Risk Factors for the Incident Decline of Physical Performance in Older Men: The Prospective Strambo Study.

Risk factors of physical performance decline in older men remain uncertain. We assessed risk factors of incident physical performance deterioration in older men followed up prospectively. In a cohort of 821 men aged 60-87, physical performance was assessed by four tests (five chair stands, standing with closed eyes, forward and backward tandem walk) at baseline, 4 and 8 years. Various predictive biological measurements were performed at baseline. Serum creatinine/ cystatin C (Cr/CysC) ratio was used as an index of muscle mass. In multivariate models, higher age, higher fat mass index (FMI = fat mass/height2), low physical activity, prior stroke and fracture were associated with poor physical performance at baseline. Higher age, low physical activity, low calcium intake, prior non-vertebral fractures, low apparent free testosterone concentration and poor health status were associated with higher risk of loss to follow-up. Low grip strength, Parkinson's disease and stroke were associated with higher risk of incident inability to do five chair stands. Low Cr/CysC ratio and high FMI were associated with high risk of incident inability to perform forward and backward tandem walk. Sarcopenic obesity (co-occurrence of lower tertile of Cr/CysC and upper tertile of FMI) was associated with higher risk of incident inability to perform forward (OR = 3.31, 95% CI 1.88-5.84, p < 0.001) and backward tandem walk and of incident inability to perform more than one test (OR = 5.82, 95% CI 1.29-26.27, p < 0.001). In conclusion, sarcopenic obesity and poor health are associated with higher risk of incident severe decline of physical performance.