| Literature DB >> 34637079 |
David Fluck1, Suzanne Rankin2, Andrea Lewis2, Jonathan Robin2, Jacqui Rees3, Jo Finch3, Yvonne Jones3, Gareth Jones3, Kevin Kelly3, Paul Murray4, Michael Wood4, Christopher Henry Fry5, Thang Sieu Han6,7.
Abstract
In this study of patients admitted with COVID-19, we examined differences between the two waves in patient characteristics and outcomes. Data were collected from the first COVID-19 admission to the end of study (01/03/2020-31/03/2021). Data were adjusted for age and sex and presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Among 12,471 admissions, 1452 (11.6%) patients were diagnosed with COVID-19. On admission, the mean (± SD) age of patients with other causes was 68.3 years (± 19.8) and those with COVID-19 in wave 1 was 69.4 years (± 18.0) and wave 2 was 66.2 years (± 18.4). Corresponding ages at discharge were 67.5 years (± 19.7), 63.9 years (± 18.0) and 62.4 years (± 18.0). The highest proportion of total admissions was among the oldest group (≥ 80 years) in wave 1 (35.0%). When compared with patients admitted with other causes, those admitted with COVID-19 in wave 1 and in wave 2 were more frequent in the 40-59 year band: 20.8, 24.6 and 30.0%; consisted of more male patients: 47.5, 57.6 and 58.8%; and a high LACE (Length of stay, Acuity of admission, Comorbidity and Emergency department visits) index (score ≥ 10): 39.4, 61.3 and 50.3%. Compared to wave-2 patients, those admitted in wave 1 had greater risk of death in hospital: OR = 1.58 (1.18-2.12) and within 30 days of discharge: OR = 2.91 (1.40-6.04). Survivors of COVID-19 in wave 1 stayed longer in hospital (median = 6.5 days; interquartile range = 2.9-12.0) as compared to survivors from wave 2 (4.5 days; interquartile range = 1.9-8.7). Patient characteristics differed significantly between the two waves of COVID-19 pandemic. There was an improvement in outcomes in wave 2, including shorter length of stay in hospital and reduction of mortality.Entities:
Keywords: Coronavirus; Frequent readmission; LACE index; Length of stay; Mortality
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34637079 PMCID: PMC8505475 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-021-02842-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Intern Emerg Med ISSN: 1828-0447 Impact factor: 5.472
Fig. 1Numbers (A) and proportions (B) of admissions with COVID-19 and other causes between 01/03/2020 and 31/03/2021
Patient characteristics according to COVID-19 status
| Pre-pandemic period | Pandemic period | Group differences | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All causes ( | Other causes ( | COVID-19 wave 1 ( | COVID-19 wave 2 ( | |||||||
| % | % | % | % | |||||||
| Age on admission (yr) | ||||||||||
| 18–39 | 1205 | 11.8 | 1188 | 10.8 | 22 | 6.3 | 101 | 9.2 | 87 | < 0.001 |
| 40–59 | 1989 | 19.6 | 2292 | 20.8 | 86 | 24.6 | 331 | 30.0 | ||
| 60–79 | 3342 | 32.9 | 3708 | 33.7 | 119 | 34.1 | 350 | 31.7 | ||
| ≥ 80 | 3637 | 35.8 | 3831 | 34.8 | 122 | 35.0 | 321 | 29.1 | ||
| Sex | ||||||||||
| Men | 4854 | 47.7 | 5229 | 47.5 | 201 | 57.6 | 649 | 58.8 | 66 | < 0.001 |
| Women | 5319 | 52.3 | 5790 | 52.5 | 148 | 42.4 | 454 | 41.2 | ||
| LACE index ≥ 10 | 38.8 | 39.4 | 61.3 | 50.3 | 123 | < 0.001 | ||||
| ICD code | ||||||||||
| U07.1 | – | – | – | – | 349 | 100 | 961 | 87.1 | 50 | < 0.001 |
| U07.2 | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0 | 142 | 12.9† | ||
| Mortality | ||||||||||
| In hospital | 772 | 7.6 | 862 | 6.0 | 114 | 32.7 | 242 | 21.9 | 648 | < 0.001 |
| Within 30 days of discharge | 436 | 4.6 | 419 | 4.0 | 14 | 6.0 | 18 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 0.005 |
| Readmissions | ||||||||||
| Single readmission | 936 | 9.2 | 853 | 7.7 | 32 | 9.2 | 105 | 9.5 | 20.0 | 0.003 |
| ≥ 2 readmissions | 299 | 2.9 | 281 | 2.6 | 9 | 2.6 | 29 | 2.6 | ||
Admission, sex and mortality data as % of column totals
*ICD code: diagnosed on the basis of positive anti-COVID antibodies (ICD code U07.1) and clinical presentation (ICD code U07.2). †Including four patients with diagnosis based on history (one (U07.3 and three U07.4)
Fig. 2Distribution of deaths in hospital amongst men and women (A) and those with a high LACE index (B) by admissions in pre-pandemic period and COVID-19 pandemic period
Fig. 3Length of stay in hospital amongst patients who died in hospital and those who survived to discharge. Bars represent the 5th and 95th percentiles
Risk of death among patients admitted with COVID-19 wave 1 and wave 2 as compared to those who were admitted with non-COVID-19 related causes in the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods
| Logistic regression | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1: unadjusted | Model 2: adjusted for age and sex | |||||
| OR | 95%CI | OR | 95%CI | |||
| In-patient mortality | ||||||
| Pre-pandemic period (reference) | 1 | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| Pandemic period: other causes | 0.78 | 0.70–0.87 | < 0.001 | 0.78 | 0.70–0.87 | < 0.001 |
| Pandemic period: wave 1 | 5.91 | 4.67–7.48 | < 0.001 | 6.87 | 5.33–8.87 | < 0.001 |
| Pandemic period: wave 2 | 3.42 | 2.92–4.02 | < 0.001 | 4.35 | 3.66–5.16 | < 0.001 |
| Mortality within 30 days | ||||||
| Pre-pandemic period (reference) | 1 | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| Pandemic period: other causes | 0.87 | 0.76–0.99 | 0.041 | 0.86 | 0.75–0.99 | 0.040 |
| Pandemic period: wave 1 | 1.30 | 0.75–2.26 | 0.345 | 1.63 | 0.93–2.85 | 0.090 |
| Pandemic period: wave 2 | 0.44 | 0.27–0.71 | 0.001 | 0.57 | 0.35–0.92 | 0.021 |
Comparison of risk of death within 30 days of discharge between patients admitted with COVID-19 in wave 1 and wave 2 of the pandemic
| Logistic regression | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1: unadjusted | Model 2: adjusted for age and sex | |||||
| OR | 95%CI | OR | 95%CI | |||
| In-patient mortality | ||||||
| Wave 2 (reference) | 1 | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| Wave 1 | 1.73 | 1.32–2.25 | < 0.001 | 1.58 | 1.18–2.12 | < 0.001 |
| Mortality within 30 days | ||||||
| Wave 2 (reference) | 1 | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| Wave 1 | 2.97 | 1.45–6.06 | < 0.001 | 2.91 | 1.40–6.04 | < 0.001 |