionally, a few patients initially were very de-conditioned and needed passive exercises which could not be implemented at home. We recognized several barriers to TNR in our setting. Lack of confidence in rehabilitation expressed by patients can be approached by educating patients, with specific considerations to the pandemic. It is known that moderate intensity exercise potentially is protective against COVID-19 as it strengthens the immune system, and also improves quality of life among patients with PD.[25] We also found the lack of good speed Internet to be a hinderance in the delivery of rehabilitation. Solutions to this problem may be to use a video-based rehabilitation approach, in which instead of live calling, videos may be shared per session by the therapist to be viewed and followed by the patient. India's Internet penetration is reported to be around 38%, although the national capital of Delhi reports Internet penetration of 69%. However, nearly one-third of our patients hail from areas which are out of Delhi, and Internet connectivity poses an issue. Internet speed is a national issue, and India ranks 131 of 138 countries when ranked on average Internet speed connection.[26] This is an enormous hurdle to tele-based services in India. In order to overcome this, we prepared sample videos of exercises which were sent to them through freeware, and this may be considered a possible alternative which circumvents bandwidth issues. However, this mode of TNR will need further assessment. The need for universal and efficient Internet access is the need of the hour, and necessary steps are required at a national level. Adherence issues may be addressed by continued positive reinforcement and motivation towards attending the sessions. These must necessarily be targeted towards the caregivers as well as the patients, since our patients depend on their caregivers to reach healthcare facilities. Possible solutions to some of these problems are enlisted in Table 3. As there are no telerehabilitation guidelines in India specific to PD, we ourselves designed a regimen that was considered suitable for our settings and acceptable to the participants. This protocol was easy to implement and may be considered by future programs. We report this experience of TNR among PD patients from India for the first time. There is a telerehabilitation program in place in a quaternary center in India, which found telerehabilitation to be an effective, feasible and economical alternative.[27] However, this center provided consultations for a diverse list of neurological disorders, ranging from stroke to muscular dystrophy. Limitations of our study included relatively small numbers. Slow recruitment was a result of the pandemic and the multiple barriers mentioned above. Moreover, we assessed only motor aspects and did not assess the effect of TNR on other facets such as speech, voice, swallowing and posture, which may be a thrust of future studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Our article expands on barriers to implementation of a rehabilitation program in a resource-constrained setting, with specific focus on telerehabilitation, during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. We also highlight potential solutions to some of these impediments. Before efficacy of TNR as an intervention can be established, its feasibility and acceptability to patients, and overall safety needs to be ensured. Integration of neurology with rehabilitation services is imperative for the success of such endeavors. Future programs that are based on TNR in Indian settings need to keep these in mind before planning similar studies and/or interventions. The efficacy of TNR needs to be studied in randomized-controlled trial settings.

Declaration of patient consent

The authors certify that they have obtained all appropriate patient consent forms. In the form the patient(s) has/have given his/her/their consent for his/her/their images and other clinical information to be reported in the journal. The patients understand that their names and initials will not be published and due efforts will be made to conceal their identity, but anonymity cannot be guaranteed.

Financial support and sponsorship

Nil.

Conflicts of interest

There are no conflicts of interest.
Supplement 1

Rehabilitation regimen employed in the study

S.no.Exercise Repetition/Intensity Duration Dyspnea scoreRemarks
1Flexibility Exercises
 Lying Stretches
  Shoulder Stretch
  Rotation Stretch
 Seated Stretches
  Neck and Chest Stretch
  Hamstring Stretch
  Rotation Stretch
  Ankle Circles
  Overhead Stretch
  Seated Side Stretch
 Standing Stretches
  Chest Stretch Back Stretch Shoulder Stretch
2Aerobic Exercises
 Walking/Jogging/Running
 Swimming/Dancing
  Biking
  Any other
3.Strengthening Exercises
 On-the-Ground Strengthening Exercises
  Bridge Quadruped
  Back Extension
 Seated Strengthening Exercise
  Shoulder Blade Squeeze
 Standing Strengthening
  Exercises
  Wall Slides Quad
  Strengthening
  Quad Strengthening
4Balance Exercise
5Deep Breathing
Total duration
Supplement 2

Predicted heart rate maxNU Date and time of bronchodilator last taken:

Time minsSpO2HRDyspneaRest
Rest
2
3
4
5
6
Recovery 1
Supplement 4

Modified Borg Dyspnea Scale

0Nothing at all
0.5Very, very slight(just noticeable)
1Very slight
2Slight
3Moderate
4Somewhat severe
5Severe
6
7Very severe
8
9Very, very severe(almost maximal)
10Maximal

This is a scale that asks you to rate the difficulty of your breathing. It starts at number 0 where your breathing is causing you no difficulty at all and progresses through to number 10 where your breathing difficulty is maximal. How much difficulty is your breathing causing you right now ?

  24 in total

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Review 2.  Barriers and motivations to exercise in older adults.

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Journal:  Prev Med       Date:  2004-11       Impact factor: 4.018

3.  Exercise adherence following physical therapy intervention in older adults with impaired balance.

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Journal:  Phys Ther       Date:  2006-03

4.  Movement Disorder Society-sponsored revision of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS): scale presentation and clinimetric testing results.

Authors:  Christopher G Goetz; Barbara C Tilley; Stephanie R Shaftman; Glenn T Stebbins; Stanley Fahn; Pablo Martinez-Martin; Werner Poewe; Cristina Sampaio; Matthew B Stern; Richard Dodel; Bruno Dubois; Robert Holloway; Joseph Jankovic; Jaime Kulisevsky; Anthony E Lang; Andrew Lees; Sue Leurgans; Peter A LeWitt; David Nyenhuis; C Warren Olanow; Olivier Rascol; Anette Schrag; Jeanne A Teresi; Jacobus J van Hilten; Nancy LaPelle
Journal:  Mov Disord       Date:  2008-11-15       Impact factor: 10.338

5.  Feasibility and Utility of Tele-Neurorehabilitation Service in India: Experience from a Quaternary Center.

Authors:  Meeka Khanna; Guru S Gowda; Virupaksha Irappa Bagevadi; Anupam Gupta; Karishma Kulkarni; R P S Shyam; Vinay Basavaraju; Manjunatha B Ramesh; H N Sashidhara; Narayana Manjunatha; Naveen Kumar Channaveerachari; Suresh Bada Math
Journal:  J Neurosci Rural Pract       Date:  2018 Oct-Dec

6.  COVID-19 and selective vulnerability to Parkinson's disease.

Authors:  Alexandra Pavel; Danielle K Murray; A Jon Stoessl
Journal:  Lancet Neurol       Date:  2020-09       Impact factor: 44.182

7.  Virtual Reality Telerehabilitation for Postural Instability in Parkinson's Disease: A Multicenter, Single-Blind, Randomized, Controlled Trial.

Authors:  Marialuisa Gandolfi; Christian Geroin; Eleonora Dimitrova; Paolo Boldrini; Andreas Waldner; Silvia Bonadiman; Alessandro Picelli; Sara Regazzo; Elena Stirbu; Daniela Primon; Christian Bosello; Aristide Roberto Gravina; Luca Peron; Monica Trevisan; Alberto Carreño Garcia; Alessia Menel; Laura Bloccari; Nicola Valè; Leopold Saltuari; Michele Tinazzi; Nicola Smania
Journal:  Biomed Res Int       Date:  2017-11-26       Impact factor: 3.411

8.  Healthcare impact of COVID-19 epidemic in India: A stochastic mathematical model.

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